LEVEL 2 SEVERE WEATHER RISK FOR SATURDAY… The Storm Prediction Center has included ALL of our local area in south Alabama and northwest Florida in their Level 2 (out of 5) slight risk zone valid for Saturday. This means that scattered severe thunderstorms could happen, including a few tornadoes and scattered instances of damaging straight line winds. Isolated showers could happen as early as this evening, with rain becoming more likely in the overnight hours into Saturday morning. Temperatures are forecast to remain well above our seasonal norms for this time of year over the next few days before a strong cold front moves by on Tuesday. Let’s talk details…

FEW SHOWERS LATER TODAY… Much of our local area should remain dry throughout the day on this Friday. High temperatures will soar into the 70s by 3PM today. A few showers may develop near coastal areas and over west Alabama before the end of the day. Rain will become more likely in the overnight hours. We note that some models show a complex of more consistent, heavy rain moving by in the wee hours of Saturday morning.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ON SATURDAY… Isolated tornadoes and damaging wind gusts in the stronger storms will be our main weather concerns on Saturday morning into the early afternoon hours. There is a chance we could have a few isolated supercell thunderstorms that become severe during the late morning hours of Saturday.

SEC CHAMPIONSHIP TRAVEL… The Alabama Crimson Tide is scheduled to play the Georgia Bulldogs inside Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta at 3PM CST/4PM EST on Saturday, December 1. If you’re planning to wake up on Saturday morning and drive to Atlanta from our local area, please be aware that a few strong thunderstorms may be possible. You’ll need to have a way to check the radar and receive urgent weather warnings! An automobile is a TERRIBLE place to be during a tornado warning. We encourage you to get out of cars and get into a well built, site-built structure away from windows and doors.

STORM TIMING… Isolated showers could happen as early as this (Friday) afternoon across west Alabama. More consistent rain may happen Friday evening into the overnight hours of Saturday morning. The severe weather risk, however, will extend from 4AM to 4PM on Saturday, with the greatest risk being from 9AM to 2PM. That is when the greatest combination of severe weather ingredients will be in place across our region.

POTENTIAL HAZARDS… Isolated tornadoes and damaging straight line winds will be the main concerns in the stronger storms. Some weather models are depicting the potential for a few supercell thunderstorms late Saturday morning. Any supercells that become discrete and isolated will have the greatest tornado potential. Definitely something to monitor as we get closer to this potential event. The risk of large hail is low, but not zero. The hail risk will happen in any supercells that can become isolated. Flash flooding impacts look to be negligible at this time.

APP… Be sure to download the RedZone Weather app (redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download) to keep up with the storms this weekend. Once you have the app downloaded, visit the Alerts tab (bottom right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you’d like to receive straight from me.

Let me know if you have any questions! Have a good Friday. Be sure to check back with me this evening for the latest updates.

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ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY… Isolated tornadoes and damaging straight line winds will be possible on Saturday, particularly in the morning and early afternoon hours, across south Alabama and northwest Florida. The atmosphere will become increasingly unstable late Friday night into Saturday as a warm front lifts northward from the Gulf of Mexico. This will set the stage for the severe weather potential Saturday morning. You’ll need to have a way to receive warnings before you go to sleep Friday night and in place through the daytime hours of Saturday.

SLIGHT RISK FOR ALL LOCAL AREAS… The southern half of Alabama and all of northwest Florida is included in the Storm Prediction Center’s Level 2 (out of 5), standard slight risk zone. This means that the entirety of the local area is included. Mobile, Pensacola, Fort Walton Beach, Destin, Crestview, Florala, Andalusia, Opp, Greenville, Georgiana, Luverne, Geneva, Dothan, Troy, Eufaula, Enterprise, Evergreen, Brewton, Atmore, Flomaton, Poarch, Huxford, Uriah, Monroeville, Beatrice, Thomasville, Camden, Sweet Water, Butler, Toxey, Silas, Coffeeville, Grove Hill, Jackson, Chatom, Millry, Fruitdale, Wagerville, Citronelle, Mt. Vernon, Saraland, Wilmer, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Farihope, Foley, Daphne, Spanish Fort, Bay Minette, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Silverhill, Elberta, Ft. Morgan, Perdido Key, Molino, Century, Walnut Hill, Milton, Jay, Berrydale, Navarre, Chumuckla, Allentown, Holt, Harold, Mary Esther, and Niceville are ALL included.

TORNADOES & WIND MAIN CONCERNS… Isolated tornadoes and damaging straight line winds will be the main concerns in the stronger storms. Some weather models are depicting the potential for a few supercell thunderstorms late Saturday morning. Any supercells that become discrete and isolated will have the greatest tornado potential. Definitely something to monitor as we get closer to this potential event. The risk of large hail is low, but not zero. The hail risk will happen in any supercells that can become isolated. Flash flooding impacts look to be negligible at this time.

TIMING OF THE STORMS… A few rain showers may happen across west Alabama as early as this evening. More consistent rain will happen Friday evening into early Saturday morning. The severe weather risk will extend from approximately 4AM on Saturday to 4PM Saturday evening. The core of the severe weather risk will happen when we have the greatest combination of ingredients in place for storm formation, likely between 9AM and 2PM.

