TWO ROUNDS OF SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE IN DAYS AHEAD; FIRST ROUND WED. NIGHT… Multiple rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible over the next several days with the first round of strong storms being possible Wednesday evening into early Thursday morning. Another, distinct round of strong to severe storms will be possible Saturday night into early Sunday morning. Unfortunately, it looks like both potential rounds of severe storms will happen in the night hours. Timing changes will be possible over the next few days, particularly with the event setting up for Saturday night as that event is still 5 days out.
ROUND 1 (OF 2) SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY… 11PM Wednesday to 8AM Thursday is the nine hour window when strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible late Wednesday night into early Thursday morning. We encourage everyone to have multiple ways to hear warnings, including something that can wake you up.
MAIN CONCERN WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS WEST ALABAMA… Scattered thunderstorms out ahead of a squall line may develop late Wednesday night across parts of southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama. The Storm Prediction Center has included these zones in a Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk, meaning scattered severe thunderstorms will be possible. Places like Baton Rouge (LA), McComb (MS), Hattiesburg (MS), Jackson (MS), Meridian (MS), Demopolis, Livingston, York, Butler, Gilbertown, Chatom, Yarbo, Millry, Cullomburg, Thomasville, Coffeeville, Grove Hill, and Jackson (AL) are involved in the Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk zone valid on Wednesday into early Thursday.
LOWER-END RISK FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST… Thunderstorms will likely be in a gradual weakening trend Wednesday night while moving across our region as instability levels decline throughout the night. Surrounding the aforementioned Level 2 risk (above), we have a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk for the remainder of southwest Alabama and northwest Florida. This is the zone where widespread, significant severe storms are less likely to happen, but still possible. This low-end risk zone includes Mobile, Mt. Vernon, Dauphin Island, Bayou La Batre, Daphne, Fairhope, Spanish Fort, Foley, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Bay Minette, Monroeville, Beatrice, Uriah, Evergreen, Belleville, Lyeffion, Repton, Brooklyn, Brewton, Atmore, Poarch, Flomaton, Greenville, Georgiana, Camden, Andalusia, Opp, Florala, Pensacola, Walnut Hill, Century, Molino, Milton, Pace, Munson, Jay, Whiting Field, Chumuckla, Navarre, Gulf Breeze, Crestview, Baker, Laurel Hill, Destin, Fort Walton Beach, Eglin AFB, Niceville, Santa Rosa Beach, DeFuniak Springs, Freeport, and surrounding areas.
SCATTERED STORMS ON TUESDAY… Before we get to the severe weather risk on Wednesday night, scattered thunderstorms will be possible tomorrow (Tuesday). Widespread severe storms are NOT expected on Tuesday, but pockets of heavy rain and general thunderstorms will be possible. The greatest probability of rain and thunderstorms will happen near the coast in the morning hours followed by higher rain chances further inland in the evening hours of Tuesday.
ROUND 2 (OF 2) SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY NIGHT… After storms clear out on Thursday morning, drier conditions will likely prevail on Thursday afternoon and into Friday. Another, potentially more potent, round of thunderstorms will be possible across much of the Deep South on Saturday evening into early Sunday morning. We note that timing of this specific severe weather setup may change in the days ahead as we are still five days out from the event. Let’s get through the first severe weather setup on Wednesday night into Thursday and then we will focus on the Saturday night event. Please check back for updates over the next few days.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
I will have the next regularly scheduled RedZone Weather forecast video posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. Have a good Monday evening!
