SCATTERED STORMS LIKELY AT TIMES TODAY; SEVERE RISK RAMPS UP TUESDAY… Thunderstorms are expected to develop at times on this Monday ahead of a more pronounced severe weather risk setting up for Tuesday. We have multiple severe weather risks in place across our area. The first risk is a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk, mainly for inland areas of southwest Alabama valid for TODAY. Then, on Tuesday, the entire region is involved in a severe weather risk with the greatest chance of severe storms expected to set up across parts of west Alabama. Storms will continue on Wednesday ahead of sunshine returning to our region on Thursday into Friday. I’ve got all of the specifics of your forecast outlined below.
WHAT TO EXPECT – TODAY… Intermittent rain and thunderstorms are likely at times on this Monday. The greatest chance of showers and storms will likely be in the afternoon hours when storms have plenty of heat content to work with in the atmosphere. Thunderstorms today will be “pulse-like” in nature, likely developing rather quickly and not moving very much at all due to the lack of shear today. High temperatures will be in the mid-80s this afternoon.
LEVEL 1 (OUT OF 5) LOW-END SEVERE WEATHER RISK TODAY… The Storm Prediction Center defines part of our area in a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk valid today into this evening. The tornado risk is not entirely zero today, but it remains LOW. Any thunderstorms that can ramp up to strong or severe levels will be capable of producing gusty winds and hail. Isolated flash flooding issues are also possible due to storms not moving quickly today. I will have radar updates posted throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app.
SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TUESDAY EVENING… Another round of active weather is likely ahead for Tuesday, primarily in the afternoon and evening hours as a potentially significant line of thunderstorms moves southeast across our region. Damaging wind gusts, hail, and perhaps a few tornadoes will be possible.
LEVEL 2 (OUT OF 5) RISK ON TUESDAY… For now, the Storm Prediction Center includes part of our area (mainly in west Alabama) in their Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid for Tuesday. Based on the ongoing model guidance, I would not be surprised if outlook upgrades are needed for parts of the Deep South as this could end up being a potentially significant wind event due to a severe line of thunderstorms that sets up tomorrow evening. Regardless of the specific risk level, be ready for possible urgent weather warnings Tuesday afternoon and evening as the local severe weather risk ramps up.
MORE STORMS LIKELY WEDNESDAY… Rain and thunderstorms will be possible again on Wednesday ahead of a return to more quiet weather on Thursday. Flash flooding could be a particular concern on Wednesday due to all of the rain that will have happened today and on Tuesday combined with more rain in the thunderstorms on Wednesday.
SUNSHINE RETURNS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY… Sunshine returns to our forecast on Thursday and Friday as an area of high pressure takes firm control of our local weather pattern. High temperatures will be around 80 degrees on Thursday and Friday.
NICE WEEKEND AHEAD… Early model guidance points to a nice, quiet weekend with mostly sunny skies. High temperatures are expected to be in the mid-80s this weekend.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
See all the details in your Monday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!