APP ALERTS… If you haven’t already, we strongly encourage you to set up customized app alerts in the RedZone Weather app. Once you have the app downloaded, visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize the handcrafted alerts you’d like to receive straight from me.

I’ll have an in-depth video update posted by 7:15AM on Friday in the RedZone Weather app and on Facebook. Let me know if you have specific questions. See you then!

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MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES… Most spots across south Alabama and northwest Florida have reached the mid- to upper-60s on this Thursday afternoon. Mostly cloudy skies are in place for most. No major weather issues are expected through the end of the day. We could have a few small, isolated showers over west Alabama in Choctaw, Washington, Mobile, Clarke, and Marengo counties this evening. Widespread rain/severe weather is not expected. Our next chance of thunderstorms starts late on Friday, extending into Saturday when we could have a few strong to severe storms. See the post below for the current SPC convective outlook valid for Saturday.

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WARMING TREND; STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY… We begin to transition to warmer temperatures on this Thursday ahead of a chance of strong to severe storms on Saturday as a front moves by. The Storm Prediction Center has introduced a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal risk valid for much of our local area valid for late Friday into Saturday. Most of the stronger storms will likely happen to our north/west, but there could be enough atmospheric instability in place to support a few stronger storms. After the rain and storms on Saturday, we’ll have a few days of unsettled weather with another burst of cold air likely to move in next week. Let’s talk details…

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING IN WEST ALABAMA… Vast majority of us across south Alabama and northwest Florida will remain dry through Friday afternoon, however there is a chance of a few small showers forming across the extreme western parts of Alabama this evening. These will NOT be severe in any way. If showers do happen today, they will almost certainly occur in west Alabama’s Choctaw, Washington, Mobile, Clarke, and Marengo counties. Most of us across the region will remain dry. High temperatures across the region will be in the mid-60s by 2PM.

RAIN CHANCES INCREASE LATE FRIDAY… Cloud coverage and rain showers will increase across the area from west to east in the evening hours of Friday. If you have evening plans on Friday, be sure to keep the rain gear handy. You can always check the radar at redzoneweather.com/radar or by tapping the Radar tab in the RedZone Weather app.

FEW STRONG STORMS SATURDAY MORNING… Showers and thunderstorms will move from west to east across our local area likely during the morning hours of Saturday. While the greater dynamics and thermodynamics to support stronger/severe thunderstorms will likely set up to our north and west, the Storm Prediction Center has opted to include much of our area in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal risk zone. This means that an isolated stronger storm will be possible. The main concern in these stronger storms locally will be a brief, damaging gust of wind. The tornado risk will be low, but not zero.

UNSETTLED FEW DAYS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK… The front that will be causing all of the storms on Saturday will stall out near our local area and keep rain chances elevated through Monday into Tuesday of next week. This means temperatures will likely be well above our climatological norms for this time of year with highs in the 70s. Another cold front will move by on Tuesday, paving the way for drier, much cooler temperatures by Wednesday.

See all the details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video that will be available shortly in the RedZone Weather app… Have a great day!

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MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES… Quick afternoon update for south Alabama and northwest Florida. No weather issues are expected over the next few hours. Temperatures are peaking in the upper-50s for the most part under clear skies.

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NICE WEDNESDAY; STORMS LIKELY THIS WEEKEND… Temperatures are creeping up today, tomorrow, and on Friday, paving the way for a few strong thunderstorms on Saturday. While the core of the severe weather risk will likely set up to our north, a few strong storms will be possible locally Saturday. We transition from a dry week to a wet, warm weekend that could feature heavy rain at times. Let’s talk details…

NICE & SUNNY THROUGH FRIDAY… Nothing in the way of significant weather issues will happen through Friday morning other than some potential areas of dense fog at times. High temperatures on this Wednesday will peak in the mid-50s across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Another chilly night is ahead with overnight lows in the 30s and 40s. Temperatures will increase on Thursday and Friday as winds shift to out of the southwest.

STORMS LIKELY SATURDAY… The Storm Prediction Center has outlined much of Mississippi, Arkansas, and northern Louisiana in their Level 2 (out of 5) slight risk zone to potentially see a few strong to severe storms valid on Friday. I wouldn’t be shocked if SPC introduces this same risk zone for northern and central Alabama valid for Saturday. This means that the core of the severe weather risk will likely set up to our north this weekend, although it is still too early to rule out severe weather locally. Regardless of if severe weather happens, we definitely could have heavy rain at times on Saturday. 1-3″ of rain in total is not out of the question.

WET PATTERN INTO NEXT WEEK… Temperatures will remain well above our seasonal averages into early next week as highs will be in the 70s. Rain will be possible on Sunday, Monday, into Tuesday as well.

SEVERE WEATHER POLICY… We’ll continue to watch the potential for severe weather setting up into the weekend and bring you the latest in the RedZone Weather app (redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download). If tornado warnings are required for any part of southwest Alabama and northwest Florida, per our longstanding policy (outlined at redzoneweather.com/coverage), we will stream live video coverage for any of our 12 counties that are included in a tornado warning.

See all the details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video that will be available shortly in the RedZone Weather app… Enjoy the day!

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