6:47AM January 21, 2022

SHOWERS TODAY; SLICK SPOTS POSSIBLE ON LOCAL ROADS; COLD WEEKEND… Take it slow if you’re on the road this morning as we have ongoing areas of sprinkles and light rain happening across the area. These showers may happen in zones where temperatures are at or below freezing, meaning freezing rain will continue to be a possibility over the next hour or two. This means that bridges and roads could become hazardous if ice accumulates in a given area. Rain showers will continue to be possible over the next few hours. Temperatures will remain quite cold into the weekend with a hard freeze likely Saturday night into Sunday. A few more Friday morning forecast notes are below.

RAIN ENDS LATER TODAY; COLD ALL DAY… Showers will continue to move out of our region to the east later today, meaning most of the rain will come to an end by 3PM. We may have a few residual showers into the evening hours, but most spots should be drying out by that point. Temperatures will only peak in the low-40s this afternoon. Some spots across the interior of southwest Alabama may only peak in the upper-30s. Cold day!

CLEARING SKIES SATURDAY AFTERNOON; HIGHS IN 50s THIS WEEKEND… Cloud coverage will gradually diminish in the late morning and early afternoon hours on Saturday. Temperatures will remain quite chilly throughout the weekend with highs on Saturday and Sunday only near 50 each day. Rain is not anticipated on Saturday or Sunday.

HARD FREEZE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING… Saturday night into Sunday morning will feature the coldest temperatures our area has experienced in quite some time. Overnight lows by 6AM Sunday will be in the low- to mid-20s. That is the projected air temperature (aka what you see on the thermometer). That value does not take into account the wind speed, meaning wind chill values will be a bit lower. Please remember to bring outdoor pets inside this weekend during this hard freeze.

NEXT RAIN CHANCE: LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY… Saturday, Sunday, and the daytime hours of Monday are expected to be dry. Our next weather system will set up to our west in the form of a developing area of low pressure on Monday. This system will move across our region late Monday into Tuesday, bringing our next chance of showers.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Friday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great weekend!

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6:07AM January 21, 2022

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY EXPANDED; FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING… Icy bridges and overpasses will continue to be the main concern over the next few hours this morning as areas of freezing rain develop across parts of south Alabama and northwest Florida. The National Weather Service has expanded the ongoing Winter Weather Advisory to now include Escambia (AL), Covington, and portions of Santa Rosa and Okaloosa counties. Please take it slow if you’re driving this morning as ice may develop rather quickly on local bridges.

RADAR UPDATE: LIGHT RAIN HAPPENING AS OF 6AM… Light rain is noted on radar as happening in parts of Escambia (AL) and Santa Rosa counties as of 6 o’clock this morning. It appears more light rain will happen over the next few hours across the southern half of our local area in zones that are included in the Winter Weather Advisory. This would not normally be a problem, but in this case, we have temperatures at or just below 32 degrees, meaning any liquid rain that happens will freeze on contact. Freezing rain will continue to be a possibility through 9-10AM.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TILL NOON… In addition to the previously included counties (Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia [FL]), the National Weather Service has opted to now include all parts of Escambia (AL), Covington, and portions of Santa Rosa and Okaloosa counties in their Winter Weather Advisory valid until Noon. This Winter Weather Advisory is in effect due to the potential of a light ice glaze happening. From NWS Mobile: “Delay travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the vehicle ahead of you. Allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns.”

I’ll have a full forecast video posted by 7:15AM. Have a nice Friday morning and please stay safe!

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9:12PM January 20, 2022

ICY BRIDGES POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING; FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE… If you know someone who may be less “weather aware” than you, please let them know about the potential for freezing rain in parts of our local area tomorrow (Friday) morning. The main window for any freezing rain issues will be from 3AM to 9AM on Friday. We encourage everyone, including folks who may not be included in the highlighted “greatest threat” zone (in the graphic attached) to take some extra time tomorrow morning and take it slow in the morning commute. The forecast has not changed that much since previous updates. Here’s what you need to know tonight:

– A strong, Arctic cold front moved through our area earlier today. Temperatures have crashed into the 30s this evening. Temperatures near freezing are expected by daybreak.

– Scattered rain showers will become possible overnight. Precipitation will fall in the form of liquid rain as there is a mass of warmer (above freezing) air in the mid-levels of the atmosphere. Once the rain falls down to near the surface of the earth, temperatures will be at or near the freezing mark, thus creating an instant “flash freeze” effect, thus causing the potential for minor ice accumulation issues.

– The zone of potential greatest impact from freezing rain has shifted farther SOUTH from previous updates. This is because it appears rain will be more confined to the southern half of the area as opposed to near the I-65 corridor as discussed in previous updates.

– The National Weather Service believes the greatest probability of bridge icing issues will happen in parts of Mobile, Baldwin, and Escambia (FL) counties, thus why they have a “Winter Weather Advisory” out for those counties. Please keep in mind that this advisory area may have to be modified as we go into the overnight, including the possibility that more counties will have to be added into the advisory zone.

– Please keep in mind that this is a low confidence forecast. There IS a chance this event could “overperform” and cause more widespread issues on area roadways. There IS also a chance, however, that the event could “underperform” and rain/precipitation remains completely offshore. There is also a real chance that temperatures remain slightly above freezing (33-35°) at the surface tomorrow morning, potentially helping to limit more widespread icing issues.

– Take it slow in the morning commute tomorrow and be highly aware of the potential for ice on local bridges, overpasses, and puddles on roadways that may freeze over. Please pass this key message to family and friends that may not be as “weather aware” as you are.

– Freezing rain issues are most likely from 3AM to 9AM tomorrow morning. Temperatures will likely warm into the low-40s tomorrow afternoon despite cloud cover hanging tough.

My next forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM Friday morning. Have a nice evening and please stay safe!

