4:30PM January 26, 2021

4:30PM RADAR CHECK… Showers and thunderstorms continue to develop and move northeast across the area as we get set to go into the 5PM rush hour. Right now, the heaviest rain is happening along the US45 corridor in northern Mobile County near Citronelle.

Heavy rain is also happening near Bay Minette, Flomaton, Century, and McDavid.

Light to moderate rain is also happening near Red Level, Brewton, Damascus, McIntosh, Foley, and Magnolia Springs.

These showers and storms will continue to move northeast in the hours ahead. The severe weather risk is now quite low.

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6:58AM January 26, 2021

LOW-END SEVERE WEATHER RISK TODAY; SCATTERED STORMS LIKELY… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible across south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Tuesday. The Storm Prediction Center continues to include parts of our region in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid for today into this evening. The main concern in the stronger storms today will be due to the potential of gusty winds. The tornado risk today remains low today, but not entirely zero. We will have radar updates posted throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. Last night, a strong tornado moved across northern parts of the Birmingham, AL metro area. Heavy damage happened in Fultondale, with multiple injuries and at least one fatality reported. More forecast details are below.

LOW-END, LEVEL 1 (OUT OF 5) SEVERE WEATHER RISK TODAY… The Storm Prediction Center maintains a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk zone for parts of Baldwin, Mobile, Conecuh, Monroe, Butler, Covington, Escambia (AL), Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Escambia (FL) counties. These are the zones that could have storms that briefly ramp up to strong or severe levels. The main concern today will be stronger storms that can ramp up and produce gusty winds. A tornado or two cannot completely be ruled out. Please have a way to get urgent weather warnings throughout the day and into this evening.

WHAT TO EXPECT – TODAY INTO TONIGHT… Scattered rain and storms will be possible throughout the day, particularly this afternoon into this evening. There will be stable air in place north of a cold front that essentially will stall out across our region today. This means that if your community ends up being north of the frontal boundary, there won’t be a severe weather risk in your specific location. Most areas along and SOUTH of the front, however, are included in the low-end severe weather risk today. High temperatures will be in the mid-70s again this afternoon.

TORNADO LAST NIGHT NORTH OF BIRMINGHAM… One confirmed tornado happened last night in Alabama. It was a significant tornado that will likely be rated EF2 or EF3 later today when the NWS survey team assesses the damage. The tornado touched down in and near Fultondale, Alabama, which is located only 5 miles north of the heart of Downtown Birmingham in Jefferson County. Multiple injuries happened and at the time of this writing, we know of at least one person that was killed. While that type of damage and devastation is not expected locally, it goes to show that it only takes one tornado to cause major damage. If you missed my post earlier this morning, see this photo.

COLD FRONT MOVES BY ON WEDNESDAY… Rain and storms will clear out to our east in the midday and afternoon hours of Wednesday. Cooler, drier air will filter in behind a cold front that will move to our east. Temperatures will be in the 40s by Wednesday evening, falling into the upper-30s by daybreak on Thursday.

CLEARING SKIES THURSDAY; SUNNY FRIDAY… Skies will continue to clear on Thursday. High temperatures will be in the mid-50s in a return to more winter-like weather. Overnight lows on Friday morning could easily be near or just below the freezing mark. Cooler temperatures won’t last long, however, as we quickly rebound to near 70 by Saturday.

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE SUNDAY… Clouds will increase on Saturday ahead of a chance of rain on Sunday. For now, it seems like thunderstorms will be hard to come by due to lack of instability ahead of an approaching front. This is something we will be monitoring over the next few days.

TORNADO WARNING POLICY… Any time there is an active tornado warning in effect for southwest Alabama or northwest Florida, we provide uninterrupted, live video coverage on Facebook Live and in the RedZone Weather app. Our detailed coverage commitment is outlined at redzoneweather.com/coverage. We are proud to cover all parts of Escambia (AL), Covington, Monroe, Conecuh, Baldwin, Mobile, Clarke, Washington, Butler, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties. If you live in any locale in those counties, be sure to tune into our coverage whenever there is an active tornado warning!

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:03AM January 26, 2021

RADAR CHECK AS OF 6AM… Heavier rain is moving into areas near Fort Walton Beach and Destin in Okaloosa County. These scattered showers and storms will bring intermittent rain in the next few hours to the northwest Florida coast. Scattered showers and storms farther inland continue to slowly move southward toward the coast. No severe weather as of 6AM.

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9:53PM January 25, 2021

SHOWERS NEAR I-65… Scattered showers continue to stream northeast in areas near the Interstate 65 corridor this evening. Rain is happening intermittently near Huxford, Atmore, Repton, Range, Perdido, and Bay Minette.

WHAT TO EXPECT – OVERNIGHT… Rain chances will increase overnight, particularly across parts of Monroe, Butler, Clarke, Wilcox, Washington, Choctaw, and Marengo counties as a broken line of showers and storms approaches from the north. Widespread severe weather is not expected, but some of the storms could be briefly on the strong side. I’ll have radar updates posted as needed in the RZW app.

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12:28PM January 25, 2021

LEVEL 1 (OUT OF 5) SEVERE WEATHER RISK ON TUESDAY… The Storm Prediction Center now includes parts of our area in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk zone valid for Tuesday. While most spots locally will simply have rain at times with a few rumbles of thunder, a few strong to marginally severe thunderstorms will also be possible. The main concerns in the stronger storms on Tuesday will be gusty winds, potentially that are capable of knocking down a few trees. The overall tornado risk remains very low, if not near zero in most spots. A few more midday Monday forecast notes are below.

LOW-END SEVERE WEATHER RISK TO THE NORTH TODAY INTO TONIGHT… Separate from the graphic attached, we note the Storm Prediction Center includes nearly all of central and north Alabama in their low-end severe weather risk (Level 1 out of 5) valid for today into tonight. This severe weather risk zone is in place due to the low-end chance of a few stronger storms producing damaging wind gusts and maybe a tornado or two. As of the Noon CST update, SPC now includes parts of Clarke, Washington, Choctaw, Marengo, and Wilcox counties in southwest Alabama in this zone valid today into tonight. I will be closely monitoring radar trends in the hours ahead. We will bring you the latest in the RedZone Weather app.

