SHOWERS & STORMS LATER TODAY; TROPICAL UPDATE… Just like yesterday and just like tomorrow, showers and thunderstorms will bubble up across south Alabama and northwest Florida later this afternoon. Storms will be most numerous from 11AM to 8PM when we have the most available heat content in the atmosphere. Storms will produce heavy rain, lots of lightning, gusty winds, and maybe even some small hail in the stronger storms. The tornado risk today is basically zero. Rain could be near blinding at times, as is often the case in the more intense pop-up storms.
LOW-END CHANCE OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT… The National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on a tropical wave currently in the southern Caribbean Sea. This tropical disturbance will move northwest in the days ahead, basically paralleling the coast of central America. There is a low-end chance (10-20%) that the system briefly becomes a tropical storm before it crosses the Yucatan Peninsula or after, once it reaches the southern Gulf of Mexico (Bay of Campeche). Regardless of if this system develops, local impacts in south Alabama and northwest Florida are not expected at this time. Good news!
The rest of the tropics remain quiet.
See all the forecast details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video that will be posted here in the RZWeather app shortly… Enjoy the day!