6:53AM February 19, 2020

ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE TODAY; HEAVY, MORE CONSISTENT RAIN THURSDAY… Clouds will hang tough on this Wednesday and there could be a few isolated showers at times. The more consistent, widespread rain comes on Thursday, however. Heavy rain could happen for several hours Thursday, meaning flash flooding may become a concern. Temperatures today will peak in the mid-60s, but we’re on an overall decreasing trend in the temperature department. Highs on Thursday will be in the 50s ahead of even colder temps for Friday and Saturday. The good news is we get a brief break from the rain Friday and Saturday ahead of more rain becoming possible Sunday into Monday. That’s your forecast summary, below are all of the details.

RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN TONIGHT… While much of the daytime hours on this Wednesday will be dry in many spots, rain is set to return late this evening across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Temperatures will hold steady around 56-58° this evening. Rain coverage will steadily increase from west to east. I expect much of the rain to hold off until after 9PM.

HEAVY RAIN LIKELY AT TIMES ON THURSDAY… Rain chances on Thursday are in the 90-100% chance range, meaning just about everyone will have rain before the end of the day. There is a chance rain could be heavy at times. This will be a fairly cold, miserable day across the region with temperatures being stuck in the 50s all day. These cooler temperatures will limit any severe weather from happening, however. There is essentially zero risk of any severe storms on Thursday. I can’t rule out a few lightning strikes or claps of thunder, but just like the last few days, any lightning will be more of a fluke than the overall trend.

RAIN CLEARS OUT THURSDAY EVENING; NO SNOW… Rain will exit our region from west to east on Thursday during the late evening hours. Temperatures at that point will be in the mid- to upper-40s, thus there remains no chance of snow or mixed precipitation. It is so typical around here to get precipitation that exits before the cold air can move in behind a front to support snow. We note that there remains NO snow or mixed precip in the forecast guidance over the next 7 to 14 days. If this trend continues into early March, that would mean there is a very high chance we will come through the entire winter without any winter mischief. Keep in mind, that is closer to our normal. We typically get some winter weather once every 2 to 3 years on average.

SUNNY, DRIER CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY… Mostly sunny skies are likely on Friday with high temperatures in the mid-50s. Cloud coverage will decrease throughout the day. Friday and Saturday will be perfect for going out during the evening hours.

TEMPS NEAR FREEZING SATURDAY MORNING… Overnight lows on Saturday morning will be in the 32-35° range across the region. There could be a few spots that have an hour or so at the freezing mark on Saturday morning. This includes places like Thomasville, Beatrice, Hybart, Forest Home, Greenville, Georgiana, Old Texas, Coffeeville, Silas, Toxey, Millry, and surrounding areas.

DRY SATURDAY, RAIN RETURNS SUNDAY… Sunny skies are expected on Saturday with high temperatures rebounding into the upper-50s. Cloud coverage will increase after sunset ahead of higher rain chances on Sunday.

UNSETTLED EARLY NEXT WEEK… Rain will be possible Monday through Wednesday of the upcoming week. It is too early to know whether severe weather issues will be a possibility, but some models have alluded to that idea. We’ll keep you posted in the RedZone Weather app.

SET UP APP ALERTS… We send quite a bit of Low-Level Alerts in our RedZone Weather app. The app is totally free for you! redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you see the download links to your respective app store for iOS and for Android devices. Once you have the app downloaded to your smartphone or tablet device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!

Comfort Care Hospice Logo


1:04AM February 19, 2020

RAIN DRIFTING SOUTH… A narrow band of showers continues to slowly move southward, extending from near Citronelle and Deer Park in west Alabama to Andalusia and Straughn. This band of showers continues to slowly fade away, but you may hear some raindrops on the roof in places like Castleberry, Appleton, Brewton, East Brewton, Andalusia, Opp, Poarch, Atmore, Bay Minette, Stockton, and Mount Vernon in the next hour.

The risk of severe weather today is basically at zero. I’ll have your next full forecast video posted by 7:15AM. See you then!

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!


1:27PM February 18, 2020

SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE… Several small areas of moderate to heavy rain are happening this afternoon across our region. Heavier rain is currently happening near Chatom, Tunnel Springs, Keith, and Range. These showers will continue to move northeast over the next few hours. Rain coverage seems to be increasing slightly.

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!

Brewton Mill Federal Credit Union Logo


10:47AM February 18, 2020

SHOWERS FORMING ACROSS WEST ALABAMA… Several small showers have started bubbling up across west Alabama in parts of Washington, northern Mobile, and northern Baldwin counties. Showers will likely increase in coverage over the next several hours, especially across inland areas.

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!

David's Catfish Logo


6:52AM February 17, 2020

SCATTERED SHOWERS & STORMS LIKELY TODAY; COLDER TEMPS BY THURSDAY… Rain is likely at times today across our region, especially across inland areas of south Alabama. Winds will continue to be out of the south, meaning humid, warm, Gulf air will be transported into our region, allowing numerous showers to form. Rain could be heavy at times farther inland today and into tonight. The good news is no severe weather is expected today or tonight. Temperatures will be at their peak today for the week as a cold front is slated to move by on Wednesday. Much cooler temperatures will be in place by Thursday night as precipitation comes to an end. While we will have a cold rain Thursday evening at times, no snow or mixed precipitation is expected.

SHOWERS LIKELY INTO TONIGHT… Keep the rain gear handy if you’re headed out and about this evening as showers will linger into the evening and overnight hours. Temperatures will be in the 60s from 5PM to 11PM and rain chances are slated to remain elevated. High school baseball and other evening activities will probably be rained out in many spots locally, especially across areas farther inland in parts of Clarke, Washington, Choctaw, Monroe, Wilcox, Conecuh, Butler, and Covington counties.

RAIN STICKS AROUND FOR WEDNESDAY… Showers will likely become more isolated on Wednesday but there still will be a 20-30% chance of rain in most spots. Rain chances will rise into the 50-60% chance range in the late evening hours of Wednesday. Temperatures will be steady throughout the day in the 60s. No severe weather issues are expected on Wednesday.