RAIN AT TIMES TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY; A STRONG STORM OR TWO POSSIBLE… Rain chances will gradually increase tonight into Tuesday across our local area. Keep in mind that vast majority of the local area will simply have rain and general thunderstorms with this passing weather system. Widespread, significant severe weather issues are not expected at this time. Anytime there is low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk in place, that means one or two briefly severe storms will be possible.

LEVEL 1 (OUT OF 5) RISK ZONE ON TUESDAY… The low-end severe weather risk zone includes parts of Baldwin, Escambia (AL), Conecuh, Covington, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, Okaloosa counties locally on Tuesday. This includes places like Pensacola, Milton, Pace, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Fort Walton Beach, Andalusia, Opp, Florala, Brooklyn, Brewton, Flomaton, Atmore, Orange Beach, Foley, Elberta, Magnolia Springs, Gateswood, Molino, Century, Berrydale, and Jay. Parts of southeast Alabama and the Florida Panhandle region are also involved in the low-end risk zone, including areas near Dothan, Enterprise, Elba, Daleville, Abbeville, Geneva, Eufaula, Panama City, Port St. Joe, Marianna, DeFuniak Springs, Bonifay, Seaside, Santa Rosa Beach, and surrounding areas.

TEMPS WAY TOO WARM FOR LATE JANUARY… Our area remains involved in a muggy, warm air mass out ahead of an approaching cold front. We are in the “warm sector” where temperatures will climb into the mid-70s not only this afternoon but also on Tuesday afternoon. Temperatures will become much more seasonal (with high temps in the 50s) by Thursday.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have ongoing updates as needed today, tonight, and on Tuesday in the RedZone Weather app. Have a nice Monday evening!

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6:50AM January 25, 2021

SCATTERED SHOWERS LATER TODAY; STORMS POSSIBLE AT TIMES TUESDAY… Rain and storms will be possible later today as we enter a wet, warm, unsettled pattern that will last until Wednesday. Widespread severe weather remains unlikely for our local area, but there could be some rumbles of thunder around later today, especially across parts of west Alabama. High temperatures on this Monday will be far above our climatological norms for this time of year. Most spots will peak in the mid-70s! Rain will continue to be possible at times until Wednesday when a cold front arrives and ushers in much cooler, drier air. Thursday and Friday are slated to be cooler, drier, and much more seasonal. Let’s look at all of your Monday morning forecast details.

INCREASING RAIN CHANCES TODAY… Rain chances will increase from west to east today. Do not be surprised to hear some thunder at times this evening as storms will be possible. I expect most of the thunderstorms locally to happen across parts of west Alabama. This means if you’re in Clarke, Monroe, Washington, Marengo, Wilcox, or Choctaw counties, you have a slightly greater chance of experiencing some thunder mixed in with the rain later today. High temperatures will be in the mid-70s across the entire region.

LITTLE TO NO RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY… The Storm Prediction Center includes parts of northwest Mississippi, northern Louisiana, Arkansas, and western Tennessee in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk valid for today. Our local area in south Alabama and northwest Florida remains involved in the “general thunderstorms” zone today, meaning there is no formal risk of severe storms. Thunder at times, maybe. Severe storms, no.

RAIN & STORMS LIKELY ON TUESDAY… Rain chances will peak tomorrow as scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the region. Our area will remain involved in a warm (for late January), humid air mass capable of supporting quite a bit of rain and maybe a few thunderstorms. Highs on Tuesday will again be in the mid-70s.

SHOWERS & STORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING… Wednesday will serve as somewhat of a transition day with showers and thunderstorms moving out in the late morning hours. High temperatures will again be in the mid-70s, however temperatures will begin to decline fairly rapidly Wednesday night. By Thursday morning, most spots will be in the 40s as cool, drier air filters in behind the advancing cold front.

BETTER WEATHER FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY… Sunny skies will return Thursday afternoon and on Friday. Highs will drop into the 50s on Thursday but we will have a quick turn around with temps near 60 by Friday.

MORE RAIN POSSIBLE IN UPCOMING WEEKEND… Another passing weather system is slated to bring showers and maybe a few thunderstorms to our region late Saturday into Sunday. It is too early to know if strong storms will be a possibility. Temperatures will make a quick recovery into the upper-60s by Sunday,

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Monday #rzw forecast video. Hope you have a great day!

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6:55AM January 22, 2021

RAIN LIKELY AT TIMES THROUGH MIDDAY; RAIN & STORMS RETURN MONDAY… Scattered showers will continue to stream in from the west on this Friday. Rain has been concentrated across inland areas this morning. No severe weather issues are expected today, but I cannot completely rule out a rumble of thunder of two near the coast. Rain chances will decline throughout the day and by the time we get to 9PM tonight, most spots should be dry. The weekend will be drier overall with low rain chances on Saturday and on Sunday. Our next weather system is slated to move by on Monday. Scattered thunderstorms are expected with a low-end chance of a few strong to marginally severe storms locally and perhaps across central and north Alabama. Let’s look at all of your Friday forecast details.

LOW RAIN CHANCES SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY… While I cannot completely rule out a few showers on Saturday, I suspect that vast majority of our local area will remain dry. Sunday could feature a few more showers in the afternoon and evening hours as our next weather system begins to approach from the west. Highs on Saturday and Sunday will be in the mid-60s. Overnight lows will be in the 40s.

POSSIBILITY OF A FEW STRONG STORMS MONDAY… Showers and thunderstorms will be possible across much of the Deep South, including Alabama, Mississippi, and northwest Florida. There is a chance a severe weather risk zone may be needed across the region, potentially including our local area, on Monday. It remains to be seen whether a tornado risk will set up, but at bare minimum, it looks like there could be gusty winds in the stronger storms. This is something we will be monitoring in model trends over the next few days. Please check in for updates in the RedZone Weather app. Rain will move out Monday evening to the east.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY… Tuesday is expected to be dry ahead of another round of showers becoming possible on Wednesday of the upcoming week. Highs will remain near 70, which is above our climatological norms for this time of year.

