There has been a dramatic shift in the #ECMWF ensemble guidance for #TC #Dorian.
36hrs ago, only 4/51 members (8%) had Dorian surviving past #Hispaniola. Now the vast majority (>75%) track Dorian past near the Bahamas.
Odds are increasing Dorian may be a threat for mainland USA pic.twitter.com/KbhcixgWKv
— Philippe Papin (@pppapin) August 26, 2019