MORE RAIN LIKELY ON THURSDAY… We maintain higher (50-70%) rain chances on Thursday as a cold front continues drifting by our area. Temperatures will be in the 50s all day on Thursday and we likely will fall into the upper-40s after 8PM on Thursday evening. Rain will be possible throughout the day.

DRIER CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY… Rain is set to come to an end on Thursday in the late evening hours. Friday and Saturday will be much drier and cooler. High temperatures will be in the 50s with morning lows in the mid-30s by Saturday morning.

MORE RAIN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK… We will need to enjoy the sunshine early this weekend as more rain is set to happen Sunday into Monday. Another area of low pressure will approach our area from the west, paving the way for more showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms late Sunday into Monday. Temperatures look to be seasonal with highs in the 60s and lows in the upper-40s.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!

Comfort Care Hospice Logo


11:12PM February 17, 2020

FEW STORMS IN WEST ALABAMA… Isolated showers and thunderstorms are happening across parts of Clarke, Wilcox, Washington, Choctaw, and Marengo counties in west Alabama. There have been some lightning strikes noted, but lightning activity is not prolific at the moment.

Rain coverage will pick up over the next several hours.

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!


8:01PM February 17, 2020

HERE COMES MORE RAIN… Tuesday is set to have scattered showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms throughout the day. Rain chances will be highest locally across our inland counties: Escambia (AL), Monroe, Covington, Conecuh, Butler, Clarke, Washington, and Choctaw. Rain may be heavy at times over the next 48 hours. I expect rain chances to peak between 4PM and 10PM on Tuesday.

NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED… It is rare that I say this statement as conclusively as this, but I’m expecting NO severe weather due to hardly any available instability. There could be a few general thunderstorms, aka lightning and thunder, but even that will be more of the anomaly than the trend. Rain is the word.

My next forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM on Tuesday. See you in the morning!

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!

Brewton Mill Federal Credit Union Logo


6:43PM February 17, 2020

SHOWERS OVER WEST ALABAMA… Several isolated areas of rain have developed this evening across west Alabama in parts of southern Clarke and Washington counties. Showers are moving east-northeast. While a clap of thunder or two may happen, the risk of severe weather remains at basically zero overnight and into Tuesday morning.

MORE RAIN ON TUESDAY… Rain coverage will increase as we get into Tuesday morning as a large mass of rain moves to our north. Widespread rain and a few thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday. Rain chances will be highest farther inland.

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!


6:49AM February 17, 2020

CLOUDY MONDAY; RAIN RETURNS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY… Mostly cloudy skies are likely on this Monday as we look ahead to more rain tonight. There could be a few showers at times throughout the day, but rain will be more of the anomaly than the trend during the daytime hours. That changes tonight when rain chances will substantially rise, especially across inland areas. High temperatures today will peak in the 67-71° range around 2PM. While I can’t completely rule out a clap of thunder, thunderstorms are not expected to be widespread today. There is simply no instability for storms to work with and become strong. That is a good thing! Obviously with that scenario in place, no severe weather is expected today. Let’s look at your forecast details.

RAIN LIKELY OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING… A large mass of rain is likely to develop to our west this evening into the overnight hours. This will bring quite a bit of rain to parts of central Alabama and areas just to our north near the U.S. Highway 80 corridor. This means that rain amounts will be highest locally across inland counties. If you’re in Monroe, Covington, Butler, Clarke, Conecuh, or Washington counties, rain chances will be a bit higher tonight compared to areas closer to the immediate coast. I will have radar updates as needed in the RedZone Weather app.

RAIN LIKELY TUESDAY; ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE… Thunderstorms will increase in coverage on Tuesday, primarily from 10AM to 5PM. There is a good chance that storms will be most numerous in coastal counties, as instability values will probably be a bit higher closer to the coast compared to areas farther inland. Rain is likely throughout the day Tuesday with heavy rain being possible at times. High temps will edge upward into the mid-70s as a moist airmass remains in place.

RAIN WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY; COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH… Rain chances remain elevated on both Wednesday and Thursday as a cold front approaches and ultimately slides through our area. Temperatures will again be in the 70s Wednesday afternoon, but the cold front is slated to move by late Wednesday night into early Thursday morning. High temperatures on Thursday will drop into the mid-50s. There could be a few general thunderstorms on Wednesday, but storms will probably be hindered from developing on Thursday with more stable air in place across the area.

BETTER WEATHER FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY… We *finally* get a break from the rain on Friday into Saturday as cool, stable air filters in behind the cold front that will have passed by early Thursday morning. High temps will be in the mid- to upper-50s on Friday and Saturday with mostly sunny skies each day.

NO SEVERE WEATHER OR WINTER WEATHER ISSUES IN FORECAST… Isolated thunderstorms may happen Tuesday into Wednesday, but there is no formal severe weather risk currently in place for any part of Alabama, northwest Florida, or the Deep South this week. This is a welcome change from previous weeks that featured multiple rounds of severe weather. I also see *nothing* that would support snow or mixed precipitation in the short- or medium-range model guidance.

SEVERE WEATHER PREPAREDNESS WEEK… The State of Alabama is having its ninth annual Severe Weather Preparedness Sales Tax Holiday starting on Friday, February 21 and ending on Sunday, February 23. This opportunity gives folks the opportunity to purchase certain severe weather preparedness items free of state sales tax. Local sales taxes may apply. If you would like to see the list of eligible items and more details, here is the link.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Monday #rzw forecast video. Have a great start to your week!

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!


7:14AM February 15, 2020

SUNNY SATURDAY AHEAD OF RAIN CHANCES EVERY DAY FOR NEXT 5 DAYS… Get out and enjoy the nice, sunny weather on this Saturday as we have a chance of rain each day from Sunday to Friday of the upcoming week. Near perfect conditions are expected for a mid-February day with high temperatures in the 64-67° range this afternoon. Full sunshine is expected until the early evening hours when clouds will begin to stream in from the west. Let’s look at all of your forecast details.