MILD TEMPERATURES AHEAD… Speaking of above normal temperatures, there is no time in the next 7 days when temperatures will dive into the 30s. There is a good chance tonight into Saturday morning will be the coldest morning out of the next 7 mornings with overnight lows in the mid-40s. High temperatures on Monday will surge into the mid-70s.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Friday #rzw forecast video. Have a wonderful weekend!

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8:32PM January 21, 2021

RAIN LIKELY ON FRIDAY; RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES… Here comes the rain! We are already seeing a few showers that continue to move in from the west. Rain coverage will increase overnight. There is a 90% chance of rain tomorrow (Friday), mainly in the morning hours. Rain could be heavy at times and there is a small risk of a few instances of flash flooding, mainly across west Alabama. There is NOT, however, a tornado or severe thunderstorm risk with this passing weather system. Monday may be a different story, but this will almost certainly just be heavy rain at times through Friday midday. A few more Thursday evening forecast notes are below.

GREATEST CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA… The Weather Prediction Center has highlighted parts of southwest Alabama and southeast Mississippi in their low-end risk zone for flash flooding, valid on Friday morning. Rain totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected in parts of Monroe, Clarke, Washington, Choctaw, Marengo, and Wilcox counties. I do not expect flash flooding to become a widespread, major issue, but there could be some localized areas that have brief flooding issues.

LOWER RAIN AMOUNTS NEAR THE COAST… While most inland communities will pick up at least one inch of rainfall in total, there is a real chance communities at the immediate beach zones in Alabama and northwest Florida won’t have AS much rainfall, comparatively. Most communities closer to the coast will pick up between a quarter of an inch and 1 inch of rainfall in total.

STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE MONDAY… Our next chance of strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will happen on Monday as a dynamic weather system passes to our north. There still is quite a bit of uncertainty about specifics. There is no way to know just yet if tornadoes will be a concern or if this will be more of a damaging wind risk. I will be closely monitoring model guidance this weekend and will bring you the latest in the RedZone Weather app.

APP ALERTS… redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the free RedZone Weather app. We post brief updates throughout each day in the app, keeping you up-to-date about the latest happenings in weather across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Once you have the free app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

My next full forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. Have a great Thursday evening!

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6:50PM January 21, 2021

RAIN & A FEW STORMS LIKELY THIS EVENING, OVERNIGHT, AND INTO FRIDAY… Scattered showers will increase in coverage on this Thursday ahead of heavy rain being possible at times tomorrow morning. Rain chances will gradually increase today from west to east. It looks like the bulk of the rain will happen overnight from 10PM to 5AM with rain gradually tapering off during the daytime hours of Friday. The overall risk of severe weather remains very low, if not zero in most spots locally. High temperatures today will be in the mid- to upper-60s. There could be a few claps of thunder over the next 24 hours, especially near the coast. Showers could happen at times this weekend, but the overall chance of rain will be lower compared to Friday. Our next higher chance of rain and storms happens on Monday. Some scenarios point to the potential for a few stronger storms. Let’s look at all of your Thursday morning forecast details.

RAIN LIKELY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY… The coverage of scattered showers will progressively increase tonight into early Friday. Rain amounts of 1-2 inches in total will be possible across our region, but particularly across inland areas of south Alabama. Rain totals closer to the coast through Friday will be much less. There is a real chance some coastal communities may not have much rain at all. High temperatures on Friday will be in the upper-60s across the region.

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND… Rain chances will be lower, but not entirely zero, this weekend. A few showers may be possible at times as our area remains in a moist airmass. Temperatures will remain mild this weekend (by late January standards) with highs in the 60s and lows near 50.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY… There continues to be uncertainty regarding the setup for Monday, but there are some scenarios that point to the potential for thunderstorms being possible across the local area. There is a conditional risk of a few strong storms IF enough instability can develop across the area. At this point, however, that remains a big IF. Severe weather events are certainly not unheard of in the month of January around here but there is no doubt that tornadoes are MORE likely to happen in our classic severe weather season months in March and April.

SET UP APP ALERTS… We send quite a bit of Low-Level Alerts in our RedZone Weather app. The app is totally free for you! redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you see the download links to your respective app store for iOS and for Android devices. Once you have the app downloaded to your smartphone or tablet device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:57AM January 20, 2021

INCREASING CLOUDINESS TODAY; SHOWERS RETURN THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY… Clouds will increase in coverage across the region on this Wednesday ahead of rain becoming possible at times tomorrow. High temperatures today will be in the mid- to upper-60s. Friday could feature numerous showers as an area of low pressure moves by just to our north. We also will be watching a system slated to move by on Monday that could feature a few thunderstorms. A few more Wednesday morning forecast notes are below.

SHOWERS POSSIBLE AT TIMES ON THURSDAY… Rain chances will be greater across inland communities of southwest Alabama on Thursday. Scattered showers will build in across the area late in the day and into the evening hours. High temperatures on Thursday will be in the upper-60s. Thunderstorms are expected to be few and far between, with most spots just having general rain at times.

RAIN AT TIMES ON FRIDAY… Scattered showers will peak in coverage on Friday, most likely in the morning hours. Similar to Thursday, the farther north you are in our local area, the greater your specific rain chance will be. High temps on Friday will again be in the mid-60s.

UNSETTLED, MILD WEEKEND… Rain chances remain LOW (but not zero!) for Saturday and Sunday. Our area will remain under the influence of an unsettled pattern that could squeeze out a few showers, especially late in the day on Sunday. Highs will be in the 60s this weekend with morning lows near 45 on Saturday morning and near 50 on Sunday morning.

RAIN & STORMS LIKELY ON MONDAY… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will once again increase in coverage on Monday as another area of low pressure and trailing cold front move across our region. There have been some model indications that a few stronger storms could be possible, at least under some scenarios. This is because of the potential for an area of slightly higher instability values that may develop on Sunday, primarily in the afternoon and evening hours. I will be closely monitoring model trends over the next few days concerning this potential. We’ll keep you posted about it in the RedZone Weather app.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:53AM January 19, 2021

MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY & WEDNESDAY; RAIN RETURNS LATER THIS WEEK… Beautiful weather is expected on this Tuesday across south Alabama and northwest Florida. High temperatures will peak in the upper-60s this afternoon. Cloud coverage will increase on Wednesday ahead of a few showers becoming possible on Thursday. Rain will also be possible Friday and into the weekend as our area enters into an extended wet pattern. The good news is, for now, we don’t see any signs of severe weather or winter weather issues anytime soon. A few more forecast details are below.

