7:52PM April 21, 2021

STRONG STORMS & HEAVY RAIN AHEAD FOR SATURDAY; LEVEL 2 (OUT OF 5) RISK… Strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts, tornadoes, large hail, and flash flooding will be possible on Saturday. The Storm Prediction Center continues to include our entire local area in south Alabama and northwest Florida in their Level 2 (out of 5) slight severe weather risk valid for this Saturday, April 24. Strong storms and heavy rain may be possible in the early morning hours of Saturday ahead of a stronger round of storms in the afternoon and evening hours. More details about timing are below. Before we get to the severe weather setup on Saturday, we have an unseasonably cold night ahead. Overnight lows around 6AM Thursday will be near 40. More details are below.

TORNADOES, DAMAGING WINDS, LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE SATURDAY… Every severe weather event is unique, but the situation setting up for Saturday is a classic April severe weather setup for the Deep South. This means that tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, large hail, and flash flooding will all be possible in the strongest of the storms. The greater tornado risk may set up farther inland, particularly in our inland counties and points north, in the afternoon and evening hours of Saturday.

HEAVY RAIN AXIS MAY SET UP FARTHER INLAND… Model guidance today has pointed to the heavier rain amounts for areas north of our local area, in parts of central Mississippi and central Alabama where 2-3 inches of rainfall in total may happen. Rain amounts for our local area have actually trended down a bit. Most spots locally on Saturday are expected to pick up between 0.5″ and 2″ of rain in total. All of the rain will likely exit our region by late Saturday evening, paving the way for a dry Sunday and Monday.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – SATURDAY… Two distinct rounds of heavy rain and strong storms may happen on Saturday. The first round of heavy rain will feature a lower-end severe weather risk on Saturday in the early morning hours, probably from 2AM to 7AM. This round of rain and storms may be under severe limits. These first storms will be firing up along a warm front that will be moving north across the region. The next, potentially more significant round of thunderstorms will likely fire up in the late morning hours and extend into the afternoon and evening hours. 11AM to 8PM will be when the second and final round of thunderstorms will be ongoing. There is a chance our area may get an “all clear” well before 8PM, but I cannot guarantee that. We will be able to resolve some of the specifics regarding timing as we get closer to the event.

COLD TEMPERATURES TONIGHT… Ahead of the severe weather risk setting up for Saturday, we will have unseasonably cold temperatures across the region tonight into early Thursday morning. Overnight lows by daybreak Thursday are expected to be in the low-40s. Some locales north of U.S. Highway 84 may briefly dip into the upper-30s around 6AM tomorrow morning. No freezing temperatures are expected, but patchy areas of frost farther inland cannot completely be ruled out. Temperatures will quickly rebound into the upper-60s by the late morning hours of Thursday.

APP ALERTS… redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the free RedZone Weather app. We post brief updates throughout each day in the app, keeping you up-to-date about the latest happenings in weather across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Once you have the free app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have your next full forecast video posted by 7:15AM tomorrow (Thursday) morning. Until then, more updates will be posted in the RedZone Weather app. Have a nice Wednesday evening!

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6:54AM April 21, 2021

SUNNY TODAY; COLD NIGHT AHEAD; STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY… Sunshine is the story on this Wednesday ahead of abnormally cold temperatures tonight. We are also looking ahead to Saturday when scattered strong to severe thunderstorms may be possible across our entire area, perhaps including a few tornadoes. Before the severe weather risk sets up on Saturday, we have nice days upcoming today and on Thursday. High temperatures on this Wednesday will be in the upper-60s farther inland with low-70s closer to the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. Unseasonably cool temperatures are ahead for the overnight hours ahead of a quick rebound on Thursday. I’ve got your full Wednesday morning forecast details below.

CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT; LOWS NEAR 40 BY DAYBREAK… Clear skies tonight will allow temperatures to quickly fall into the 40s by 10PM in most spots. I expect the vast majority of communities near and just north of U.S. Highway 84 to briefly dip to 40-42 degrees by daybreak on Thursday. Some communities like Thomasville, Beatrice, and Greenville could briefly dip into the upper-30s. Closer to the local beaches, mid-40s are expected by sunrise on Thursday.

SUNSHINE ON THURSDAY… Temperatures will quickly rebound into the low-70s tomorrow after the cold temperatures in the morning hours. Full sunshine is expected throughout the day on Thursday.

CLOUDS INCREASE FRIDAY; SHOWERS LIKELY LATE… Cloud coverage will increase on Friday and there is a chance we may have showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms late in the day. The greatest chance of rain and storms Friday evening will happen across southwest Alabama, particularly in areas along and west of Alabama River. We are not expecting widespread severe thunderstorms on FRIDAY, but Saturday will likely be a different story with widespread rain and storms becoming likely. A few stronger storms may happen Friday evening as a warm front lifts northward and crosses our area, but I think the bigger issues are ahead for Saturday.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY… Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across the entirety of south Alabama and northwest Florida on Saturday. All severe weather hazards, including tornadoes, damaging straight line winds, large hail, and heavy rain that could lead to flash flooding, will be possible. It is impossible to nail down specifics this far in advance, but it certainly appears much of the daytime hours of Saturday could have rain and thunderstorms around.

ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE… Please have a way to get urgent weather warnings on Saturday. I have had several questions about specific events in specific cities and towns across the region. At this point, there simply is no way to be specific on the hazard placements. Model guidance continues to show a strong signal that supports a severe weather potential, but it is next to impossible to know exactly where the specific tornado risk will set up until we get closer to the event. I imagine we will have a much better grasp of the hazard potential by the time we get to Thursday evening and Friday morning.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK FOR THE ENTIRE LOCAL AREA… The Storm Prediction Center continues to include all of south Alabama and northwest Florida in their severe weather risk zones valid for Saturday. This means that severe weather hazards, including a tornado potential, will be possible.

HEAVY RAIN & FLASH FLOODING RISK… In addition to the convective hazards (tornadoes, damaging wind, hail), a considerable risk of flash flooding may set up, especially in coastal counties, on Saturday. Rain amounts from last week and the last weekend were greater in the southern half of our local area, aka closer to the coast, thus the soil in these counties remains more saturated compared to areas farther inland. Rain amounts of 1-3″ in total will be common across the region with this event ahead on Saturday. I would not be surprised to see a Flash Flood Watch issued in the days ahead, particularly for coastal communities.

