3:14PM March 20, 2019

HURRICANE NAMES RETIRED… The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has retired the names “Florence” and “Michael” from the hurricane naming lists after the two hurricanes caused major devastation in North Carolina and the Florida Panhandle this last year. The two names have been replaced by “Francine” and “Milton” for the 2024 naming list.

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6:57AM March 20, 2019

FANTASTIC, CALM WEATHER SET TO CONTINUE… Several more days of full sunshine and mild temperatures are expected across south Alabama and northwest Florida. High temperatures will peak around 70° this afternoon across the region. No rain is expected until late Sunday into Monday as a cold front approaches from the west. The first half of the weekend will be dry with increasing temperatures. Let’s look at a few details…

INCREASING TEMPERATURES… High temperatures will be around the 70 degree mark over the next few days with morning lows around 40° through Saturday morning. Temperatures will begin to increase on Saturday when highs will reach the mid-70s. We will approach 80° by Sunday and Monday as a warm, southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico kicks in yet again. Cloud coverage will increase on Saturday evening ahead of increasing rain chances late Sunday.

STORMS POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY… Showers and thunderstorms will move in from our west on Monday into Tuesday ahead of the passage of a cold front. It remains too early to know specifics, but there could be a round of potentially strong storms that move by late in the day on Monday.

ANOTHER DRY SPELL AFTER TUESDAY… After the passage of the cold front early next week, model indications point to Wednesday and Thursday being drier with temperatures near our seasonal range (60s and 70s in the afternoon hours).

Be sure to see all the graphics and details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video… Enjoy your day!

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6:56AM March 19, 2019

SUNNY & QUIET WEATHER FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS… Welcome to how late March weather should be! We’ve got a streak of nice, mild, sunny days ahead that will be pleasant and quiet across south Alabama and northwest Florida. No rain is expected until Sunday as a cold front approaches from the northwest. Let’s look at a few details…

SLOW WARMING TREND… Plenty of sunshine is likely over the next few days. We’ll be stuck in the 60s this afternoon and on Wednesday afternoon before we rise into the 70s later this week. Overnight lows will consistently be around the 40 degree mark over the next few days.

HIGH PRESSURE STAYS IN CONTROL… What’s keeping us nice and dry this week? A 1030mb area of high pressure is parked to our north, centered over the Ohio River Valley. That large dome of high pressure will keep our weather cool and dry through the end of the week.

RAIN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY… Our next cold front is slated to move by on Sunday into Monday of the upcoming week. There will be sufficient moisture in place for showers and storms by Sunday. It’s still too early to know whether strong storms will be a concern. We’ll keep watching that potential and bring you the very latest over the next few days.

BUSY WEEK… I look forward to multiple weather presentations and meetings this week in Orange Beach, Fairhope, East Brewton, and Andalusia. It’s always a treat to be able to meet the great folks that watch our content regularly. Please don’t hesitate to come say hello if you see me!

See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video… Have a great day!

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6:53AM March 18, 2019

PARTLY CLOUDY & COOL TODAY; STREAK OF SUNNY DAYS AHEAD… Other than a few clouds passing by from west to east, our weather pattern will remain quiet and dry on this Monday. High temperatures will peak in the mid-60s across south Alabama and northwest Florida later today. We’ve got a streak of nice, sunny, mild days upcoming for Tuesday through Friday. Our next rain chance will happen on Sunday as a cold front approaches from the northwest.

MORE CHILLY NIGHTS AHEAD… Most spots across the region started in the upper-30s this morning. Overnight lows on Tuesday morning will again be in the upper-30s with 40s likely for Wednesday and Thursday mornings. Temperatures won’t drop anywhere close to the freezing mark.

SUNNY DAYS THIS WEEK… Plenty of sunshine is expected Tuesday through Friday. Temperatures will increase to the mid-70s by Friday afternoon.

NEXT RAIN CHANCE: SUNDAY… Our next cold front is slated to approach our region late Saturday into Sunday. Showers and thunderstorms will likely happen on Sunday, particularly late in the day, although forecast confidence at that range remains low. Anytime we have an approaching front his time of year, we need to monitor trends to see if severe weather may be an issue. Too early to know with this system, but that is something I’ll be keeping an eye on in the next few days.

