11:49AM June 29, 2020

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11:08AM June 29, 2020

SCATTERED STORMS… Showers and thunderstorms continue to pop up on this Monday. These thunderstorms are the pulse variety, pop-up storms that fire up over a given area and generally don’t move that much. These storms will produce very heavy rain, lots of lightning, and brief gusty winds.

As of 11:08AM, the heaviest rain across our region is happening near Walnut Hill, Milton, Niceville, Baker, and Pineview. I expect more storms to pop up over the next several hours.

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6:50AM June 29, 2020

SCATTERED POP-UP STORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING… Scattered rain and storms will likely pop up across south Alabama and northwest Florida this afternoon into this evening on this Monday. We’ll likely have an initial batch of showers and storms closer to the coast this morning, followed by a more potent round of storms inland this afternoon into this evening. The main concern in the stronger thunderstorms today will be the potential for gusty winds, small hail, very heavy downpours of rain, and quite a bit of lightning. The tornado risk today remains near or at zero. Our weather pattern is set to largely be on repeat over the next few days. Let’s look at details.

RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TOWARD 4TH OF JULY… Model guidance has consistently suggested an uptick in the way of shower and thunderstorm coverage later this week as we approach Independence Day on Saturday. We probably won’t have an “all day washout,” but there will inevitably be a few storms around on Friday, Saturday, and into Sunday.

TROPICAL UPDATE 1 OF 2: TROPICAL WAVE IN ATLANTIC… The National Hurricane Center has highlighted a tropical wave, currently situated between Africa and the Lesser Antilles, that has a low-end (20%) chance of becoming a tropical storm over the next few days. Odds are this system will fade away and remain a general tropical wave with no major impacts. There is a small chance that a circulation center may form a bit farther to the south in the tropical wave and ultimately briefly spin-up into a tropical storm. If that scenario happens, we’ll have to keep an eye on the system as it moves to the west. Regardless of development, no impacts from this system are expected in south Alabama or northwest Florida over the next 7 days.

TROPICAL UPDATE 2 OF 2: LOW PRESSURE TO DEVELOP IN ATLANTIC… The other area of concern in the Atlantic Basin is a stalled frontal boundary situated between Bermuda and the East Coast of the U.S. This system could form an area of low pressure that could become a tropical storm as it moves eastward and out to sea, very similar to what happened last week with Tropical Storm Dolly. No impacts for our local area from that system, regardless of if formal development happens.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Sunday evening #rzw forecast video… My next detailed forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM on Monday. See you then!

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6:50PM June 28, 2020

FEW STORMS THIS EVENING; MORE POP-UP STORMS ON MONDAY… Isolated thunderstorms continue to pop up across the region on this Sunday evening. We had a few stronger storms in parts of Butler County earlier this afternoon that prompted multiple severe thunderstorm warnings and downed a few trees northeast of Greenville. At the time this video is being produced around 6:45PM, heavy rain is happening in parts of Washington and Clarke counties in west Alabama. A Severe Thunderstorm Warning is in effect for the next few minutes for parts of Choctaw County near Gilbertown and Butler. Rain and storms will gradually fade away after sunset. Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected to happen on Monday during the afternoon and evening hours ahead of a seasonal late June and early July pattern. Heat, humidity, and P.M. storms will likely be recurring headlines over the next few days. We’re also watching a tropical wave way out in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean that has a low-end chance of developing into a tropical system. Let’s look at details…

SCATTERED STORMS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY… Our weather pattern will essentially be on repeat over the next few days. Sunshine in the morning will give way to increasingly cloudy skies around lunchtime. Afternoon and evening pop-up storms will happen each day in a seemingly random pattern. Some of the storms may produce torrential downpours of rain, gusty winds, and dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning. Widespread severe weather, however, is not expected. High temperatures will consistently be around the 90 degree mark with morning lows in the lower-70s.

RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TOWARD 4TH OF JULY… Model guidance has consistently suggested an uptick in the way of shower and thunderstorm coverage later this week as we approach Independence Day on Saturday. We probably won’t have an “all day washout,” but there will inevitably be a few storms around on Friday, Saturday, and into Sunday.

TROPICAL UPDATE 1 OF 2: TROPICAL WAVE IN ATLANTIC… The National Hurricane Center has highlighted a tropical wave, currently situated between Africa and the Lesser Antilles, that has a low-end (20%) chance of becoming a tropical storm over the next few days. Odds are this system will fade away and remain a general tropical wave with no major impacts. There is a small chance that a circulation center may form a bit farther to the south in the tropical wave and ultimately briefly spin-up into a tropical storm. If that scenario happens, we’ll have to keep an eye on the system as it moves to the west. Regardless of development, no impacts from this system are expected in south Alabama or northwest Florida over the next 7 days.

TROPICAL UPDATE 2 OF 2: LOW PRESSURE TO DEVELOP IN ATLANTIC… The other area of concern in the Atlantic Basin is a stalled frontal boundary situated between Bermuda and the East Coast of the U.S. This system could form an area of low pressure that could become a tropical storm as it moves eastward and out to sea, very similar to what happened last week with Tropical Storm Dolly. No impacts for our local area from that system, regardless of if formal development happens.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Sunday evening #rzw forecast video… My next detailed forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM on Monday. See you then!

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4:40PM June 28, 2020

SEVERE STORM NORTHEAST OF GREENVILLE… The National Weather Service has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Warning valid until 5PM for northeast Butler County and northern Crenshaw County. This includes areas near Daisy in northeast Butler County. Greenville, Georgiana, McKenzie, Chapman, Fort Dale, Oaky Streak, and Forest Home are NOT included in this severe thunderstorm warning polygon.

Gusty winds (up to 60 mph) and large hail up to the size of a quarter will be possible as this storm continues slowly moving northeast.

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2:09PM June 28, 2020

SUMMER POP-UP STORMS… The radar display is exactly as one would expect on a late June day. Pop-up showers and thunderstorms are happening across the region.

A heavier storm is happening near Wing and Bradley near the Conecuh National Forest. Heavier storms are also occurring near Appleton, Lenox, and Monroeville.

Widespread severe weather is not expected today, but storms will be loud and proud at times.

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