6:56AM June 4, 2020

HEAVY RAIN & THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THIS WEEKEND AS T.S. CRISTOBAL APPROACHES… 3 to 6 inches of rainfall in total is expected through Tuesday across south Alabama and northwest Florida as Tropical Storm Cristobal flings in ample Gulf moisture supporting numerous showers and thunderstorms. Rain chances will be at their peak on Sunday into Monday as the core of Cristobal likely passes just to our west across Louisiana. The main concern locally will be heavy rain that could lead to flash flooding, although isolated, brief spin-up tornadoes and gusty (20-30 mph) winds may happen at the immediate coastline. Dangerous rip currents and high surf will also be concerns at the beaches, meaning we encourage everyone to stay OUT of the water starting Saturday and extending through Tuesday. We’ve got all the details about Tropical Storm Cristobal below. Let’s look at your forecast details.

TODAY: SCATTERED SHOWERS & STORMS… We’ll have essentially a carbon copy repeat of what happened yesterday across the region with scattered showers and thunderstorms popping up throughout the day. Not everyone will have rain before the end of the day, but some spots may pick up around 1” of rain in a very short period of time. The localized areas that get that much rain will also have cloud-to-ground lightning, loud thunder, gusty winds, and perhaps even small hail in the strongest of storms. Widespread severe weather is NOT expected today and the tornado risk remains at or near zero locally.

The following information from the detailed discussion last night remains right on target.

TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL – LOCAL IMPACTS… Let me preface all of this by saying that IF significant forecast path adjustments are needed (not expected at this point, but still a small chance), we obviously will need to adjust the specific local impacts. For now, the biggest concern with Cristobal for south Alabama and northwest Florida will be heavy rain that could lead to flash flooding. 3 to 6 inches of rainfall in total are expected over the next 7 days across our area, with the greater amounts (5-6” of rain) likely happening near the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. Gusty winds (20-30 mph) will be possible at the immediate beach zones and near local bays and inlets on Sunday into Monday as Cristobal comes onshore to our west. Isolated, brief, spin-up tornadoes may become an issue Sunday into Monday near the coast. That is a potential we’ll have to watch over the next few days as specifics come more into focus. High waves and dangerous rip currents will also be likely at the local beaches. Coastal flooding and beach erosion could happen as well.

BEACH TRIPS & VACATION PLANNING DURING T.S. CRISTOBAL… This weekend is going to be quite soggy, to say the least, at the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. The greater rain chance will inevitably be on Sunday into Monday, but there will be scattered to numerous showers and storms involved on Saturday as well. I continue to receive questions about vacation plans and trips to the local beaches on this Wednesday. I can’t really give specific recommendations as everyone has a different tolerance as to what they’re willing to deal with, but what I can tell you is confidence is now high that rain (with heavy rain at times) will be happening for much of the day on Sunday and on Monday. Beach access will probably be limited or closed with double red flags likely at most local beach locations. Rain chances will remain high Tuesday into Wednesday as an anomalously high amount of Gulf moisture continues to stream into our region long after Cristobal makes landfall to our west.

CRISTOBAL STILL NOT MOVING MUCH AT ALL… Unfortunately for Mexico and central America, Tropical Storm Cristobal won’t be moving that much over the next 12-24 hours. This will allow ongoing mudslide situations to get worse. Cristobal will slowly begin to lift northward across the eastern part of the Bay of Campeche (southern Gulf of Mexico) on Friday. Keep in mind that even on Saturday morning, this storm will still be in the southern part of the Gulf of Mexico. The faster, northerly movement will commence during the day on Saturday.

LANDFALL POINT MOST LIKELY IN LOUISIANA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY… The latest projected path from the National Hurricane Center shows the cone of uncertainty extending from Houston, Texas eastward to Pascagoula, Mississippi. This is the stretch of coastline where a landfall point is most likely to happen. This means that the state of Louisiana is directly in the center of the cone of uncertainty, meaning landfall is most likely to happen somewhere in that state. NHC ramps the system up to a formidable tropical storm (max winds of 60 mph) right before landfall. There is an off chance that Cristobal briefly becomes a hurricane before landfall. One bit of good news is that southwesterly shear will likely be increasing as Cristobal moves north across the Gulf, thus potentially helping to limit overall strengthening.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES TO BE ISSUED TO OUR WEST… A Tropical Storm Watch will become necessary for parts of Louisiana later today or Friday ahead of Cristobal’s projected arrival on Sunday into Monday. There is a chance that parts of the Mississippi and perhaps even the Alabama coast will go under a Tropical Storm Watch as well, considering gusty winds (maybe as high as tropical storm force) will be a concern with this system.

RAIN CHANCES TO REMAIN HIGH INTO NEXT WEEK… The center of circulation associated with Cristobal will continue to move northward on Monday into Tuesday of next week. This will keep the overflow wind flow across our area out of the south, as we will likely remain on the eastern flank of the system. This will allow copious amounts of Gulf moisture to continue to move into our area, keeping rain chances high on Tuesday into Wednesday of the upcoming week. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected each day.

APP… Many updates will be posted throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Be sure to visit the Alerts tab (bottom right corner) and tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize the alerts you’d like to receive from me. If you like a lot of info, be sure to toggle ON Low-Level Alerts.

UPDATES IN APP; LONGER POST LATER TONIGHT… I will have plenty of updates over the next 12 hours in the RedZone Weather app as needed. We will have a detailed, longer post uploaded by 8PM this evening. Please let me know if you have specific questions. Have a great Thursday!

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1:00AM June 4, 2020

1AM ADVISORY: TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL… Here is the latest information from the National Hurricane Center concerning Tropical Storm Cristobal. The tropical storm is currently centered inland over eastern Mexico. Maximum winds are now at 40 mph. Weakening has continued due to land interaction. Further weakening is possible and Cristobal may become a tropical depression soon. Re-strengthening is expected once the storm moves over the open waters of the Gulf of Mexico late Friday into Saturday.

I’ll have a detailed video posted by 7:15AM. See you then!