CLEARING SKIES SUNDAY & EARLY NEXT WEEK… Rain clears out late Saturday ahead of clouds moving out early Sunday morning. There is a high chance Sunday will feature clearing skies with warm temperatures. Highs on Sunday will be in the low-80s. Sunshine is expected on Monday and Tuesday of the upcoming week.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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7:30PM April 20, 2021

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS & HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE SATURDAY… Tornadoes and damaging winds will become possible across our local area on Saturday as a dynamic weather system moves across the Deep South. In addition to the tornado and damaging wind threat, large hail may be possible. Heavy rain that could lead to flash flooding will be possible as well. It is a bit too early to determine specifics on where hazards are most likely to happen. It also is a bit early to be able to know when storms will be most likely to happen. One round of storms may happen Friday in the late evening hours along a warm front. The bigger, more significant round of severe storms will probably happen Saturday during the daytime hours. This is an evolving situation with forecast changes being likely over the next few days. Please have a way to get severe weather warnings on Saturday and please check back for updates over the next few days.

LEVEL 2 (OUT OF 5) RISK FROM LOUISIANA TO GEORGIA… The Storm Prediction Center has included parts of eastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, the southern half of Alabama, all of northwest Florida and the Florida Panhandle region, and southwestern Georgia in their Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid for Saturday, April 24. We note that this risk zone includes ALL of our local counties in south Alabama and northwest Florida, both coastal and inland counties. This means that ALL of us need to have a way to get urgent weather warnings on Saturday.

TIMING UNCLEAR – SPECIFICS IN THE DAYS AHEAD… Take this post as a “first alert” for the severe weather potential setting up for Saturday. I wish we could be super specific as far as what cities and towns have the greatest hazard potential. Unfortunately, model resolution 4-5 days out simply does not exist, thus it is near impossible to speculate in any accurate way. Please check back in over the next few days as we continue to get more data to be able to fine tune the forecast. Better data will give clarity Thursday evening into Friday as we look to this severe weather setup on Saturday.

APP ALERTS… Now is the time, long before we get to this severe weather potential, to set up the RedZone Weather app on your smartphone! redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the iOS or Android version of the app. Once you have the app downloaded to your device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner of the app), then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have your next full forecast video posted by 7:15AM Wednesday.

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6:55AM April 20, 2021

FEW CLOUDS THIS MORNING; SUNNY DAYS AHEAD… Clouds will move out later today as we begin a short stretch of sunny, nice days. High temperatures on this Tuesday will be in the upper-70s across the region. Cooler air will move in tonight into Wednesday with high temperatures expected to be a bit cooler on Wednesday, in the low-70s in many spots. Overnight lows on Thursday morning are expected to be in the low-40s ahead of a warmup in temperatures this weekend. Our next real shot of experiencing rain and storms happens Friday evening into Saturday as a frontal boundary approaches from the northwest. While strong to marginally severe thunderstorms appear possible, the greater concern will probably end up being heavy rainfall that could lead to flash flooding. Fortunately, this will be a quick-hitting system (compared to the numerous, day-after-day rain events we had last week) that moves out by Sunday afternoon. I’ve got your Tuesday forecast details below.

COLD TEMPS AHEAD FOR THURSDAY MORNING… Unseasonably cool temperatures are ahead for Wednesday night into Thursday morning as a deep trough happens across the eastern half of the continental United States. This means that overnight lows locally will dip well into the 40s with some spots near and just north of the U.S. Highway 84 corridor possibly dipping into the upper-30s. Some patchy light areas of frost farther inland may be possible. Freezing and below freezing temperatures are NOT expected, however. Temperatures will quickly rebound on Thursday into the low-70s by the early afternoon hours.

NICE WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING… Clear skies with plenty of sunshine each day are ahead for both Wednesday and Thursday. High temperatures each day will be in the low-70s. The clear skies in the early morning hours on Thursday morning are one of the reasons temperatures will be so chilly in the early morning hours.

SCATTERED SHOWERS & STORMS ON SATURDAY… We could have a few showers as early as Friday evening locally, but clearly Saturday will be our active weather day across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected from the early morning hours through at least the early evening hours. A few strong to severe thunderstorms may become possible. Rain is expected to be east of our area by early Sunday morning.

HEAVY RAIN & FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS SATURDAY… While convective hazards (outlined below) will be possible Saturday, widespread heavy rain could lead to flash flooding across the area, particularly in coastal counties where soil remains highly saturated due to recent rainfall. Rain totals of 2-3″ may be possible across the region.

STRONGER STORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY… In addition to the flash flooding potential setting up for Saturday, isolated strong to marginally severe thunderstorms could become possible. Gusty winds and large hail will be the main concerns with a few tornadoes also being possible. Be sure to check back in for updates over the next few days on this evolving situation as we begin to nail down more details.

APP ALERTS… redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the free RedZone Weather app. We post brief updates throughout each day in the app, keeping you up-to-date about the latest happenings in weather across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Once you have the free app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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8:17PM April 19, 2021

A “BLACKBERRY WINTER” INDEED… Get ready for a late season cool snap. Overnight lows on Wednesday night into Thursday night are projected to be near 40 degrees in many spots locally. Upper-30s are not out of the question for inland stretches of south Alabama, particularly in areas north of U.S. Highway 84. Quiet, cool weather is ahead for Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday with only a few passing clouds at times on Tuesday. Sunshine is the word for Wednesday and Thursday.

NEXT ROUND OF ACTIVE WEATHER SATURDAY… While it is way too early for any specifics, there is a chance of a few strong to marginally severe thunderstorms developing locally on Saturday. Showers may begin as early as late Friday evening. Rain coverage peaks on Saturday before tapering off late Saturday evening. Flash flooding issues will be possible as rain amounts of 1-3” in total will be likely. That does not sound like much rain at face value, but the problem is local soil (especially near the Alabama and northwest Florida coast) remains highly saturated. This is a situation we will be monitoring over the next few days. We’ll bring you the latest in the RedZone Weather app.

