7:31AM November 6, 2021

NICE FEW DAYS AHEAD; COLD NIGHT AHEAD… After a chilly start this morning with temperatures in the upper-30s farther inland and low-40s south of U.S. Highway 84, temperatures will rebound into the mid- to upper-60s this afternoon. Lingering clouds will fade away by lunchtime and I expect sunny skies this afternoon into this evening. Overnight lows will briefly dip into the upper-30s in inland communities on Sunday morning with 40s likely closer to the coast. Sunny skies are ahead for Sunday with highs near 70. Temperatures will be in the mid-70s for highs by midweek. Another cold front will arrive Thursday evening into Friday, bringing with it a reinforcing shot of cold air.

Thank you to @JenLovesThe Sky for the gorgeous view from Walton County, FL.

TROPICS QUIET; WANDA TO FADE AWAY… No tropical storms are expected to develop in the Gulf of Mexico or in the Caribbean Sea over the next 5-7 days. Tropical Storm Wanda is set to become extratropical tomorrow or Monday in the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. The remnants of Wanda are expected to bring rain and gusty winds to parts of Ireland and the United Kingdom early next week. The Atlantic Hurricane Season officially comes to an end on November 30.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have updates posted as needed this weekend in the RedZone Weather app. Have a great weekend!

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6:52AM November 4, 2021

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE TODAY; MOSTLY CLOUDY & COOL… Mostly cloudy skies are likely across south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Thursday. A few passing showers may be possible, although I expect rain amounts to remain light and fairly variable across the region. Thunderstorms are unlikely and severe weather is not expected at this time. High temperatures will be in the mid- to upper-60s today. Sunny skies are set to return to our forecast on Saturday into Sunday ahead of more sunshine early next week. I’ve got all of your Thursday morning forecast details below.

CLOUDS PERSIST INTO FRIDAY… Mostly cloudy skies will continue to persist into Friday as a frontal boundary continues to slide to the south. Highs on Friday will again be in the 60s ahead of overnight lows in the 40s this weekend.

FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL LIKELY TO BE DRY… Clearing skies late in the day on Friday suggest that rain chances remain very low, if not zero for everyone locally, for the start of the Friday night football games this evening across the region. Kickoff temperatures at 7PM will be in the upper-50s with low-50s likely by the 4th quarter at each of the games across the area. Grab the jackets and keep them handy tomorrow night!

SUNNY, COOL WEEKEND… Gorgeous weather conditions are expected on Saturday and on Sunday. High temperatures will be in the upper-60s each day with morning lows in the lower-40s. No rain is anticipated this weekend. Clear skies are expected all weekend long.

SUNNY START TO UPCOMING WEEK… Monday and Tuesday will be pleasant with mostly sunny skies each day. Temperatures will increase into the mid-70s each afternoon with overnight lows likely to be in the mid-40s.

NEXT RAIN CHANCE LATE WEDNESDAY… Our next real chance of rain happens late Wednesday into Thursday, one week from today, as a cold front approaches from the northwest. It is a bit too early for any specifics, but obviously we will need to monitor this system for any severe weather potential. We are now in our secondary severe weather season that lasts through December.

TROPICAL STORM WANDA IN ATLANTIC… Tropical Storm Wanda, well away from land, will remain over the open waters of the north-central Atlantic Ocean over the next several days. The storm is expected to dissipate this weekend.

GULF REMAINS QUIET… The Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea remain quiet with no tropical storms expected to develop over the next several days. While late season tropical storms cannot completely be ruled out, there is a real chance we may be completely done with hurricane season locally. We’ll keep watching trends. Hurricane season officially ends Tuesday, November 30.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Thursday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:56AM November 3, 2021

INCREASING CLOUDINESS TODAY; RAIN POSSIBLE TOMORROW INTO FRIDAY MORNING… Clouds will increase in coverage across the region on this Wednesday ahead of increasing rain chances tomorrow. High temperatures on this Wednesday will be in the low- to mid-70s. Scattered showers and maybe a few thunderstorms near the immediate coast will be possible on Thursday, specifically in the afternoon and evening hours. Cooler temperatures are slated to arrive Thursday evening into Friday after the passage of a cold front. Fortunately, it appears no severe weather issues will happen tomorrow into Friday. Rain, yes. Severe storms, conclusively NO. A few more Wednesday morning forecast notes are below.

RAIN CHANCES RISE TOMORROW… The cold front slated to move by our area tomorrow will spark off a few showers and perhaps a thunderstorm or two near or just to the south of the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. High temperatures will be around 70 tomorrow. Thunderstorms are unlikely farther inland due to little or no surface-based instability.

COOLER AIR ARRIVES THURSDAY EVENING… Cooler air will surge into our area on Thursday evening into Friday behind an advancing cold front. High temperatures on Friday will only be in the low- to mid-60s. While a few showers may linger into Friday, I expect the rain to be well to our east by Friday evening.

