12:47PM May 29, 2020

SHOWERS & STORMS LIKELY TO POP UP… Temperatures are now near 90 degrees across the region as we approach 1PM. At the moment, there are a few showers and storms forming near Choctaw Bluff and the Alabama River south of Gosport and Perdue Hill. These are the first of what likely will be many showers and storms that pop up over the next few hours.

I’ll have radar updates as needed as storms continue to fire up. Widespread severe weather is not expected today, but storms could be loud and produce localized areas of heavy rain.

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6:50AM May 29, 2020

P.M. THUNDERSTORMS TODAY; DRIER WEATHER STARTS SUNDAY… Thunderstorms will pop up this afternoon into this evening across south Alabama and northwest Florida as our warm, unsettled, summer-like pattern is set to continue. High temperatures will be in the mid- to upper-80s. While there is no formal risk of severe weather in place, some of the storms today could be on the strong side, producing localized, small areas of gusty winds. Small hail will be possible in the strongest of the storms. The tornado risk today remains very, very low. There could be a few waterspouts offshore, however. Please be aware of that if you’re headed out on a boat. There is a chance some spots may have no rain today. The storms will be scattered in nature and MOSTLY happening between 11AM and 8PM. We’ll have a few more showers and storms on Saturday ahead of a drier pattern setting up for Sunday. Let’s look at all of your forecast details.

FEWER STORMS ON SATURDAY… Rain chances will be much lower on Saturday compared to today. We’ll call it a 30% chance of showers and storms on Saturday, most of which will happen in the P.M. hours. High temperatures on Saturday will approach 90° by 2PM.

SUNNY & HOT SUNDAY INTO MONDAY… Sunny skies are expected for Sunday into Monday as a big area of high pressure takes a firm hold on our weather pattern for the next several days. High temperatures will be in the low-90s. No rain is expected on Sunday or Monday.

DRY WEEK AHEAD… Hot and dry conditions are ahead for the upcoming week. Rain will be scarce with high pressure building into the Deep South. There is at least some chance we may go through the whole work week (Monday through Friday) with no rain. High temperatures will be in the low-90s with morning lows in the upper-60s.

ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN ATLANTIC… The National Hurricane Center issued yet another Special Tropical Weather Outlook last night due to a developing tropical disturbance over the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean. This system is well southeast of Bermuda and well to the north of the Lesser Antilles. Regardless of if the system becomes a subtropical storm or tropical storm, the system won’t directly affect Alabama or northwest Florida. Direct U.S. impacts are highly unlikely. From NHC: A surface trough and associated upper-level disturbance are producing disorganized shower activity and gusty winds over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Gradual development of this system is possible, and it could acquire some subtropical characteristics later today or on Saturday as it moves generally northward. Development is not expected after that time due to unfavorable environmental conditions.

See all the details in your Friday #rzw forecast video. Have a great weekend!

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6:56AM May 28, 2020

ISOLATED P.M. STORMS TODAY; MORE STORMS ON FRIDAY… A few pop-up thunderstorms will likely happen on this Thursday with the greatest chance of rain happening across inland areas of southwest Alabama. High temperatures today will be in the mid- to upper-80s across the region. Just like yesterday, there may be a stronger storm or two across the region, although widespread severe weather is NOT expected. We had two tornado warning polygons yesterday, but I will be very surprised if any storms can ramp up to that level today. The overall tornado risk remains very, very low. Any storms that become strong this afternoon or this evening will be capable of producing gusty winds and small hail. Let’s look at your forecast details.

STORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY; DRIER SUNDAY… The first half of the weekend has a chance of storms on Saturday, particularly in the afternoon and evening hours. Highs on Saturday will be in the upper-80s. Rain and storms on Saturday will be in the form of pop-up thunderstorms that happen mainly across inland areas of south Alabama. Sunday looks to be drier with winds shifting from out of the north. Highs will be around 90° on Sunday with mostly sunny skies throughout the day.

DRIER PATTERN EARLY NEXT WEEK… Warm temperatures are here to stay, but it looks like we will get a break in the rain/storms early next week. Monday through Wednesday now look dry with mostly sunny skies expected each day. High temperatures will be in the upper-80s or low-90s with morning lows in the upper-60s.

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA: FORMED & DISSIPATED YESTERDAY… It is certainly not everyday that you get a tropical storm that forms and dissipates on the exact same day of the calendar. That is what happened yesterday with Tropical Storm Bertha. The system that was INVEST 91L developed a low-level circulation center right before it made landfall in South Carolina near Charleston yesterday morning around 8:30AM. The National Hurricane Center issued the first advisory around that time. Bertha moved onshore in South Carolina and quickly dissipated into a remnant low pressure area last evening. The last advisory was issued by the National Hurricane Center at 5PM, meaning the system was officially a named storm for approximately 10 hours. That may be a new record for the shortest tropical storm ever.

TROPICS NOW QUIET… The Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Atlantic Ocean won’t see any tropical development over the next 3-5 days. The 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season officially kicked off a few weeks ago when Tropical Storm Arthur formed and moved just east of North Carolina. Tropical Storm Bertha moved inland yesterday and rapidly weakened. The next name on the tropical cyclone naming list is Cristobal. Some of the longer range models have hinted at the potential for tropical mischief in the western Caribbean and perhaps even the southern Gulf of Mexico in 2-3 weeks, but it is far too early to know any details on IF that will happen, WHEN specifically that will happen, or what locations would be affected (if any). That is certainly nothing to worry about, for now. I’ll keep watching trends and bring you the latest as needed.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.’

See all the details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video. Have a nice day!

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12:02AM May 28, 2020

STORMS MOVING IN FROM WEST… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible across our region overnight. As of midnight, we have several showers and storms in southeast Mississippi that are about to move into west Alabama. Don’t be surprised by a few rumbles of thunder across the region over the next several hours. The overall risk of severe weather remains low.

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