COOL EVENING WITH INCREASING CLOUDS… Partly cloudy skies are likely this evening across the region with temperatures decreasing into the upper-40s by 9PM. This means that much our area will be in the 50s from 6PM to 9PM, meaning you may need a light jacket if you’re headed out and about this evening. There could be a few showers, primarily over west Alabama in areas west of the Alabama River, after 7PM this evening. Most spots should remain dry until after midnight, however.

SHOWERS AT TIMES ON SUNDAY… Scattered showers are expected on Sunday during the daytime hours. There is no risk of severe weather on Sunday and the overall chance of thunder and lightning remains very low as there is hardly any available instability to support storms tomorrow. Rain chances will probably peak on Sunday from 12PM to 5PM, although I wouldn’t be surprised if there were some showers in progress in the morning and in the evening hours. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-60s.

MORE RAIN ON MONDAY… Our weather pattern is set to remain fairly unstable into next week as a warm front lifts northward across our region on Monday. This will allow warm, humid, Gulf air to surge inland. High temps will rise into the mid-70s on Sunday as the airmass becomes more supportive for a few thunderstorms. The overall risk of severe storms on Monday remains very low, if not zero in most spots.

STORMS LIKELY TUESDAY… Our next chance of strong storms will happen Tuesday into Wednesday as a surface low pressure area develops to our west. This will, in the words of the Storm Prediction Center, “allow rich Gulf moisture to stream northward across the ArkLaTex region and the southeast states. At least a low-end severe convection appears possible.” This means that there will likely be some type of severe weather risk as we go into Tuesday and Wednesday of the upcoming week, but it is entirely too early to know specifics or details. Certainly nothing to worry about for now as this is simply something to watch over the next few days. I’ll keep you posted in the RedZone Weather app.

COLD FRONT MOVES BY ON WEDNESDAY… Cooler air will move into our region behind an advancing cold front on Wednesday morning. There is a good chance that temperatures will start falling early Wednesday morning and continue to fall all day Wednesday AND Thursday. Most locales will be around 70 degrees early Wednesday morning before the frontal passage. We drop to around 60° by 6PM Wednesday evening and then to around 50° by daybreak on Thursday. Most model guidance points to a cold rain on Thursday, with temperatures in the 40s all day.

NO SIGNS OF SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION… There are no signs of snow or mixed precipitation toward the end of next week for south Alabama or northwest Florida, despite the wild, viral posts that have been circulating on social media. Rain is likely on Thursday, but snow is highly unlikely. We’ll be hard pressed to get temperatures down to the freezing mark, let alone BELOW freezing next week. If anything changes on this, I’ll let you know. Don’t count on changes though. Rain is likely, snow is not.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

Have a great Saturday!

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!


7:28PM February 14, 2020

COLDEST NIGHT OF THE WEEK: WIND CHILL VALUES BELOW 30 DEGREES… Tonight is slated to be the coldest night out of the next 7 to 10 days with overnight lows near the freezing mark and wind chill values in the upper-20s. The map attached highlights the projected wind chill value at 6AM on Saturday morning, which is (in most cases) 3 to 5 degrees below the air temperature. Most spots across inland counties will briefly dip below freezing on the thermometer, but the good news is we quickly rebound into the 40s early tomorrow morning. Afternoon highs on Saturday will be in the mid-60s.

REBOUNDING TEMPERATURES SATURDAY… Most spots hit the 60 degree mark earlier today but I expect many areas to reach the mid-60s (63-66°) on Saturday afternoon. Sunshine is likely in the morning with increasing cloudiness expected later in the day. There could be a few showers across the western zones (Washington, Clarke, Mobile counties) as soon as late Saturday evening.

RAIN RETURNS SUNDAY… Rain is likely across south Alabama and northwest Florida on Sunday. For now, there is zero risk of severe weather and near zero chances of thunderstorms due to paltry instability values. High temperatures on Sunday will be in the upper-60s. We’ll call it a 60% chance of rain for any given spot across our region on Sunday.

STORMS LIKELY TUESDAY… Our next chance of strong storms will happen Tuesday into Wednesday as a surface low pressure area develops to our west. This will, in the words of the Storm Prediction Center, “allow rich Gulf moisture to stream northward across the ArkLaTex region and the southeast states. At least a low-end severe convection appears possible.” This means that there will likely be some type of severe weather risk as we go into Tuesday and Wednesday of the upcoming week, but it is entirely too early to know specifics or details. Certainly nothing to worry about for now as this is simply something to watch over the next few days. I’ll keep you posted in the RedZone Weather app.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

Have a nice Valentine’s Day Friday evening! My next detailed forecast update will be posted by 7:15AM on Saturday.

6:50AM February 14, 2020

SUNSHINE RETURNS FOR TODAY & SATURDAY; RAIN RETURNS SUNDAY… Happy Valentine’s Day! We get a break from the rain today and on Saturday ahead of more showers becoming possible in the latter half of the weekend on Sunday. Clouds will continue to clear out to the east today, giving way to mostly sunny skies this afternoon. High temperatures will peak in the 58-61° range across the region. We get one more sunny day on Saturday with rebounding temperatures ahead of our next chance of showers as early as the late evening hours on Saturday. Next week looks increasingly unsettled with at least some chance of rain each day. Let’s look at your forecast details.

COLD NIGHT AHEAD… Tonight is set to be the coldest night out of the next 7 to 10 days. Overnight lows will be in the 33-36 degree range in most spots across south Alabama and northwest Florida. There won’t be many, if any clouds, to hinder temperatures dropping. This is why we’re expected to have temperatures near the freezing mark. There could be a few spots on the northern side of our region near Coffeeville, Thomasville, Fulton, Beatrice, Hybart, Forest Home, and Greenville that have a brief hour or two at the freezing mark (32°), but most spots will have an air temperature that remains just above freezing.