PICTURE PERFECT WEATHER THIS WEEKEND… Mostly sunny skies are ahead for Saturday and for Sunday. High temperatures will be in the mid- to upper-60s with morning lows in the 40s. I see no signs of rain or any significantly inconvenient weather this weekend.

NICE START TO NEXT WEEK… Our nice streak of weather this weekend will extend into early next week. Highs on Monday and Tuesday will approach the 70 degree mark. Our next chance of rain next week happens late Wednesday into Thursday, although it is a bit too early for any specifics. This is the time of year when we must focus heavily on each passing weather system as we are in the thick of the fall severe weather season.

TROPICAL STORM WANDA MOVING NORTH OVER OPEN OCEAN… The National Hurricane Center continues to issue advisories on Tropical Storm Wanda, located well away from any land areas in the north-central Atlantic Ocean. Wanda is drifting north and is expected to turn more to the northeast in the days ahead. Wanda will not ever be a direct issue for the continental United States. The rest of the tropics, including the Gulf of Mexico, are quiet.

RZW APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

See all the details in your Wednesday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a wonderful day!

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6:45AM November 2, 2021

MOSTLY SUNNY & MILD TODAY; SCATTERED STORMS ON THURSDAY… Another gorgeous day is ahead for south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Tuesday. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-70s today. Other than a few passing clouds, I expect the day to be sunny with no rain. Our next rain chance happens late tomorrow night into Thursday ahead of an advancing, strong cold front that will knock down temperatures into the 50s/60s for highs on Friday. The upcoming weekend is shaping up to be quite nice! We continue to monitor Tropical Storm Wanda in the Atlantic Ocean and a new area of low pressure in the southern Caribbean Sea in the tropics. I’ve got all of your Tuesday morning forecast notes below.

CLOUDS INCREASE IN COVERAGE TOMORROW… I am expecting the daytime hours of Wednesday to be dry ahead of a chance of a few showers in the late evening hours (after 8PM). Cloud coverage will increase throughout the day on Wednesday. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-70s. Most of the rain associated with our next passing weather system will happen on Thursday, mainly in the afternoon and evening hours.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY… Rain and occasional thunderstorms will be possible on Thursday as a cold front approaches our local area from the northwest. I expect most of the showers and thunderstorms to happen in the afternoon and evening hours, although there may be a few sprinkles around as early as the morning hours on Thursday. Highs on Thursday will only be in the upper-60s, meaning instability return ahead of the cold front will be fairly (if not completely) limited. This is one of the reasons the overall severe weather risk on Thursday remains low, if not zero, in most spots. Could this change? Yes, but odds are this will be a fairly benign weather system. Rain clears out late Thursday.

MUCH COOLER ON FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND… Keep those jackets out and grab the heavier jackets as our area will have HIGH temperatures in the upper-50s and near 60 on Friday! Overnight lows by Saturday morning will be in the upper-30s with areas near the coast closer to the 40 degree mark. Saturday and Sunday will likely be sunny with highs in the upper-60s and low-70s.

TROPICS: WANDA NOW A TROPICAL STORM; NO THREAT TO LAND… Wanda transitioned from a subtropical storm to a tropical storm yesterday afternoon. Tropical Storm Wanda is located about 885 miles west-southwest of the Azores Islands, aka in the middle of the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean. Wanda will not be a threat to land over the next few days. The storm is expected to start moving to the north over the next day or so.

TROPICS: AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN… An area of low pressure in the southern Caribbean Sea near the coasts of Panama and Nicaragua now has a low-end (10%) chance of becoming a tropical storm over the next day or so. From NHC: “Another low pressure system has formed over the southwestern Caribbean Sea just north of western Panama. This system is expected to move westward into Central America by early Tuesday, which will inhibit tropical cyclone development. However, this disturbance will still produce locally heavy rainfall across southern Nicaragua, Costa Rica, and Panama through Tuesday, which could result in flooding and mudslides. By Wednesday, the system will move into the far eastern portion of the Eastern Pacific basin.”

TROPICS: GULF REMAINS QUIET… No tropical storm formation is expected in the Gulf of Mexico over the next 5 days. It is important to monitor any systems that flare up in the Caribbean Sea in the month of November, but as of now, there are no imminent concerns.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

See all the details in your Tuesday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a wonderful day!

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6:52AM November 1, 2021

NICE, COOL FEW DAYS AHEAD; RAIN & STORMS THURSDAY… Sunshine and mild temperatures will be our weather headlines today and tomorrow ahead of rain and thunderstorms coming back into our weather forecast on Thursday. High temperatures on this Monday will be in the low- to mid-70s across the region. Looking ahead, our next weather system of note will be a cold front slated to move by Thursday into Friday. There will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms, including the potential for a few stronger storms Thursday evening. Confidence in that idea remains low for now, as model solutions have been all over the board. For now, plan for scattered storms on Thursday and please check in for updates in the days ahead in case we need to introduce a formal severe weather risk. Subtropical Storm Wanda formed in the Atlantic Ocean over the weekend. Fortunately, Wanda will never be a direct threat to Alabama or northwest Florida. I’ve got all of your Monday morning forecast details below.