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12:29PM January 20, 2022

FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE BUT LESS LIKELY; HARD FREEZE (LOW-20S) SUNDAY MORNING… The chances of sleet and freezing rain happening Friday morning across south Alabama and northwest Florida have lessened somewhat since previous forecast updates. The latest model guidance shows much of the rain and precipitation on Friday morning remaining offshore in the northern Gulf. This scenario has the potential to largely mitigate any freezing rain/icing issues across the local area, IF it verifies. A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for Baldwin, Mobile, and Escambia (FL) counties due to some light rain showers being possible Friday morning that could lead to bridges having ice issues. Regardless of where you specifically are across our local area tomorrow morning, please take it slow and allow extra time for travel tomorrow morning! A few more Thursday afternoon forecast notes are below.

BRIEF WINDOW FOR FREEZING RAIN FRIDAY MORNING… Forecast confidence has been and continues to be LOW regarding the potential for freezing rain and sleet happening across parts of our area Friday morning. The latest high resolution weather model guidance shows most (if not all) of the rain and precipitation remaining to our south over the northern Gulf of Mexico on Friday morning. IF this scenario happened, it would mean most communities would probably not have any significant ice/sleet accumulation issues. The concern now is that a few light rain showers may happen Friday morning that could cause ice accumulation problems on bridges and overpasses. That is why a Winter Weather Advisory has been issued (more info below) for 3 local counties.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR 3 LOCAL COUNTIES… The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Mobile, Baldwin, and Escambia (FL) counties. From NWS MOB: “While still uncertain, there is the potential for light freezing rain overnight tonight into Friday morning. It is possible most rainfall remains over the northern Gulf of Mexico, but any light showers over the advisory area will allow for a light glaze of ice accumulations on elevated surfaces, overpasses, and bridges. Some increased albeit moderate confidence in this scenario has necessitated the issuance of a Winter Weather Advisory.”

HARD FREEZE LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING… Perhaps the most impactful weather hazard over the next 72 hours will be the potential for a hard freeze across much of the region on Saturday night into Sunday. Temperatures will dip well into the 20s by late Saturday night. Some spots, especially communities north of U.S. Highway 84, will be around 20 degrees by Sunday morning at 6AM. That is the air temperature, not the wind chill. The wind chill values will be even lower (mid-10s possible). Please remember to bring outside pets inside during the bitter cold nights that are ahead.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have more updates posted throughout the day and into the night, as needed, in the RedZone Weather app. Have a nice Thursday evening!

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6:52AM January 20, 2022

FREEZING RAIN & SLEET POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING; COLD AIR MOVING IN TODAY… Rain will continue to be possible at times through the middle part of the day on this Thursday. Much cooler air is set to rush into our region today behind the advancing cold front that is crossing the area. High temperatures will actually happen this morning as most spots have been in the 50s and near 60. Temperatures will tumble over the next several hours and most locales will have temperatures in the 40s this afternoon into this evening. Keep those heavy jackets handy as we will have temps in the mid-30s by 9PM.

LULL IN THE PRECIPITATION TONIGHT; COLD TEMPS AHEAD… While rain will exit our region to the east today, this will only be somewhat of a lull in the rain action as we have more rain slated to move in tonight into Friday morning. This rain will pave the way for the potential winter weather event that will set up in the overnight hours and into Friday morning. Temperatures will be in the 30s overnight.

FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE TOMORROW A.M. ACROSS WEST ALABAMA… Mixed precipitation (rain that falls as liquid but freezes on contact, aka freezing rain AND ice pellets or sleet) will become possible tomorrow (Friday) morning across interior stretches of south Alabama and northwest Florida. The corridor for the greatest potential of freezing rain will happen in areas along and west of Interstate 65.

COLD, PARTLY CLOUDY WEEKEND… The weekend will feature cold temperatures with partly cloudy skies. High temperatures this weekend will be in the upper-40s and low-50s across the region. The chance of any rain this weekend remains low.

NEXT RAIN CHANCE: TUESDAY… Our next chance of rain (after Friday) will happen on Tuesday as another area of low pressure develops to our west and ultimately moves near or right over our local area. Right now, the chances of any severe weather issues or any winter weather issues seem rather low. Temperatures should be well above the freezing mark, thus we are expecting precipitation to be in the form of rain for the duration of the storm system passing across our region.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Friday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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12:24PM January 19, 2022

MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST ALABAMA FRIDAY MORNING… Freezing rain will become possible across parts of southwest Alabama on Friday morning, potentially causing hazardous travel where ice accumulation happens on local roadways and bridges. For most communities (specifically in northwest Florida and in coastal Alabama), this will simply be an event with a cold rain with no major travel issues. Communities farther inland in parts of Monroe, Clarke, and Washington counties, however, have the greatest chance of experiencing freezing rain that could make travel a bit more difficult on Friday morning. Before we get to the main “winter weather event” on Friday, we have a round of rain set to move by tonight into Thursday. A few more Wednesday afternoon forecast notes are below.

RAIN LIKELY TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY… Cloud coverage will continue to increase across south Alabama and northwest Florida this afternoon into this evening ahead of increasing rain chances setting up in the overnight hours and into Thursday morning. Showers and perhaps a thunderstorm or two will happen Thursday morning as a frontal boundary slides across our region. Rain chances will go down throughout the day on Thursday. Temperatures will start around 6AM near 60 degrees, but we’ll be in the 40s by tomorrow afternoon as cold air rushes in from the north. It should be emphasized that no freezing rain or mixed precipitation is expected tonight or on Thursday.

FREEZING RAIN & SLEET POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING… A fairly narrow corridor of freezing rain (rain that falls as liquid water but then freezes on contact) will be possible Friday morning across inland areas of southwest Alabama. This corridor of freezing rain and/or sleet will be most likely to happen in areas along and west of Interstate 65. This means that Monroe, Clarke, Washington, northern Mobile, northern Baldwin, and western Butler counties are the zones where freezing rain is most likely to happen.

COLD RAIN FARTHER TO THE SOUTH… A few bridge icing issues may also happen in parts of Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia (AL), Conecuh, northern Covington, and Butler counties, but at this point, it seems that widespread issues will not happen in these zones. Most communities in these counties will likely have a cold rain on Friday morning.

NO MAJOR ISSUES CURRENTLY EXPECTED FOR NORTHWEST FLORIDA… No significant winter weather issues are expected across northwest Florida, although a few bridge icing issues in far northern Escambia (FL) County are not completely out of the realm of possibilities. A cold rain is expected across northwest Florida with no major issues.