RAIN POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY EVENING… Saturday will be nice, mostly sunny, and quite seasonal with high temperatures in the low-60s. Clouds will increase in coverage late in the day and there could be a few showers over west Alabama as early as the late evening hours of Saturday. Rain will become more plentiful across our region on Sunday into Monday.

SHOWERS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY… Our next chance of rain happens Sunday, Sunday night, and into Monday as a warm, Gulf wind ushers in more moisture into our region. High temperatures Sunday and Monday will be near 70 degrees. While neither Sunday or Monday will be an “all day washout” event, there will be scattered showers around.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS POSSIBLE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY… Thunderstorms will likely return to our area during the middle part of next week. If that sounds familiar, it’s because we have had a chance of storms midweek for the last 3 weeks! For now, severe weather parameters remain low and the Storm Prediction Center is not highlighting any areas in their long term convective outlook. Rain chances will likely remain elevated as we go into Thursday and Friday of the upcoming week.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Friday #rzw forecast video. Have a great weekend!

6:56AM February 13, 2020

RAIN CLEARS OUT TODAY; COOLER AIR MOVING IN… Scattered showers in progress across our region will continue to move eastward today and ultimately clear out early this afternoon. Most spots have already had their high temperature this morning and there is a good chance that most spots will have decreasing temperatures all day. I expect temperatures to remain in the 60s around Noon, falling into the 50s later this evening. All of the rain should be gone by 4PM with dry conditions likely this evening into tonight. Multiple cold nights are ahead with overnight lows in the low-40s by Friday morning and mid-30s ahead for Saturday morning. Temperatures won’t stay cold very long, however, as we rebound on Sunday ahead of more rain next week. That’s the summary, below are your forecast details.

LOW-END SEVERE WEATHER RISK WELL TO OUR EAST TODAY… The Storm Prediction Center includes parts of the Florida Panhandle, east of Panama City, in their Level 1 (out of 5) low-end severe weather risk. This zone also includes parts of Georgia and the Carolinas. If you’re traveling eastbound today into these areas, be aware of the low-end chance of a few storms capable of producing gusty winds and heavy rain.

COLDER TEMPS TONIGHT… Clearing skies will allow temperatures to quickly drop into the 40s tonight. Most spots will have an overnight low around 6AM on Friday in the 40-44° range. There could be patchy areas of fog this evening into the early morning hours.

SUNSHINE RETURNS FOR FRIDAY… We’re looking forward to a nice, sunny day on Friday with hardly any clouds expected. High temperatures will be near the 60 degree mark in most spots across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Clear skies Friday evening will allow any afternoon heat content in the atmosphere to quickly subside. That is a technical way to say, temperatures will likely become quite chilly Friday evening into Saturday morning.

QUITE COLD FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING… The coldest night out of the next 7-10 days looks to be Friday night into early Saturday. Most spots across the region will have air temperatures that drop into the mid-30s. Wind chill values may dip below freezing briefly. 

DRY SATURDAY & RAIN SUNDAY… Sunny skies are likely on Saturday and we’ve taken out the rain chance for the evening hours. It looks like all of the rain should hold off until late Saturday evening into Sunday. Showers will return to the area on Sunday. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-60s each day.

ANOTHER UNSETTLED WEEK AHEAD… Early indications point to an active, mild pattern next week with temperatures again rising into the mid-70s by Tuesday. There could be a few storms around Tuesday, although it is too early to speculate whether severe weather issues will be a real possibility. We’re in February in the Deep South, so I wouldn’t be surprised to have yet another round of storms. We’ll keep you posted every step of the way! Stay tuned for more details this weekend.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

10:00PM February 12, 2020

SMALL AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN… Small bands of scattered showers continue to stream northeast across our area. A heavier band of rain has set up along the U.S. Highway 31 corridor near Brewton, Pollard, Alco, Appleton, and Flomaton. All of the showers are well under severe limits. No lightning has been observed in the last 30 minutes or so across the region.

You may hear some thunder at times overnight, but the overall severe weather risk remains low.

6:50AM February 12, 2020

WARM, MUGGY TODAY WITH A FEW SHOWERS; WEAKENING LINE OF STORMS OVERNIGHT… Good news to report on this Wednesday morning! The overall severe weather risk for our local area in south Alabama and northwest Florida continues to decrease. The Storm Prediction Center has stricken the Level 2 risk out of our area and replaced it with a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal risk zone for areas west of Interstate 65. This means that we will have some rain, perhaps some thunder and lightning, but any severe storms will be few and far between. The overall tornado risk will be very low, with the main concern being gusty winds. Ahead of the storms overnight, we have an unseasonably warm, humid day on tap for our region. High temperatures will be in the 79-82° (not a typo! Yes, 82 degrees) range this afternoon around 2PM. Let’s look at all of your forecast details.

LOW-END RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT WEST OF I-65… Interstate 65 happens to serve as a good reference boundary line for the low-end severe weather risk zone today. If you’re WEST of I-65, you’re involved in the Level 1 (out of 5) low-end, marginal severe weather risk area. This means that an isolated severe storm cannot be ruled out tonight, but widespread severe weather probably WON’T happen. Rain? Yes. Lightning? Yes. Tornadoes? Probably not. This includes areas in and near Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Bay Minette, Mobile, Thomasville, Jackson, Grove Hill, Chatom, Beatrice, Uriah, and Camden.

NO FORMAL RISK ZONE EAST OF I-65… Communities to the east of Interstate 65 are now NOT involved in a formal severe weather risk zone today or tonight. This means that general thunderstorms will be possible, but widespread hazardous weather is not expected. This includes Pensacola, Orange Beach, Destin, Andalusia, Opp, Florala, Red Level, Luverne, Georgiana, McKenzie, Castleberry, Brewton, Atmore, Bratt, Walnut Hill, Molino, Jay, Milton, Pace, Allentown, Crestview, Fort Walton Beach, Loxley, Foley, Fairhope, Silverhill, and surrounding areas. You may hear some thunder in these areas, but no major issues are expected. Good news!

