8:34PM March 2, 2020

BRIEF TORNADOES POSSIBLE TUESDAY EVENING & AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY… Have a way to get urgent weather warnings over the next 48 hours as we have multiple waves of storms upcoming on Tuesday and on Wednesday. While the more potent round of thunderstorms and heavy rain will happen on Wednesday, inland areas of south Alabama are now involved in a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) risk zone valid for Tuesday. The concern is that there will be a brief window Tuesday evening for storms to ramp up and produce gusty winds and perhaps a tornado or two. We get a lull in the severe weather threat Tuesday night ahead of a significant heavy rain event on Wednesday that could feature scattered severe storms near the coast. Let’s look at your forecast details this evening.

OVERNIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE… As of 8:30PM, we have light to moderate rain happening across parts of Escambia (AL), Covington, Monroe, Conecuh, Butler, Clarke, Wilcox, Choctaw, Crenshaw, Washington counties aka inland areas. These showers are moving eastward. Don’t be surprised to hear the sound of raindrops on the roof overnight and into Tuesday. There could be a clap of thunder overnight, but there is no formal severe weather risk until after dawn on Tuesday. That is when inland areas will go under the Level 1 risk.

LEVEL 1 (OUT OF 5) RISK INLAND ON TUESDAY… Inland communities are involved in a low-end severe weather risk valid for Tuesday into Tuesday evening. Often when we have a low-end risk like this in place, nothing significant happens. That is what we want. About 1 out of 10 times, however, you get a situation with multiple tornado warnings. Tuesday will feature rain at times with warm temperatures. That will be the case for most locations. SOME locales may have gusty winds and perhaps a tornado or two. We can’t completely rule out that possibility on Tuesday, primarily in the evening hours.

RAIN CHANCES INCREASE ACROSS INLAND AREAS TUESDAY… Keep the rain gear handy on Tuesday as showers will become more numerous across our region, particularly inland, primarily in the evening hours. There could be some spots closer to the immediate coast that have no rain, but I expect most spots to get some rain before the end of the day.

FEW STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY EVENING… The core severe weather risk on Tuesday will be from 4PM to 9PM when severe storms are MOST likely to happen. Be sure to check in with me in the RedZone Weather app for the very latest information tomorrow evening.

LEVEL 2 (OUT OF 5) RISK WEDNESDAY… The risk of a few tornadoes will increase slightly on Wednesday. That is when a warm front will potentially lift northward across coastal areas. The Storm Prediction Center has all of Baldwin, Mobile, Escambia (AL), Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, Okaloosa, and southern Covington counties involved in this Level 2 (out of 5) risk zone to potentially see a few strong to severe storms.

HEAVY RAIN LIKELY WEDNESDAY… Even if your specific location doesn’t have severe weather issues on Wednesday, I can just about guarantee you’ll have rain at times throughout the day. There is a high chance that all locations across our area will have heavy rain at times.

FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS WEDNESDAY… The phrase is, “Turn around, don’t drown.” We very well could have isolated instances of flash flooding due to the expected 2 to 5 inches of total rainfall over the next 48 hours across our region. Please do not drive over a water-covered roadway!

RAIN CLEARS OUT THURSDAY… Thursday will be our transition day as most of the rain will clear out to the east of our area by Noon. All of the rain will be gone by 4PM most likely. Temperatures will peak in the 65-70° range on Thursday.

BETTER WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND… Sunshine returns for Friday and the upcoming weekend. High temperatures will be in the mid- to upper-60s with morning lows consistently around the 40 degree mark. No rain on Friday, Saturday, or Sunday. Rain chances are likely to increase for Monday of the upcoming week, however.

APP ALERTS… Many updates will be posted throughout the day on Tuesday and on Wednesday in the RedZone Weather app. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Be sure to visit the Alerts tab (bottom right corner) and tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize the alerts you’d like to receive from me. If you like a lot of info, be sure to toggle ON Low-Level Alerts.

NEXT UPDATE… My next detailed text discussion and video update will be posted by 7:15AM on Tuesday. Be sure to join me for that. Have a great evening!

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