MILDER TEMPERATURES AHEAD… Last night and this morning were the last time we will see temperatures in the 30s for potentially quite some time. I see no model data that supports near freezing temperatures over the next 7-10 days. Highs today will rise into the mid- to upper-60s. There is a chance some spots tomorrow may hit the 70 degree mark. Cloud cover around our region on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday will keep temperatures fairly stable with highs near 70 and lows in the 50s.

RAIN CHANCES RISE ON THURSDAY… Rain will increase in coverage across the area on Thursday, primarily in the afternoon and evening hours. Scattered showers will likely increase in number on Friday as a strengthening surface low pressure area (well to our north) and trailing cold front move eastward. Highs on Thursday will again be in the upper-60s and near 70.

SHOWERS LIKELY AT TIMES FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND… An unsettled pattern continues on Friday and into the weekend with rain being possible Friday and again late on Saturday into Sunday. We will need to keep the rain gear handy this weekend. No “all day washout” conditions are expected, but there could be scattered showers around at times.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video. Have a wonderful day!

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6:57AM January 18, 2021

SUNNY THROUGH WEDNESDAY; RAIN RETURNS LATER THIS WEEK… Today and Tuesday will be sunny and cool ahead of warmer, wetter days later this week. High temperatures on this Monday will peak near the 60 degree mark in most spots. Tonight will be our final night with low temperatures near the freezing mark for awhile. Our next rain chance sets up later this week, most likely in the evening hours of Thursday. Overall, this week will feature quiet weather across Alabama and northwest Florida with no severe weather, no winter weather issues, and no extreme temperatures expected. That is what we like to see in the forecast! A few more details are below.

ONE MORE COLD NIGHT WITH LOWS NEAR FREEZING… Temperatures by 6AM Tuesday will be near or perhaps just below the freezing mark in many communities locally, especially inland in areas along and north of U.S. Highway 84. This means places like Andalusia, Opp, Red Level, Greenville, Beatrice, Monroeville, Luverne, and Thomasville may briefly have temperatures in the 30-32 degree range by daybreak on Tuesday. This will be the last night for at least 5-6 nights with lows near or just below freezing, however.

NICE TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY… Sunshine will continue to be in the forecast on both Tuesday and Wednesday. Temperatures will moderate into the upper-60s tomorrow and then to near 70 by Wednesday. Tuesday is likely to be completely sunny with only a few passing clouds being possible on Wednesday.

SHOWERS RETURN THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY… Showers will become possible on Thursday, most likely in the evening hours after sunset. Scattered showers will be “hit or miss” in nature and not every locale will have rain Thursday into Friday. The rain later this week into the upcoming weekend will be associated with multiple passing shortwave troughs that will swing from west to east across our region. Right now, there are no signs of imminent severe weather with these systems. Good news!

RAIN POSSIBLE AT TIMES THIS WEEKEND… Showers will continue to be possible at times this weekend and into early next week. Neither Saturday nor Sunday will be an “all day washout” but there could be showers around at times. We’ll keep you posted in the RedZone Weather app.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Monday #rzw forecast video. Have a great start to your week!

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6:55AM January 15, 2021

SUNNY, COOL WEEKEND; BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON… Mostly sunny and cooler conditions are likely on this Friday. Some spots overnight, especially closer to the coast, had a few showers around 1AM and 2AM this morning. The rain has now moved to our east. High temperatures will be in the mid- to upper-50s today. There could be wind gusts as high as 20-25 mph at times this afternoon due to a strong west wind behind the cold front that moved by earlier this morning. The wind will subside as we get into the evening hours. Overnight lows in the mid-30s by daybreak Saturday foreshadow an even colder morning on Sunday when lows will likely be in the upper-20s. Plenty of sunshine is expected on both Saturday and on Sunday. Let’s look at all of your Friday forecast details.

AN UPDATE ON CANDY… I was blown away at the outpouring of prayers and kind words for my Aunt Candy, who had a kidney transplant last night. I am thankful to be able to report that Candy had a successful transplant surgery and now has a functioning donor kidney. My family and I certainly appreciate each and every prayer and every kind comment. Thank you all so much! Original post here.

MAINLY SUNNY ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY… Other than a few passing clouds on Sunday evening, the weekend looks fantastic. Sunshine is expected on Saturday and on Sunday with high temperatures likely to be in the 50s each day. Overnight lows will be below freezing in many spots on Sunday morning, with communities farther inland near the U.S. Highway 84 corridor likely to be in the upper-20s.

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT… Rain chances are very low (0-10%) on Sunday night, but not completely zero. There could be a few passing showers, similar to what happened last night when only a few locales near the coast had rain. Skies should rapidly clear out for Monday.

MOSTLY SUNNY MONDAY AND TUESDAY… Mostly sunny conditions are expected for the Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. Holiday on Monday. High temperatures will be in the upper-50s. Tuesday will be quite similar with highs slated to be a bit warmer. Most spots will rise into the low-60s with a full supply of sunshine.

SHOWERS RETURN WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY… Rain chances will rise on Wednesday into Thursday as a cold front approaches our region from the northwest. It is too early to know if thunderstorms will be involved, but it does appear temperatures could be poised to be near 70 by Thursday. This is a trend we will closely monitor over the next few days.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

See all the details in your Friday #rzw forecast video. Have a great weekend!

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6:51PM January 14, 2021

SUNNY TODAY; FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY… Today will be a near perfect winter weather day across our region will full sunshine expected. High temperatures will be in the low-60s this afternoon. Our next chance of rain happens tonight into Friday, but as of now, the overall chance of rain for any given locale across the region remains quite low (10-20%). If rain happens tonight into early Friday, it is most likely to occur closer to the immediate coast. Skies should clear out on Friday afternoon, giving way to sunny skies with highs in the 50s. Below are a few more Thursday forecast details.