My next forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. Have a great evening!

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6:53AM April 19, 2021

MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY; LOW RAIN CHANCES TILL SATURDAY… Sunshine has finally returned! Other than a low chance of rain tomorrow (Tuesday) morning, the next several days are slated to be dry, sunny, and rather cool for late April. High temperatures on this Monday will be in the mid-70s across the region with plenty of sunshine expected throughout the day. Scattered clouds will move in from the west tonight ahead of a few showers becoming possible on Tuesday. Full sunshine and dry conditions are ahead for Wednesday and Thursday ahead of a few showers again becoming possible late Friday evening. The most active weather day this week will likely be Saturday when scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to return. I’ve got all of your Monday morning forecast details below.

QUITE PLEASANT TODAY… It certainly will be nice to have a day with full sunshine! High temperatures will be in the 73-76 degree range this afternoon across south Alabama and northwest Florida. We will begin to see clouds move in tonight ahead of a few showers becoming possible on Tuesday. Overnight lows on Tuesday morning will be in the low-50s.

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING… A few areas of rain may become possible tomorrow morning due to the interaction between a shortwave trough and a frontal boundary in the northern Gulf. Rain chances remain fairly low (20%) but not entirely zero. Any showers that happen tomorrow are more likely to develop closer to the coast. Rain should be to our east by the early afternoon hours of Tuesday. Clearing skies are expected Tuesday afternoon with highs in the mid-70s.

SUNNY SKIES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY; COLD NIGHT… Full sunshine is expected on Wednesday into Thursday as cooler, drier air moves into our region. High temperatures each day will be in the low-70s. Wednesday night into Thursday morning will be quite chilly. Overnight lows on Thursday morning will be in the low-40s.

INCREASING CLOUDINESS FRIDAY… Temperatures will be on the rebound later this week ahead of a few showers becoming possible Friday night ahead of high rain chances on Saturday. Cloud coverage will increase throughout the day on Friday. Showers will become possible after sunset Friday evening.

RAIN & STORMS LIKELY SATURDAY… Our next chance of heavy rain and widespread thunderstorms will happen on Saturday as an area of low pressure approaches from the west. There are some scenarios that point to strong to severe thunderstorms being possible in our local area on Saturday, but that idea is not set in stone just yet. Other model solutions suggest rain and general thunderstorms being the likely outcome. This is something we will be monitoring over the next few days. Regardless of which specific scenario actually happens, you can expect a high chance of rain and thunderstorms on Saturday.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Monday #rzw forecast video. Have a great start to your week!

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11:15AM April 17, 2021

SCATTERED SHOWERS… Scattered showers and storms are drifting eastward on this Saturday across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Heavier storms are happening near and just south of Gulf Shores and Orange Beach as of 11:15AM. Widespread severe weather is not expected today.

TWITER IS DOWN… For the second time in less than 24 hours, Twitter is experiencing a global outage, including my @rzweather handle that I use to push weather content constantly. Over the next few hours, I’ll have updates here in the RZW app exclusively until Twitter fixes their technical problems.

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7:36PM April 16, 2021

RAIN LIKELY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT; FEW STORMS POSSIBLE… Heavy rain and occasional thunderstorms will be possible overnight into Saturday morning across south Alabama and northwest Florida. The good news is the overall risk of any severe weather issues remains quite low, although a stronger storm or two near the coast may be possible tonight into Saturday morning. Don’t be surprised to hear some heavy rain overnight and potentially loud thunder. Showers and storms will stick around until at least around Noon tomorrow (Saturday). Fortunately, we begin to dry out tomorrow evening into Sunday. Rain chances won’t be zero Saturday evening or on Sunday, but chances will trend much lower.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK REMAINS VERY LOW… The main risks from any thunderstorms that happen to ramp up to stronger levels overnight into Saturday morning will be gusty winds and large hail. The overall tornado risk remains near zero for inland areas and very low for communities closer to the coast. Any tornado risk will probably be maximized in northwest Florida eastward into the Florida Panhandle region, and even in the areas where the risk is maximized, the overall risk remains quite low. Hail could happen in the stronger storms overnight, but probably not the extreme hail sizes we saw last weekend where some hailstones were baseball- to softball-sized near Orange Beach.

I will have radar updates overnight as needed in the RedZone Weather app. Keep in mind that even in these situations where live coverage is not needed, you can always get the latest info in the RZW app.

APP ALERTS… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

Have a nice Friday evening!

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6:52AM April 16, 2021

SCATTERED SHOWERS TODAY; MORE RAIN & STORMS TONIGHT… Scattered areas of rain and thunderstorms are expected at times on this Friday ahead of a more organized mass of rain and storms moving across our region tonight into Saturday morning. High temperatures today will be in the low-70s due to all of the clouds and rain around. Just like the last few days, some of the thunderstorms later today into tonight may produce loud thunder, quite a bit of lightning, and heavy rain. I expect rain coverage to really increase after 8PM this evening. Rain will likely stick around into Saturday morning, with heavy rain being possible at times. Some of the storms on Saturday morning could be strong, particularly in areas near the northwest Florida coast. We finally get a break from the rain early next week as drier conditions arrive. More Friday morning forecast details are below.

RAIN LIKELY AT TIMES SATURDAY; FEW STRONG STORMS… We start the day on Saturday dealing with what is left of the cluster of showers and thunderstorms from Friday evening. This organized batch of rain and storms will likely be on the eastern side of our area by Saturday morning around dawn. Showers and storms will become more scattered in nature throughout the day on Saturday.

LOW-END SEVERE WEATHER RISK MAINLY TO OUR SOUTHEAST SATURDAY… The Storm Prediction Center has included parts of Santa Rosa and Okaloosa counties in northwest Florida and points east in their Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid for Saturday morning into the early afternoon hours. This risk is driven exclusively by a low-end chance of a few stronger storms capable of producing gusty winds and hail. The tornado risk today and on Saturday remains quite low if not near zero in most spots.

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE SUNDAY… Showers will be possible on Sunday, particularly early in the day. Skies will remain cloudy throughout the day, but there may be a few peeks of sunshine by 3-4PM. Highs on Sunday will again be in the mid-70s.