LEVEL 2 (OUT OF 5) RISK TO OUR NORTH… Much of west-central and north Alabama remains involved in the Level 2 (out of 5) slight severe weather risk valid for today into the overnight hours. These are the areas that have a slightly higher potential for tornadoes and damaging wind gusts in the stronger storms compared to our local area. This Level 2 risk zone includes Birmingham, Huntsville, Tuscaloosa, Gadsden, Anniston, Decatur, Florence, Muscle Shoals, Livingston, Cullman, Centreville, Marion, Demopolis, Butler, Jasper, Fayette, Hamilton, Russellville, Oneonta, Boaz, Fort Payne, Scottsboro, Athens, Moulton, and surrounding areas.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY… 9PM tonight to 6AM Thursday will be the nine hour window when severe storms will be most likely to happen across south Alabama and northwest Florida. The greatest risk of strong to severe storms will be over west Alabama, primarily in areas along and west of the Alabama River.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA… Significant flash flooding happened Monday across much of central and north Alabama. Some spots had over a month’s worth of rain fall in less than 12 hours! A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for much of central and north Alabama, including Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden due to more rain likely through Thursday. If you’re traveling northbound into these areas, be aware of this potential. It won’t take much rain to cause more flash flooding!

MUCH COOLER AIR MOVES IN ON THURSDAY… After the storms on Thursday morning, much cooler, drier air is set to move in behind an advancing cold front. Temperatures will actually be deceasing throughout the day on Thursday. Around 5AM, most spots will be near 70, but we will quickly fall into the 50s by mid-afternoon.

NICE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY… Full sunshine is set to return on Friday as high temperatures drop to near 60 degrees. The sunshine won’t be long-lived, unfortunately, as rain will come back into the forecast late on Saturday into Sunday. The good news is much of the daytime hours on Saturday should remain dry.

MORE RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY… Showers will come back into our forecast on Saturday night ahead of more showers and thunderstorms on Sunday. We’ll call it a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms starting late Saturday evening. Rain chances will increase on Sunday morning into the afternoon hours. High temperatures on Sunday will rebound into the upper-60s.

SHOWERS POSSIBLE INTO NEXT WEEK… Next week looks increasingly unstable and warm. Highs will be in the low- to mid-70s on Monday into Tuesday. There could be scattered showers and thunderstorms around each day from Monday through Wednesday. Anytime we have a pattern like that in winter around here, we must keep our eyes open for a developing severe weather potential. For now, severe weather parameters next week remain low. Hopefully we can keep it that way since we have certainly had our fair share of active weather recently!

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me. I’ll have radar updates posted as needed today into tonight as we watch storms roll in from the west.

Let me know if you have any specific questions. Have a great Wednesday!

7:14AM February 11, 2020

FEW SHOWERS AT TIMES TODAY; STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT… Isolated showers will be possible across the region today ahead of our next round of potential severe weather setting up for Wednesday night into early Thursday. The Storm Prediction Center maintains all of our local area in their Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk, meaning scattered strong to severe storms will be possible tomorrow evening into Thursday. Tornadoes and damaging winds will be the main concern. As always, if we have tornado warnings, we will stream uninterrupted video coverage to bring you the very latest. Much cooler air is set to arrive on Thursday after the passage of the cold front, which is partially responsible for this severe weather setup. We finally get a break from the rain on Friday, but that break will unfortunately be short-lived. Let’s look at all the details.

SHOWERS AT TIMES TODAY; FEW STORMS POSSIBLE INLAND… Showers will be possible throughout the day on this Tuesday across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Temperatures will be way too warm for a mid-February day. Most spots will be in the 77-80° (yes, 80 degrees!) by 2PM. Today certainly won’t be an all day washout and there will be several hours of no rain for many locations. There could be a few general thunderstorms across inland areas, but widespread severe weather is not expected today locally.

LEVEL 1 RISK TO OUR NORTH TODAY… The Storm Prediction Center has included much of central Alabama, north-central Georgia, and the Carolinas in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk valid for today into tonight. This is mainly because a few storms may briefly become strong and produce gusty winds, although just like with the situation that happened in Washington and Clarke counties last night, a brief tornado cannot be entirely ruled out. This low-end risk zone is in place for Birmingham, Montgomery, Prattville, Auburn, Opelika, Alexander City, Talladega, Clanton, Marion, Demopolis, Selma, Camden, Hayneville, and surrounding areas. This also includes Atlanta, Macon, and Augusta in Georgia.

FLASH FLOODING TO CONTINUE TO OUR NORTH TODAY… Much of north-central Alabama will continue to have a considerable flash flood threat today. Hard to believe since much of our local area was dry, but some spots across north and central Alabama had 4 to 5 inches of rain in total just on Monday. If you’re traveling to anywhere near Birmingham, Huntsville, Cullman, Tuscaloosa, Gadsden, Anniston, Jasper, Oneonta, Clanton, Marion, or surrounding areas, be aware of this significant risk of flash flooding.

RAIN AT TIMES TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING… No severe weather issues are likely tonight into Wednesday morning. There could be rain at times as scattered showers continue to develop and maybe a clap of thunder or two. The severe weather issues will start late Wednesday and extend into Thursday morning.

POTENTIAL HAZARDS: TORNADOES & DAMAGING WINDS… The two most significant concerns across south Alabama and northwest Florida on Wednesday evening into Thursday will be the potential for a few tornadoes and damaging straight line winds in the stronger storms. Depending on the specific setup, there could be some hail involved as well. While the flash flooding potential locally is much lower compared to communities farther to our north, IF storms train over the same areas, we could have a few isolated areas of flash flooding as well. We encourage everyone to have a way to receive urgent weather warnings tomorrow night into Thursday. You will need something that will wake you up if you happen to go under a tornado warning.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING: WEDNESDAY P.M. INTO THURSDAY MORNING… We maintain the ongoing forecast in that Wednesday evening into Thursday morning will be the time in which severe storms are most likely to happen. 6PM Wednesday to 3AM Thursday is the 9 hour window when severe weather will be MOST likely to happen across our region. Please have a way to get urgent weather warnings all day Wednesday and into Thursday morning just in case you happen to go under a tornado warning or severe thunderstorm warning.