SUNNY, COOL WEEKEND… A nice weekend is on tap for south Alabama and northwest Florida. High temps will be in the low- to mid-50s. Full sunshine is expected on Saturday ahead of a few clouds becoming possible on Sunday.

RAIN POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY… I am not optimistic that we will see much in the way of rainfall on Sunday night into Monday, but there could be a few showers under some scenarios. We note these would likely be exclusively rain showers with no wintry precipitation expected.

MORE RAIN POSSIBLE MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK… Even if we have no rain on Sunday night into Monday, it looks like another cold front will approach our area in the middle part of the upcoming week. This means that there could be a day or two with temperatures that reach into the 60s in the afternoons with a chance of rain late Tuesday into Wednesday. We’ll be watching trends concerning this over the next few days.

COLD WINTER SO FAR; WHY? PARTIAL BLAME ON TELECONNECTIONS… Sometimes, local weather events are influenced by events that happen far away in other parts of the world. We call these events “teleconnections” in meteorology. Two teleconnections that I monitor frequently in winter are the Arctic Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation. These two indicators can have big impacts on the weather patterns in the eastern half of the United States. When both of these indicators trend toward their negative values, that is a fairly good indicator (generally) that much colder air can spill down into the eastern U.S. from higher latitudes. The NAO has trended slightly negative since December 1. The AO, on the other hand, has trended QUITE negative since December 1. This has allowed some of the polar, Arctic air to move south into lower latitudes. It is also one of the reasons we are having a much colder winter compared to the last few years.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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9:18PM January 13, 2021

PATCHY DENSE FOG LIKELY THURSDAY MORNING; FREEZING FOG POSSIBLE… The National Weather Service says a few areas of freezing fog may be possible early Thursday morning. The greatest chance of patchy dense fog will south of a line from Chatom to Atmore to Andalusia. Some areas could briefly dip below freezing while foggy conditions are in place, resulting in freezing fog that could produce slick spots on area roadways. The main concern will be on exposed surfaces on bridges and overpasses. Please take it easy if you’re driving on Thursday morning, especially when traveling on local bridges.

This won’t be a widespread, major issue and most spots will just have some patchy areas of dense fog. Most of the area will be at or just ABOVE the freezing mark in the morning, but for those areas that dip just below freezing there could be a few slick spots. NWS Mobile has issued a Special Weather Statement for all parts of Washington, Escambia (AL), Covington, Baldwin, Mobile, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties to advise motorists of the potential for patchy dense fog that could lead to freezing fog and slick bridges and overpasses.

Sunshine will quickly warm the roadways by 9AM. Full sunshine is expected on Thursday with highs likely to be in the low-60s in many spots.

My next full forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. Have a good evening!

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6:54AM January 13, 2021

CLOUDS MOVE OUT THIS AFTERNOON; TEMPS BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT… After the dreariness of the last few days, we finally get some sunshine this afternoon into this evening. High temperatures will rise into the low-50s today. There could be a shower or two around this morning before clouds clear out to the east, but I expect most of us to remain dry and fairly chilly today, despite sunshine returning in the P.M. hours. Thursday is slated to be sunny ahead of a few showers on Friday as an area of low pressure passes to our south in the central Gulf. Saturday and Sunday look dry and cool with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s. Your Wednesday morning forecast details are below.

SUNNY ON THURSDAY… Sunshine will return in full force across the region on Thursday. We start the day with temperatures at or just below the freezing mark at 6AM. High temperatures are expected to rise into the low-60s.

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING… Rain chances remain low (10-20% chance), but not completely zero. We could have a few passing areas of rain, mainly near the coast, on Friday morning as an area of low pressure passes to our south across the north-central Gulf of Mexico. High temperatures on Friday will be in the upper-50s.

DRY SATURDAY; RAIN RETURNS SUNDAY NIGHT… The weekend looks seasonal with high temperatures slated to be in the 50s. Morning lows on Sunday morning will again be near or just below the freezing mark. There could be a few showers as early as Sunday evening, but I expect Saturday and the daytime hours of Sunday to be dry.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

See all the details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video. Have a nice Wednesday!

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6:53AM January 12, 2021

A.M. CLOUDS; P.M. SUN TODAY; QUIET, COOL WEATHER AHEAD… Clouds will progressively move out of our local area on this Tuesday. Most spots will have a mix of sun and clouds this afternoon into this evening. High temperatures on this Tuesday will be in the mid-50s. We are entering a fairly quiet weather pattern over the next 7-10 days with only a small chance of rain noted early next week. We’re also watching a developing system that has a very low chance of bringing some rain to our area on Friday, but that is very much in doubt at the moment. For now, we will advertise cool days and cold nights ahead. Tonight and Wednesday night could feature lows very near the freezing mark. Let’s look at all of your Tuesday forecast details, below.

LOWS NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING NEXT TWO NIGHTS… Temperatures will be very near if not just below the freezing mark tonight into Wednesday morning and again on Thursday morning. Most spots won’t be below freezing very long (1-3 hours in total tonight and 2-4 hours on Wednesday) but we encourage everyone to bring in the outside pets and the sensitive plants.

SUNSHINE THROUGH THURSDAY… After clouds move out this afternoon into this evening, Wednesday and Thursday will be mostly sunny. There could be a few passing clouds Wednesday afternoon and then again as we get into Friday.

COLD FRONT MOVES BY FRIDAY… Passing clouds on Friday will point to another cold front moving from northwest to southeast across our region. Highs on Friday will be in the low-60s ahead of highs only in the mid-50s on Saturday.

COLD, NICE WEEKEND AHEAD… Both Saturday and Sunday look to be dry, for now. Sunshine is expected on Saturday with cold temperatures likely throughout the day. Sunday will also be fairly chilly with highs only in the mid- to upper-50s. Overnight lows will again be around the freezing mark this weekend. Our next rain chance happens late Sunday night into Monday when scattered areas of rain will become possible.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video. Have a good day!