DRIER CONDITIONS EARLY NEXT WEEK… There continues to be increasing data that supports a drier week ahead! Sunshine returns Monday and extends to Wednesday. There could be a few clouds and maybe even a few showers early next week, but I expect those showers to be few and far between through at least Wednesday. Highs will be in the 70s.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Friday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:54AM April 15, 2021

RAIN & STORMS DEPART EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF MORE RAIN FRIDAY… Heavy rain and thunderstorms around the region this morning will continue to progressively move east over the next few hours. The Storm Prediction Center maintains a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk for coastal counties over the next few hours. This low-end risk zone is in place due to the potential (very) small chance that a thunderstorms ramps up and produces gusty wind or hail that could be severe. Most spots over the next few hours will simply have rain. Much of the local area should be drier by the time we get into the late afternoon and early evening hours. This “lull” in rain and storm activity will be short-lived, however, as we have more rain ahead on Friday into Saturday. Your full Thursday morning forecast details are below.

HEAVY RAIN & STORMS THIS MORNING… Rain and storms are happening across the region this morning. I expect storms to continue to move east over the next few hours and ultimately exit our region this afternoon into the early evening hours. Showers and storms may linger across parts of south-central Alabama and northwest Florida through ~2-3PM. This evening, however, temperatures will be in the mid-70s and we’ll be drying out. Clouds may linger into the evening hours.

ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN & STORMS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY… I know everyone is probably tired of hearing this but we have yet another round of rain and storms coming in from the west on Friday into Saturday. Some model guidance shows scattered showers and storms in the morning hours before a more pronounced, organized round in the late evening hours of Friday into early Saturday.

FEW LINGERING SHOWERS SUNDAY… Sunday will serve as our transition day of sorts. Scattered showers will be possible, particularly in the morning hours, before drier conditions toward the end of the day. Highs will be in the mid-70s.

TRENDING DRIER AND WARMER NEXT WEEK… We finally get a slew of dry days early next week! Sunshine is slated to return Monday into Tuesday with high temperatures expected to be in the mid-70s each day.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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12:42PM April 14, 2021

AFTERNOON UPDATE: THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA… Heavy rain and thunderstorms continue to spread southeastward across south Alabama and northwest Florida. No severe weather warnings have been needed thus far, thankfully, and it looks like the overall risk of hail and damaging winds today remains very low if not near zero in most spots. The storms moving across our region today ARE producing cloud-to-ground lightning and loud thunder in some cases.

WHAT TO EXPECT – NEXT FEW HOURS… Over the next few hours, you can expect this large mass of rain to continue moving east across the region. If you haven’t had any rain yet in your specific location, you probably will have rain before the end of the day. The chances of Butler and Covington counties getting rain today may be a bit less compared to areas farther west that are already having storms. We’ll keep you posted with radar updates over the next few hours in the RedZone Weather app.

MORE RAIN AND STORMS ON THURSDAY… Another round of rain and thunderstorms is expected to develop to our west tomorrow (Thursday) and spread across the region. The Storm Prediction Center maintains a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk for coastal counties as some of the stronger storms tomorrow closer to the coast may produce gusty winds and hail.

I’ll have more updates over the next few hours in the RedZone Weather app.

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6:58AM April 14, 2021

RAIN & THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AT TIMES TODAY; MORE RAIN THURSDAY… Showers and thunderstorms will happen across south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Wednesday. A few storms are possible this morning, but storms will likely be most numerous across the region this afternoon into this evening. The Storm Prediction Center maintains a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk for parts of our area this morning due to a very low-end chance of a few stronger storms capable of producing gusty winds and hail. The overall tornado risk remains quite low today. The next few days are likely to be unsettled with multiple chances of rain and storms ahead, particularly today, tomorrow, and on Saturday. I’ve got all of your Wednesday morning forecast details below.

LOW-END, LEVEL 1 (OUT OF 5) SEVERE WEATHER RISK… The Storm Prediction Center includes part of our local area in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid for today into the evening hours. Parts of Baldwin, Mobile, and Escambia (FL) counties are involved in this low-end risk zone with the remainder of our region remaining in the “general thunderstorms” zone where severe storms are far less likely. These communities are involved in the low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) risk: Mobile, Prichard, Saraland, Satsuma, Creola, Mt. Vernon, Axis, Citronelle, Chunchula, Wilmer, West Mobile, Theodore, Bayou La Batre, Coden, Alabama Port, Sunny Cove, Navco, Dauphin Island, Spanish Fort, Montrose, Daphne, Fairhope, Point Clear, Magnolia Springs, Elberta, Foley, Summerdale, Robertsdale, Bon Secour, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Fort Morgan, Elsanor, Loxley, Bay Minette, Stapleton, Stockton, Perdido, Gateswood, Pensacola, Warrington, NAS Pensacola, Gulf Breeze, Perdido Key, Beulah, Bellview, Cantonment, Gonzalez, and surrounding areas.

MORE RAIN & STORMS AHEAD ON THURSDAY… Another batch of showers and thunderstorms is ahead on Thursday. Timing on this feature is a bit uncertain, but right now it looks like the late morning hours could be particularly wet. High temperatures on Thursday will be in the low- to mid-70s. Widespread severe weather is not expected Thursday, but there could be a few thunderstorms around that produce very heavy rain and quite a bit of thunder.

MOSTLY CLOUDY W/ LOWER RAIN CHANCE FRIDAY… Rain chances will be lower, but not at zero, for Friday. Showers will continue to filter in from the west, meaning areas closer to the coast could be wet at times on Friday. High temperatures on Friday will again be in the low- to mid-70s.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS ON SATURDAY… Scattered thunderstorms are in the forecast for Saturday. While I do not expect this system to be anything like what happened last Saturday in the early morning hours with all of the massive hailstones and damaging wind gusts, there COULD be a few stronger storms capable of producing hail up to the size of a quarter and perhaps a few storms with gusty winds involved.

LINGERING SHOWERS ON SUNDAY… We begin to “see the light at the end of the tunnel” on Sunday. Showers will be possible on Sunday, but I expect rain and storms to gradually taper off ahead of drier days setting up for early next week.