NOT AN EXTREME ICE STORM… I mentioned in this morning’s forecast video that the truth of what will likely happen in this winter weather event will likely not be one extreme or the other, meaning a crippling ice storm is NOT expected and a “no impact” cold rain is also not expected for the entire region. This means the truth of what will happen is probably in the middle of those outlier, extreme solutions. Minor ice accumulation is the most likely solution across southwest Alabama with a cold rain for the rest of our region. This continues to be a highly uncertain, volatile forecast situation that is subject to large changes very quickly over the next 36 hours until this potential winter weather event begins. Winter weather events in the Deep South are incredibly difficult to forecast, and this event is no exception. There inevitably WILL be some surprises along the way as we get into Friday.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

I will have updates throughout the day and into this evening in the RedZone Weather app. My next detailed forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. Have a nice Wednesday evening!

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6:53AM January 19, 2022

RAIN OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY; FREEZING RAIN/SLEET POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING… Cloud coverage will increase on this Wednesday ahead of increasing rain chances tonight into Thursday. Showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms will be possible on Thursday morning. There is a chance rain may transition to sleet or freezing rain (causing ice issues) across part of our local area on Friday. Forecast confidence in that scenario remain QUITE low, and it should be vehemently emphasized that significant forecast changes will be possible over the next 48 hours. Most likely, MOST of us across south Alabama and northwest Florida will simply have a cold rain on Friday with little in the way of significant impacts. This weekend has trended drier and colder. Let’s look at a few Wednesday morning forecast notes, below.

INCREASING CLOUDINESS TODAY; WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK… Clouds will continue to increase in coverage across south Alabama and northwest Florida today. High temperatures today will be in the upper-60s. Some locales may briefly hit 70 degrees this afternoon in what will almost certainly be the warmest day out of the next 10 days.

RAIN LIKELY OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY… While no mixed precipitation is expected tonight or into early Thursday, we may have a few rumbles of thunder, particularly near the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches tomorrow morning. Rain will be most likely in the morning hours of Thursday, although a few showers may happen in the P.M. hours as well. Highs on Thursday will be in the low-50s.

ICE & FREEZING RAIN ISSUES POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING… Here is where forecast confidence is quite low as we have plenty of uncertainty as to exactly how the atmosphere will look (and thus what you can expect in terms of potential impacts in your hometown). There is a chance of colder air moving in on Friday that could “over run” with some of the exiting rain in the morning hours. This means that a zone of sleet (ice pellets falling from the sky) or freezing rain (rain that falls as a liquid but freezes on contact due to air temperatures being at 30-32°) may be possible across part of the area.

ICE ISSUES MOST LIKELY ALONG AND WEST OF I-65… The zone where freezing rain and/or sleet may be most possible could end up setting up along and west of the Interstate 65 corridor. This means parts of northern Mobile, northern Baldwin, western Conecuh, Monroe, Clarke, Washington, Wilcox, and Choctaw counties have the greatest chance of experiencing ice and sleet on Friday morning. Right now, this is a “best guess,” based on the latest incoming model data. More data will clarify what is ahead in the next 48 hours.

Please check back in for updates over the next 2 days as we continue to get more data in to determine exactly what you can expect regarding the ice/sleet potential.

COLD, PARTLY CLOUDY WEEKEND… The weekend has trended toward a drier forecast solution. High temperatures this weekend will be in the 50s with morning lows in the mid- to upper-20s. A few passing clouds will be possible each day.

ANOTHER RAIN CHANCE SETS UP TUESDAY… Showers will return on Tuesday, and perhaps with that comes the next chance of some winter weather issues across parts of the Deep South. Way too early for any details on that, but confidence is growing that we will have a frontal boundary sliding by that will (at minimum) cause scattered showers to develop. Temperatures early next week will peak in the 50s with morning lows in the 30s.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Wednesday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:53AM January 18, 2022

SUNNY TUESDAY; COLD RAIN LIKELY THIS WEEKEND… Sunshine is the story on this Tuesday ahead of rain setting up for Wednesday night into Thursday. Another round of rain this weekend will likely cause significant snow/ice issues across parts of the Deep South. Right now, the greatest probability of snow and/or mild precipitation appears to likely set up across areas just to our north and east. It is too early to know for sure exactly where the “demarcation line” for snow and ice will be this weekend. Most likely, it will be north or east of our local area. Before we get to any potential for snow and ice, we do have rain on the way for Wednesday night into Thursday as a cold front moves across our region. A few more Monday forecast notes are below.

SUNNY TODAY; MOSTLY CLEAR TONIGHT… Full sunshine is expected across the region today. High temperatures will be in the upper-50s and near 60 in most spots. Overnight, other than a few passing clouds, a calm, cool night is expected. Overnight lows by 6AM Wednesday will be in the 40s.

SHOWERS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY; RAIN LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT… A cold front will approach the area from the northwest on Wednesday, paving the way for a few showers to develop in the afternoon and evening hours. Highs on Wednesday will approach the 70 degree mark in many locales. Rain chances will steadily increase throughout the day and become higher in the overnight hours. Widespread severe weather is not anticipated with this passing weather system, although there may be a few rumbles of thunder near the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. Much cooler air will arrive on Thursday into Friday.

MORE RAIN POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND; SNOW/MIX UNCERTAIN… Forecast confidence continues to be rather low as we approach the upcoming weekend. An area of low pressure is expected to develop to our west, and exactly where that happens will determine quite a bit regarding our local forecast for the weekend. What we know: Rain will be likely at times Friday into Saturday. This likely will be a cold, miserable rain. What we don’t know: Is snow or mixed precipitation a real possibility locally? Most models suggest not, although there have been a few outlier models that show at least some snow or mixed precipitation mixing in with the rain passing through the area this weekend.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Tuesday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:50AM January 17, 2022

CLEARING SKIES TODAY; WINTRY MIX OR SNOW THIS WEEKEND?… Skies will become sunny on this Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. holiday with high temperatures projected to be in the mid-50s. Winds will continue to be out of the northwest at 5-10 mph, although gusts as high as 20 mph will continue to be possible today. Cold temperatures are expected in the overnight hours with some spots north of US84 likely dipping into the upper-20s by daybreak on Tuesday. Most spots will be around 30 degrees by daybreak. Our next rain chance happens Wednesday night into Thursday when scattered showers will be possible. The real forecast challenge happens this weekend when an area of low pressure may develop and move by to the south of our area. That is when we have a potential chance of snow and/or mixed precipitation. It is too early to know any specifics, but in some scenarios, snow will be a possibility locally. Please check back in over the next several days as we approach this potential event.