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6:56AM January 11, 2021

RAIN AT TIMES TODAY; MIXED PRECIP POSSIBLE IN WEST AL… Rain will be possible at times on this Monday across the region. There could be a few areas of mixed precipitation in parts of Clarke, Washington, Monroe, Wilcox, Marengo, and Choctaw counties in west Alabama through the late morning hours. At this point, it continues to seem like accumulation of wintry precipitation or snow is unlikely. Rain will continue into the afternoon and evening hours before clearing out entirely after sunset. Today is definitely the “active weather” day of the week with sunshine expected to return by tomorrow afternoon. Cool days, cold nights and mostly clear skies are expected later this week. More Monday morning forecast notes are below.

TIMING FOR POTENTIAL FLURRIES, MIX, SLEET IN WEST ALABAMA… Mixed precipitation locally in parts of Monroe, Clarke, and Washington counties (and Choctaw, Marengo, and Wilcox counties just to our north) is most likely to happen from now to 10AM. Temperatures will likely be too warm (40s) for mixed precipitation by the time we get to the late morning hours and early afternoon hours. A cold rain is set to continue at times into this afternoon and the evening hours but wintry mix/sleet should be gone by midday. No significant accumulation of wintry precipitation is expected today.

A CALL FOR PHOTOS… While most areas will just have rain around locally, if you happen to see some wintry mixed precipitation, snow/flurries, or ice today, we would greatly appreciate you sending in a photo! It is always SO helpful to have “ground truth” reports from across the region. Rural western parts of Alabama are mostly devoid of advanced weather stations, thus it is imperative that we have reports and photos from the region to know what is going on. Thanks in advance! We really appreciate everyone being so helpful in the ground truth reporting process over the last few months!

RAIN CLEARS OUT TONIGHT; CLOUDS CLEAR OUT TUESDAY MIDDAY… Rain will continue to be possible at times today. It looks like most (if not all) of the rain will be to our east by the time we get to 8PM this evening. Clouds will linger into Tuesday morning but we should begin to have peeks of sunshine by tomorrow afternoon.

MOSTLY SUNNY WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY… Skies will be partly cloudy on Wednesday and mostly sunny on Thursday. High temperatures will rise into the low-60s by Thursday.

COOLER TEMPS THIS WEEKEND… Cooler? Yes, as in, cooler than the temperatures this week. Temps will yet again fall into the 50s for afternoon highs by Saturday with morning lows likely to be in the 30s again this weekend.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Monday #rzw forecast video. I will have updates posted throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. Have a great day!

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5:26PM January 10, 2021

SLEET & WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE MONDAY; ACCUMULATION & IMPACTS UNLIKELY… Rain remains the story for much of south Alabama and northwest Florida on Monday. There could be a few areas of sleet, ice pellets, and flurries embedded in the rain (mixed precipitation) mainly in areas along and west of the Alabama River in west Alabama on Monday. If our area has sleet or mixed precipitation, it will likely happen from midnight to 10AM on Monday. Please keep in mind that no accumulation of mixed precipitation or snow is expected anywhere close by. The closest realistic potential for accumulating snow will happen across parts of Louisiana, central Mississippi, and northwest Alabama north of Tuscaloosa. For those of us in south Alabama and northwest Florida, this will be an exclusively cold rain event for most. The next 24-36 hours are going to be cold with temperatures stuck in the 40s. More Sunday evening forecast notes are below.

WHAT TO EXPECT – TONIGHT… Most spots will be dry through midnight, although I can’t completely rule out a few areas of TINY, light snow flurries falling across west Alabama at times. These flurries will not be impactful at all, but you may notice them on the windshield if you’re driving in areas along and west of the Tombigbee River. After midnight, areas of rain and mixed precipitation will become possible across northern parts of Clarke, Washington, and Monroe counties. Keep in mind, it is NOT a definite thing we will have ANY mixed precipitation in the rain, but it is a possibility.

TIMING FOR POTENTIAL FLURRIES, MIX, SLEET IN WEST ALABAMA… Mixed precipitation locally in parts of Monroe, Clarke, and Washington counties (and Choctaw, Marengo, and Wilcox counties just to our north) is most likely to happen from midnight to 10AM on Monday. Temperatures will likely be too warm (40s) for mixed precipitation by the time we get to the late morning hours on Monday. A cold rain is set to continue at times into Monday afternoon and the evening hours but wintry mix/sleet should be gone by the late morning hours.

A CALL FOR PHOTOS… While most areas will just have rain around locally, if you happen to see some wintry mixed precipitation, snow/flurries, or ice tomorrow, we would greatly appreciate you sending in a photo! It is always SO helpful to have “ground truth” reports from across the region. Rural western parts of Alabama are mostly devoid of advanced weather stations, thus it is imperative that we have reports and photos from the region to know what is going on. Thanks in advance! We really appreciate everyone being so helpful in the ground truth reporting process over the last few months!

COLD RAIN LIKELY AT TIMES THROUGH MONDAY EVENING… We have talked quite a bit about the possibility for mixed precipitation in west Alabama, but please understand that the vast majority of us across the region will simply have a cold, miserable rain on Monday. Rain showers will be possible through the afternoon and evening hours. All of the rain and precipitation should be gone to our east Monday night. Due to the ongoing cloud cover, temperatures will remain in the upper-30s and near 40 through Monday night and into Tuesday morning.

COOL, DRIER WEATHER TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY… Cold temperatures will persist into the upcoming week long after rain exits. Highs on Tuesday and Wednesday will be in the 50s with morning lows in the 30s. There seems to be a model trend toward drier weather after Tuesday for several days perhaps.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have your next full forecast video posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. Until then, more updates will be posted in the RedZone Weather app. Have a good evening and stay warm!

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7:14AM January 9, 2021

CHILLY WEEKEND; RAIN RETURNS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY… Cold temperatures will be in place across south Alabama and northwest Florida this weekend with high temperatures only in the upper-40s this afternoon. Sunday morning will be dry ahead of the potential for showers becoming possible Sunday night. Rain will increase in coverage on Monday morning. At this point, there continues to be a small chance of any snow or mixed precipitation locally. Yes, there may be a few flurries flying mixed in with the rain as precipitation exits our area on Monday afternoon and evening. No, we are not expecting a big snow or significant winter weather impacts. Below are a few more Saturday forecast notes.