LEVEL 2 RISK… The Level 3 risk has been removed, and vast majority of the Deep South is now included in the Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk zone. This means that scattered severe storms will be possible. Nearly all of our local area is involved in the Level 2 (out of 5) slight risk zone, where severe storms will be possible Wednesday into Thursday. This includes Mobile, Pensacola, Andalusia, Opp, Greenville, Georgiana, Evergreen, Castleberry, Brewton, Flomaton, Atmore, Monroeville, Uriah, Beatrice, Thomasville, Fulton, Grove Hill, Jackson, Coffeeville, Chatom, Millry, McIntosh, Leroy, Wilmer, Citronelle, Mt. Vernon, Theodore, Prichard, Saraland, Satsuma, Daphne, Fairhope, Spanish Fort, Silverhill, Loxley, Robertsdale, Point Clear, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Bay Minette, Century, Bratt, Walnut Hill, Molino, Milton, Pace, Jay, Berrydale, Crestview, and surrounding areas.

LOWER-END RISK TO THE SOUTHEAST… Parts of Okaloosa County, the Wiregrass region, and the Florida Panhandle region are all involved in the lower-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk zone Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Storms will likely be weakening as they move southeast, thus the risk will be lower once storms reach these areas. This includes places like Destin, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Mary Esther, Eglin AFB, Dothan, Geneva, Daleville, Abbeville, Enterprise, Eufaula, Bonifay, Freeport, Miramar Beach, Seaside, DeFuniak Springs, and surrounding areas.

MUCH COOLER AIR MOVES IN ON THURSDAY… After the storms on Thursday morning, much cooler, drier air is set to move in behind an advancing cold front. Temperatures will actually be deceasing throughout the day on Thursday. Around 5AM, most spots will be near 70, but we will quickly fall into the 50s by mid-afternoon.

NICE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY… Full sunshine is set to return on Friday as high temperatures drop to near 60 degrees. The sunshine won’t be long-lived, unfortunately, as rain will come back into the forecast late on Saturday into Sunday. The good news is much of the daytime hours on Saturday should remain dry.

NEXT VIDEO THIS EVENING… My next video will be posted by 8PM this evening. Be sure to check with me in the RedZone Weather app throughout the day for the very latest on this developing severe weather potential. I will also be posting radar updates throughout the day as needed today.

SET UP APP ALERTS… We send quite a bit of Low-Level Alerts in our RedZone Weather app. The app is totally free for you! redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you see the download links to your respective app store for iOS and for Android devices. Once you have the app downloaded to your smartphone or tablet device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

Have a great Tuesday!

10:12PM February 10, 2020

ISOLATED SHOWERS IN WEST ALABAMA… The heavy rain associated with the storms that produced tornado warnings earlier has cleared out of our region and is now in Wilcox County near Oak Hill and Pine Apple. A few small showers continue across west Alabama late this evening in parts of northern Mobile, Washington, and Clarke counties.

There could be a few showers overnight but I’m not expecting any more severe weather issues locally. Rain will be possible at times on Tuesday.

7:12AM February 10, 2020

Severe Weather Risk for Wednesday, February 12, 2020

FEW SHOWERS TODAY; SEVERE WEATHER LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY… Increasingly cloudy skies are expected on this Monday across south Alabama and northwest Florida with rain chances progressively increasing throughout the day. While severe weather is not in the forecast today, there is a chance of strong to severe storms setting up for late Wednesday into Thursday. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) includes much of central Alabama in their Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced severe weather risk zone with vast majority of our local area being involved in their Level 2 (out of 5) risk. This means that scattered instances of severe storms will be possible across our area. Temperatures are slated to be QUITE warm through Wednesday before a cold front moves through on Thursday. High temps will peak near 80° (!!) on Wednesday. Let’s look at your Monday morning forecast details.

RAIN CHANCES INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY… Showers will progressively increase in coverage across the region today. I expect many showers to be in progress after 6PM tonight. There could be some general thunderstorms (lower than severe limits) involved locally, especially over west Alabama. The overall chance of any strong to severe storms across south Alabama and northwest Florida is very low today. High temperatures will be in the 72-75° range today.

LEVEL 1 (OUT OF 5) MARGINAL RISK FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY… SPC maintains a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk today for the northwestern quadrant of Alabama. There is a low-end tornado risk and a risk of hail and gusty winds in the stronger storms there today. This includes places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Livingston, Demopolis, Greensboro, Jasper, Fayette, Vernon, Hamilton, Double Springs, and Russellville. The greater severe weather risk today will happen over northern Louisiana and central Mississippi where a Level 2 (out of 5) risk in place.

MORE RAIN AT TIMES ON TUESDAY; FEW STORMS POSSIBLE… Scattered showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms will be possible on Tuesday throughout the day areawide. The overall risk of severe weather on Tuesday remains very low, although there could be some cloud-to-ground lightning in the stronger storms that happen. Temperatures on Tuesday afternoon will climb into the upper-70s. The air mass in place across our region starting Tuesday will be warm, moist, and increasingly unstable.

RAIN & STORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING… The risk of severe weather will begin most likely late in the day on Wednesday. This means that rain and some general thunderstorms may happen Wednesday morning, but the bigger issues likely won’t happen till later in the evening. There is a chance some spots may hit 80 degrees for an afternoon high on Wednesday as the air in place across our region remains warm, unstable, and increasingly supportive of strong to severe thunderstorms.

SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THURSDAY… Strong to severe thunderstorms will become possible late Wednesday into Thursday morning across much of Alabama and northwest Florida. It appears that the greatest combination of “atmospheric ingredients” for severe weather will come together just to our northwest across parts of west-central Alabama and much of Mississippi. These are the areas where a Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced risk are in place. Our local area is involved in the Level 2, slight risk. This means that scattered severe storms will be possible. 

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – WEDNESDAY… 3PM Wednesday afternoon to 3AM Thursday morning looks to be the timing when severe storms will be most likely to happen across south Alabama and northwest Florida. There still are some timing differences indicated by different model scenarios, thus please check back with me tonight and again on Tuesday for updates on the timing of the severe weather potential.

LEVEL 3, ENHANCED RISK TO OUR NORTH & WEST… The Storm Prediction Center maintains a Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced risk zone for much of west-central Alabama, central and southwest Mississippi, and northeast Louisiana. The following communities are included in Alabama: Tuscaloosa, Northport, Livingston, Geiger, Eutaw, Forkland, Carrollton, Aliceville, Reform, Gordo, Fayette, Vernon, and Hamilton.

LEVEL 2 RISK… Nearly all of our local area is involved in the Level 2 (out of 5) slight risk zone, where severe storms will be possible Wednesday into Thursday. This includes Mobile, Pensacola, Andalusia, Opp, Greenville, Georgiana, Evergreen, Castleberry, Brewton, Flomaton, Atmore, Monroeville, Uriah, Beatrice, Thomasville, Fulton, Grove Hill, Jackson, Coffeeville, Chatom, Millry, McIntosh, Leroy, Wilmer, Citronelle, Mt. Vernon, Theodore, Prichard, Saraland, Satsuma, Daphne, Fairhope, Spanish Fort, Silverhill, Loxley, Robertsdale, Point Clear, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Bay Minette, Century, Bratt, Walnut Hill, Molino, Milton, Pace, Jay, Berrydale, Crestview, and surrounding areas.

FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS TO OUR NORTH THIS WEEK… There is a considerable threat of flash flooding setting up over the next few days across the northern half of Alabama. 5 to 8 inches of rain will be possible primarily north of Interstate 20. This includes places like Birmingham, Huntsville, Tuscaloosa, Cullman, Anniston, Gadsden, Jasper, Hamilton, Aliceville, and surrounding areas. If you’re headed to any of those areas this week, be aware of a significant threat of flash flooding and heavy rain! Much of south Alabama and northwest Florida will have 0.5” to 2” of rain in total, with isolated higher amounts. Our forecast calls for a chance of rain each day starting Monday and ending Saturday for our local area, although rain amounts should remain below hazardous/flash flooding values locally.

APP ALERTS… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

NEXT VIDEO THIS EVENING… I will have your next detailed video update available by 8:15PM this evening. Be sure to check with me in the RedZone Weather app throughout the day for the very latest on this developing severe weather potential. I will also be posting radar updates throughout the day as needed as more rain and storms move in later today.

Have a great Monday!

10:48PM February 9, 2020

SHOWERS IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA… Rain is happening this evening across parts of Sumter and Greene counties in west Alabama. South of there, our local area remains dry as of 10:48PM. I expect a few showers to happen before dawn across south Alabama, in areas primarily west of the Alabama River.

Temperatures are in the mid-50s and won’t move much at all until after sunrise.

12:50PM February 9, 2020

Severe Storms Possible Wednesday (February 12-13, 2020)

SEVERE STORMS LIKELY ON WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY… The Storm Prediction Center has added an uncommon Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced severe weather risk zone valid for this Wednesday, February 12 into early Thursday. It may feel like déjà vu considering we JUST had severe storms last Wednesday into Thursday, but this is very real. The tornado risk with this system will probably a bit higher, as SPC is already highlighting the risk of supercell thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail.

SEVERE WEATHER FATIGUE IS REAL… I understand that people get tired of hearing about risk levels and upcoming severe weather. “Forecast fatigue” is definitely something I consider when disseminating information. You have my word that as soon as the active weather pattern is done, we won’t bombard you with alerts and long, detailed posts. However, it is certainly not a common event (a few times per year) to have an enhanced Level 3 (out of 5) severe weather risk in place 3-4 days out. We have to stay ahead of these events as lives are on the line. The last two significant severe weather events across Alabama (January 11 and last week, February 5-6) were deadly. People in Pickens County and Marengo County have lost their lives because they were in a tornado and in a manufactured home. This is a major problem across our state and across the Deep South and we must do EVERYTHING we can to prevent these totally preventable deaths. Please do not become complacent and think you’re immune to severe weather events. I’m not, you’re not, we all are not. Please be prepared and please help me pass the word along to people that may not be as “weather aware” as you are.

LEVEL 3 RISK FOR NORTH & WEST ALABAMA ON WEDNESDAY… SPC has taken the uncommon step of introducing a Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced severe weather risk 3-4 days out from this severe weather potential. Much of north and west Alabama in addition to much of central Mississippi is included in this risk zone. Locally, northern parts of Clarke and Washington counties in west Alabama are involved in this zone meaning the following communities have the highest severe weather risk for Wednesday into Thursday: Thomasville, Coffeeville, Millry, Gilbertown, Silas, Toxey, Sweet Water, Dixons Mills, and surrounding areas. This Level 3 risk also includes Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Huntsville, Decatur, Hamilton, Jasper, Selma, Marion, Greensboro, Livingston, Demopolis, Cullman, Russellville, Haleyville, Oneonta, Hoover, Helena, Alabaster, Homewood, Bessemer, Leeds, Gardendale, Aliceville, Boaz, Fayette, and surrounding areas. This risk also includes Jackson (MS), Hattiesburg (MS), McComb (MS), and Starkville (MS).

LEVEL 2 RISK FOR MUCH OF LOCAL AREA WEDNESDAY… Other than the areas in northern Clarke and Washington counties in west Alabama, the rest of us across south Alabama and northwest Florida are involved in the Level 2 (out of 5) risk where scattered severe storms may happen. This includes Mobile, Pensacola, Andalusia, Greenville, Brewton, Atmore, Monroeville, Evergreen, Daphne, Fairhope, Orange Beach, Milton, Pace, Navarre, and ALL of our local area.