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7:22PM June 3, 2020

CRISTOBAL TO BRING HEAVY RAIN & STORMS TO LOCAL AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY… Unsettled weather is expected across the local area as we go into the weekend and early next week as Tropical Storm Cristobal approaches from the south with a landfall point in Louisiana looking increasingly likely. Heavy rain, gusty winds near the beach zones, and isolated tornadoes will become possible Saturday evening, Sunday, Monday, extending perhaps into early Tuesday. 3 to 6 inches of rainfall in total over the next several days will be the main concern locally with this system as flash flooding will be increasingly possible. There are many folks with questions about vacation plans. We’ve got that covered for you below. We’re also diving into the details concerning potential local impacts. See all of the specific information below…

SPECIFIC LOCAL IMPACTS FROM CRISTOBAL… Let me preface all of this by saying that IF significant forecast path adjustments are needed (not expected at this point, but still a small chance), we obviously will need to adjust the specific local impacts. For now, the biggest concern with Cristobal for south Alabama and northwest Florida will be heavy rain that could lead to flash flooding. 3 to 6 inches of rainfall in total are expected over the next 7 days across our area, with the greater amounts (5-6” of rain) likely happening near the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. Gusty winds (20-30 mph) will be possible at the immediate beach zones and near local bays and inlets on Sunday into Monday as Cristobal comes onshore to our west. Isolated, brief, spin-up tornadoes may become an issue Sunday into Monday near the coast. That is a potential we’ll have to watch over the next few days as specifics come more into focus. High waves and dangerous rip currents will also be likely at the local beaches. Coastal flooding and beach erosion could happen as well.

TO CANCEL OR NOT TO CANCEL YOUR BEACH TRIP… This weekend is going to be quite soggy, to say the least, at the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. The greater rain chance will inevitably be on Sunday into Monday, but there will be scattered to numerous showers and storms involved on Saturday as well. I continue to receive questions about vacation plans and trips to the local beaches on this Wednesday. I can’t really give specific recommendations as everyone has a different tolerance as to what they’re willing to deal with, but what I can tell you is confidence is now high that rain (with heavy rain at times) will be happening for much of the day on Sunday and on Monday. Beach access will probably be limited or closed with double red flags likely at most local beach locations. Rain chances will remain high Tuesday into Wednesday as an anomalously high amount of Gulf moisture continues to stream into our region long after Cristobal makes landfall to our west.

7PM ADVISORY – TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL… The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 7PM CDT on Wednesday, June 3 continues to indicate that Cristobal is not moving very much at all. The system is completely stationary. That means that this large tropical system is dropping very large amounts of rain over eastern Mexico, Guatemala, Belize, El Salvador, and Honduras. As of 7PM, the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal is located at 18.3° North and 91.8° West. That is basically right over Ciudad Del Carmen, Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are at 45 mph. Minimum central pressure is at 995 millibars. Further weakening is expected as Cristobal continues to interact with the land area of eastern Mexico.

CRISTOBAL LIKELY WON’T MOVE MUCH IN THE HOURS AHEAD… Unfortunately for Mexico and central America, Tropical Storm Cristobal won’t be moving that much over the next 24-36 hours. This will allow ongoing mudslide situations to get worse. Cristobal will slowly begin to lift northward across the eastern part of the Bay of Campeche (southern Gulf of Mexico) on Friday. Keep in mind that even on Saturday morning, this storm will still be in the southern part of the Gulf of Mexico. The faster, northerly movement will commence during the day on Saturday.

CENTER OF CRISTOBAL TO APPROACH LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY… The latest projected path from the National Hurricane Center shows the cone of uncertainty extending from Houston, Texas eastward to Mobile, Alabama. This is the stretch of coastline where a landfall point is most likely to happen. This means that the state of Louisiana is directly in the center of the cone of uncertainty, meaning landfall is most likely to happen somewhere in that state. NHC ramps the system up to a formidable tropical storm (max winds of 65 mph) right before landfall. There is an off chance that Cristobal briefly becomes a hurricane before landfall. One bit of good news is that southwesterly shear will likely be increasing as Cristobal moves north across the Gulf, thus potentially helping to limit overall strengthening.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES TO OUR WEST TOMORROW OR FRIDAY… A Tropical Storm Watch will become necessary for parts of Louisiana tomorrow (Thursday) or Friday ahead of Cristobal’s projected arrival on Sunday into Monday. There is a chance that parts of the Mississippi and perhaps even the Alabama coast will go under a Tropical Storm Watch as well, considering gusty winds (maybe as high as tropical storm force) will be a concern with this system.

RAIN CHANCES TO REMAIN HIGH INTO NEXT WEEK… The center of circulation associated with Cristobal will continue to move northward on Monday into Tuesday of next week. This will keep the overflow wind flow across our area out of the south, as we will likely remain on the eastern flank of the system. This will allow copious amounts of Gulf moisture to continue to move into our area, keeping rain chances high on Tuesday into Wednesday of the upcoming week. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected each day.

APP… Many updates will be posted throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Be sure to visit the Alerts tab (bottom right corner) and tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize the alerts you’d like to receive from me. If you like a lot of info, be sure to toggle ON Low-Level Alerts.

NEXT UPDATE… My next detailed video update will be posted by 7:15AM on Thursday with the latest information concerning Tropical Storm Cristobal. Be sure to check back with me over the next few days ahead of this system. Hope you have a great Wednesday evening!

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6:49AM June 3, 2020

TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL TO APPROACH NORTHERN GULF BY SUNDAY… Tropical Storm Cristobal will approach the northern Gulf Coast on Sunday. The latest projected path from the National Hurricane Center shows the center of Cristobal approaching Louisiana on Sunday. Local impacts in south Alabama and northwest Florida will be possible, including heavy rain and flash flooding, rip currents and high waves at the beaches, and perhaps even tornadoes near the immediate coast. Potential impacts will come into better focus over the next few days once we have a higher confidence on where the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal will likely end up. Today, we have a round of pop-up showers and thunderstorms ahead for our local area. Widespread severe weather is NOT expected but some of the storms may produce loud thunder and torrential downpours of rain. This will be the story over the next few days with numerous showers and storms expected each day. Let’s look at all of your forecast details.

SCATTERED STORMS LIKELY TODAY INTO THIS EVENING… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will pop up today across the region with heavy rain being possible at times. If you’re traveling today, be aware that these “splash and dash-type” thunderstorms can produce blinding heavy rain in very localized areas. Cloud-to-ground lightning and gusty winds will be possible in the strongest of the storms. The tornado risk today is at or near zero. Storms will fade away after 8PM.

RAIN CHANCES INCREASE ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY… We will begin to get more moisture flinging in from the south as we go into the latter half of the week and certainly into the weekend as Tropical Storm Cristobal approaches from the south. Increased precipitable water values will allow for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to form each day. High temperatures will consistently be in the mid-80s through Saturday.

TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL CURRENTLY IN BAY OF CAMPECHE… Cristobal had 60mph winds as of 1AM, but weakening is expected later today as the center of the storm interacts with the terrain of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. There is a chance Cristobal weakens to tropical depression status tonight or perhaps early on Thursday. Movement of the storm right now is to the southeast at 2 (yes, 2) miles per hour. This means the storm is essentially stationary, producing heavy rain over the same areas. Devastating mudslides are possible across parts of central America due to Cristobal into tonight and Thursday.

UPDATED NOTE ABOUT CANCELLING VACATION PLANS… I had a slew of questions yesterday about cancelling trips to the beach and vacation plans for this weekend into early next week. While we don’t know for sure just yet where the center of Cristobal will end up, confidence is now high that we will have a soaking rain at our local beach communities from Saturday evening, through Sunday, and into Monday. I would not be surprised if the waters at the local beaches in Alabama and northwest Florida are closed to the public with double red flags flying by Sunday as dangerous rip currents will be numerous with very high waves involved regardless of where the center of Cristobal comes onshore next week. We may have to assess a risk of brief, spin-up tornadoes near the coast as well, depending on the future exact track of Cristobal. Everyone has a different tolerance as to what you’re willing to deal with in the world of weather, thus I can’t really give specific recommendations. I can tell you that impacts at local beaches are increasingly likely, especially concerning heavy rain.

CRISTOBAL – PROJECTED PATH… Tropical Storm Cristobal is not moving much at all on this Wednesday. As noted by the National Hurricane Center in their technical discussion, the system is currently trapped between two high pressure areas. This trapping mechanism will be in place for the next 24-48 hours. By Friday, Cristobal will begin to move north across the Gulf of Mexico in response to higher winds from the south. The center of Tropical Storm Cristobal will likely reach the northern Gulf Coast (most likely Louisiana, if the current forecast verifies) by Sunday. There is a chance Cristobal will be a strong tropical storm by that point with maximum winds near 65-70 mph.

TROPICAL STORM WATCH LIKELY TO BE ISSUED… A Tropical Storm Watch will become necessary for parts of Louisiana tomorrow or Friday. We will get in more model guidance today that should firm up the idea of where the center of Cristobal will ultimately end up.

APP… Many updates will be posted throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Be sure to visit the Alerts tab (bottom right corner) and tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize the alerts you’d like to receive from me. If you like a lot of info, be sure to toggle ON Low-Level Alerts.

See all the details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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4:05PM June 2, 2020

CRISTOBAL TO MOVE NORTH THIS WEEKEND; RAIN LIKELY LOCALLY… Here is the latest projected path for Tropical Storm Cristobal from the National Hurricane Center as of 4PM on Tuesday, June 2. Cristobal is set to “sit and spin” in the Bay of Campeche over the next 3 days before jogging quickly to the north toward the northern Gulf Coast this weekend. At this moment, the forecast remains on track with increased rain chances being the main potential impact for our local area Sunday into Monday. High waves and dangerous rip currents will be a concern at our local beaches. While it is too early to definitively say where Tropical Storm Cristobal will ultimately make landfall, the latest deterministic model guidance points to a landfall point somewhere between Port O’Connor, Texas and Biloxi, Mississippi. Keep in mind that impacts will extend well away from the landfall point. This puts the state of Louisiana straight in the projected path for this system, meaning that is the area where most of the impacts will happen IF this scenario verifies. Further forecast refinements will be possible over the next few days and IF model guidance shifts farther east, obviously our area would have more in the way of potential impacts (perhaps including a few spin-up tornadoes and higher wind gusts). We certainly are not “out of the woods” just yet.

SHOULD I CANCEL MY VACATION PLANS? I have had a plethora of questions like this today, most of which are from folks planning to travel to the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches this weekend into early next week. My answer to this question remains: If I had plans to go to our beaches this weekend into early next week, I would currently keep my plans. I would not cancel as of now as I personally don’t mind increased rain chances at the beaches. If you’re looking for full days of sunshine at our local beaches, those are pretty hard to come by this time of year due to the pop-up thunderstorms that are going to happen each day. If you can wait to make a decision on your beach vacation, that is what I would do. We will have a better grip of potential local impacts tomorrow evening and into Thursday. If you know someone planning to vacation/travel with concerns, tag them below and tell them about this specific paragraph please.

WHAT IS DRIVING CRISTOBAL RIGHT NOW… This tropical system is not moving much at all. As noted by the National Hurricane Center in their technical discussion, the system is currently trapped between two high pressure areas. This trapping mechanism will be in place for the next 48-72 hours. By Friday, Cristobal will begin to move north across the Gulf of Mexico in response to higher winds from the south. It should be noted that forecast confidence in 4 to 5 days remains fairly low as there are plenty of questions as to what will happen when/if Cristobal interacts with the land area of Mexico later this week. There is at least some chance that the terrain weakens the system. Even in that scenario, however, there is a chance the system redevelops farther north and moves across the Gulf of Mexico. Lots of question marks. We’ll keep you posted as we know more in the days ahead.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

Have a nice Tuesday evening!

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6:52AM June 2, 2020

P.M. POP-UP STORMS TODAY; WATCHING TD3/CRISTOBAL IN SOUTHERN GULF… Pop-up showers and thunderstorms are set to return to our area today as we continue to monitor the tropical system in the southern Gulf of Mexico that will likely move northward toward parts of the southeastern U.S. this weekend. The rain chance today has nothing to do with the tropical system. Rain and pop-up storms today will be localized and what we are accustomed to during the summer months around here. Severe weather is not expected today, although some of the stronger storms may produce cloud-to-ground lightning and brief gusty winds. Let’s look at all of your forecast details.

SHOWERS & STORMS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY… Yesterday was dry and hot. Today will be more seasonal for an early June day with a chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon into the evening hours. High temperatures will be in the mid-80s. The same holds true for Wednesday.

MORE POP-UP STORMS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY… Pop-up thunderstorms will increase in coverage in the afternoon and evening hours of Thursday and Friday. High temperatures are slated to be in the mid- to upper-80s.

HIGH RAIN CHANCES THIS WEEKEND… Numerous showers and thunderstorms are likely this weekend into early next week, partially due to the influence of If our local area is closer to the track of the tropical system that is slated to move northward across the Gulf of Mexico this weekend, we will need to adjust rain chances even higher.