ANOTHER COLD NIGHT AHEAD; LOWS BELOW FREEZING… Tonight has a real chance of being the coldest night out of any of the next seven nights. Overnight lows will be in the upper-20s for many spots north of Interstate 10. 5-7 hours of below freezing temperatures will be possible, especially for inland communities of south Alabama.

SUNSHINE SUNDAY MORNING; CLOUDS INCREASE IN P.M. HOURS… Mostly sunny skies tomorrow (Sunday) morning are likely ahead of increasing cloudiness in the afternoon and evening hours. High temperatures tomorrow will only be in the low-50s. I expect vast majority (if not all) of the region to be dry Sunday morning into Sunday afternoon ahead of the potential for showers on Sunday evening.

SHOWERS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY… Areas of sprinkles and showers will be possible on Sunday evening, mainly in the hours after sunset. It looks like the bulk of these scattered showers will happen after midnight Sunday night into Monday morning. All of the precipitation that does happen on Sunday evening will be in the form of rain. There is a chance there could be a few flurries or sleet mixed in with the rain early Monday morning around 6AM in parts of west Alabama, but I expect no significant or notable accumulation at this time.

RAIN ON MONDAY; BRIEF CHANGEOVER TO FLURRIES OR SLEET POSSIBLE… Model trends continue to support the potential for a brief changeover to flurries or mixed precipitation for parts of west Alabama, particularly in parts of Monroe, Clarke, Washington, Choctaw, Marengo, and Wilcox counties locally. There is a high chance that many of us across south Alabama and northwest Florida will simply have rain on Monday at times with no snow or mixed precipitation. See more about the ongoing thoughts on the brief changeover potential from the post last night here: https://www.facebook.com/rzweather/posts/1790002807824717

SUNNY & COOL MIDWEEK AHEAD… Sunshine returns on Tuesday after the rain on Monday. Highs will be in the 50s next week with lows in the 30s. That is very near our climatological norms for this time of year.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

I am so thankful to have a quiet weather weekend and I know many of you are as well. Let me know if you have any weather-related questions. Have a great Saturday!

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6:32PM January 8, 2021

WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE MONDAY ACROSS SOME INLAND AREAS; RAIN FOR MOST LOCALES… Rain will be likely at times on Monday. New trends from the major weather models support the potential for a few flurries or sleet mixing in with the rain on Monday morning across some areas of southwest Alabama, mainly inland in areas along and north of U.S. Highway 84. Right now, it appears the main chance for sleet and/or mixed precipitation will happen in parts of Clarke, Washington, Choctaw, Wilcox, and maybe even northern Monroe counties. Accumulation appears highly unlikely since temperatures will be rising on Monday morning fairly quickly. We note a big chunk of our area, including all communities near the coast will just have a cold rain on Monday.

SNOW POSSIBLE WELL TO OUR NORTHWEST… Snow seems much more likely to happen in parts of central Mississippi and the northwestern corner of Alabama. If you’re looking for snow that could have at least some chance of accumulating, those are the zones to look toward. Accumulating snow and sleet does not seem as likely anywhere in Alabama along and south of U.S. 80 in the central part of the state.

GREATEST CHANCE OF WINTRY MIX ACROSS CLARKE, WASHINGTON, MONROE COUNTIES… Locally, if we see any mixed precipitation, sleet, or flurries, that chance is maxed out across parts of Clarke, Washington, and Monroe counties. This means communities like Thomasville, Coffeeville, Jackson, Grove Hill, Millry, Chatom, and perhaps even Beatrice and Monroeville could see some sleet or flurries mixed in with the rain.

COLD SATURDAY; SUNNY BY THE AFTERNOON… Before we get to the rain on Monday, increasingly sunny skies are expected on both Saturday and Sunday. I expect clouds to be mostly gone to our east by Saturday afternoon. High temperatures won’t recover that much on Saturday and most spots will end up only in the upper-40s. Overnight lows tonight and on Saturday night will be below freezing, especially in communities farther inland.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have your next full forecast discussion detailing the very latest information posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. Have a nice Friday evening!

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6:53AM January 8, 2021

COLD & DRY WEEKEND UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT; RAIN RETURNS MONDAY… Clouds will linger on this Friday and temperatures will remain quite chilly. Cold temperatures are set to continue through this weekend into early next week. Overnight lows tonight and on Saturday night into Sunday morning will be at or below the freezing mark in many locales across the region. Our next chance of rain happens on Sunday night into Monday. We continue to observe ongoing model data that points to rain with no significant winter weather impacts being likely locally. Best case scenario (for the folks who want snow) looks to be a few flurries that mix in with the exiting rain on Monday evening. Let’s look at all of your Friday forecast details.

TEMPS NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING NEXT TWO NIGHTS… Temperatures will dip to around the freezing mark by 6AM on Saturday with most spots reaching 32°. Clearly, the colder night will be Saturday night into Sunday morning. Overnight lows will likely be in the mid- to upper-20s. There could be several (5-7) hours of below freezing temperatures on Sunday morning. Please don’t forget to bring in outdoor pets, sensitive plants, and cover exposed pipes that may be prone to bursting in subfreezing temperatures.

CLOUDS HANG TOUGH TODAY; QUITE CHILLY… Cloudy skies will likely persist, in classic winter fashion, after yesterday’s passage of an area of low pressure and cold front. There may be a few peeks of sunshine this afternoon into this evening, but I expect mostly cloudy to overcast skies for much of the day. Highs will only be in the upper-40s inland and near 50 degrees closer to the immediate coast.

SUNSHINE RETURNS ON SATURDAY; COLD TEMPS… Clouds will likely clear out tonight and into Saturday morning, meaning the daytime hours of Saturday should be mostly sunny across the region. It will be chilly, even by January standards, on Saturday with highs in the 40s across much of the region. Keep those jackets handy this weekend!

RAIN RETURNS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY… All scenarios point to RAIN as our next weather system moves across our region late Sunday into Monday. There are some scenarios that could be much drier than others but in virtually all of the model data I am seeing, if we have precipitation on Monday, it will happen in the form of a cold rain. Snow does not look particularly likely, at all, for south Alabama or northwest Florida. The best case scenario for folks who may want some snow is if an area of low pressure tracks right across our area and we see some flurries on the backside of the precipitation Monday evening. This scenario would allow flurries to mix in with the rain as precip is exiting our area to the east. Even in this scenario, it looks like winter weather impacts would not happen.