See all the details and graphics in your Monday #rzw forecast video… Enjoy the day!

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1:23PM March 17, 2019

COOL, CLOUDY SUNDAY; CALM & DRY DAYS THIS WEEK… We’re kicking off a streak of nice, cool, dry days on this Sunday. No rain is expected through Saturday! Clouds are in place across the southern half of our area extending over the beaches and out over the northern Gulf of Mexico. Rain will remain 50-100 miles off shore as it streams to the east along a stalled frontal boundary.

CHILLY NIGHTS AHEAD… We’ll consistently be around the 40 degree mark each morning through Friday morning. No freezing temperatures are expected, but if you are planning to be outside early in the morning (4-6AM timeframe), be sure to grab a jacket!

MILD DAYS THROUGH FRIDAY… Partly cloudy skies are likely Monday before clouds completely clear out on Tuesday. Sunny skies are expected Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, into Friday. High temperatures will start out in the mid-60s through Tuesday before rising into the 70s for Wednesday and Thursday. We’ll make a run at 80° by the upcoming weekend.

See all the details in your Sunday #rzw forecast video that will be available shortly in the RZW app… Have a great evening!

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1:58PM March 16, 2019

RAIN MOVES OUT; CLOUDS TO LINGER… Rain continues to exit our area to the east. Clouds will hang tough for the rest of the day into tonight, and into Sunday. Temperatures will remain in the 50s and low-60s over the next few hours.

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7:05AM March 16, 2019

CALM & COOL WEATHER AHEAD… We’ve got a solid week ahead of dry, cool, CALM weather! 2019 has been very active for our region with numerous severe weather episodes. This week, however, we get a much needed break. Any lingering rain will exit to the east this morning. Temperatures will struggle to get out of the 50s today with clouds likely hanging tough until later this evening. Overnight lows by Sunday at 6AM will be around 40° in most spots. Again, the big weather headline this week will be nice and quiet conditions. A few details…
 
COOL TEMPS THROUGH TUESDAY… Sunday through Tuesday will feature partly cloudy skies each day with high temperatures in the 60s and overnight lows in the 40s. No rain is expected. No freezing temperatures are expected. No severe weather is expected. (Wow, all of that is nice to say for a change!)
 
SUNNY & WARMER LATER IN THE WEEK… We’ll call for full sunshine during the daytime hours of Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. High temperatures will increase into the low-70s by Wednesday. We’ll approach the 80 degree mark by Friday. Overnight lows will consistently be in the mid- to upper-40s. No rain or severe weather is expected in this timeframe, either.
 
NEXT RAIN CHANCE NEXT WEEKEND… The major weather models (ECMWF & GFS) point to our next chance of rain happening late Saturday into Sunday (a week from today) when another cold front will approach from the west. Far too early to speculate about storms or severe weather, but we are in the heart of our primary severe weather season. It’s something to watch over the next week.
 
Enjoy your weekend!
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6:55AM March 15, 2019

COOLER AIR MOVING IN; STREAK OF COOL, DRY DAYS AHEAD… I can’t think of a time in the last 3-4 months when we have had a 5-6 day streak of dry weather in the forecast. Finally, we’re looking at some drier, more stable weather next week! The cold front moving across our area this morning will usher in cooler air that will cause temperatures to stay in the low-60s today. High temperatures will be near 60° this weekend with overnight lows near the 40 degree mark. We’ve got one more batch of rain that will likely move through early Saturday morning before drier weather takes hold of our weather pattern. Let’s talk details…

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE TODAY & TONIGHT… Lingering rain showers will continue at times today, tonight, and into the very early morning hours of Saturday. Vast majority of the local area will be dry by Noon Saturday with rain having exited to our east by then.

CLOUDS HANG TOUGH THIS WEEKEND… Mostly cloudy skies are likely Saturday, Sunday, into Monday with temperatures in the 50s and 60s each day. We finally get some nice, sunny days during the middle part of the upcoming week.