COLD TEMPS OVERNIGHT; SUNNY TUESDAY AHEAD… Temperatures will be below the freezing mark by 6AM Tuesday in many spots across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Upper-20s are likely in communities like Thomasville, Monroeville, Beatrice, Peterman, Fulton, Coffeeville, Gilbertown, Greeenville, Georgiana, and McKenzie. South of U.S. Highway 84, low-30s are likely. Sunshine expected throughout the day on Tuesday will help to moderate temperatures into the mid- to upper-50s tomorrow afternoon.

INCREASING CLOUDINESS WEDNESDAY; A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE… Clouds will increase in coverage on Wednesday ahead of a few rain showers becoming possible late in the evening hours. High temperatures on Wednesday will be in the upper-60s.

RAIN LIKELY THURSDAY… Showers will become likely on Thursday, particularly in the morning hours, as a frontal boundary approaches our area from the northwest. This will be an “all rain” system with no real chance of snow or mixed precipitation noted as the air temperatures and the atmospheric profile will simply be too warm. A few storms may be possible in some scenarios on Thursday, although widespread severe weather seems rather unlikely.

FORECAST UNCERTAINTY FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND… Forecast uncertainty is HIGH for Saturday and Sunday as an area of low pressure develops to our west and ultimately moves near or over south Alabama and northwest Florida. Some forecast models have hinted at the possibility of snow or freezing rain for parts of our area while many other models point to an “all rain” scenario with snow and mixed precipitation being more likely to our north. We simply do not have the skill set to be able to hone in on specifics this far out (6 days). The big takeaway right now is that we will have the right set of ingredients in place to potentially support a cold rain, sleet, freezing rain, or snow SOMEWHERE across parts of the Deep South this weekend. Too early to know anything beyond that.

SNOW LOVERS: DON’T GET TOO EXCITED JUST YET… Snow is one of those things that elicits a lot of good feelings from many folks across our area, and rightfully so. Snow is a rarity around here. There IS a chance of some scenarios that could produce snow or mixed precipitation across our area this weekend, but I would encourage you (if you are a snow lover) not to get too excited just yet. Why? Because we have several days until this potential event and a lot can and WILL change in the forecast between now and then. I’ll continue to review the latest data and keep you posted in the days ahead in the RedZone Weather app.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Monday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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7:15PM January 14, 2022

FEW STORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY EVENING; SNOW NOT EXPECTED LOCALLY… Heavy rain and thunderstorms will be possible on Saturday, primarily in the afternoon and evening hours, as a dynamic, upper-level disturbance moves across the Deep South. While rain and storms will be possible (including a low-end risk of a few stronger storms closer to the immediate coast), accumulating snow and mixed precipitation are not expected across south Alabama and northwest Florida. If you are looking for snow, you’ll probably have to go to areas north of Birmingham or farther northeast into the foothills of the Appalachian Mountains. Locally, gusty winds and perhaps a brief tornado or two may happen in coastal Alabama or northwest Florida on Saturday. The main window for any severe weather issues will happen in the late afternoon and early evening hours. A few more Friday evening forecast notes are below.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – SATURDAY EVENING… 2PM to 10PM will be the eight hour window on Saturday evening when strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across parts of northwest Florida and coastal Alabama. It should be emphasized this is a conditional risk, meaning there is a real chance all of our local communities won’t have any severe weather issues.

MAIN CONCERN: GUSTY WINDS & PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO… This is a very low-end risk of severe storms setting up for Saturday P.M. Could a tornado or two happen near the coast? Yes. That is a possibility. However, odds are IF any severe storms happen, the main concern will be gusty winds in the stronger storms that could topple a few trees. The overall setup simply is not too impressive to support severe storms. Again, a remote chance, yes. A significant chance of severe storms, NO.

SNOW & MIXED PRECIP MOST LIKELY NORTH OF BIRMINGHAM… The upper-level low pressure area responsible for the potential for noisy storms in our local area on Saturday evening is also responsible for a potential winter storm that could bring snow, freezing rain, and sleet to areas to our north and east on Saturday into Sunday. Right now, the greatest chance of snow and frozen precipitation looks to happen in areas north of Birmingham, Alabama. Huntsville, Cullman, Hamilton, Muscle Shoals, Russellville, Moulton, Decatur, Boaz, Scottsboro, Fort Payne, Mentone, Gadsden, and Athens in the northern part of Alabama have the greatest chance tomorrow of experiencing snow or mixed precipitation. Temperatures are expected to be too warm for any wintry precipitation across south Alabama and northwest Florida.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

I will have updates posted throughout the weekend in the RedZone Weather app. If we happen to have any tornado warnings locally, of course we will go into our nonstop, live coverage. Have a nice weekend!

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6:51AM January 14, 2022

RAIN LIKELY SATURDAY P.M. BUT NO SNOW OR MIXED PRECIP LOCALLY… Clouds will increase in coverage today ahead of higher rain chances Saturday evening into Saturday night as a strong upper-level low pressure area crosses the Deep South. While snow and mixed precipitation is NOT expected locally across the southern half of Alabama or northwest Florida, locales in the northern half of Alabama could have wintry precipitation Saturday evening into Saturday night. What part of our area could have are a few strong to marginally severe thunderstorms on Saturday evening, specifically in parts of northwest Florida. Cloudy, cold conditions will happen on Sunday ahead of much nicer weather early next week. A few more Friday morning forecast notes are below.

