Spotty showers and thunderstorms are beginning to pop up across south Alabama and northwest Florida this afternoon. These small storms are moving east very slowly.
Be ready for scattered downpours over the next several hours. https://t.co/WTNR0a7cdH
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) June 13, 2026
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with the area of low pressure in the southwestern Gulf continue to move toward northeast Mexico and south Texas.
20% chance of the system briefly becoming a tropical storm before moving on land. Doubtful that will happen. https://t.co/PotygrkEr1
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) June 13, 2026
WET PATTERN WITH POP-UP STORMS EXPECTED STARTING MONDAY; HOT & MAINLY DRY TODAY… Tropical moisture from an area of low pressure in the western Gulf will spread across the Deep South early next week, bringing with it heavy rain at times and thunderstorms. Before we get there, a hot, humid Saturday and Sunday will happen across the region. High temperatures today will be in the mid 90s across the region with heat index values in the 100-105° range. A few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms can’t be ruled out today, but I expect most communities will remain dry. Tomorrow will be quite similar to today ahead of higher rain chances and slightly cooler temperatures starting Monday.
20% CHANCE OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN WESTERN GULF; RESIDUAL MOISTURE FOR LOCAL AREA… The National Hurricane Center continues to indicate there is a low (10-20%) chance of a brief tropical storm developing in the southwestern or western Gulf today or tonight before an area of low pressure moves inland into northeastern Mexico or Texas. While formal development seems unlikely, this system is partially responsible for the much higher rain chances set to happen across the local area on Monday into Tuesday. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will be likely early this coming week.
FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS IF STORMS TRAIN OVER SAME AREAS… Rain amounts will likely stack up fairly quickly early in the week, meaning we will need to monitor for the potential for flash flooding if storms train over the same areas. Flash flooding may become a greater concern around midweek depending on just how much rain our local area receives. You can see in the map attached that 2 to 4 inches of total rainfall is likely through midweek.
WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS UNLIKELY… Despite the high rain chances early next week, I don’t see any signs of a widespread severe weather event. Tornadoes seem highly unlikely. Gusty winds could happen in the strongest of the storms. The Storm Prediction Center currently does not have any severe weather outlook zones in place for our local area. It’s also important to note that it probably won’t rain all day in any given community on Monday and Tuesday. Multiple waves of rain and storms will be possible, however.
APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!
I will have radar updates posted throughout the day, as needed, in the RedZone Weather app.
Have a great Saturday!
WET PATTERN WITH POP-UP STORMS EXPECTED STARTING MONDAY; HOT & MAINLY DRY TODAY… Tropical moisture from an area of low pressure in the western Gulf will spread across the Deep South early next week, bringing with it heavy rain at times and thunderstorms. Before we get there, a https://t.co/am7g4AScdq
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) June 13, 2026
Most locations across south Alabama and northwest Florida will remain dry and HOT today. High temperatures will be in the mid to upper 90s with heat index values in the 100-105° range.
Isolated showers and a few storms will be possible throughout the day. MOST spots will remain https://t.co/VXzpUq1rtL
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) June 13, 2026
An area of low pressure in the southwestern Gulf continues to have a 20% chance of briefly becoming a tropical storm before moving into Mexico or Texas over the next day or so. Explosive, significant development appears unlikely. https://t.co/j5xeZbErBY
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) June 13, 2026
RT @dittogorme: Sunset Lake Kirby, Abilene, Tx @spann @NWSSanAngelo @rzweather @ThomasGeboyWX @StormHour @ThePhotoHour @NWSMobile @AbileneC…
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) June 13, 2026