See all the details, including a detailed look at the next 7 days, in your Friday #rzw forecast video… Have a great weekend!

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1:06AM March 15, 2019

LOUD STORMS IN WEST ALABAMA… The line of showers and thunderstorms currently draped across Choctaw County, AL is not moving much. The line of storms will slowly move eastward over the next few hours. The risk of severe weather is very low, but not entirely zero as there could be a brief gust of strong wind in any of the storms that become strong.

WHAT TO EXPECT THROUGH DAWN… You may be awakened over the next few hours by heavy downpours of rain or a clap of thunder. Widespread severe weather is NOT expected. If we happen to have any warnings (we probably will not!), I’ll let you know in the RedZone Weather app.

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8:23PM March 14, 2019

4TH MINOR EARTHQUAKE CONFIRMED BY USGS; MAGNITUDE 2.2 NEAR POLLARD… The U.S. Geological Survey confirms that a magnitude 2.2 earthquake happened early Wednesday (March 13, 2019) morning at 1:50 AM CDT. This brings the total number of minor earthquakes up to 4 in the last 11 days. I received a few reports of ground shaking earlier today that pointed to the same timeframe and same general area that led me to reach out to USGS. After reviewing seismology data, a geophysicist confirmed that this was, indeed, a 4th earthquake that caused the shaking in the middle of the night.

WHY ARE MINOR EARTHQUAKES HAPPENING? There has been quite a bit of speculation that the recent minor earthquakes in south Alabama and northwest Florida have been caused by oil/gas exploration. Specifically, one technique of oil extraction called fracking has been suspected of causing the quakes. A trained geophysicist with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) indicates that it’s impossible to attribute the local quakes directly to fracking. Our area lies along a normally inactive fault line known as the Bahama Fracture Zone. Earthquakes generally don’t happen along the fault, but seeing minor activity like this is not uncommon nor unprecedented. It should be stressed that while it is highly unusual to have several minor earthquakes, it is NOT a cause for panic or alarm. Several small quakes are not at all necessarily indicative of a larger foreshock on the way.

THANKS FOR THE REPORTS… I appreciate everyone who instantly sends me messages when we have ground shaking. These earthquakes are highly localized and may not be detected by USGS if it weren’t for your consistent reporting. Let me know if you feel ground shaking or other minor earthquakes in the days and weeks ahead. More *minor* earthquakes are possible.

APP ALERTS… We continue to monitor severe weather to the north this evening, but the overall severe weather risk for south Alabama and northwest Florida remains LOW this evening. Showers and storms will move by overnight.

My next forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM on Friday. See you then!

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2:22PM March 14, 2019

SHOWERS & STORMS BUBBLING UP… Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to pop up across south Alabama and northwest Florida. The severe weather issues continue to happen well to our north. Don’t be surprised by heavy downpours of rain over the next few hours.

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1:00PM March 14, 2019

SHOWERS STREAMING NORTHWARD… A band of showers has formed across Monroe, Clarke, and northern Baldwin counties. These showers are streaming to the north. Light to moderate rain is happening near Perdue Hill, Choctaw Bluff, and Tensaw.

NEXT FEW HOURS… Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage across the region. The odds of any given point having severe weather issues remain very low to near zero. We note that Clarke and Washington counties remain involved in the low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk zone. Clearly, the greater issues today will happen (and are happening) to our north where multiple tornado warnings are in effect for parts of northeast Mississippi.

I’ll have updates as needed here in the RedZone Weather app. Enjoy your afternoon!

