FEW STORMS THIS AFTERNOON; RAIN CHANCES HIGH FOR WEEKEND… Summer seems to be here in full force as hot temperatures and scattered storms dominate our weather pattern. Most areas will remain dry today, but rain chances will progressively rise over the next few days. Friday and Saturday will likely be the wettest days out of the next seven days as tropical moisture streams in from the southwest. The good news is we won’t be dealing with a tropical storm or hurricane this weekend! INVEST 91L remains weak and disorganized in the southern Gulf (Bay of Campeche). Let’s talk details…
TROPICAL UPDATE: DISTURBANCE REMAINS WEAK… The National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to monitor INVEST 91L. The system is a disorganized tropical disturbance moving very slowly to the northwest across the Bay of Campeche and the far southern part of the Gulf of Mexico. NHC says there is still a 50-60% chance that this system becomes a weak tropical storm over the next 24-48 hours before it interacts with the land areas of northeast Mexico, south of Texas. This system will pose no major threat to Alabama or northwest Florida, although we note that some remaining moisture will be drawn north this weekend FROM the system. The remainder of the tropical Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and the rest of the Gulf of Mexico remain quiet with no other tropical systems of concern.
MOST TO STAY DRY TODAY; H-O-T AFTERNOON AHEAD… I expect most spots across the interior of south Alabama to reach the upper-90s today. We get some relief in the temperature department over the next few days as rain chances rise, however. Storms will be widely scattered today, producing heavy rain in a few spots. Lightning will also be a concern in the stronger storms. You know the drill: “When thunder roars, go indoors.” Widespread severe weather is NOT expected today.
MORE STORMS ON WEDNESDAY… The coverage of rain and storms will increase slightly for Wednesday, particularly in the afternoon and evening hours. I expect the storms to be more numerous near the coast. That trend begins to change on Thursday as rain and storms become more widespread across the region.
STORMS INCREASE IN NUMBER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY… We’ll call it scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms being increasingly likely Thursday, Friday, and Saturday as tropical moisture streams in from the Gulf of Mexico. We note that this will likely just be moisture being drawn north by a weak area of low pressure that will move by to our west and NOT an organized tropical threat. Basically, increased rain chances are what we can expect as we head into the weekend. High temperatures will be just a bit “cooler” as we peak in the upper-80s and near 90° this weekend as opposed to the mid-90s.
See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video… I look forward to speaking to the senior adults at the Opp Adult Activity Center in Opp, Alabama later today. Expecting a big crowd. Have a great day!