DRIER PATTERN SETS UP FOR NEXT WEEK… We finally get a break from the rain and storms early next week as an area of high pressure builds in. Lingering clouds are possible on Monday, but Tuesday into Wednesday of the upcoming week should be dry and nice. Highs will likely be in the upper-70s.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:25PM April 13, 2021

HIGH WIND WARNING AS STRONG WINDS HAPPENING LOCALLY… The National Weather Service has issued an uncommon High Wind Warning valid until 9PM for all parts of Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia (AL), and Escambia (FL) counties. An area of rain developed earlier and has since moved to our southeast. Surface observations point to wind gusts up to 40 mph over the last hour on the northeastern side of this mass of precipitation. High winds of 40 to 60 mph will persist over the next few hours in the wake of the dissipating band of thunderstorms.

WHAT TO EXPECT – TONIGHT… After the gusty winds subside later this evening, a few showers will be possible overnight. Rain coverage will increase late tomorrow morning as another MCS (mesoscale convective system) develops to our west and ultimately spreads across our area.

LOW-END, LEVEL 1 (OUT OF 5) SEVERE WEATHER RISK WEDNESDAY… The Storm Prediction Center includes part of our local area in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid for Wednesday into the evening hours. Parts of Baldwin, Mobile, and Escambia (FL) counties are involved in this low-end risk zone with the remainder of our region remaining in the “general thunderstorms” zone where severe storms are far less likely. These communities are involved in the low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) risk: Mobile, Prichard, Saraland, Satsuma, Creola, Mt. Vernon, Axis, Citronelle, Chunchula, Wilmer, West Mobile, Theodore, Bayou La Batre, Coden, Alabama Port, Sunny Cove, Navco, Dauphin Island, Spanish Fort, Montrose, Daphne, Fairhope, Point Clear, Magnolia Springs, Elberta, Foley, Summerdale, Robertsdale, Bon Secour, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Fort Morgan, Elsanor, Loxley, Bay Minette, Stapleton, Stockton, Perdido, Gateswood, Pensacola, Warrington, NAS Pensacola, Gulf Breeze, Perdido Key, Beulah, Bellview, Cantonment, Gonzalez, and surrounding areas.

I will have your next full forecast video posted by 7:15AM Wednesday morning. Have a nice Tuesday evening!

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6:51AM April 12, 2021

NICE MONDAY; RAIN RETURNS LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY… Sunshine is the word on this Monday ahead of more rain and storms set to return later this week. High temperatures today will be in the mid-80s across south Alabama and northwest Florida. No rain is expected today, but we could have a few showers around as early as tomorrow afternoon and evening. Wednesday is slated to be our active weather day this week with showers and thunderstorms expected to be numerous across the region. Slightly cooler air arrives Wednesday evening, meaning high temperatures on Thursday and Friday will drop into the mid-70s. A few more Monday morning forecast details are below.

TODAY: NICEST DAY OUT OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS… If you’re looking for some nice weather, today is your day! Get out and enjoy it as the next several days will likely feature more in the way of cloud cover and chances of rain. High temperatures across the region today will be in the 83-86 degree range. Full sunshine is expected throughout the day.

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE P.M. TUESDAY… Tuesday will start the day with passing clouds but we could have a few showers develop in the afternoon and early evening hours. Rain will be most likely to happen across west Alabama locally. Highs on Tuesday will again be in the mid-80s. No severe weather issues are expected Tuesday.

RAIN & STORMS LIKELY AT TIMES WEDNESDAY… Chances are high that Wednesday will be the wettest day this week. Rain and thunderstorms will be possible throughout the day. Right now, parameters do not support a widespread, significant severe weather event, but I would not be surprised to see a low-end severe weather risk introduced for Wednesday, particularly for areas near the coast that may have more surface-based instability around compared to areas farther inland. This is something we will be monitoring over the next few days. Most areas will simply have rain at times on Wednesday.

MORE INTERMITTENT RAIN AHEAD LATER THIS WEEK… Thursday and Friday look unsettled – not “severe weather unsettled,” but rather unsettled with a chance of showers each day. Temperatures will be a bit cooler compared to the first half of the week with highs on Thursday and Friday likely to be in the 70s.

NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER THIS WEEK… Other than a small chance of a few stronger storms near the coast on Wednesday, the next 7 days look quiet in terms of the severe weather potential. We’ll keep watching the setup on Wednesday and let you know if there are any changes to pass along.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Monday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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8:45AM April 10, 2021

ALL CLEAR! WILD MORNING OF SEVERE STORMS IS OVER… I can give an ALL CLEAR to southwest Alabama and northwest Florida (in communities west of Destin). The severe weather risk is now over and the tornado watch has been cancelled for our local area. Rain and general thunderstorms (below severe limits) will continue over the next 2-3 hours. You may still hear some very startling claps of thunder! Rain will come to an end by 1PM, if not earlier, across our region. We’ll be drying out this afternoon ahead of a drier Sunday and Monday ahead. Several flash flood warnings continue across coastal counties over the next few hours. If you encounter a water-covered roadway, please “turn around, don’t drown.”

HAIL DAMAGE NEAR ORANGE BEACH… The hail damage that happened due to a discrete, isolated, supercell thunderstorm that moved ashore near Orange Beach and Gulf Shores is jaw-dropping. I have seen numerous photos showing vehicle windshields shattered with photos of up to baseball size hail. Thank you to everyone who shared photos of the hail not only in Orange Beach and Gulf Shores, but across the region. Many communities had hail in the storms this morning!

WIND DAMAGE IN MONROE & CLARKE COUNTIES… Several homes have been damaged near Thomasville. Emergency management teams report numerous trees down across Clarke and Monroe counties in southwest Alabama. Residents are encouraged to stay off the roads if possible in those counties as crews continue to assess damage. Please stay away from ANY downed power line that you encounter!

RAIN TO CONTINUE OVER NEXT FEW HOURS… Despite the severe weather threat ending locally, rain and occasional lightning and thunder will continue over the next few hours. We continue to experience loud thunder at our studio location in Brewton even as I type this update around 8:40AM. I expect rain and storms to be out of our region by 1PM at the latest. This evening will be much drier. Some spots may even have some sunshine before the end of the day.

