7:55PM July 5, 2018

TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORMS… Tropical Depression Two formed at 10AM this morning in the tropical waters of the Atlantic Ocean. The depression quickly strengthened into Tropical Storm Beryl this afternoon. The big (no hype!) headline with Beryl is that that the system will likely strengthen through Saturday before quickly weakening on Sunday. Confidence is high that this system will never come close to Alabama or northwest Florida. Let’s talk about why…

DRY AIR & SHEAR AHEAD FOR BERYL… Again, in the short term through Saturday, Tropical Storm Beryl may be able to continue to isolate itself from the dry air that basically surrounds the system. That dry air is one factor working against the system. The storm may ramp up briefly to hurricane status tomorrow (Friday) or on Saturday. Atmospheric shear will increase dramatically starting Saturday evening, however, as the system approaches the Lesser Antilles. This shear will likely be strong enough to rip the tropical system apart, causing complete dissipation within 4-5 days. The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) calls for Beryl to be completely dissipated (aka “off the board”) in 96 hours, on Monday. This forecast is very much in line with nearly all of the weather models, or “spaghetti plots” as well. No direct local impacts are expected at this time from this system for Alabama or northwest Florida.

AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA… We’re also monitoring an area of disturbed weather currently situated east of the South Carolina coast. NHC says there is a 50% chance that this system could ramp up to a tropical storm before turning northeast and moving out into the open waters of the northern Atlantic Ocean. No direct local impacts are expected from this system for Alabama or northwest Florida.

POP-UP STORMS AGAIN ON FRIDAY… Similar to previous days, there will be another round of showers and storms primarily concentrated in the P.M. hours of Friday. High temperatures are slated to be in the 90s.

APP ALERTS… Be sure to set up your customized alerts here in the RedZone Weather app. Visit the Alerts tab (bottom right corner) and tap on the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize which alerts you would like to receive.

Have a great evening!

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