6:57AM May 18, 2019

SUNNY SATURDAY… Sunny skies are likely on this Saturday with highs near 90°. We have a few showers and storms upcoming for Sunday afternoon and evening with more rain on the way for Monday. Let’s talk about a few forecast details…

RAIN & STORMS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON… Our next chance of rain happens Sunday afternoon and evening when isolated showers and thunderstorms will pop up across the region. Not everyone will have rain. Most folks probably won’t on Sunday as rain chances remain at 20-30%. High temperatures Sunday will be in the upper-80s.

SCATTERED STORMS MONDAY… Showers and thunderstorms will he likely Monday afternoon and into the evening hours. Widespread severe weather is not expected, but the stronger storms will likely produce heavy rain, lots of lightning, and gusty winds.

ANOTHER SLEW OF SUNNY DAYS AHEAD… Tuesday through Saturday of the upcoming week will likely be dry and quite hot! Several of the major global weather models are showing temperatures rising into the upper-90s by the end of the week. While the calendar may not show summer just yet, we can safely say that summer is quickly arriving. Plenty of sunshine is expected during the upcoming week after Monday.

I’ll have weather updates as needed today in the RedZone Weather app. Have a great weekend!

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6:51AM May 17, 2019

WARM FRIDAY & SATURDAY; RAIN POSSIBLE SUNDAY… The heat and humidity of summer will dominate our weather pattern across south Alabama and northwest Florida this weekend. While a few showers and storms are possible Sunday, the bigger rain chance is clearly on Monday. We’re also looking ahead to next week when a large ridge of high pressure will build in, causing temperatures to increase into the mid- to upper-90s by Thursday into Friday. Summer is just around the corner! Let’s talk details…
 
MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY AND SATURDAY… No major weather issues are expected today or on Saturday. Temperatures will peak near the 90 degree mark each day with mostly sunny skies.
 
FEW SHOWERS & STORMS POSSIBLE P.M. SUNDAY… Isolated showers and thunderstorms will likely pop up in the heat of the day on Sunday afternoon/evening. These storms will likely be below severe limits in most cases, but there could be intense lightning, heavy rain, and gusty winds involved in the stronger storms. Be sure to have a way to check the radar on Sunday into Monday.
 
MONDAY: RAIN & STORMS POSSIBLE… Another round of showers and storms will be possible on Monday during the daytime hours. These will be the classic, summertime “pulse variety” of storms that pop up and fade away. The main concerns will be heavy downpours of rain, lightning, and gusty winds.
 
BIG HEAT NEXT WEEK… The latest model data continues to suggest a big time warmup into the mid- to upper-90s by Thursday and Friday of the upcoming week. This is in response to a large ridge of high pressure building in from the west. Tuesday through Friday of the upcoming week will likely be dry and hot.
 
LIGHTNING RECOVERY CONTINUES… We have made significant progress in our recovery this week after the damage our studio sustained Sunday in a passing thunderstorm. Lightning caused considerable damage to nearly all of our wiring infrastructure. We will continue to work through the weekend with the goal of having our “normal look” back by Monday morning.
 
See all the details in your Friday #rzw forecast video… Have a great weekend!
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6:53AM May 16, 2019

SUNNY TODAY; FEW SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT?… Warm, sunny conditions are expected on this Thursday before a few clouds move in later this evening. High temperatures will peak in the upper-80s around 3PM. There is a very small, yet not zero, chance of a few showers moving into inland areas from the north late this evening. We’re also looking ahead to our next significant chance of rain on Monday. Let’s talk details…
 
MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY; WARM… Plenty of sunshine will be in place throughout the day across south Alabama and northwest Florida. High temperatures will peak around 90° in most spots.
 
ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE AFTER 7PM… Vast majority of the local area will remain dry all day and into the night, however there could be a shower or two that pops up across central Alabama and drifts into the inland stretches of south Alabama before midnight. Clarke, Monroe, Conecuh, Butler, Covington, and Escambia (AL) counties have a low (10-20% max) chance of rain late this evening.
 
