SLIGHTLY LOWER RAIN CHANCES TODAY; SCATTERED STORMS THIS WEEK… Rain chances will be lower today, but not completely zero, as a few showers and thunderstorms pop up across the region this afternoon into this evening. Storms will be most numerous today between 2PM and 6PM. Widespread severe weather is not expected locally today or in any of the next 5 days. Showers and storms will become more numerous tomorrow into Wednesday. We are watching two systems in the tropics, neither of which will ever be a direct local issue for south Alabama or northwest Florida. A few more Monday morning forecast details are below.
TROPICS: DISTURBANCE APPROACHING GEORGIA COAST… The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a tropical disturbance that is rapidly moving toward the coastline of Georgia and South Carolina. Note that regardless of if formal development happens before this system reaches the U.S. coast, local impacts in south Alabama and northwest Florida are not expected. From NHC: “A small low pressure system is located east-southeast of Savannah, Georgia in the western Atlantic Ocean. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity has become less organized since yesterday afternoon, becoming displaced to the northwest of the surface center due to strong upper-level winds. The low is forecast to move quickly west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, crossing over the warmer waters of the Gulf Stream this morning, and it has some potential to become a tropical depression or tropical storm before reaching the coast of Georgia or southern South Carolina by this evening. If the system becomes more organized later today, then tropical storm warnings could be required for a portion of the Georgia and South Carolina coasts with short notice. Regardless of development, a few inches of rain are possible along the immediate coasts of Georgia and southern South Carolina through tomorrow morning. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon, if necessary.”
TROPICS: INVEST 95L IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN… There is a 30% chance of a tropical storm developing in the central Atlantic Ocean this week as a tropical wave continues to move west toward the Lesser Antilles. From NHC: “An area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is producing a small cluster of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Some slow development is possible through the end of the week while this system moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at about 20 mph, likely reaching the Lesser Antilles late Wednesday or Wednesday night.”
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See all the details in your Monday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great start to your week!