12:43PM 2/19/2019 – RZW Exec

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF ACTIVE WEATHER AHEAD… RZW Exec partners, good Monday afternoon! We’ve got an active weather pattern upcoming over the next 7-9 days with multiple rounds of strong storms being possible. There is at least some chance of rain each day in the next 7 days, with Wednesday and Thursday likely being the wettest days. Our friends in north Alabama will be dealing with much more (10+ inches, in some cases) rain than we will in south Alabama and northwest Florida (1-3″ of rain in total locally). Flooding will be possible across the northern half of the state, but I am not expecting significant flooding issues for the southern half of Alabama or northwest Florida. Here is the 7 Day Forecast highlighting our multiple rounds of storms ahead…

LEVEL 1 RISK ZONE FOR WEST ALABAMA ON WEDNESDAY… The Storm Prediction Center has included much of Washington and Choctaw counties in west Alabama in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) risk zone valid for Wednesday. Vast majority of our local area remains in the non-severe, “general thunderstorm zone.” The greatest combination of “atmospheric ingredients” will come together across southeast Mississippi where a line of strong storms will likely form. This linear storm threat will move eastward in the late morning hours of Wednesday. Damaging wind gusts will be the main concern, with the tornado risk being very low, but not entirely zero. If any severe weather happens locally on Wednesday, it will almost certainly occur in Mobile, Choctaw, Washington, Marengo, or Clarke counties. Most of us should have an uneventful rain on Wednesday.

STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST THIS WEEKEND… Beyond Wednesday, the Storm Prediction Center has introduced a (fairly uncommon) Level 2 risk five days out valid on Saturday for parts of Arkansas, Louisiana, and western stretches of Mississippi. SPC notes that tornadoes will be possible on Saturday in those areas. The question mark for our local area is IF that storm system can hold together and move eastward into our area on Sunday. Still plenty of uncertainty in the forecast and it’s simply too early to know whether severe storms could be an issue for our region on Sunday, but that is a possibility. We will have further RZW Exec updates on this as necessary.

CONTINUING COVERAGE… Please continue to monitor our public-facing updates that will continue here in the RedZone Weather app and across social media. If we have a more specific weather threat that materializes, I’ll be sure to bring you an update here in RZW Exec. Please let me know if you have any specific questions. Have a great week!

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