11:22AM June 17, 2026




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6:50AM June 17, 2026

RAIN & STORMS AT TIMES TODAY; TORNADO & FLASH FLOOD RISK RAMPS UP THURSDAY… Scattered rain and thunderstorms will be possible at times throughout the day on this Wednesday across south Alabama and northwest Florida. The atmosphere remains primed for heavy rain at times today that could potentially lead to isolated areas of flash flooding. In addition, we have a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) tornado risk closer to the coast today. Tomorrow, the overall risk of severe storms and flash flooding will ramp up across the entire region as what is left of Potential Tropical Cyclone #1 moves northeast. I will have radar updates posted throughout the afternoon and evening in the RedZone Weather app. If we have any tornado warnings across the local area, I will come on our platforms to bring you live coverage.

Most of the key messages have not changed since last night. Heavy rain that could lead to flash flooding and brief tornadoes will be the main concerns today, tonight, into Thursday.

FLOOD WATCH FOR LOCAL AREA; TROPICAL STORM WARNING NEAR LAKE CHARLES, LA… A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Morgan City, Louisiana to Sabine Pass. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from Sabine Pass southward to Sargent, Texas. Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings will not be issued for south Alabama or northwest Florida due to this storm as tropical storm conditions (sustained winds over 39 mph) are NOT expected locally. Regardless of if the system takes a name or not, the impacts remain the same for the local area: Heavy rain, flash flooding, and brief tornadoes are the concerns. A Flood Watch is in effect for ALL local counties until Friday due to the growing risk of heavy rain and flash flooding.

FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS… The latest rainfall projections show an additional 3 to 7 inches of total rainfall expected through Saturday, on top of what happened yesterday and last night. Generally, the heavier rain amounts will likely happen across parts of southwest Alabama, particularly in areas west of the Alabama River. If thunderstorms train over the same areas, a significant flash flood event can’t be ruled out.

LOW-END TORNADO RISK TODAY INTO TONIGHT… Today will be similar to yesterday with a low-end tornado risk near the coast. The Storm Prediction Center continues to include parts of Mobile and Baldwin counties in the low-end tornado risk valid for today into tonight. The low-end risk extends into coastal Mississippi and into southern Louisiana and east Texas today. Any tornadoes that develop probably won’t last very long (maybe a few minutes at most) and probably will not be strong. As I often say when I’m in live coverage, however, if a tornado affects YOU, it’s a big deal no matter if it is “weak” or strong. No need to worry, just have a way to hear warnings!

ANOTHER TORNADO RISK ON THURSDAY… The remnants of Potential Tropical Cyclone 1 will be moving closest to our region on Thursday. This will be our most significant weather day of the week, most likely, in that widespread heavy rain and thunderstorms will be the norm. A few, brief tornadoes will be possible across all of south Alabama and northwest Florida and into central and north Alabama as well. It isn’t completely out of the realm of possibilities that a higher risk zone may be needed Thursday if tornado-supporting parameters continue to increase. For now, the Storm Prediction Center has opted to blanket the entirety of Alabama and northwest Florida in the low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk zone for Thursday.

COASTAL IMPACTS… Minor coastal flooding will be possible from Wednesday afternoon, through Thursday, and into Friday morning. The greatest risk of coastal flooding will likely happen near Mobile and the Causeway where coastal flooding of 1-2 feet may be possible. This type of flooding is capable of causing over wash on the Causeway. Very minor coastal flooding impacts could happen near Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, and Pensacola Beach. Widespread surge and major impacts are highly unlikely. Dangerous rip currents are expected at all local beaches through the weekend. Red flags will be flying at local beaches with double red flags (beaches closed) being possible.

POP-UP STORMS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY… Showers and thunderstorms will continue to be possible on Friday into Saturday and Sunday, however, widespread severe weather looks unlikely. These will be closer to the “run of the mill” pop-up storms of summer that our region is accustomed to during this time of year. MOST, not all, of the storms will happen in the afternoon and evening hours on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.

TORNADO WARNING POLICY… Any time there is an active tornado warning in effect for southwest Alabama or northwest Florida, we provide uninterrupted, live video coverage on Facebook Live and YouTube Live. Our detailed coverage commitment is outlined at redzoneweather.com/coverage. We are proud to cover all parts of Escambia (AL), Covington, Monroe, Conecuh, Baldwin, Mobile, Clarke, Washington (AL), Butler, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties. If you live in any locale in those counties, be sure to tune into our coverage whenever there is an active tornado warning!

APP ALERTS… redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the free RedZone Weather app. We post brief updates throughout each day in the app, keeping you up-to-date about the latest happenings in weather across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Once you have the free app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Wednesday morning RedZone Weather forecast video. My next forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. I will have updates posted throughout the day, as needed, in the RedZone Weather app.

Have a nice Wednesday!

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6:29AM June 17, 2026




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