LEVEL 3 (OUT OF 5) RISK FOR TUESDAY; SEVERE STORMS LIKELY… The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded much of Alabama and Mississippi into their Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced severe weather risk valid for tomorrow (Tuesday, May 4, 2021). Damaging winds, tornadoes, large hail, and flash flooding will be possible tomorrow. Locally, we are expecting a line of strong to severe thunderstorms to cross the area from northwest to southeast in the afternoon and evening hours. Some of these storms could be intense, with damaging wind gusts capable of knocking down trees being the main concern. A few tornadoes and large hail will also be possible. A few more Monday evening forecast notes are below.
FEW SHOWERS & STORMS OVERNIGHT… Other than a few isolated showers and thunderstorms over the next few hours, I expect the overnight hours into Tuesday morning to be fairly quiet. I cannot completely rule out a few rumbles of thunder, but the organized convection today seems to be done locally. We note a Severe Thunderstorm Watch continues for parts of central Alabama. Several warnings are in effect for areas near the I-85 from near Montgomery to near Auburn this evening. The severe weather risk will ramp up tomorrow afternoon yet again across the local area.
SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – TUESDAY… 2PM to 10PM is the eight hour window when strong to severe thunderstorms will be MOST likely to happen across southwest Alabama and northwest Florida. A line of strong to severe storms is expected to develop across parts of Mississippi and Louisiana before moving into west Alabama in the afternoon hours. This line of storms will move across our local area in the late afternoon and evening hours, bringing with it the chance of damaging winds, tornadoes, and hail. As always, if we have tornado warnings for our local area, be sure to join me on Facebook Live for the very latest information.
LEVEL 3 (OUT OF 5) RISK FOR INLAND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA… The highest risk of severe storms locally on Tuesday will happen across inland areas of southwest Alabama in parts of Monroe, Washington, and Clarke counties. These are the zones where a Level 3 (out of 5) risk is now in place. A Level 3 risk means that numerous severe thunderstorms will be likely, with a few intense, potentially significant, storms being possible. We note this Level 3 risk is driven by the increased risk of damaging wind gusts. Tornadoes will also be possible. The Level 3 risk locally includes: Thomasville, Grove Hill, Jackson, Monroeville, Mexia, Perdue Hill, Beatrice, Excel, Frisco City, Uriah, Chatom, Millry, Leroy, Wagerville, St. Stephens, Deer Park, Citronelle, and surrounding areas.
LEVEL 3 RISK FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTH ALABAMA… We also note much of central and north Alabama is involved in the Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced severe weather risk, including Montgomery, Auburn, Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Talladega, Selma, Demopolis, Gadsden, Huntsville, Decatur, Cullman, Florence, Russellville, Butler, Camden, Prattville, Clanton, Wetumpka, Marion, Moundville, Greensboro, Hoover, Oneonta, Centre, Ft. Payne, Centre, Roanoke, Aliceville, and surrounding areas.
LEVEL 2 (OUT OF 5) RISK… Southeast of the Level 3 risk, you’ll find a Level 2 (out of 5) risk for many other local communities. A Level 2 risk means that scattered severe storms will be possible. This zone includes Andalusia, Greenville, Luverne, Opp, Florala, Carolina, Red Level, Straughn, Evergreen, Castleberry, Brewton, Atmore, Huxford, Flomaton, Poarch, Damascus, Jay, Century, Walnut Hill, Bratt, Molino, Laurel Hill, Bay Minette, Loxley, Fairhope, Daphne, Spanish Fort, Mobile, Prichard, Saraland, Satsuma, Creola, Wilmer, Bayou La Batre, and surrounding areas.
LEVEL 1 (OUT OF 5) RISK… Closer to the Alabama and northwest Florida coast, there is a Level 1 (out of 5) lower-end risk where severe storms may happen, but the overall risk is lower. The Level 1 risk currently includes: Pensacola, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Foley, Dauphin Island, Milton, Pace, Navarre, Destin, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Mary Esther, Crestview, and surrounding areas.
APP ALERTS… redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the free RedZone Weather app. We post brief updates throughout each day in the app, keeping you up-to-date about the latest happenings in weather across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Once you have the free app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
I will have your next full forecast video posted by 7:15AM on Tuesday morning. Please let me know if you have any questions. Have a great Monday evening!