GORGEOUS SUNDAY… Get out and enjoy today’s weather as this will probably be the nicest day until at least Friday! High temperatures are peaking in the low-70s today with an abundance of sunshine in place. We’ll be in the 60s for much of the evening with overnight lows likely to be in the mid-50s by 6AM Monday due to increasing cloud coverage across the region.

RAIN & STORMS POSSIBLE MONDAY… Rain will be increasingly likely on Monday as scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms develop across the region. We’ll call it a 30% chance of showers in the morning hours. There could be a few general (likely well under severe limits) thunderstorms involved Monday afternoon, especially across inland counties. While you may hear some thunder and see some lightning in addition to the intermittent rain, any severe storms that happen on Monday will probably occur over central Mississippi into north and west Alabama. High temperatures on Monday will be in the low-70s.

LEVEL 1, LOW-END RISK TO OUR NORTH ON MONDAY… The Storm Prediction Center has included much of central Mississippi and parts of north and west Alabama in their Level 1 (out of 5), low-end, marginal severe weather risk valid for Monday. The main concern is gusty winds that could knock down a few trees, small hail, and perhaps a tornado or two. In Alabama, this risk zone includes Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Livingston, Eutaw, Marion, Centreville, Fayette, Jasper, Hamilton, Russellville, Double Springs, Aliceville, and surrounding areas. Keep in mind, this is a totally different risk than the “main event” severe weather risk coming up on Wednesday into early Thursday.

RAIN & STORMS ON TUESDAY… Rain chances will remain elevated Monday night into Tuesday across south Alabama and northwest Florida. You’ll really feel the warm, unstable air building into our region on Tuesday as high temperatures soar into the upper-70s. The air will be humid, thick, and warm. The moisture will be one “severe weather ingredient” that is plentiful with our severe weather setup Wednesday into Thursday.

5 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN AHEAD FOR NORTHERN HALF OF ALABAMA… Flash flooding will be a concern over the next week across the northern half of Alabama as multiple areas of low pressure cause a prolonged heavy rain event. For now, it seems like the core flash flooding risk will happen along and north of U.S. Highway 80. This means that much of south Alabama and northwest Florida will have 0.5” to 2” of rain in total, with isolated higher amounts. Our forecast calls for a chance of rain each day starting Monday and ending Saturday for our local area, although rain amounts should remain below hazardous/flash flooding values. If you missed the map/post last night about this, see it here.

VIDEO LATER THIS EVENING… I’m in the process of fine tuning some of our severe weather details. I will have a special Sunday evening edition of your forecast video posted by 8PM this evening. Until then, let me know if you have any questions and again, please help me pass this along to folks that may not be as “weather aware” as you are. This could be a significant round of active weather Wednesday into Thursday.

APP ALERTS… Now is the time, a few days before we get to this severe weather potential, to set up the RedZone Weather app on your smartphone! redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the iOS or Android version of the app. Once you have the app downloaded to your device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner of the app), then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

Have a nice Sunday evening!

7:22PM February 8, 2020

5 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN AHEAD FOR NORTHERN HALF OF ALABAMA… Flash flooding will be a concern over the next week across the northern half of Alabama as multiple areas of low pressure cause a prolonged heavy rain event. For now, it seems like the core flash flooding risk will happen along and north of U.S. Highway 80. This means that much of south Alabama and northwest Florida will have 0.5” to 2” of rain in total, with isolated higher amounts. Our forecast calls for a chance of rain each day starting Monday and ending Saturday for our local area, although rain amounts should remain below hazardous/flash flooding values.

STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY… We continue to observe model guidance suggesting yet another round of strong to severe thunderstorms becoming possible late Wednesday into Thursday of the upcoming week. There still are many details to work out and quite a bit can change between now and then, however I would suggest based on trends that we need to keep an eye on midweek for another round of potentially strong to severe storms. I’ll have your full forecast details in my next video, which will be posted by 2PM on Sunday.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

Have a great Saturday evening!

7:15AM February 8, 2020

FEW SHOWERS TODAY; UNSETTLED PATTERN NEXT WEEK… Light rain and sprinkles will be possible over the next few hours on this Saturday. Temperatures will peak in the mid-60s this afternoon under mostly cloudy skies. I expect all of the rain to be gone by 6PM this evening ahead of slightly warmer temperatures tomorrow and mostly sunny skies. Sunday will almost certainly be the nicest day out of the next 7-10 days as numerous showers and rounds of thunderstorms will be likely starting on Monday with no real end in sight. Thanks to Ron Johnson for this sunrise view at Orange Beach sent in via the RedZone Weather app.

RAIN & STORMS AHEAD FOR UPCOMING WEEK… Our area will be in the warm sector south of a stationary frontal boundary starting on Tuesday, meaning rain chances will likely remain elevated throughout the week. There is at least a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms each day from Monday though Friday. High temperatures will be in the 70s each day with morning lows in the 50s and 60s until Friday.

STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY… This is certainly not set in stone yet, but we are observing some model trends that would support a few strong to severe thunderstorms being possible on Thursday. The ECMWF/Euro model has a scenario that is more favorable for severe weather, while the American-based GFS continues to show a pattern that would support just rain with no severe storms. We’ll have to continue to monitor trends over the next few days, but let this serve as an early heads up that we could have yet another round of strong storms in the next 7 days! Our area is very familiar with severe weather in February and this is nothing out of the ordinary. Keep in mind the most recent two EF3 tornadoes happened in the month of February in our area. The first was the February 15, 2016 EF3 tornado that caused extensive damage in Flomaton and Century. The next was the EF3 tornado that struck Pensacola near Scenic Highway on February 23, 2016.

APP… redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the free RedZone Weather app. We post brief updates throughout each day in the app, keeping you up-to-date about the latest happenings in weather across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Once you have the free app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

Have a great Saturday!