TD3/CRISTOBAL TO MEANDER AROUND SOUTHERN GULF… The National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to issue advisories on the system in the southern Gulf of Mexico. At the time of our video production very early on this Tuesday, NHC maintains the Tropical Depression Three status, but there is a good chance by the time you’re actually seeing this video pop up on your Facebook feed that the system will have strengthened into Tropical Storm Cristobal. The forecast for TD3/Cristobal calls for very slow movement across the southern Gulf of Mexico in the area known as the Bay of Campeche. NHC suggests that somewhat of a loop will happen in the track of this system, with a near landfall happening along the Mexican coast. This is where the forecast gets tricky, as if TD3/Cristobal moves farther inland in southern Mexico, the entire system may be disrupted. If the system loops around, as the official NHC forecast suggests, there is a good chance Cristobal will turn northward and potentially approach the U.S. on Sunday into Monday.

COULD BE CRISTOBAL OR COULD BE DOLLY… Weirdly enough, if TD3/Cristobal moves into Mexico (as discussed in the previous paragraph), there is a chance that the system may dissipate and help to spin up a new tropical system that would move across the Gulf of Mexico from south to north. This could potentially be a totally distinct tropical storm (would take the name “Dolly”) that would potentially take aim at parts of Louisiana and Texas. The National Hurricane Center Discussion accounts for this possibility. Regardless of if the system is named Cristobal or Dolly, there is a high chance we will have a tropical storm in the central Gulf of Mexico by the upcoming weekend.

POTENTIAL LOCAL IMPACTS… While it is still a bit too early to say for sure whether the center of this tropical storm will remain to our west this weekend into early next week, the model trends have been pretty consistent in that idea so far. If this scenario verified, this would mean our local area in south Alabama and northwest Florida would primarily have increased rain chances Sunday into Monday. Depending on the exact track of this system, there could be an increased risk of brief, spin-up tornadoes near the immediate coast, although for now confidence in that idea remains low. IF the center of this tropical storm is closer to our area as opposed to areas farther west, obviously we would have an increased risk of hazards (heavy rain, flash flooding, tornadoes, high waves).

UPDATES IN APP TODAY… I’ll have plenty of updates later today on the very latest concerning the tropics. Be sure to check with me in the RedZone Weather app this afternoon into this evening. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Be sure to visit the Alerts tab (bottom right corner) and tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize the alerts you’d like to receive from me. If you like a lot of info, be sure to toggle ON Low-Level Alerts.

See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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4:02PM June 1, 2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 FORMS IN SOUTHERN GULF… The National Hurricane Center has initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Three, located in the southern Gulf of Mexico. This system has rapidly evolved today and organized to tropical depression status. TD3 will likely become Tropical Storm Cristobal in the hours ahead. The official forecast for TD3/Cristobal-to-be calls for the system to meander around the Bay of Campeche and southern Gulf for the next few days. Interestingly, if TD3 becomes a tropical storm over the next 3 days, this will be the earliest formation of the third named storm in an Atlantic Hurricane Season. The current record for the earliest 3rd named storm was Tropical Storm Colin in 2016.

LOCAL IMPACTS – TO BE DETERMINED… This remains on point from yesterday: There is a chance that NO local impacts across south Alabama and northwest Florida ever happen because of this system. We still are a few days out from knowing conclusively whether direct local impacts will happen. Uncertainty at this phase of development IS expected and details will come more into focus over the next few days. The MOST likely scenario, as of Monday, June 1, is that we will have slightly increased rain chances during the upcoming weekend. There could be a chance of a few stronger storms involved, depending on the exact track of what will likely be Tropical Storm Cristobal at that point. Please check back with me over the next few days as we continue to get more information.

RAIN CHANCES HIGHER LOCALLY, BUT NOT BECAUSE OF TD3… Our rain chances are set to rise as we get into the middle part of the week, but not because of direct influence from Tropical Depression 3/Cristobal. The showers and thunderstorms that pop up tomorrow, Wednesday, into Thursday are daily convection driven by the seabreeze that are all too common this time of year across our region. Storms will produce localized areas of heavy rain, gusty winds, and intense cloud-to-ground lightning, BUT widespread severe weather is not expected. Rain chances locally will increase throughout the week.

APP… Many updates will be posted over the next few days in the RedZone Weather app concerning this developing tropical system. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Be sure to visit the Alerts tab (bottom right corner) and tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize the alerts you’d like to receive from me. If you like a lot of info, be sure to toggle ON Low-Level Alerts.

I’ll have more details as needed in the RedZone Weather app in the hours ahead. My next detailed forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM on Tuesday. Be sure to check in with me tomorrow morning for the very latest information.

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12:50PM June 1, 2020

HIGH CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IN GULF… The National Hurricane Center now says there is an 90% chance of a tropical storm forming in the southern Gulf of Mexico (in the Bay of Campeche) over the next 3-5 days. This will be a situation where the tropical storm likely forms and does not move much at all for a few days as it sits and spins in the Bay of Campeche. By the end of the week and into the upcoming weekend, the system could either move south into Mexico or perhaps lift to the north and threaten Texas or Louisiana. We are simply too early in the process to be able to say conclusively that this system won’t directly affect Alabama or northwest Florida just yet, although there is a discernible trend pointing to a heightened chance of impacts in Texas and Louisiana. The big headline as of 1PM on Monday, June 1: There is now a growing (and high) chance that a tropical storm will form in the southern Gulf of Mexico later this week. Direct impacts to the United States will be possible this weekend into early next week, but it is too soon to give specifics. Be sure to check back with me over the next few days for the very latest.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

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6:50AM June 1, 2020

HURRICANE SEASON STARTS TODAY; DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE LATER THIS WEEK… The 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season kicks off today, and already we are looking at a growing potential for a tropical storm forming in the southern Gulf of Mexico later this week. The National Hurricane Center has development odds now up to a 70% chance. It is still too early to know where this system will ultimately end up. Some models show the system remaining in the southern Gulf before moving into Mexico. Other models have consistently suggested a more northerly route for the storm that could put parts of Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, or Florida in the projected path. These details will come into better focus over the next few days. Locally, we have a nice, but hot, Monday on tap across south Alabama and northwest Florida. High temperatures will be in the low-90s across the region. Let’s look at all of your forecast details.

MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY; RAIN CHANCES INCREASE LATER THIS WEEK… Rain chances remain very low today (<10%). While I cannot completely rule out one or two small showers this afternoon, nearly all of us will remain dry today. High temperatures will be in the 89-92° range. SHOWERS & STORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY… P.M. pop-up thunderstorms will return Tuesday through Friday. Rain chances will progressively increase each day. These pop-up thunderstorms will be capable of producing gusty winds, cloud-to-ground lightning, and localized areas of heavy rain.

70% CHANCE OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN GULF… The National Hurricane Center says there is now a 70% chance that a tropical storm will form in the Bay of Campeche (southern Gulf of Mexico) in the next 5 days. From the NHC 2AM Tropical Weather Outlook: “The remnants of Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda are currently located inland near the Guatemala-Yucatan Border. This large disturbance is forecast to move slowly northward this morning, followed by a northwestward motion later today, and the center of the low pressure system could emerge over the southeastern Bay of Campeche by this evening. If the remnants move back over water, environmental conditions appear conducive to support some development, and a new tropical depression could form while the system moves little through the middle of this week. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, heavy rainfall is likely to continue over portions of southern Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Belize, and western Honduras during the next few days.”

LOCAL IMPACTS – TO BE DETERMINED… This remains on point from yesterday: There is a chance that NO local impacts across south Alabama and northwest Florida ever happen because of this system. We still are a few days out from knowing conclusively whether direct local impacts will happen. Uncertainty at this phase of development IS expected and details will come more into focus over the next few days. The MOST likely scenario, as of Monday, June 1, is that we will have slightly increased rain chances during the upcoming weekend. There could be a chance of a few stronger storms involved, depending on the exact track of what will likely be Tropical Storm Cristobal at that point. Please check back with me over the next few days as we continue to get more information.

REST OF ATLANTIC BASIN REMAINS QUIET… The area of low pressure we were tracking late last week located well southeast of Bermuda and north of the Lesser Antilles has moved into an environment that no longer favors tropical or subtropical storm development. Other than the remnants of Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda, currently situated over the mountainous terrain of central America, the remainder of the Atlantic basin is quiet on this Monday morning.

HURRICANE SEASON STARTS TODAY… Today (Monday, June 1) marks the formal beginning of the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season. We’ve already had Tropical Storms Arthur and Bertha along the East Coast of the U.S. The next tropical cyclone name on the Atlantic Basin Naming List is “Cristobal.” NOAA and other agencies that issue hurricane season outlooks are suggesting the potential for an above average hurricane season, with 13 to 19 named storms expected, 6 to 10 hurricanes, and 3 to 6 major hurricanes. The “official” kickoff of hurricane season is Monday, June 1. The season will end on November 30. Stay with us throughout hurricane season. We’ll bring you the latest information in a reliable and concise way.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Monday #rzw forecast video. I’ll have your next detailed forecast video posted by 7:15AM on Tuesday. Have a good start to your week.

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1:45PM May 31, 2020

TROPICAL MISCHIEF IN GULF LATER THIS WEEK; 50% CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT… Chances continue to increase that a tropical storm will develop in the west-central Gulf of Mexico later this week. The National Hurricane Center has indicated there is now a 50% chance of this development happening, up from a 30% chance last night. There is a chance that local impacts in south Alabama and northwest Florida may happen during the upcoming weekend, although it is still too early to give specifics about what to expect. The big headline on this Sunday remains: Be aware that there may be a tropical storm in the Gulf in 5-7 days. Depending on where the system ends up, local impacts may be possible. This is something we’ll be carefully monitoring over the next few days. Locally, we’ve got a nice Sunday evening and Monday on tap with mostly sunny skies expected each day. P.M. pop-up thunderstorms will return as we get into Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of higher rain chances toward the weekend. Let’s look at all of your forecast details.

MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY AND MONDAY… Perfect pool weather! That’s how I would describe today as high temperatures are peaking in the low-90s across the region with plenty of sunshine. Don’t forget to wear sunscreen if you’re going to be outside this evening or on Monday. The UV Index is sky high in the 11-12 range locally. Rain chances are near zero today and remain very low for Monday. While I can’t completely rule out a rogue shower or storm on Monday, I expect vast majority of us to remain dry and hot with high temps again in the low-90s.

P.M. STORMS INCREASE IN COVERAGE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY… The classic pop-up thunderstorms of summer will return on Tuesday and Wednesday, primarily in the afternoon and early evening hours. Widespread severe weather is not expected, but you know the drill: These pop-up storms may produce localized areas of very heavy rain, cloud-to-ground lightning, and even small hail in the strongest of the storms. High temperatures midweek will be in the upper-80s with morning lows in the upper-60s.

50% CHANCE OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN GULF LATER THIS WEEK… The National Hurricane Center continues to issue Special Tropical Weather Outlooks due to a growing chance of tropical development later this week in the west-central Gulf of Mexico. From the NHC midday discussion: “Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda, centered inland over southeastern Guatemala, is forecast weaken into a remnant low or dissipate over Guatemala or southeastern Mexico by tonight. However, the remnants of Amanda are expected to move northwestward within a broader area of disturbed weather, possibly emerging over the southeastern Bay of Campeche on Monday. If the remnants move back over water, environmental conditions appear conducive to support some redevelopment of the system while it moves little through the middle of this week. Regardless of redevelopment, heavy rainfall is likely to continue over portions of southern Mexico during the next few days.” By the way, this system would almost certainly take the name of “Cristobal,” which is the next tropical name in our local Atlantic Basin. Since the low-level center of Tropical Storm Amanda faded away, this technically will be a “new” system, even though the influence of Amanda is certainly noted in the development process of what will likely be Cristobal.

LOCAL IMPACTS – TO BE DETERMINED… Let me stress: There is a chance that NO local impacts across south Alabama and northwest Florida ever happen because of this system. We still are a few days out from knowing conclusively whether direct local impacts will happen. Uncertainty at this phase of development IS expected and details will come more into focus over the next few days. The MOST likely scenario, as of Sunday, May 31, is that we will have slightly increased rain chances during the upcoming weekend. There could be a chance of a few stronger storms involved, depending on the exact track of what will likely be Tropical Storm Cristobal at that point. Please check back with me over the next few days as we continue to get more information.