MORE SUNSHINE FRIDAY & SATURDAY… Dry conditions are expected on Friday and on Saturday with high temperatures again in the upper-80s and low-90s. Mostly sunny skies are likely Friday ahead of a few clouds moving in on Saturday.
 
NEXT RAIN CHANCE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY… Pop-up storms will become possible on Sunday afternoon and evening ahead of a bigger rain chance on Monday. It’s too early to know specifics about rain amounts, but odds are we won’t have significant severe weather issues with this system.
 
LIGHTNING STRIKE RECOVERY CONTINUES… We continue to install new equipment in our RedZone Weather studio in Brewton, AL after our lightning strike damage on Sunday morning. Thanks for being patient with me this week as we bring you a slightly different video forecast presented on a computer screen.
 
APP… redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download of the RedZone Weather app. Be sure to download our free app today to keep up with the radar, our latest posts, and much more.
 
See all the forecast details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video… Have a great day!
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6:51AM May 15, 2019

SUNNY WEDNESDAY; DRY, WARM DAYS AHEAD… Talk about NICE weather! It felt incredible outside on Tuesday throughout the day under full sunshine across south Alabama and northwest Florida. We’ve got another beautiful day upcoming on this Wednesday with high temperatures likely to be in the low-80s this afternoon. Humidity levels will be on the increase ever so slightly today ahead of higher humidity for the weekend.

NEXT RAIN CHANCE: SUNDAY… Isolated showers and thunderstorms will likely bubble up on Sunday afternoon and evening. Most spots should be dry, but you know the drill with the summertime storms: Where it rains, it truly HEAVY rains. We’ll be able to fine tune the forecast and get specific about rain amounts over the next few days.

LIGHTNING RECOVERY CONTINUES… Thanks to everyone that has been so encouraging through this challenging situation of recovering our studio after a significant lightning strike impact on Sunday morning. Our “studio rebuild” continues today. We plan to return to our “normal” video look by Monday. See more details about this here: https://www.facebook.com/rzweather/videos/2360210434017703/

See all the details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video…

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6:53AM May 14, 2019

GORGEOUS TUESDAY, MORE NICE DAYS AHEAD… Full sunshine is expected on this Tuesday across south Alabama and northwest Florida. High temperatures will be in the low-80s this afternoon. We’ve got a slew of nice, sunny, warm days ahead with NO rain in sight until at least the latter half of the weekend.

MILD NIGHTS & WARM DAYS AHEAD… Overnight lows will again drop into the 50s by 6AM on Wednesday. High temperatures will edge up into the 90s by the end of the week. Full sunshine is likely Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, and Saturday.

NEXT RAIN CHANCE: LATE SUNDAY OR MONDAY… Some model indications point to a few pop up storms Sunday afternoon and evening, but the bigger rain chance will clearly be on Monday and Tuesday of the upcoming week when our next weather system will approach from the west.

LIGHTNING STRIKE RECOVERY CONTINUES… Thanks to everyone that has been so encouraging through this challenging situation of recovering our studio after a significant lightning strike impact on Sunday morning. We have made significant progress on getting the affected/dead equipment out. New equipment will be delivered today and on Wednesday for me to install. We plan to return to our “normal” video look by Monday. See more details about this here.

See your forecast details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video… Have a great day!

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7:04AM May 13, 2019

PERFECT WEATHER TODAY; NICE, WARM DAYS AHEAD… Talk about picture perfect weather! We have a streak of nice, warm, sunny days upcoming. Skies will continue to clear on this Monday with temperatures peaking in the low-80s this afternoon across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Other than a few passing clouds on Tuesday, the rest of the week is likely to be sunny during the daytime with clear skies at night.

TEMPERATURES TRENDING UPWARD… High temperatures over the next few days will increase from the low to mid-80s today to the low-90s by Friday. We’ll continue to have overnight lows in the mid-50s through Thursday morning before lows rise into the 60s by the weekend.

NEXT RAIN CHANCE A WEEK FROM TODAY… Early indications point to the weekend being dry with a very low chance of rain on Sunday afternoon. The next real rain chance happens on Monday (one week from today) as our next potential “weathermaker”/cold front arrives. We’ll keep you posted about it in the RedZone Weather app.

