RAIN LIKELY AT TIMES TODAY; STORMS AHEAD FOR WEDNESDAY… Keep the rain gear handy over the next few days as an unsettled, wet weather pattern will remain in place. While we’re not expecting severe weather issues on this Tuesday, there could be a few strong storms across west Alabama on Wednesday. Temperatures are starting today in the 50s but we quickly warm to around 60° this evening before temperatures climb to well above seasonal averages for Wednesday into Thursday. We’re also looking ahead to another, distinct potential severe weather setup for Sunday. We’re in an active weather pattern with plenty to discuss… Let’s go!
SHOWERS LIKELY TODAY; WARMING TEMPS… Rain coverage will increase throughout the day across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Our high temperatures today will happen much later in the day due to a warm front lifting northward across the region today. Temps will be around 59° by 2PM, rising to around 62° by 7PM. Isolated thunderstorms are possible today, but the greater coverage of storms is more likely to happen on Wednesday.
LEVEL 1 RISK ZONE FOR WEST ALABAMA ON WEDNESDAY… The Storm Prediction Center has included much of Washington and Choctaw counties in west Alabama in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) risk zone valid for Wednesday. Vast majority of our local area remains in the non-severe, “general thunderstorm zone.” The greatest combination of “atmospheric ingredients” will come together across southeast Mississippi where a line of strong storms will likely form. This linear storm threat will move eastward in the late morning hours of Wednesday. Damaging wind gusts will be the main concern, with the tornado risk being very low, but not entirely zero. If any severe weather happens locally on Wednesday, it will almost certainly occur in Mobile, Choctaw, Washington, Marengo, or Clarke counties. Most of us should have an uneventful rain on Wednesday.
STORMS LIKELY AGAIN ON THURSDAY… Our local area will remain south of a warm front on Thursday, thus keeping the region in the warm sector. This means scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely throughout the day on Thursday. Temperatures will peak in the upper-70s with some spots approaching the 80 degree mark.
RAIN CHANCES DECREASE FRIDAY… Morning rain showers are likely Friday, but most spots should get a break from the rain late Friday into early Saturday. High temps will ease back into the 70s for the first half of the weekend with overnight lows near 60°.
STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST THIS WEEKEND… The Storm Prediction Center has introduced a (fairly uncommon) Level 2 risk five days out valid on Saturday for parts of Arkansas, Louisiana, and western stretches of Mississippi. SPC notes that tornadoes will be possible on Saturday in those areas. The question mark for our local area is IF that storm system can hold together and move eastward into our area on Sunday. Still plenty of uncertainty in the forecast and it’s simply too early to speculate whether severe storms could be an issue for our region on Sunday. We’ll keep studying the latest model data and bring you the latest in the RedZone Weather app.
APP ALERTS… Be sure to download the RedZone Weather app (redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download) and set up your customized alerts in the Alerts tab (bottom right corner of the app). The app is totally free and a great resource on good weather days and more importantly, on bad weather days.
See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video that will be available shortly in the RZW app… Have a great day!