REST OF ATLANTIC BASIN REMAINS QUIET… The area of low pressure we’ve been tracking well southeast of Bermuda and north of the Lesser Antilles has moved into an environment that no longer favors tropical or subtropical storm development. Other than the remnants of Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda, currently situated over the mountainous terrain of central America, the remainder of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

OFFICIAL KICKOFF OF HURRICANE SEASON TONIGHT… Monday, June 1 marks the formal beginning of the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season. We’ve already had Tropical Storms Arthur and Bertha along the East Coast of the U.S. The next tropical cyclone name on the Atlantic Basin Naming List is “Cristobal.” NOAA and other agencies that issue hurricane season outlooks are suggesting the potential for an above average hurricane season, with 13 to 19 named storms expected, 6 to 10 hurricanes, and 3 to 6 major hurricanes. The “official” kickoff of hurricane season is Monday, June 1. The season will end on November 30. Stay with us throughout hurricane season. We’ll bring you the latest information in a reliable and concise way. No hype, no hyperbole, just the facts, per our long-standing policy.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Sunday #rzw forecast video. I’ll have your next detailed forecast video posted by 7:15AM on Monday. Have a nice evening!

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4:09PM May 30, 2020

POSSIBLE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN WESTERN GULF NEXT WEEK… There is a growing chance that a tropical storm may form in the western or central Gulf of Mexico late next week. We’re now within 6-7 days of when this development may happen. Model trends have consistently suggested this possibility and confidence in this idea is pretty high. The signal from various weather models is unusually high for this time of year, meaning now is the time to start thinking about tropical storm preparedness. There is still plenty of information that we just do not know, like exactly where this potential tropical system will end up. Could it be a threat to the local area in Alabama and northwest Florida? Yes, it could. Is that a likelihood at this point? No, it’s simply one of MANY potential outcomes. The big headline as of Saturday, May 30: Be aware that we could have tropical development in the Gulf next week.

ACTIVE HURRICANE SEASON POSSIBLE… We’ve already had Tropical Storms Arthur and Bertha along the East Coast of the U.S. The next tropical cyclone name on the Atlantic Basin Naming List is “Cristobal.” NOAA and other agencies that issue hurricane season outlooks are suggesting the potential for an above average hurricane season, with 13 to 19 named storms expected, 6 to 10 hurricanes, and 3 to 6 major hurricanes. The “official” kickoff of hurricane season is Monday, June 1. The season will end on November 30.

APP… redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the free RedZone Weather app. We post brief updates throughout each day in the app, keeping you up-to-date about the latest happenings in weather across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Once you have the free app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I’ll have more details about this tropical development potential in the Sunday evening forecast video that will be posted by 3PM. Have a nice Saturday evening!

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7:15AM May 30, 2020

FEW STORMS TODAY; DRIER PATTERN BEGINS SUNDAY… Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible today, mainly across coastal areas of Alabama and northwest Florida. Most areas will likely be without rain today, but where showers and storms develop, there could be localized areas of heavy rain. Severe weather is not expected today. High temperatures will be near 90° in most spots. Drier conditions are ahead for Sunday into Monday.

Have a great Saturday!

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12:47PM May 29, 2020

SHOWERS & STORMS LIKELY TO POP UP… Temperatures are now near 90 degrees across the region as we approach 1PM. At the moment, there are a few showers and storms forming near Choctaw Bluff and the Alabama River south of Gosport and Perdue Hill. These are the first of what likely will be many showers and storms that pop up over the next few hours.

I’ll have radar updates as needed as storms continue to fire up. Widespread severe weather is not expected today, but storms could be loud and produce localized areas of heavy rain.

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6:50AM May 29, 2020

P.M. THUNDERSTORMS TODAY; DRIER WEATHER STARTS SUNDAY… Thunderstorms will pop up this afternoon into this evening across south Alabama and northwest Florida as our warm, unsettled, summer-like pattern is set to continue. High temperatures will be in the mid- to upper-80s. While there is no formal risk of severe weather in place, some of the storms today could be on the strong side, producing localized, small areas of gusty winds. Small hail will be possible in the strongest of the storms. The tornado risk today remains very, very low. There could be a few waterspouts offshore, however. Please be aware of that if you’re headed out on a boat. There is a chance some spots may have no rain today. The storms will be scattered in nature and MOSTLY happening between 11AM and 8PM. We’ll have a few more showers and storms on Saturday ahead of a drier pattern setting up for Sunday. Let’s look at all of your forecast details.

FEWER STORMS ON SATURDAY… Rain chances will be much lower on Saturday compared to today. We’ll call it a 30% chance of showers and storms on Saturday, most of which will happen in the P.M. hours. High temperatures on Saturday will approach 90° by 2PM.

SUNNY & HOT SUNDAY INTO MONDAY… Sunny skies are expected for Sunday into Monday as a big area of high pressure takes a firm hold on our weather pattern for the next several days. High temperatures will be in the low-90s. No rain is expected on Sunday or Monday.

DRY WEEK AHEAD… Hot and dry conditions are ahead for the upcoming week. Rain will be scarce with high pressure building into the Deep South. There is at least some chance we may go through the whole work week (Monday through Friday) with no rain. High temperatures will be in the low-90s with morning lows in the upper-60s.

ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN ATLANTIC… The National Hurricane Center issued yet another Special Tropical Weather Outlook last night due to a developing tropical disturbance over the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean. This system is well southeast of Bermuda and well to the north of the Lesser Antilles. Regardless of if the system becomes a subtropical storm or tropical storm, the system won’t directly affect Alabama or northwest Florida. Direct U.S. impacts are highly unlikely. From NHC: A surface trough and associated upper-level disturbance are producing disorganized shower activity and gusty winds over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Gradual development of this system is possible, and it could acquire some subtropical characteristics later today or on Saturday as it moves generally northward. Development is not expected after that time due to unfavorable environmental conditions.

See all the details in your Friday #rzw forecast video. Have a great weekend!

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6:56AM May 28, 2020

ISOLATED P.M. STORMS TODAY; MORE STORMS ON FRIDAY… A few pop-up thunderstorms will likely happen on this Thursday with the greatest chance of rain happening across inland areas of southwest Alabama. High temperatures today will be in the mid- to upper-80s across the region. Just like yesterday, there may be a stronger storm or two across the region, although widespread severe weather is NOT expected. We had two tornado warning polygons yesterday, but I will be very surprised if any storms can ramp up to that level today. The overall tornado risk remains very, very low. Any storms that become strong this afternoon or this evening will be capable of producing gusty winds and small hail. Let’s look at your forecast details.

STORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY; DRIER SUNDAY… The first half of the weekend has a chance of storms on Saturday, particularly in the afternoon and evening hours. Highs on Saturday will be in the upper-80s. Rain and storms on Saturday will be in the form of pop-up thunderstorms that happen mainly across inland areas of south Alabama. Sunday looks to be drier with winds shifting from out of the north. Highs will be around 90° on Sunday with mostly sunny skies throughout the day.

DRIER PATTERN EARLY NEXT WEEK… Warm temperatures are here to stay, but it looks like we will get a break in the rain/storms early next week. Monday through Wednesday now look dry with mostly sunny skies expected each day. High temperatures will be in the upper-80s or low-90s with morning lows in the upper-60s.

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA: FORMED & DISSIPATED YESTERDAY… It is certainly not everyday that you get a tropical storm that forms and dissipates on the exact same day of the calendar. That is what happened yesterday with Tropical Storm Bertha. The system that was INVEST 91L developed a low-level circulation center right before it made landfall in South Carolina near Charleston yesterday morning around 8:30AM. The National Hurricane Center issued the first advisory around that time. Bertha moved onshore in South Carolina and quickly dissipated into a remnant low pressure area last evening. The last advisory was issued by the National Hurricane Center at 5PM, meaning the system was officially a named storm for approximately 10 hours. That may be a new record for the shortest tropical storm ever.

TROPICS NOW QUIET… The Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Atlantic Ocean won’t see any tropical development over the next 3-5 days. The 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season officially kicked off a few weeks ago when Tropical Storm Arthur formed and moved just east of North Carolina. Tropical Storm Bertha moved inland yesterday and rapidly weakened. The next name on the tropical cyclone naming list is Cristobal. Some of the longer range models have hinted at the potential for tropical mischief in the western Caribbean and perhaps even the southern Gulf of Mexico in 2-3 weeks, but it is far too early to know any details on IF that will happen, WHEN specifically that will happen, or what locations would be affected (if any). That is certainly nothing to worry about, for now. I’ll keep watching trends and bring you the latest as needed.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.’

See all the details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video. Have a nice day!

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12:02AM May 28, 2020

STORMS MOVING IN FROM WEST… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible across our region overnight. As of midnight, we have several showers and storms in southeast Mississippi that are about to move into west Alabama. Don’t be surprised by a few rumbles of thunder across the region over the next several hours. The overall risk of severe weather remains low.

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3:43PM May 27, 2020

SEVERE STORM NEAR WILMER… A new severe thunderstorm warning has been issued for the far western part of Mobile County, AL valid until 4:30PM. Tanner Williams, Big Creek Lake, Semmes, Mauvila, Millertown, Wilmer, Moffetville, and Georgetown are included. This warning polygon does NOT include the cities of Mobile or Prichard. Large hail (up to the size of a quarter) and damaging straight line winds are the main concerns. Parts of eastern George County, MS are also involved in this warning.

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2:26PM May 27, 2020

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AL/MS STATE LINE… A Severe Thunderstorm Warning is in effect for much of Washington County in west Alabama. This includes Fruitdale, Vinegar Bend, Deer Park, Chatom, Yarbo, Tibbie, Wagerville, Frankville, Leroy, and Sunflower.

Hail and gusty winds will be possible in these communities and surrounding areas over the next hour as a severe storm moves in from the west.

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6:52AM May 27, 2020

P.M. SHOWERS & STORMS TODAY; DRIER PATTERN STARTS SUNDAY… Occasional showers and thunderstorms will be possible on this Wednesday, especially in the afternoon and evening hours. Widespread severe thunderstorms are not expected and the tornado risk today remains at or near zero. We note the Storm Prediction Center has all of our local area involved in their Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk today due to a chance of a few storms that could produce gusty winds and hail. High temperatures on this Wednesday will again be in the 80s. The next few days will feature more of the same with a chance of thunderstorms each afternoon. Drier conditions are expected starting on Sunday. We’re also monitoring a system near the Florida Peninsula (on the Atlantic side) that has a low-end chance of becoming a tropical storm before the system moves into the Carolinas later this week. Let’s look at your forecast details.

FEW STRONGER STORMS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING… Most of the thunderstorms that fire up later today will feature loud thunder and heavy rain. There is a chance that a few of the storms may become stronger and produce gusty winds and perhaps a few damaging wind gusts. It is often the case around here in the summertime: Very little to no tornado risk. That holds true today. There is plenty of fuel/instability for storms to work with but very little in the way of upper-level wind support. I’ll have updates as needed throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app.

RAIN & STORMS AT TIMES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS… Our weather pattern will remain consistent through Saturday with a chance of showers and thunderstorms each day across the region. Any stronger storms that can fire up will produce very heavy rain, gusty winds, and perhaps even some small hail.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EAST OF FLORIDA… The National Hurricane Center continues to indicate there is a chance (30-40%) of a tropical storm forming east of Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina over the next few days as an area of low pressure lifts northward. From NHC: “Showers and thunderstorms located over extreme northeastern Florida, adjacent Atlantic waters, and the northwestern Bahamas are associated with an elongated surface trough interacting with an upper-level disturbance. Although a weak surface low has formed within the trough near Orlando, Florida, little if any further development of this system is expected due to land interaction, strong upper-level winds, and an abundance of dry air in the mid-levels of the atmosphere. The broad disturbance is forecast to move northward today and Wednesday, remaining inland or near the coasts of northeastern Florida and Georgia.”

REST OF ATLANTIC BASIN REMAINS QUIET FOR NOW… The Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and the remainder of the Atlantic Ocean (other than the previously mentioned system near the Florida Peninsula in the paragraph above) are quiet right now with no tropical storm formation expected in the next 5-7 days.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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3:52PM May 26, 2020

LOUD STORMS NEAR BREWTON & MONROEVILLE… I am hearing quite a bit of thunder in Brewton as storms approach from the south. Loud storms are also happening near Monroeville and Ollie. These storms are under severe limits. Quite a bit of lightning, heavy rain, and gusty winds are happening in these stronger storms.

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6:50AM May 26, 2020

SCATTERED P.M. STORMS; MORE OF THE SAME THIS WEEK… Rain and storms will pop up this afternoon into this evening across south Alabama and northwest Florida as our summertime weather pattern continues. High temperatures today will be a bit cooler than yesterday with most spots peaking in the low- to mid-80s. We have more scattered areas of rain and pop-up storms ahead in the P.M. hours over the next few days. There is no organized risk of severe weather locally, although some of the storms may be strong and produce brief gusty winds, hail, and downpours of heavy rain.