INCREASING CLOUDINESS TODAY INTO TONIGHT… Mostly sunny skies will transition to mostly cloudy skies by the end of the day on this Friday. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-60s. Rain is not expected today, but we will be looking ahead to Saturday when quite a bit of rain is likely, particularly in the P.M. hours.

SHOWERS LIKELY AT TIMES SATURDAY EVENING… Rain will become likely Saturday, mainly in the afternoon and evening hours, as an upper-level low pressure center approaches from the northwest. It should be emphasized that snow and mixed precipitation is currently NOT in the forecast for any part of south Alabama or northwest Florida. Confidence is quite high that any wintry precipitation issues will happen well to our north and east. A few thunderstorms may be possible across the local area Saturday, although that idea is far from certain as it remains to be seen just how much atmospheric instability exists in the afternoon and evening hours.

LOW-END SEVERE WEATHER RISK P.M. SATURDAY… The Storm Prediction Center includes parts of northwest Florida in a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid for Saturday P.M. into early Sunday A.M. There will be plenty of shear and plenty of dynamic forcing to support thunderstorms that could become strong on Saturday, however, the big question mark remains just how much surface-based instability develops ahead of the advancing cold front. The reality is we simply do not know the answer to that questions. Some models show basically zero instability while others show sufficient values to support a few stronger storms. This is a conditional risk of severe weather, meaning there is a significant chance no severe storms will happen. On the flip side, some storms could become strong in some scenarios. Most communities will simply have a cold rain Saturday night.

CLOUDY, COLD SUNDAY EXPECTED… Clouds wrapping around the counterclockwise circulation of the large upper low will continue to stream into our region on Sunday, meaning much of the day will be cloudy and quite cold. Temperatures will likely be held in the 40s on Sunday.

SUNSHINE RETURNS MONDAY & TUESDAY… Sunny skies will return Monday and extend into Tuesday. High temperatures will be in the mid-50s each day with overnight lows near 30. There is a chance some communities may briefly dip into the upper-20s Monday night into Tuesday morning.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Friday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great weekend!

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6:56AM January 13, 2022

SUNNY TODAY; RAIN RETURNS THIS WEEKEND AS UPPER LOW MOVES BY… Gorgeous weather conditions are expected on this Thursday across south Alabama and northwest Florida ahead of increasing rain chances this weekend. It appears parts of the Deep South will have some snow and/or mixed precipitation on Saturday night into Sunday as an upper-level low pressure area moves by to the east. These particular weather systems can be notoriously challenging to forecast and can often feature some forecast “surprises.” One surprise that seems rather unlikely, however, to happen across our local area is snow and mixed precipitation. Chances of snow are just a bit higher to our north and east across parts of northeast Alabama and northern Georgia. A few more Thursday morning forecast notes are below.

NICE WEATHER TODAY & ON FRIDAY… Mostly sunny skies are likely across the region on this Thursday. High temperatures will be in the mid-60s today. Cloud coverage will increase across the region tomorrow ahead of higher rain chances on Saturday into early Sunday.

RAIN LIKELY AT TIMES SATURDAY EVENING… An upper-level low pressure area will cross Alabama from west to east on Saturday, bringing with it a chance of showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms to our local area. Right now, severe weather parameters continue to be near zero, although the risk of a strong storm that produces gusty winds isn’t exactly out of the realm of possibilities.

SNOW & MIXED PRECIP POSSIBLE TO OUR NORTH… Areas of sleet, freezing rain, and snow may become possible across northeast Alabama and north Georgia on Saturday into Sunday morning as the aforementioned area of low pressure continues pushing to the east. There is a chance for considerable travel impacts in these areas, although details remain a bit murky as we are still ~2 days out from the event. Please stay tuned to the latest information if you have travel plans to northeast Alabama, north Georgia, southeastern Tennessee, or the western Carolinas over the next few days.

CLEARING SKIES SUNDAY… Skies will gradually become sunny on Sunday as clouds continue to clear out. High temperatures will likely be in the 40s as cold, continental air wraps around the exiting area of low pressure to our east.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Thursday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:56AM January 12, 2022

MORE SUNSHINE TODAY; RAIN RETURNS THIS WEEKEND… Mostly sunny skies are ahead on this Wednesday with high temperatures likely to be in the mid- to upper-50s. Cool temperatures will persist into the evening and overnight hours. By Wednesday morning at 6AM, most locales will be around the freezing mark. More sunshine is ahead for Thursday and Friday ahead of an increasing chance of a few showers on Saturday. An upper-level low pressure system will move across the Deep South, ushering in moisture from the south allowing showers to form across the region on Saturday evening. Severe weather seems rather unlikely, however there is at least some chance that communities farther to our north (across the northern parts of Alabama) could have snow or mixed precipitation this weekend. That is NOT a certainty, however, and we still have a few days to go before model data will be reliable enough to know if snowfall in the northern half of the state is a real possibility. A few more Wednesday morning forecast notes are below.

SUNNY SKIES ON THURSDAY & FRIDAY… Sunny skies are ahead for tomorrow (Thursday) and Friday. High temperatures will be in the 60s each day with morning lows in the upper-30s.

RAIN POSSIBLE SATURDAY IN AFTERNOON & EVENING HOURS… Showers will become possible on Saturday, particularly later in the day, as an upper-level low pressure area moves across the region. Highs on Saturday will be in the 60s. I expect a few thunderstorms to be possible in the Gulf waters just south of our local area, but storm coverage on Saturday will likely be limited over land areas due to the lack of instability across the region.

CLEARING SKIES ON SUNDAY… Clouds will gradually move out on Sunday with high temperatures likely to be near 50. Clouds may persist throughout the morning hours, but we expect a gradual clearing sky late in the day.

NICE START TO NEXT WEEK… Mostly sunny skies are expected for the Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. holiday on Monday. Highs will be in the 50s on Monday and on Tuesday.

APP… Many updates will be posted throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Be sure to visit the Alerts tab (bottom right corner) and tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize the alerts you’d like to receive from me. If you like a lot of info, be sure to toggle ON Low-Level Alerts.