THANKS FOR THE PHOTOS & REPORTS… I *greatly* appreciate everyone who sent in photos, videos, and “ground truth” reports earlier this morning during and after our long round of severe weather coverage. Thank you also for watching our coverage! I know you have a choice when it comes to severe weather coverage. I appreciate you choosing us and choosing our wonderful RedZone Weather sponsors, who make our coverage possible on good weather days and more importantly, on bad weather days.

Have a nice Saturday!

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9:30PM April 9, 2021

QUIET OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS; RISK RAMPS UP AFTER 3AM… As of 9:30PM, numerous strong to severe thunderstorms are organizing over the northern half of Mississippi, and northern Louisiana. Our local area in south Alabama and northwest Florida remains quiet late this evening with no rain noted locally on radar at this time. A squall line has developed across southeastern Oklahoma that will likely ultimately consolidate with all of the storms in the Deep South. These storms will move into south Alabama and northwest Florida around 3AM. We will be watching developing storms to our west and northwest until then.

The squall line that will move across our area is expected to be intense with the potential for multiple tornadoes and damaging straight line winds.

WARNING COVERAGE… As always, if and when we have tornado warnings issued for any part of our local 12 counties in south Alabama and northwest Florida, we will go into our uninterrupted Facebook Live video coverage to bring you the very latest. Please have a way to get urgent weather warnings tomorrow morning!

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7:45PM April 9, 2021

A FEW STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING… The tornado risk in the overnight hours into Saturday morning is increasing, plain and simple. While the main concern continues to be a developing squall line that could be particularly intense and produce widespread damaging winds capable of knocking down trees across the region, the overall tornado threat has increased as multiple, discrete supercell storms may form out ahead of the squall line. The Storm Prediction Center has added a “significant tornado” zone for much of southeast Mississippi and part of west Alabama where a few strong (EF2+) tornadoes may become possible overnight into Saturday morning. These severe storms are expected to cross our region from 3AM to 10AM, a bit earlier than previous projections. PLEASE have a way to get urgent weather warnings tonight before you go to sleep! We will come on Facebook Live if/when tornado warnings are needed for our local area.

HAVE A WAY TO GET WARNINGS BEFORE YOU GO TO SLEEP… Thunderstorms are expected to develop and move into our area around 3 and 4AM. These storms could quickly become severe. Please have a NOAA Weather Radio, Wireless Emergency Alerts (WEAs) on your smartphone, or something that can wake you up if your specific location goes under a Tornado Warning or a Severe Thunderstorm Warning.

WHAT TO EXPECT – THROUGH 3AM… Scattered showers and occasional thunderstorms will be possible through 2-3AM. There is a chance some of these storms could become severe and produce gusty winds, very heavy rain, and large hail. Golfball size hail happened early this morning near the Alabama-Mississippi state line near Pascagoula. We also have had several confirmed reports of hail in the storms in central Alabama earlier today. The overall tornado risk will ramp up after 3AM.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – SATURDAY MORNING… Severe storms are likely to move across our region from 3AM to 10AM. That seven hour window is a couple of hours sooner than projections from earlier today. It cannot be stressed enough: Please have a way to get warnings before you go to sleep. You need something that can wake you up if a tornado warning is issued for your area! Rain could persist into the early afternoon hours, but clearing skies are expected in the afternoon and evening hours as storms continue to move eastward and out of our local area.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS MEAN BUSINESS OVERNIGHT… Thunderstorms along the squall line expected to move into our area could really pack a punch with wind gusts as high as 70-80 mph. I know we get severe thunderstorm warnings around here, particularly in summertime, that sometimes produce very little damage, but in this case, I would suggest really keeping a close eye on storms involved in severe thunderstorm warning polygons as high winds and large hail will be possible. Wind gusts may down a few trees in the overnight hours. If you know someone in a mobile home surrounded by trees, please make sure they’re aware of this potential overnight into Saturday morning! Please “be the hero” and help me get the word out about this.

UPDATED: LEVEL 4 (OUT OF 5) RISK EXPANDED… An uncommon Level 4 (out of 5) significant severe weather risk zone is in place for parts of west Alabama due to an increased tornado risk and an elevated chance of damaging straight line wind gusts. Keep in mind that a Level 4 risk is quite uncommon in the grand scheme of things. A Level 4 risk means that widespread and intense thunderstorms capable of doing widespread damage will be possible. Tornadoes are MOST likely to happen in this zone, although we note there is at least some risk of tornadoes in the lower risk zones as well. The Level 4 risk is valid for communities like Chatom, Jackson, Grove Hill, Coffeeville, Millry, Leroy, Citronelle, Mt. Vernon, and surrounding areas in parts of Clarke, Washington, and Mobile counties. We note that parts of Marengo, Choctaw, Sumter, Greene, and Pickens counties are also involved in this higher risk zone.

LEVEL 3 (OUT OF 5) RISK FOR THE REST OF OUR LOCAL AREA… The remainder of our local area (outside of the areas mentioned in the previous paragraph) are involved in the Level 3 (out of 5) risk. A Level 3 risk means that numerous severe storms will be possible, including the potential for tornadoes and damaging wind gusts. This Level 3 risk includes places like Mobile, Prichard, Bayou La Batre, Saraland, Daphne, Fairhope, Spanish Fort, Foley, Bay Minette, Pensacola, Molino, Warrington, Gulf Breeze, Milton, Pace, Jay, Century, Atmore, Flomaton, Brewton, Poarch, Monroeville, Beatrice, Uriah, Evergreen, Castleberry, Repton, Greenville, Georgiana, McKenzie, Andalusia, Opp, Florala, Navarre, Crestview, Laurel Hill, Destin, Fort Walton Beach, and surrounding areas.

A NOTE ABOUT THE CONVECTIVE OUTLOOKS… You may be wondering why the remainder of our area is involved in the Level 3 risk since the current valid convective outlook only shows part of our area involved in the higher Level 3 risk instead of the full, remainder of the region. This is because the Storm Prediction Center convective outlook products have a “cut off” time each day of 12:00Z time, or 7AM CDT in our case. Basically, the “Friday outlook” is technically from 7AM Friday to 7AM Saturday, then the Saturday outlook picks up at 7AM. The map attached “fixes” this issue, highlighting the maximum risk zone for each respective outlook day.