MOSTLY SUNNY MIDWEEK… Skies will clear on Monday night into early Tuesday morning, meaning Tuesday should feature mostly sunny skies with high temperatures again in the 50s. Cool days and cold nights are ahead for next week. No real sign of any big warm ups and no signs of severe weather issues.

APP… Many updates will be posted throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Be sure to visit the Alerts tab (bottom right corner) and tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize the alerts you’d like to receive from me. If you like a lot of info, be sure to toggle ON Low-Level Alerts.

See all the details in your Friday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:52AM January 7, 2021

RAIN & STORMS THIS MORNING; COLD WEEKEND AHEAD; UPDATE ON SNOW CHANCES FOR MONDAY… Scattered showers will continue to move east across south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Thursday. There could be a few strong to marginally severe storms near the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches, but vast majority of us will just have rain at times today. The concern in any of the stronger storms will be gusty winds and perhaps a brief tornado. Keep in mind, vast majority of us will be just fine with no tornado issues today. After rain ends today, we’ve got a cold weekend on tap ahead of our next weather system that will move by late Sunday into Monday. There could be a brief changeover to snow flurries mixed in with the rain across the western part of our area on Monday, but confidence in that idea remains low. More forecast details are below.

FEW STRONG STORMS MAY HAPPEN NEAR BEACHES TODAY… The Storm Prediction Center has areas along and just south of the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches involved in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk. We note Dauphin Island and Fort Morgan are the only two communities involved in this risk zone. That puts into perspective just how limited this threat zone is. The concern is that a few storms near the immediate beaches could briefly become supercell storms and produce a tornado or two. Gusty winds could also happen in the stronger storms. Let’s be clear that vast majority of us across south Alabama and northwest Florida will just have rain at times today, mainly this morning.

RAIN CLEARS OUT THIS EVENING… Showers and storms will clear out this afternoon into this evening. There could be some lingering showers around as late as 3PM or 4PM but I expect most of the organized rain to be cleared out to the east by then. Temperatures will fall into the 40s by 9PM this evening.

COLD, CLOUDY FRIDAY… Tomorrow will probably be one of those classic winter days where clouds hang tough behind the departing area of low pressure that moves near our region today. We have high temperatures forecast to hit 52 degrees tomorrow (Friday) afternoon but I would not be surprised if we have to adjust that number a bit lower due to low clouds keeping us even cooler than that throughout the day.

COLD WEEKEND AHEAD… Winter will be here in full force this weekend, in the temperature department at least. Highs will be in the 50s with morning lows in the 30s. I wouldn’t be shocked to see some locales across the interior of southwest Alabama briefly dip into the 20s on Saturday night into Sunday morning.

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY… See more details in the following two paragraphs about the logic of this forecast below. Right now, we are calling exclusively for rain for much of our area late (after sunset) Sunday into Monday. There could be a brief changeover to flurries mixed in with rain as precipitation exits our area on Monday evening, although confidence in this idea remains low. Right now, no snow accumulation or significant impacts seem likely.

MOST LIKELY SCENARIO LOCALLY: JUST RAIN ON MONDAY… There continues to be considerable uncertainty regarding the exact track of the low pressure set to move through our region late Sunday into Monday. The exact track of the low pressure will have big implications on what kind of precipitation will happen for parts of the Deep South. Unfortunately for the snow fans, there continues to be good, consistent data that suggests this system will be a rainmaker for our area with very little chance of any appreciable snow accumulation. Right now, the most likely scenario points to rain for all of our area with perhaps a low (10-20%) chance of a brief changeover to flurries for up to a few minutes for parts of west Alabama.

WINTER WEATHER EVENTS ALWAYS A FORECAST CHALLENGE LOCALLY… Make no mistake that one of the most difficult things to forecast for (in our local area) are winter weather systems. The main reason for this simply is because snow and wintry precipitation does not happen very often where we live. The less historical data you have for a type of event, generally speaking, the harder it is to forecast said event. Our low latitude prevents snow from happening very much. Please keep this in mind as Monday approaches. Big forecast changes are possible in the days ahead.

COOL START TO NEXT WEEK… Sunshine will return Tuesday into Wednesday of the upcoming week with seasonal temperatures. Highs will be in the 50s with lows in the mid-30s.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:53AM January 6, 2021

INCREASING CLOUDINESS TODAY; RAIN LIKELY AT TIMES TOMORROW… Cloud coverage will be on the increase today ahead of rain becoming possible as early as the overnight hours tonight. High temperatures on this Wednesday will be in the low- to mid-60s. Rain coverage will peak on Thursday morning when scattered showers may be numerous across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Thunderstorms should be limited to the immediate beach zones and severe weather is not expected with this passing weather system. We get a break from the rain on Friday, Saturday, into Sunday ahead of more showers becoming possible Sunday night into Monday. A few more Wednesday morning forecast notes are below.

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE TONIGHT… We could have a few areas of rain around as early as tonight, especially across the western parts of southwest Alabama. Rain will move in from west to east and gradually spread across the region early Thursday morning. Overnight lows will be in the mid-40s.

RAIN POSSIBLE AT TIMES ON THURSDAY… An area of low pressure will develop to our west and basically move right across our region on Thursday. This means that scattered showers will be possible throughout the day. High temperatures will be in the low-60s.

DRY WEATHER ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY… The forecast for Friday and Saturday screams “January weather.” Partly cloudy skies are expected each day. High temperatures will be in the low-50s with morning lows in the 30s. There is a chance some locales could dip below freezing Saturday night into Sunday morning.

RAIN CHANCE RETURNS LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY… Our next chance of rain (after Thursday) will happen late Sunday evening into Monday. There has been a consistent trend toward DRIER conditions, however, and there is a real chance we may have to adjust rain chances even lower in the days ahead. This continues to look like a situation with no snow or mixed precipitation anywhere close by. All of the rain should be south of our coastline before temperatures have a chance to get to the freezing mark on Tuesday morning.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

See all the details in your Monday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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