See all the details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:52AM January 11, 2022

SUNNY, COOL TUESDAY; NEXT RAIN CHANCE: SATURDAY… Sunny, cool conditions are expected on this Tuesday across south Alabama and northwest Florida. High temperatures will be in the mid- to upper-50s today. Overnight lows will again be near or just below the freezing mark by 6AM Wednesday. More sunshine is ahead for Thursday and Friday. High temperatures will climb into the 60s each day. A few showers will become possible this weekend, particularly on Saturday and perhaps on Sunday morning. Cool temperatures will persist into early next week as a reinforcing shot of cooler air arrives from the north. A few more Tuesday morning forecast notes are below.

SEASONAL FEW DAYS AHEAD… More sunshine is ahead for Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. High temperatures will consistently be around the 60 degree mark each day. Overnight lows will be 30s and 40s each day.

RAIN POSSIBLE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY… An upper-level low pressure system will arrive this weekend, bringing with it the chance of a few showers on Saturday. Rain amounts will generally be fairly light across the region, but we are expecting plenty of cloud cover on Saturday with showers being most likely to happen in the afternoon and evening hours. A few showers may happen through Sunday morning. The moisture associated with the upper low will be gone by Sunday afternoon.

APP… Many updates will be posted throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Be sure to visit the Alerts tab (bottom right corner) and tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize the alerts you’d like to receive from me. If you like a lot of info, be sure to toggle ON Low-Level Alerts.

See all the details in your Tuesday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:54AM January 10, 2022

CLEARING SKIES TODAY; NICE, SEASONAL FEW DAYS AHEAD… Clouds will continue to clear out today with much cooler temperatures in place compared to yesterday. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-50s across the region on this Monday. Cold nights are ahead with lows near or just below the freezing mark expected through Wednesday morning. Looking ahead, our next rain chance will set up this weekend although details concerning the potential for any severe weather issues remain a bit uncertain. A few more Monday morning forecast notes are below.

COLD NIGHTS AHEAD… Overnight lows will be near or just below the freezing mark by daybreak on Tuesday and on Wednesday. Cool days and cold nights will persist until we get to the end of the week when temperatures will moderate into the 60s by Friday.

TORNADO DAMAGE LAST NIGHT IN PARTS OF CONECUH AND BUTLER COUNTIES… The National Weather Service plans to conduct storm assessments into the tornado(es) that happened yesterday evening near McKenzie, AL and in parts of Conecuh County. I will post in the RedZone Weather app as soon as an Enhanced Fujita scale rating is assigned. That may be today or at some point tomorrow.

APP… Many updates will be posted throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Be sure to visit the Alerts tab (bottom right corner) and tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize the alerts you’d like to receive from me. If you like a lot of info, be sure to toggle ON Low-Level Alerts.

See all the details in your Monday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great start to the week!

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7:40AM January 9, 2022

SLIGHTLY HIGHER SEVERE WEATHER RISK LATER TODAY… The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded part of southwest Alabama into their Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid for later today (Sunday, January 9). This means that scattered instances of severe storms, including damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes, will be possible. MOST communities will simply have rain and general thunderstorms at times, but a few stronger storms will be possible, mainly across inland areas. Timing for this severe weather potential has not changed since our last detailed update: Noon to 9PM remains the time frame when storms are most likely to develop. Please have a way to get urgent weather warnings this afternoon into this evening.

STORM TIMING TODAY – P.M. HOURS… A few isolated thunderstorms can’t completely be ruled out this morning, but the “better combination of atmospheric ingredients” will set up in the afternoon and evening hours. Noon to 9PM will be the time frame when storms are most likely to develop. We may see a few isolated storms develop early this afternoon ahead of a line of strong to potentially marginally severe storms moving through in the evening hours. Storms should be east of our area before midnight, thus the severe weather threat should be completely done by then.

LEVEL 2 (OUT OF 5) RISK ZONE FOR INLAND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA… The Storm Prediction Center chose to upgrade parts of southwest Alabama into their Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk zone, in addition to including parts of southern Mississippi and eastern Louisiana. The following counties are included in the Level 2 (out of 5) risk zone: Washington, Clarke, Choctaw, Marengo, Monroe, Wilcox, Butler, Conecuh, western Escambia (AL), northern Baldwin, and northern Mobile counties. These are the zones that have the greatest chance of experiencing a strong to severe thunderstorm today and where the overall tornado risk will be a bit greater.

LOWER END RISK FARTHER SOUTHEAST… All parts of northwest Florida, much of Covington, eastern Escambia (AL), and southern portions of Mobile and Baldwin counties are involved in the lower-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk zone. These areas still may have a stronger storm or two, but the risk is clearly a bit greater farther inland.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have more updates later today in the RedZone Weather app. Have a great Sunday!

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11:38AM January 8, 2022

GUSTY WINDS & A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUNDAY… A few strong to marginally severe thunderstorms may be possible on Sunday, mainly in the afternoon and evening hours, as a cold front approaches our area from the northwest. The main concern in any stronger storms that may develop will be gusty winds capable of knocking down a few trees or perhaps a brief tornado or two. The severe weather risk locally will mainly be confined to the afternoon and evening hours with the main concern being from Noon to 9PM. Most communities will simply have rain at times tomorrow.

STORM TIMING ON SUNDAY – P.M. HOURS… A few isolated thunderstorms can’t completely be ruled out on Sunday morning, but the “better combination of atmospheric ingredients” will set up in the afternoon and evening hours. Noon to 9PM will be the time frame when storms are most likely to develop. We may see a few isolated storms develop early in the afternoon ahead of a line of strong to potentially marginally severe storms moving through in the evening hours.

MAIN CONCERN: GUSTY WINDS IN STRONGER STORMS… While a brief tornado or two cannot completely be ruled out, the main concern on Sunday will be gusty winds capable of downing a few trees across the region. Heavy rain will be possible as the line of storms passes through your specific community on Sunday. I will have radar updates posted throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app.