RAIN AND STORMS CLEAR OUT LATE MORNING… The good news is that severe storms and lingering rain should clear out pretty quickly late in the morning hours of Saturday. There may be a few lingering showers in the early afternoon hours, but rain should be gone completely to our east by 2PM.

TORNADO WARNING POLICY… Any time there is an active tornado warning in effect for southwest Alabama or northwest Florida, we provide uninterrupted, live video coverage on Facebook Live and in the RedZone Weather app. Our detailed coverage commitment is outlined at redzoneweather.com/coverage. We are proud to cover all parts of Escambia (AL), Covington, Monroe, Conecuh, Baldwin, Mobile, Clarke, Washington, Butler, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties. If you live in any locale in those counties, be sure to tune into our coverage whenever there is an active tornado warning!

SET UP APP ALERTS… redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the free RedZone Weather app. We post brief updates throughout each day in the app, keeping you up-to-date about the latest happenings in weather across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Once you have the free app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have many updates posted throughout the night as needed in the RedZone Weather app. If or when a tornado warning is issued for our local area, we will start our uninterrupted, live video coverage to bring you the latest information.

Stay safe and have a good Friday evening!

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6:51AM April 9, 2021

SCATTERED STORMS TODAY; STRONG LINE OF STORMS SATURDAY MORNING… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will pop up across south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Friday. Some of these storms could be strong or severe at times, producing heavy rain, quite a bit of lightning, and gusty winds. These storms will be widely spaced initially before coverage increases later today. Tonight into Saturday morning, we’ll be monitoring a developing line of strong to severe storms setting up to our west. This line of storms is expected to move across our area from west to east on Saturday morning, bringing with it the chance of strong to severe storms capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and perhaps a tornado or two. The Storm Prediction Center added a Level 4 (out of 5) significant severe weather risk zone for parts of Mississippi, Louisiana, and southern Arkansas due to a pronounced threat of damaging straight line winds. Part of our local area is involved in the Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced risk zone where damaging winds and tornadoes will be likely to happen tomorrow morning. Storms should exit our area to the east by mid-afternoon on Saturday. We’ll be drying out Saturday evening ahead of drier conditions ahead for Sunday and Monday. All of your Friday morning forecast details are below.

POP-UP THUNDERSTORMS TODAY; HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES… Thunderstorms today are expected to be loud and proud at times. There could be a stronger storm or two at times later this morning or into the early afternoon hours but clearly the greater severe weather issues are ahead for Saturday morning. Storms this afternoon may produce heavy rain, gusty winds, cloud-to-ground lightning, and even small hail if storms can become strong. I will have radar updates throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. Highs today will be in the low-80s, similar to the last few days.

LINE OF STORMS TO DEVELOP TO OUR WEST TONIGHT… We’ll be watching radar trends across parts of Louisiana, Arkansas, and Mississippi as a potentially robust line of thunderstorms develops. The Storm Prediction Center has a Level 4 (out of 5) significant severe weather risk for those areas, primarily driven by the damaging wind potential. This is the same line of storms that is expected to cross our area on Saturday morning.

LEVEL 4 (OUT OF 5) RISK TO OUR WEST TODAY INTO TONIGHT… SPC maintains an uncommon Level 4 (out of 5) significant severe weather risk zone valid today into this evening for much of northeastern Louisiana, far southern Arkansas, and much of the southern half of Mississippi. Places like Hattiesburg, Jackson (MS), Vicksburg, McComb, and Meridian are involved in the higher Level 4 risk zone. Not all risk zones are driven by an elevated tornado threat. In this case, SPC added the Level 4 risk due to a very high chance of straight line winds becoming problematic as the line of storms crosses through parts of Mississippi tonight into early Saturday.

LEVEL 3 (OUT OF 5) RISK LOCALLY… The highest risk of tornadoes and damaging wind gusts locally will happen in areas mainly along and west of Interstate 65, including parts of Escambia (AL), Conecuh, Monroe, Clarke, Washington, Mobile, Baldwin, Choctaw, Marengo, and Wilcox counties. A Level 3 risk means that numerous severe thunderstorms are LIKELY, in this case on Saturday morning. Tornadoes, damaging winds, large hail, and flash flooding will be possible. The main concern will likely be damaging straight line winds as opposed to numerous, large tornadoes.

LEVEL 2 (OUT OF 5) RISK FOR AREAS TO THE SOUTHEAST… Southern Mobile, southern Baldwin, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, Okaloosa, Covington, and Butler counties are involved in the Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk zone valid tonight into Saturday. This means that scattered instances of damaging wind gusts and tornadoes will be possible, but most areas should simply have heavy rain, thunder, and lightning at times on Saturday morning.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – SATURDAY MORNING… 5AM to Noon is the 7 hour window when strong to severe thunderstorms will be most likely to happen across south Alabama and northwest Florida on Saturday morning. Rain could persist into the early afternoon hours, but clearing skies are expected in the afternoon and evening hours as storms continue to move eastward and out of our local area.

TRENDING DRIER FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY… There is a fairly high chance that Sunday and Monday could be the driest days overall out of the next 7 days. Keep in mind that a rogue shower or two on Sunday into Monday cannot completely be ruled out, but rain chances will be much lower compared to today and Saturday. Highs temperatures on Sunday and on Monday will be in the low-80s.

MORE SHOWERS & STORMS NEXT WEEK; COOLER TEMPS POSSIBLE… Rain chances will again rise as we get into the middle part of the upcoming week. These showers and thunderstorms will be driven not by any strong advancing cold front, but instead by several shortwaves that will move across our area from west to east. This pattern would support rain and storms, but less in the way of severe storms, most likely.

APP ALERTS… redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the free RedZone Weather app. We post brief updates throughout each day in the app, keeping you up-to-date about the latest happenings in weather across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Once you have the free app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Friday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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3:10AM April 9, 2021

STORM NEAR GRAND BAY WEAKER… The severe-warned thunderstorm currently located near the Alabama-Mississippi state line in southern Mobile County is weakening. Hail will continue to be a possibility near Grand Bay, Bayou La Batre, Fernland, and Union Church over the next few minutes, but this storm clearly is weaker than it was 10-15 minutes ago. Loud thunder will be possible as this storm moves northeast toward Mobile and Prichard.

