6:58AM September 23, 2021

GORGEOUS, MILD DAY; TRACKING TD18/SAM IN THE ATLANTIC… Today will be arguably the nicest weather day we have had in months as full sunshine is expected throughout the day with high temperatures in the mid-70s. We are starting a streak of nice, dry weather days. High temperatures will rise into the 80s by the weekend while overnight lows consistently remain in the 50s through Sunday. We continue to track three tropical systems in the Atlantic Ocean: Tropical Depression Peter, Tropical Depression Rose, and TD18/Tropical Storm Sam. A few more Thursday morning forecast notes below.

TD18/SAM IN THE ATLANTIC… Tropical Depression 18 formed last evening in the open waters of the central Atlantic Ocean. This system is expected to become Tropical Storm Sam today. The National Hurricane Center forecast continues to explicitly call for TD18/Sam to become a major hurricane early next week as the system comes fairly close to the northernmost Lesser Antilles. It remains a bit too early to conclusively rule out direct local impacts in the USA, although we note most of the major global weather models have indicated a path that would likely be to the east of the continental U.S. in the Atlantic Ocean. I will continue to monitor model trends in the next few days and bring you the latest info in the RedZone Weather app.

REMNANTS OF PETER & T.D. ROSE REMAIN WEAK… Tropical Depression Peter is no more. The National Hurricane Center issued their final advisory on the decaying tropical system last evening. Tropical Depression Rose continues to weaken as well. These two systems will continue to fade away, well away from land, in the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean today into tonight. The remnants of Peter are located north of Puerto Rico. Rose is located about 1,250 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Both systems will not ever directly affect Alabama or northwest Florida.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

See all the details in your Thursday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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4:54PM September 22, 2021

NEW DEPRESSION FORMS; EXPECTED TO BECOME MAJOR HURRICANE NEXT WEEK… Tropical Depression Eighteen has formed this evening about halfway between the Lesser Antilles and Africa. This tropical depression is gaining strength and will likely become a tropical storm tonight or tomorrow. The next names on the tropical naming list are Sam and Teresa. TD18 will likely become a hurricane in a few days. The National Hurricane Center forecast explicitly calls for TD18 to become a major hurricane early next week when the system is closer to the Lesser Antilles.

LONG RANGE UNCERTAINTY WITH TD18… Most, not all but MOST, weather models show TD18 moving in more of a northerly fashion in 4-5 days. This means there is a decent chance the system recurves into the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean. This is not set in stone just yet, however. Earlier runs of the American-based GFS model (which has performed remarkably well so far during this year’s hurricane season) indicated a more southerly track toward The Bahamas. I will keep you posted in the days ahead as we continue to get more data in, refining the projected path of this developing system.

COOLER AIR ARRIVING LOCALLY… If you have stepped outside over the last several hours, you’ve probably felt the refreshing, cooler, drier air moving into our region behind an advancing cold front. Temperatures this evening will quickly dive into the 60s ahead of temperatures in the mid-50s becoming likely after midnight. Overnight lows will be in the mid- to upper-50s tomorrow (Thursday) morning. Sunny days are ahead through the weekend!

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have more updates posted in the hours ahead in the RedZone Weather app. Have a great evening!

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4:52PM September 22, 2021

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10:34AM September 22, 2021

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6:54AM September 22, 2021

COOLER, DRIER AIR ARRIVES TODAY; NICE DAYS AHEAD… The day many of you have been looking forward to all summer long has finally arrived! Cooler, drier air is about to filter into south Alabama and northwest Florida behind an advancing cold front. This frontal boundary is crossing our area and will continue to move southeast tonight. Overnight lows will be in the upper-50s tonight ahead of high temperatures in the mid- to upper-70s tomorrow. Nice weather is ahead this weekend when mostly sunny skies will be in place with high temperatures in the mid-80s. We continue to monitor several tropical systems in the Atlantic Ocean. None of these systems will impact south Alabama or northwest Florida over the next 7 days.

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING… A few showers and thunderstorms are not completely out of the question this morning through approximately 11AM. I expect most, if not all, of the areas of drizzle and rain to be well to our east by the time we get to Noon. No severe weather is expected today.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION PETER MOVING NORTHWEST… Tropical Depression Peter is located approximately 200 miles north of Puerto Rico in the southwestern corner of the Atlantic Ocean. Peter is barely hanging on this morning and the system is forecast to weaken into a remnant low pressure area tomorrow or Friday. The remnants of Peter will move toward Bermuda over the next several days.

ROSE STRUGGLING IN EASTERN ATLANTIC… Rose, a weakening system, is located in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. Rose will likely weaken into a remnant area of low pressure later this week or into the weekend. No land impacts are expected due to Rose.

SOON-TO-BE SAM IN THE ATLANTIC… A tropical wave located about halfway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles has a high (90%) chance of becoming a tropical storm as the system continues to push westward. If/when this system becomes a tropical storm, the next name on the tropical storm naming list is “Sam.” It remains too early to know if this system will directly affect the continental U.S. or any land areas. Interests in the Lesser Antilles, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should closely monitor the progress of this system.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Wednesday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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9:15PM September 21, 2021

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