LIGHTNING STRIKE… If you missed my post last evening about the lightning strike that rendered much of our video equipment unusable, please see this.
I will have the next forecast video posted here on Facebook and in the RedZone Weather app on Tuesday morning by 7:15AM. Enjoy the nice weather today!

Let me know if you have any questions. Enjoy your Monday!

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10:46PM May 12, 2019

LAST ROUND OF STORMS MOVING THROUGH… Heavy rain, lightning, and thunder are happening across northern Baldwin, Escambia (AL), Conecuh, and northern Covington counties. This broken line of storms is sliding southeast. Rain is about to begin in Brewton, Flomaton, Canoe, Brooklyn, Andalusia, Heath, Straughn, and Bay Minette.

There is a very, very low risk of severe weather as this line of storms moves by.

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2:03AM May 12, 2019

FLASH FLOOD WARNING… Parts of Santa Rosa County near Interstate 10 are now under an active flash flood warning until 7:45AM. Milton, Pea Ridge, Bagdad, Mulat are included.

We encourage folks to remain off the road in the warned area as heavy rain continues to fall. Flash flooding issues will get worse before they get better later this morning.

Scattered showers and storms are likely overnight and into Sunday morning.

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10:14PM May 11, 2019

HEAVY RAIN MOVING EAST… Showers and storms continue to move eastward across south Alabama. Storms are now entering northwest Florida near Walnut Hill and Bratt.

Storms will produce heavy rain, lightning, thunder, and gusty winds shortly in Brewton, Brooklyn, McKenzie, Oaky Streak, Foley, Robertsdale, Molino, Ensley, and Pensacola.

Storms remain under severe limits.

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8:39AM May 11, 2019

LOUD STORMS NEAR MOBILE & BREWTON… A decaying mesoscale convective system (MCS) continues to push across our region, bringing heavy rain, gusty winds, and quite a bit of lightning in some cases. At at the moment, the strongest storms associated with this complex of rain are happening near Brewton, Appleton, East Brewton, Riverview, Mobile, Saraland, Prichard, and Theodore.

WHAT TO EXPECT – NEXT FEW HOURS… The good news is this passing complex of rain and storms will help to stabilize the atmosphere somewhat as we go into the afternoon/evening hours. Showers and storms will continue to push eastward into Baldwin County, northwest Florida, and Covington County over the next 2-3 hours. Rain and storms (generally well under severe limits) will continue across the region.

Soggy Saturday!

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7:15AM May 11, 2019

COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN: STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY & SUNDAY… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to be possible across south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Saturday as a stalled cold front to our northwest continues to give us “forecast fits.” While most spots were dry on Friday, there were a few showers and thunderstorms over west Alabama as recently as last evening. Choctaw, Clarke, Washington, and Monroe counties have the greatest chance of experiencing rain and storms today and into tonight. Those counties are also where the severe weather risk will be highest today into tonight, although we note that even in those counties, the risk remains very low. Due to the nature of the weather pattern we are in, I can’t say 100% that all areas across our region will be without a severe storm at some point this weekend. The overall severe weather risk remains LOW, but it is not zero. Sunday will likely be a very wet day with scattered to numerous showers and storms around. Let’s look at a few details…

60-80% CHANCE OF SHOWERS & STORMS TODAY… Keep the rain gear handy today as showers and thunderstorms will likely pop up later this afternoon into this evening if it is not raining in your specific location this morning. There already have been scattered showers across west Alabama and much of the area with more likely on the way later today. High temperatures will peak in the mid-80s this afternoon around 3PM.

FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS: WEST ALABAMA… Due to projected rain amounts of 2-3” in total over the next 24 hours, there is a concern that we could have some isolated instances of flash flooding across west Alabama. The risk for flash flooding will be greatest in communities along and WEST of the Alabama River.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK REMAINS VERY LOW… The Storm Prediction Center has included much of our local area in south Alabama and northwest Florida in their Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk zone. Much of southern Mississippi and eastern Louisiana is included in the slightly higher Level 2 (out of 5) risk zone today. Let me stress that the overall tornado risk for any given spot across our region remains VERY, very low. This is a frustrating situation, though, as the severe weather risk is very low but not quite zero. It’s not a clear situation where severe weather will happen, or if the risk will even materialize. I would much rather be able to tell you, “Yes there is a tornado risk” or “No, there is no tornado risk” but we truly are in the middle of those two statements today. “Odds are we won’t have any tornado issues at all, however there is a very low chance of a few stronger storms this afternoon/evening, especially over west Alabama.”

HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES ON SUNDAY… Numerous showers and thunderstorms are likely on Sunday. We’ve set rain chances in the 80-90% range, for now. Be sure to keep the rain gear handy on Sunday as widespread rain is likely. There will be some breaks in the rain, but most of us will be quite wet throughout the day. The Storm Prediction Center includes ALL of the local area in their Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid for Sunday. The cold front draped to our northwest will finally begin to move through our area on Sunday, thus bringing an end to any risk of severe weather. This will probably happen Sunday evening. Depending on cloud cover/rainfall, there is a good chance that most spots won’t be able to hit the 80 degree mark on Sunday afternoon. Most spots will be stuck in the 70s all day. If we can get some sunshine breaking out in the middle of the day, temperatures may rise to 80°.

DRIER WEEK AHEAD… Monday is slated to be sunny and nice. High temperatures will peak in the low-80s. While some weather models hinted at the possibility for a few showers on Tuesday, the latest data continues to suggest dry conditions with mostly cloudy skies. High temperatures will be in the 80s on Wednesday and Thursday with overnight lows around 60°.

Let me know if you have questions. Have a great Saturday!

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6:50AM May 10, 2019

SCATTERED STORMS LATER TODAY; MORE WEEKEND STORMS… Another round of showers and thunderstorms is likely to approach south Alabama and northwest Florida from the west during the middle part of the day. While the tornado risk today remains at or near zero, there will be a low-end severe weather risk in place for parts of west Alabama due to the potential for a few damaging wind gusts in the stronger storms. The overall risk for ANY spot to see severe weather today is very, very low. We could have a few severe storms around on Saturday afternoon and evening however, as the atmosphere will be a bit more conducive for stronger storms. Sunday also will be wet before we begin to dry out early next week. Let’s discuss details…

WARM TODAY; STORMS LIKELY LATER… We are monitoring a developing mesoscale convective system (MCS) to the west this morning that will likely approach west Alabama around midday. Rain could be heavy at times this afternoon. Not every locale across our region will have rain before the end of the day, however. I am keeping the rain gear handy throughout the day and I would suggest you do as well. High temperatures will be in the mid- to upper-80s in most spots.

LEVEL 1 RISK ZONE TODAY… The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has much of south Alabama and northwest Florida included in the “general thunderstorms” zone today, meaning severe weather is probably NOT going to happen in these zones. However, we note that much of Clarke, Washington, Wilcox, Marengo, and Choctaw counties in west Alabama ARE involved in the low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk zone. SPC notes that this is due to a potential for damaging wind gusts in the stronger storms and that the overall tornado risk remains very low.

LOCATIONS IN THE LEVEL 1 RISK ZONE… The following communities are included in the low-end risk zone to potentially see a few strong storms later today in west Alabama: Thomasville, Grove Hill, Jackson, Leroy, Chatom, Millry, Silas, Toxey, Gilbertown, Butler, Sweet Water, Pine Hill, Demopolis, Linden, Livingston, Marion, Tuscaloosa, and Aliceville.

RADAR UPDATES IN APP… I will have updates about radar trends and other news today as needed in the RedZone Weather app. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize the specific alerts you would like to receive. You can always check the radar at redzoneweather.com/radar or in the Radar tab in the RZW app.

STRONGER STORMS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY… Much of the inland part of south Alabama is involved in the low-end, Level 1 risk zone for Saturday. I would not be surprised if SPC upgrades part of the area into a Level 2 risk as atmospheric parameters seem potent enough for a few strong to severe storms across the region. The tornado risk probably won’t be zero, but early indications point to the main concern being straight line winds. Regardless of if severe weather happens, there will be a chance of “splash and dash” storms capable of producing heavy rain, gusty winds, lightning, and small hail. High temperatures on Saturday will be in the mid-80s.

HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE SUNDAY… The latest model guidance points to Sunday being quite wet across our region with 1-2” of rain being possible. It is too early to know whether severe weather issues will be involved, but I would bet there will be some flash flooding concerns as multiple hours of heavy rain seem possible. We’ll keep you posted this weekend in the RedZone Weather app.

See all the details, including a look at the next 7 days, in your Friday #rzw forecast video that will be available in the post above shortly… Have a great weekend!

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4:26PM May 9, 2019

TORNADO WATCH CANCELLED… The tornado watch that was in effect for Choctaw, Mobile, and Washington counties in west Alabama has been cancelled. The severe weather risk has ended in Washington and Choctaw counties. A low-end severe weather risk continues in much of Mobile County as storms move southeast.

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1:38PM May 9, 2019

STORMS PUSHING INTO WEST ALABAMA… Strong thunderstorms continue to push into the western part of Alabama. As of 1:38PM, the line of strong storms is pushing into Choctaw and the northwestern part of Washington County in west Alabama. We note that small showers have popped up in the eastern part of Clarke County near Scyrene and Whatley. There is some lightning involved in these small cells, but so far, nothing severe out ahead of the main line.

I’ll have many more updates here in the RZWeather app over the next few hours.

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6:51AM May 9, 2019

ISOLATED STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING… Any thunderstorms that pop up or move in from the west this afternoon and this evening have a small chance of becoming severe as the Storm Prediction Center has a Level 1 (out of 5) low-end severe weather risk in place across much of our region. The main concern in the stronger or marginally severe storms today will be damaging wind gusts. The tornado risk remains VERY low, if not zero for most spots. We’ve also got showers and storms upcoming each afternoon and evening over the next few days. Let’s talk details…

RAIN CHANCES INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON… We’ll call it a 30-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Inland communities in the northwestern part of our region like Thomasville, Grove Hill, Coffeeville, Silas, Toxey, Chatom, and Millry have the greatest chance of rain in our local area. These communities are also the areas that have the greatest chance of seeing a strong or severe storm today. Places closer to the immediate coast like Orange Beach, Gulf Shores, Perdido Key, Pensacola Beach, Navarre, and Destin have a lower rain chance compared to inland areas. High temperatures will again be in the upper-80s. Again, not everyone across our region will have rain before the end of the day, although some inevitably will. Heavy rain, lightning, and gusty winds will be the “below severe limits” concerns today.

LEVEL 1 RISK EXPANDED… Shortly after this video was produced, the Storm Prediction Center expanded the Level 1 (out of 5) marginal risk zone to include all of our local area minus Covington and Okaloosa counties. This means while the overall chance of severe weather remains very low, it won’t be zero.

LEVEL 1 RISK: WHO IS INVOLVED… If you’re in any of the following communities, you are included in the low-end severe weather risk zone: Mobile, Daphne, Fairhope, Spanish Fort, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Dauphin Island, Fort Morgan, Bayou La Batre, Wilmer, Citronelle, Chatom, Fruitdale, Vinegar Bend, Wagerville, Leroy, Jackson, Grove Hill, Thomasville, Coffeeville, Beatrice, Uriah, Monroeville, Mexia, Burnt Corn, Repton, Evergreen, Brooklyn, Atmore, Poarch, Huxford, Flomaton, Brewton, East Brewton, Riverview, Greenville, Georgiana, Chapman, Forest Home, Walnut Hill, Bratt, Jay, and Molino.

POTENTIAL HAZARDS TODAY… There is a good chance that some locations won’t have any rain today, but where storms fire up, I expect heavy rain, quite a bit of lightning, and potentially gusty winds. The main concern in the low-end severe weather risk zone will be damaging straight line wind gusts capable of knocking down a few trees or tree limbs. The tornado risk remains VERY low. Large hail is possible in any severe storm as well.

WEEKEND PREVIEW… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, particularly in the afternoon and evening hours. The overall severe weather risk this weekend remains very low. High temperatures will consistently remain near 90° with morning lows in the mid- to upper-60s.

See all the details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video… Enjoy your day!

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