LEVEL 1 (OUT OF 5) RISK FOR MOST LOCAL COMMUNITIES… Other than communities in southern Santa Rosa and southern Okaloosa counties, the remainder of southwest Alabama and northwest Florida is involved in the low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid for Sunday. This means that all parts of Baldwin, Mobile, Escambia (AL), Conecuh, Butler, Covington, Monroe, Clarke, and Washington counties are involved in the low-end risk zone. Much of Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, and far northern Okaloosa counties are involved in this low-end severe weather risk zone as well.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have more updates later today and into tomorrow in the RedZone Weather app. Have a great Saturday evening!

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6:51AM January 7, 2022

SUNSHINE TODAY & TOMORROW; RAIN & STORMS LIKELY SUNDAY IN P.M. HOURS… Mostly sunny skies are likely on this Friday across south Alabama and northwest Florida. High temperatures will only be in the mid-50s, so keep the jackets handy throughout the day. Cold temperatures are ahead for the overnight hours. Some locales, especially communities north of U.S. Highway 84 in southwest Alabama, may briefly hit the freezing mark by 6AM on Saturday. Clouds will increase in coverage late in the day on Saturday ahead of rain and thunderstorms becoming possible on Sunday. A few strong to marginally severe thunderstorms may develop just to our west on Sunday, although parameters currently appear rather unfavorable for any severe weather issues in our local area. Cooler air arrives Sunday night after the passage of a cold front. Highs on Monday will drop back into the 50s with lows in the 30s early next week. A few more Friday morning forecast notes are below.

COOL DAY; COLD NIGHT AHEAD… High temperatures today will struggle to get to 55 degrees in many communities despite plenty of sunshine this afternoon. Temperatures will dip to the 30-35° range by daybreak on Saturday morning. By Saturday afternoon, temperatures will rebound into the 60s. Saturday night into Sunday morning won’t be nearly as chilly with most spots having an overnight low in the upper-40s and low-50s.

QUICK WARMUP BY SUNDAY; STORMS LIKELY IN EVENING HOURS… Gulf moisture will stream in from the south throughout the day on Sunday with wind gusts as high as 20 mph. This prolific moisture will support scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout the day on Sunday. A low-end severe weather risk may exist in areas just to our west on Sunday in the daytime hours, specifically across parts of southern Mississippi and eastern Louisiana. Rain and storms should clear out to the east by early Monday morning.

COOL, STABLE WEATHER DAYS EARLY NEXT WEEK… Sunny, nice days kick off again on Monday. High temperatures will be in the 50s Monday, Tuesday, and on Wednesday. Overnight lows will be in the 30s.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Monday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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4:09PM January 6, 2022

SHOWERS DRIFTING SOUTHEAST… The broken line of showers we have been tracking over the last several hours continues to drift southeast. Rain will move into areas near Spanish Fort, Loxley, Bay Minette, Perdido, Atmore, and Red Level within the next 30 minutes or so.

Not everyone will have rain before the end of the day. Temperatures remain in the 70s out ahead of the cold front that is moving southeast across the area. Temperatures will be in the 30s by daybreak on Friday.

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3:17PM January 6, 2022

SHOWERS MOVING EAST… A broken line of showers continues to push eastward across south Alabama and northwest Florida this evening. Rain is happening near Mt. Vernon, Uriah, Repton, Range, and Tensaw.

These showers will move into areas near Evergreen, Castleberry, Lenox, Poarch, Huxford, and Stockton over the next 30 minutes.

Some communities may not get any rain today as this is a broken (noncontinuous) line of showers. No severe weather issues are expected today. Can’t completely rule out a few lightning strikes and claps of thunder, but even that is questionable.

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6:50AM January 6, 2022

RAIN LIKELY AT TIMES TODAY; MUCH COOLER TOMORROW… Showers will be possible on this Thursday as a cold front moves across our region. While organized severe weather is not expected, I cannot completely rule out a few claps of thunder, particularly in communities closer to the coast. Temperatures will surge to around 70 degrees this afternoon before the frontal boundary moves through. Overnight lows on Friday morning (tomorrow) will be near freezing in most locales. Highs on Friday will only be in the mid-50s. Overall, we’re expecting nice weather on Friday and Saturday ahead of a slightly more active weather pattern setting up for Sunday as another cold front approaches from the north. Early next week (starting Monday) looks nice with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s. A few more Thursday morning forecast notes are below.

SNOW & MIXED PRECIP ISSUES TO OUR NORTH THIS MORNING… Rain will happen locally today, but we note that snow and mixed precipitation (sleet and freezing rain) will be possible across the far northern part of Alabama today near Huntsville, Florence, and Scottsboro. A Winter Weather Advisory continues over the next few hours for many counties in the far northern part of the state. Please be aware of the potential for hazardous travel conditions if you’re headed to north Alabama or Tennessee today.

RAIN MOST LIKELY TO HAPPEN IN P.M. HOURS TODAY… Locally, no wintry precipitation issues are expected today, but we will have a decaying line of showers moving across our region this afternoon into this evening. Thunderstorms will happen closer to the immediate coast or just offshore. Severe storms are not expected today due to the lack of instability.

COLD FRONT ARRIVES TONIGHT… Another shot of cold air will arrive tonight after the passage of the cold front. Temperatures will be in the 30s across the entire region by daybreak on Friday. There is a chance some communities, particularly locales north of U.S. Highway 84, could dip just below the freezing mark by 6AM on Friday.

NICE FRIDAY & SATURDAY… Sunshine will return on Friday with high temperatures in the 50s. Highs will be in the mid-60s on Saturday.

RAIN & STORMS LIKELY SUNDAY… Thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday, perhaps in multiple rounds, as a cold front approaches from the northwest. Details are still a bit murky, but it does look like there will be enough instability to spark off a few thunderstorms. The overall severe weather risk will likely remain fairly low, however. Highs on Sunday will be in the mid-70s.

MORE COOLER AIR EARLY NEXT WEEK… After the passage of another cold front on Sunday evening, Monday is slated to be much cooler. High temperatures will be in the upper-50s on Monday. Overnight lows by Tuesday morning will again be near the freezing mark in many spots across inland sections of south Alabama. The middle part of the upcoming week looks seasonal with highs in the 50s through Wednesday.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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8:07PM January 5, 2022

DEEP SOUTH REMAINS “TORNADO WATCH CAPITAL” OF AMERICA… Alabama and the Deep South had the most number of tornado watches issued in the year 2021 compared to any other part of the nation. 2021 was the third consecutive year that the Deep South had more tornado watches issued compared to any other region. 177 total tornado watches were issued in 2021, compared to 188 in 2019 and 151 in 2020.