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6:53AM March 14, 2019

RAIN LIKELY AT TIMES TODAY; STORMS POSSIBLE TONIGHT… Showers and thunderstorms will be possible throughout the day and into this evening as a strong cold front approaches from the northwest. The Storm Prediction Center continues to outline much of west Alabama in their Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk zone due to the low-end risk of a few strong storms later this evening. We note that much of north Alabama has just been added into the Level 3 “enhanced risk” zone this morning. Vast majority of our local area will have rain at times today with a passing round of weakening thunderstorms this evening followed by much cooler air moving in on Friday. We also will be monitoring north Alabama and north Mississippi later today as a few, brief tornadoes and damaging wind gusts could happen there. Let’s discuss details…

WARM, WET THURSDAY; LOW-END SEVERE WEATHER RISK… South Alabama and northwest Florida remain in the warm sector today ahead of a strong cold front moving in. This warm, moist, Gulf air will allow for the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout the day. High temperatures will peak in the upper-70s with some spots approaching 80° by 2PM. Winds will continue to be out of the south at 15-20 mph at times today. Keep the rain gear handy throughout the day, especially as we go into this evening. The risk of a few strong to severe storms will slightly increase later today across west Alabama. Details below.

LEVEL 1 RISK THIS EVENING FOR WEST ALABAMA… Much of Clarke, Washington, Choctaw, Marengo, and Wilcox counties in west Alabama are included in the low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk valid for later today when a line of strong storms may approach from the west. The rest of us in south Alabama and northwest Florida (east of the Alabama River, generally) are included in the “general thunderstorm” zone where severe weather is not likely. What does this mean? Communities like Thomasville, Coffeeville, Grove Hill, Leroy, Jackson, Chatom, Fruitdale, and Wagerville all have a low-end risk of a few strong storms this evening. The greater issues, however, are much more likely to happen well to our north.

LEVEL 3 RISK FOR NORTH ALABAMA… Isolated tornadoes and damaging wind gusts in the stronger storms will be possible today across the northern part of Alabama. We note that Florence, Muscle Shoals, Russellville, Jasper, Moulton, Decatur, Huntsville, Double Springs, and Cullman are involved in the Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced risk zone as indicated on the SPC Convective Outlook. If you’re headed to any of those areas or surrounding communities, be aware that a few severe storms may happen later today that could produce tornadoes and/or damaging straight line winds.

COOLER AIR MOVES IN FRIDAY MORNING… The storms today and tonight (and extending into Friday morning) are in response to a strong cold front moving our way. This front will cool temperatures off quite a bit on Friday morning. Most spots will start near 70° and end up in the 50s and 60s by mid-afternoon.

FEW SHOWERS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING… Rain may happen early Saturday morning before several days of drier weather. The showers Saturday morning should be scattered and move to our east by 10AM on Saturday morning. High temperatures on Saturday will be in the 50s and 60s.

DRY FEW DAYS AFTER SATURDAY… For the first time in quite some time, models are indicating a drier, more calm weather pattern for the upcoming week. Temperatures Sunday through Wednesday look seasonal with highs in the 60s and 70s with lows in the 40s and 50s.

APP… I’ll have plenty of updates later today in the RedZone Weather app as needed. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download.

See all the graphics and forecast details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video… Let me know if you have any questions. Enjoy the day!

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6:53AM March 13, 2019

STORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT, LOW-END SEVERE RISK… Our active weather pattern continues as the Storm Prediction Center now includes part of our local area in south Alabama and northwest Florida in their severe weather risk zones valid for Thursday afternoon and evening. While the core dynamics of this strong weather system will clearly pass to our north, there still will be an opportunity for some of the storms in our area to become strong and potentially briefly severe at times. The greatest severe weather risk with this system on Thursday will happen across north Alabama and north Mississippi, while the greatest chance of seeing a strong to severe storm in our local area will happen over Clarke, Choctaw, Washington, and Marengo counties in west Alabama. We’re also looking ahead to the weekend when cooler, more stable air takes hold of our weather pattern. Let’s talk details…

NICE, WARM WEDNESDAY… Despite clouds being on the increase today across the region, rain is not expected. The earliest showers could happen late this evening across the western part of Alabama, but most of the rain across our area will happen on Thursday. High temperatures today will peak in the mid- to upper-70s. There will be some sunshine mixed in with the mostly cloudy skies today.

RAIN LIKELY BEFORE SEVERE RISK THURSDAY… Scattered showers will be possible Thursday morning despite the severe weather risk likely not ramping up until later in the day. You’ll need the rain jackets handy on both Thursday and Friday.