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2:49AM April 9, 2021

HEADS UP NEAR GRAND BAY… A severe thunderstorm warning will likely be needed shortly for areas in southern Mobile County near Bayou La Batre, Grand Bay, Union Church, and St. Elmo. Large hail up to the size of half dollar coins is happening near the Mississippi coast, near and just southeast of Pascagoula and Escatawpa.

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2:45AM April 9, 2021

SEVERE STORM NEAR PASCAGOULA… The thunderstorms we have been tracking over the last hour in the northern Gulf have reached the southern Mississippi coast, prompting a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for parts of Jackson County. Pascagoula and Moss Point could have up to half dollar (!) size hail as this storm moves by. If this storm holds its strength, a new severe thunderstorm warning will be needed for parts of southern Mobile County, including areas near St. Elmo and Grand Bay.

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7:40PM April 8, 2021

STORMS AHEAD FRIDAY; SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING… Two more rounds of thunderstorms are ahead for south Alabama and northwest Florida. We had quite a bit of rain and a few thunderstorms this morning, but fortunately we did not have any tornado warnings locally. That result was within expectations for the Level 1 (out of 5) risk that was in place. Tomorrow into Saturday, the risk ramps up. The Storm Prediction Center has a Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced severe weather risk in place for parts of Mississippi and west Alabama. Much of our area remains involved in the Level 2 (out of 5) risk. One round of thunderstorms will likely happen during the daytime hours of Friday ahead of a more significant line of strong to severe storms slated to move through our region likely in the morning hours of Saturday. Heavy rain, damaging straight line winds, tornadoes, and large hail will be concerns on Saturday morning as this line of storms moves by. A few more Thursday evening forecast notes are below.

QUIET OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY… Tonight, no significant weather activity is expected across the region. There could be a few showers at times toward dawn and maybe a thunderstorm or two closer to the coast, but the overall threat of stronger storms won’t really ramp up until after sunrise Friday. Overnight lows will be in the low- to mid-60s.

STORMS TO POP UP TOMORROW IN THE DAYTIME HOURS… Showers and thunderstorms may get an early start in coastal communities on Friday. The overall coverage of thunderstorms will increase across the region throughout the day on Friday, although storms may be fairly scattered in nature throughout the day. There will be a few peeks of sunshine in the mix as well. Any thunderstorms that become large and tall will quickly become capable of producing very heavy rain, lots of lightning and loud thunder, and even small hail. The overall tornado risk on Friday remains quite low.

LEVEL 3 (OUT OF 5) RISK DRIVEN BY DAMAGING WIND THREAT… The Storm Prediction Center continues to include parts of west Alabama, much of Mississippi, southern Arkansas, and northern Louisiana in their Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced severe weather risk technically valid from 6AM Friday to 6AM on Saturday. This Level 3 risk is in place mainly due to the enhanced potential for damaging straight line wind gusts in the strong to severe line of storms that is expected to move from west to east late in the day on Friday into Saturday morning. Large hail is also a real concern. The overall tornado threat is not zero (by any stretch!) but it also is not particularly high. Often when we have these QLCS/squall line/MCS events, damaging winds can be just as bad as a weak tornado. It is important that we take the severe thunderstorm warnings seriously with this event as downed trees and tree branches will be the main concern.

SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE LOCALLY SATURDAY MORNING… This developing line of storms will first set up to our west on Friday, before moving east and approaching west Alabama likely early in the morning hours of Saturday. More details about timing are below. The main hazards locally will be damaging wind gusts, hail, heavy rain, and the potential for a tornado or two. As always, if we happen to have tornado warnings locally, we will go into our live video coverage to bring you the very latest.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – SATURDAY MORNING… 5AM to Noon is the seven hour window when strong to severe thunderstorms will be most likely to happen across south Alabama and northwest Florida on SATURDAY morning. Rain could persist into the early afternoon hours, but clearing skies are expected in the afternoon and evening hours as storms continue to move eastward and out of our local area.

CLEARING SKIES IN THE EVENING HOURS OF SATURDAY… Storms should exit our area to the east by the late morning and early afternoon hours of Sunday. I expect most areas to be drying out by 3-4PM. Temperatures will be in the upper-60s by 7PM most likely.

TRENDING DRIER FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY… There is a fairly high chance that Sunday and Monday could be the driest days overall out of the next 7 days. Keep in mind that a rogue shower or two on Sunday into Monday cannot completely be ruled out, but rain chances will be much lower compared to today and Saturday. High temperatures on Sunday and on Monday will be in the low-80s.

REDZONE WEATHER APP ISSUE NOTED… I have had a few reports over the last 18 hours or so of a strange issue happening in the RedZone Weather app. Basically, it seems the tweets I post on Twitter that are visible in the app are rendering incorrectly. You can see the text and click the link to view the image/animations I post, but you should not have to do this. All of the content SHOULD be visible without you having to take any action. I can confirm the issue is happening because I am seeing it on my copy of the app as well. I have contacted our app development team about the issue and they are looking into it now. As a workaround until this issue is resolved, I will be doing more “native posting” in the app until the severe weather risks end. I should emphasize that this issue is isolated and does NOT affect our ability to come on Facebook Live or in the video stream of the app to bring you uninterrupted live coverage. That is a totally separate, “mission critical” system that is not affected by this bizarre issue. Thanks for your patience as we get this fixed and thanks for using our app!

NEXT VIDEO… My next detailed video and text discussion will be posted by 7:15AM on Friday morning. Until then, more updates will be posted in the RedZone Weather app. Have a great evening!

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2:49AM April 8, 2021

RAIN MOVING EAST… Rain and thunderstorms continue to move in from the west early on this Thursday morning. If trends continue over the next few hours, this will end up being a rain event for our local area with little in the way of severe weather issues. We know things can change very quickly, but I’m encouraged by the trend I’m seeing this morning in that these are storms that are embedded in a rain shield and not a robust line of storms.

I’ll keep watching trends over the next few hours. If we happen to have a tornado warning, we will come on the Facebook Live video feed to bring you the latest info.

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