This persistent statistic highlights the importance of being “weather ready” year round where we live. Tornadoes can happen any month of the year, but are most likely to happen in January, February, March, April, May, November, and December. March and April typically are the most active severe weather months across the Deep South.

I’ll have your next full forecast video and text discussion posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. Have a nice evening!

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6:51AM January 5, 2022

INCREASING CLOUDINESS TODAY; FEW SHOWERS THURSDAY… Clouds will increase in coverage across south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Wednesday ahead of increasing rain chances on Thursday as a frontal boundary slides by the area. High temperatures today will be in the low- to mid-60s. Showers will become possible as early as tonight, but most of the rain that happens over the next 36 hours will happen in the daytime hours of Thursday. Severe storms are not expected on Thursday and I expect any thunderstorms to be confined to the northern Gulf of Mexico as instability values across land areas will likely be meager at best. Sunshine returns for Friday and Saturday ahead of our next cold front slated to move by on Sunday. Rain and storms will become likely at times on Sunday. A few more Wednesday morning forecast notes are below.

RAIN POSSIBLE AT TIMES TOMORROW… Scattered showers will be possible at times on Thursday as a weak area of low pressure moves by our region. There is a chance some communities may not have much rain at all, but some communities may pick up as much as half of one inch of rain in total. Thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday and the severe weather risk remains at zero. Highs on Thursday will approach 70 degrees in many spots across the region.

SUNNY & COOL ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY… After the passage of a cold front on Thursday night, cooler, drier air will filter into the local area from the northwest. Sunny skies will return for Friday and Saturday. High temperatures will be in the 50s on Friday and low-60s Saturday. Overnight lows on Friday night will be in the mid-30s.

RAIN & STORMS LIKELY AT TIMES SUNDAY… Showers and thunderstorms will again become likely on Sunday as another cold front approaches from the north. Rain chances will be in the 60-70% range across the region. For now, it looks like the main zone for any low-end severe weather issues may set up to our northwest across parts of the Mississippi Valley region. Highs on Sunday will be in the low-70s.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

See all the details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:56AM January 4, 2022

MOSTLY SUNNY & COOL TODAY; NEXT RAIN CHANCE: THURSDAY… We begin the gradual process of warming up on this Tuesday. High temperatures will be in the mid-50s across south Alabama and northwest Florida today. Cold temperatures are ahead for the overnight hours, but not AS cold as previous nights. Most locales will end up in the upper-30s by daybreak on Wednesday. Rain is slated to return to the local area on Thursday as a weak impulse moves by our region ahead of another shot of cold air for Friday and Saturday. Scattered thunderstorms may become possible on Sunday. I’ve got all of your Tuesday morning forecast notes below.

NOT AS COLD, BUT STILL CHILLY TONIGHT… Temperatures will fall into the upper-30s by daybreak on Wednesday, especially in areas along and north of U.S. Highway 84 in southwest Alabama. Some communities closer to the immediate coast will have an overnight low in the 40s. Fortunately, the wind chill factor will not be as pronounced as previous nights as wind speeds are expected to be near calm.

INCREASING CLOUDINESS WEDNESDAY… Clouds will increase in coverage from west to east on Wednesday ahead of rain becoming possible on Thursday. High temperatures will be in the mid-60s. Rain is not expected on Wednesday, but showers will become possible on Thursday in the morning hours.

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE THURSDAY… Widespread rain and thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday, but we could have a few widely scattered showers and maybe even a thunderstorm or two closer to the immediate coast. Highs on Thursday will be near the 70 degree mark. A cold front will move by late in the day on Thursday, ushering in another shot of cooler air.

SUNNY SKIES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY… Cool, stable air will be in place on Friday and on Saturday across our local area. High temperatures on Friday will drop back into the 50s. Overnight lows on Friday night into Saturday will be in the mid-30s.

SCATTERED STORMS POSSIBLE SUNDAY… Our next weather system that has a small chance of strong storms will move by our region on Sunday. Highs on Sunday will again be near the 70 degree mark. Winds will be out of the south, meaning Gulf moisture will have a chance to push inland and potentially spark off a few storms. It is a bit too early to know if severe storms will be a real possibility, but that is something we will be watching in the days ahead.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

See all the details in your Tuesday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:52PM January 3, 2022

QUITE CHILLY TODAY; FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN AHEAD… Winter has officially returned this morning as most locales have temperatures near or just below the freezing mark as we start the day. High temperatures will only be in the mid- to upper-40s today as a strong north wind continues to usher in colder air. Overnight lows will again drop to near or just below freezing by 6AM Tuesday. Slightly warmer days are ahead through Wednesday. Our next rain chance will happen Thursday when a few showers may become possible.

HIGH TEMPS IN THE 40s TODAY; LOWS BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT… There is a high chance that the vast majority of communities across our region will not get to 50 degrees this afternoon, meaning most of us will be stuck in the mid- to upper-40s throughout the afternoon. Keep those jackets and gloves handy as today could end up being one of the coldest days of the entire year. Certainly not everyday we have HIGHS in the 40s!

SUNNY TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY… Sunny days are ahead for Tuesday and Wednesday. High temperatures will be in the 50s on Tuesday ahead of mid-60s on Wednesday. Overnight lows will again be near or below freezing tonight with most spots settling near the 30 degree mark.

NEXT RAIN CHANCE: THURSDAY… Rain showers will return to our forecast on Thursday as an area of low pressure develops and moves east of the local area. For now, severe weather seems unlikely and even thunderstorms may be hard to come by due to the lack of atmospheric instability.

SUNNY, COOL WEEKEND AHEAD… The upcoming weekend looks nice, seasonal, and rather calm. High temperatures on Friday will be in the 50s with overnight lows likely to be in the 30s in many spots across the region. Sunny skies are likely Friday into Saturday.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Monday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great start to your week!

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