LEVEL 2 SEVERE WEATHER RISK ON THURSDAY… The Storm Prediction Center has outlined much of north and west Alabama in their standard, slight risk (Level 2 out of 5) zone to potentially have a few isolated severe thunderstorms Thursday P.M. into early Friday. Only the northwestern corner of our local area is included in this risk – places like Coffeeville, Campbell, Millry, Butler, Silas, Toxey, Gilbertown, Sweet Water, and Pennington. The Level 2 risk extends northward into areas like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Demopolis, Hamilton, Jasper, Cullman, Double Springs, Moulton, Decatur, Huntsville, Muscle Shoals, and Florence.

LEVEL 1, LOW-END RISK FOR MUCH OF OUR AREA… Communities along and west of Interstate 65 are included in the low-end, marginal (Level 1 out of 5) risk zone where the atmosphere is not nearly as supportive for severe storms, although a strong storm or two will be possible. For our local area, much of Clarke, Monroe, Washington, Mobile, and Wilcox counties are included in this zone.

MOST LIKELY SCENARIO – SQUALL LINE… The most likely situation with this severe weather potential is that a squall line (quasi-linear convective system or QLCS) moves through our region. This line of storms will likely weaken as it moves eastward across our area.

POTENTIAL HAZARDS LOCALLY… The tornado risk across south Alabama and northwest Florida remains low. The main risk will come from the potential of damaging straight line winds in the stronger storms on Thursday. This risk will primarily set up across west Alabama. The risk of large hail remains low as does the risk of flash flooding.

COLD FRONT MOVES BY FRIDAY… One of the reasons we are having this low-end potential for strong to severe storms is because of the lifting mechanism of an approaching cold front. This front will slide by our region from northwest to southeast early Friday morning. High temperatures Friday will be stuck in the 60s with overnight lows headed to the 40s this weekend as cool air moves in.

APP ALERTS… You can keep tabs on the latest info about the severe weather risk throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to customize the alerts you’d like to receive straight from me.

4 YEARS OF REDZONE WEATHER… Hard to believe, but today is the 4th anniversary of the start of RedZone Group, LLC, the company behind RedZone Weather. I am SO grateful to each of you who watch/read our products each day. Thank you for trusting us for your weather information needs. I am also incredibly appreciative to each of our RedZone Weather sponsors who make this operation possible on good weather days, and more importantly, on bad weather days. Cheers to the NEXT 4 years!

I’ve got all your forecast details, including a look at the next 7 days, in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video… Have a great day!

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10:36PM March 12, 2019

3RD EARTHQUAKE CONFIRMED: MAGNITUDE 2.3 NEAR FLOMATON… The U.S. Geological Survey confirms that yet another magnitude 2.3 minor earthquake happened Tuesday (March 12) evening at 8:27PM CDT. This explains why we had numerous reports of ground shaking in Escambia County, AL and Santa Rosa County, FL. This is the third earthquake in less than 9 days for this area. This latest quake had its epicenter near the intersection of Hillview Drive and U.S. Highway 31 near American Coffee House.

NOT A CAUSE FOR ALARM OR CONCERN… I just got off the phone with USGS Geophysicist Jessica Turner who indicates that these 3 small earthquakes are HIGHLY likely NOT a foreshock of a larger earthquake. Turner says that while it is unusual for our local area to have 3 minor quakes in such a short period of time, it is not a cause for concern or alarm. “There are numerous inactive faults east of the Rocky Mountains. Events like this are uncommon, but certainly not unprecedented.” Turner also says it is impossible to definitively link earthquakes like this to oil or gas exploration, which some have suggested may be a cause of the quakes.

THANKS FOR THE REPORTS… I appreciate everyone who instantly sends me messages when we have ground shaking. These earthquakes are highly localized and may not be detected by USGS if it weren’t for your consistent reporting. Let me know if you feel ground shaking or other minor earthquakes in the days and weeks ahead.

My next weather forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM. We’re tracking a storm system that may produce strong storms locally on Thursday. See you in the morning!

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