MOSTLY SUNNY & HOT TUESDAY; TROPICS ARE NOT AS ACTIVE… We kick off a slew of hot, sunny days on this Tuesday. High temperatures will peak in the 94-96° range today. If you like today’s weather, don’t go anywhere as we’ll be hot and dry through Friday. Our next real chance of rain happens this weekend when showers and thunderstorms will likely pop up in the heat of the day. The chance of tropical storm formation with the two systems we’ve been monitoring in the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean have dropped this morning. We’re also watching Tropical Storm Gabrielle, which continues to move farther away from the United States. Let’s look at your forecast details…
ONLY A TINY RISK OF A SHOWER OR STORM TODAY… Vast majority of us across south Alabama will be dry and hot today. There is a very small chance (0-10%) that a rogue shower or storm could pop up in the heat of the day on this Tuesday. Widespread rain and storms are not expected.
HOT & DRY THROUGH FRIDAY… Sunny skies are likely Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday across our region. High temperatures will be in the mid-90s with morning lows in the lower-70s.
SHOWERS & STORMS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND… Pulse-type thunderstorms will become possible on Saturday and on Sunday. These are the pop-up style “storms of summer” that can produce localized very heavy downpours of rain, lightning, and gusty winds.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NORTH OF HISPANIOLA… An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a weak area of low pressure is located a few hundred miles north of the Dominican Republic over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) says there is a 10-20% chance this system becomes a tropical storm later this week as it moves westward. Heavy rain will likely happen across parts of The Bahamas regardless of if formal development happens. We note that most global weather models do NOT develop this system into a tropical storm.
INVEST 94L EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES… Development chances for INVEST 94L have dropped. There is a small chance that this tropical wave, currently located about 1,000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, could become a tropical storm as it moves westward. NHC says there is a 20-30% chance of development over the next few days.
GABRIELLE MOVING OUT… Tropical Storm Gabrielle is in the northern stretches of the Atlantic basin, located between Bermuda and the Azores islands. Maximum winds are at 60 mph. The system is expected to weaken in the days ahead as it moves faster to the northeast toward the European continent. The system is expected to dissipate long before it gets to Europe.
See all the graphics and details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video… Have a great day!