LOW-END CHANCE OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT EAST OF FLORIDA… There is an open trough of low pressure currently situated over the Florida Peninsula south of Orlando that has a low-end (20%) chain of becoming a tropical storm or subtropical storm as it moves briefly over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean in the next few days. Formal development is not likely because of the upper-level winds being unfavorable. Regardless of if this system organizes into a named storm, heavy rain will be possible across parts of the Carolinas later this week.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:53AM May 22, 2020

ISOLATED STORMS TODAY; WARM, HUMID MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND… The unofficial kickoff weekend for summer is set to feature summer-like weather with heat, humidity, and a chance of showers and thunderstorms each day. Overall rain chances will be a bit lower for Saturday and Sunday ahead of higher rain chances as we go into Memorial Day Monday into early next week. High temperatures will approach 90° each day. Let’s look briefly at your forecast details.

ISOLATED STORMS THIS WEEKEND; PLENTY OF HEAT… Memorial Day Weekend is set to be seasonal with temperatures in the afternoon and evening hours rising into the upper-80s or low-90s. There could be a few rogue storms around but overall, the trend will be drier through the weekend compared to the last two days when we had scattered to numerous storms across the region.

STORMS BECOME MORE NUMEROUS NEXT WEEK… Showers and thunderstorms will still have a diurnal, meaning daytime, focus as we go into next week. I expect more in the way of showers and storms starting Tuesday. Storms next week will likely be under severe limits but there will be cloud-to-ground lightning and loud thunder involved at times.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Friday #rzw forecast video. Have a wonderful weekend!

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6:50AM May 21, 2020

SHOWERS & STORMS LIKELY AT TIMES TODAY; WARM MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND… Rain and a few embedded thunderstorms will be possible today, in a similar situation to what we saw on Wednesday. Today won’t be an “all day washout” but there could be a few downpours around throughout the day. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-80s across the region. Rain chances will be lower this weekend ahead of a higher chance of rain as we go into next week. The good news is we won’t have any major risk of severe weather in the next 7 days. Storms that pop up in the middle of the day in early summer around here are typically not severe. They’re strong, but not severe. In order to be classified as a severe storm, 58+ mph wind gusts, large hail (larger than 1 inch in diameter), or a tornado has to be happening. All 3 of those qualifiers are unlikely in the storms that pop up today or in the next several days. Let’s look at your forecast details.

FEW SHOWERS ON FRIDAY… There could be a few showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1PM, on Friday. Much of our region will remain dry and increasingly warm. High temperatures on Friday will peak around the 90 degree mark. Severe weather is not expected on Friday, but some of the storms may produce heavy rain and cloud-to-ground lightning. You can keep tabs on the radar throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app in the Radar tab or at redzoneweather.com/radar for the very latest.

LOW RAIN CHANCES SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY… Memorial Day weekend is expected to be mostly dry with only isolated showers and thunderstorms, predominantly in the afternoon and evening hours. High temperatures this weekend will be near 90° with morning lows around 65°.

HIGHER RAIN CHANCES NEXT WEEK… Rain chances are set to rise Memorial Day Monday into the upcoming week as we settle into a pattern where scattered showers and thunderstorms will be likely in the afternoon and evening hours each day. Get ready for a consistent weather pattern! It will be here to stay for awhile.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:56AM May 20, 2020

SHOWERS & STORMS AT TIMES TODAY; MORE RAIN ON THURSDAY… Scattered areas of rain and a few thunderstorms will be possible today across the region. Some thunderstorms may produce loud thunder and cloud-to-ground lightning, but widespread severe weather is NOT expected. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-80s across the region. More showers and storms will be possible on Thursday as a frontal boundary meanders just to our south across the northern Gulf. Rain chances will lessen, but not go away completely, as we go into the Memorial Day holiday weekend. There could be isolated showers and thunderstorms each day over the next several days into next week. The good news is there are no signals for a large scale severe weather event in the short range or longer range model data through early June. Let’s look at your forecast details.

RAIN & STORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY… Another round of showers and thunderstorms will likely happen tomorrow (Thursday, May 21) with the greatest rain chances being from 10AM to 4PM. Rain will likely be greatest in coverage closer to the coast, which is good news considering many of our beach zones remain in the “severe drought” category as defined by the U.S. Drought Monitor. Rain and storms will fade away in the evening hours of Thursday. High temperatures on Thursday will be in the mid-80s.

LOWER RAIN CHANCES ON FRIDAY… We settle into a recurring weather theme on Friday with a low-end (10-20%) chance of rain due to the potential for a few showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon and evening hours. Temperatures will increase on Friday into the upper-80s by 2PM.

SEASONAL WEATHER FOR MEMORIAL DAY HOLIDAY WEEKEND… Warm/hot temperatures with a chance of showers and thunderstorms each day is what you can expect for Saturday, Sunday, into Monday. High temperatures will be in the low-90s with morning lows in the mid- to upper-60s. That is pretty typical for late May climatology around our region. We will be settling into a pattern this weekend where storms can pop up quickly in the afternoon hours. You know the drill with these pop-up storms. They can be ferocious at times over a very small area, with one spot getting over an inch of rain while another location right down the road may not get any rain at all. Keep tabs on the radar this weekend if you’re planning to be outside. Widespread severe weather is not expected and the overall tornado risk will be near or at zero.

MORE OF THE SAME NEXT WEEK… Our early summer pattern is set to continue as we go into next week. Scattered pop-up thunderstorms are likely with high temperatures near 90 degrees.

APP… Many updates will be posted throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Be sure to visit the Alerts tab (bottom right corner) and tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize the alerts you’d like to receive from me. If you like a lot of info, be sure to toggle ON Low-Level Alerts.

See all the details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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7:24AM May 19, 2020

TWITTER ISSUE ONGOING… If you are seeing blank posts (with just the time of the post and the ad) in the RedZone Weather app, there is currently a Twitter outage happening that is causing this issue. For an immediate fix, you can delete and re-download the RedZone Weather app from your phone’s app store. Make sure to set up your customized alerts once you re-install the app. The Twitter issue is expected to be fixed later today, meaning if you don’t want to go through the reinstall process, this issue should resolve by this evening. While the issue is beyond my control, I apologize for the inconvenience.

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