HIGHS IN 70s, LOWS IN 40s THROUGH WEDNESDAY… Mostly sunny skies are expected today and on Tuesday ahead of increasing cloud coverage on Wednesday. High temperatures will be in the 70s through Wednesday with overnight lows in the upper-40s and near 50.

RAIN & STORMS LIKELY AT TIMES THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will become possible on Thursday, primarily in the afternoon and evening hours. Severe weather parameters seem fairly marginal for now, meaning strong storms could become possible under some scenarios. Please check back in for updates on this in the days ahead.

COLD FRONT ARRIVES FRIDAY MORNING; COOLER WEEKEND AHEAD… Significantly cooler air will arrive behind the advancing cold front on Friday. High temperatures will only be in the mid- to upper-50s across the region Friday ahead of overnight lows in the upper-30s and near 40 by Saturday morning. The upcoming weekend will likely feature cold mornings, cool days, and dry conditions.

TROPICS: SUBTROPICAL STORM WANDA IN THE ATLANTIC… The National Hurricane Center started issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Wanda, located well away from land in the middle of the north-central Atlantic Ocean. Wanda is drifting erratically and not moving much at all. The storm is expected to gradually move south before moving north and dissipating later this week. Wanda is likely to never directly affect land areas. Good news!

TROPICS: TROPICAL WAVE WEST OF AFRICA… A tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands in the eastern Atlantic Ocean has a 20-30% chance of becoming a tropical storm over the next 24-36 hours before the system moves into a more hostile environment where development will be less likely. Since Wanda serves as the last name on the regular 2021 hurricane naming list, we will move to the auxiliary list (for the second consecutive year, if it happens). The first name on the auxiliary list is “Adria.” Regardless of if formal development happens, this system will not be a direct concern for Alabama or northwest Florida.

TROPICS: GULF & CARIBBEAN ARE QUIET… No tropical storms are expected to form over the next 5 days in the Gulf of Mexico or the Caribbean Sea.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

See all the details in your Monday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:51AM October 29, 2021

BREEZY & CHILLY TODAY WITH A FEW SHOWERS; NICE SATURDAY & SUNDAY… Windy conditions will continue on this Friday, perhaps not as significantly as yesterday however. Wind gusts of 15-25 mph will be possible at times. A few showers may happen today, specifically across inland areas of south Alabama. Thunderstorms and severe weather are not expected, however. High temperatures will only be in the low- to mid-60s in many spots across the region. Some locales, like Thomasville, Coffeeville, Beatrice, and Greenville may not get out of the upper-50s this afternoon as cool air continues to push into our area. The good news is the dreariness of today will give way to a nice weekend with plenty of sunshine. Highs on Saturday and Sunday will be in the 70s with lows in the upper-40s. A few more Friday forecast notes are below.

FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL FORECAST… Temperatures will be in the upper-50s in many spots tonight at 7PM as high school football kicks off across the region. Cloudy skies are expected to persist into the overnight hours. Some of the games could have some light rain/mist around. Temperatures will be in the mid-50s by the end of the games. Take that jacket tonight as chilly conditions are likely!

NEXT RAIN CHANCE: MIDWEEK… Showers and a few thunderstorms are expected to come back into our weather forecast by the middle part of the upcoming week. Showers and storms are expected on Thursday as another cold front slides by our region. For now, no imminent signs of a major severe weather event. Good news!

TROPICS REMAIN QUIET… No tropical storms are expected to form over the next 5 days in the Gulf of Mexico or in the Caribbean Sea. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a system in the north Atlantic Ocean that will never be a threat to our local area. From NHC: “A non-tropical low pressure system producing gale-force winds is located a few hundred miles southeast of Halifax, Nova Scotia. The low should continue moving eastward at about 15 mph through Friday, away from shore. The low is then expected to turn southeastward on Saturday toward slightly warmer waters, and it could acquire some subtropical characteristics over the weekend or early next week while over the central Atlantic.”

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Friday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great weekend!

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12:11PM October 28, 2021

GUSTY WINDS OF 30-40 MPH POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING… The National Weather Service has issued an uncommon High Wind Warning for the Alabama Gulf Coast and a Wind Advisory for everyone else across our local area as blustery conditions are expected this afternoon into this evening. Wind gusts of 20-30 mph inland and 30-40+ mph closer to the immediate coast will be possible this afternoon, this evening, and into tonight. While the severe weather and tornado risk is now completely over, these are “pressure gradient” winds setting up behind the advancing cold front.

Secure any loose objects in your yard before the front passes by your location. If you don’t, those Halloween decorations may end up blown down the street!

Winds may continue overnight into Friday, but I do expect wind speeds to calm down somewhat tomorrow evening and certainly into Saturday.

RADAR CHECK AS OF NOON… No rain is noted on radar as of Noon, although a few showers may become possible later this evening across inland areas of southwest Alabama. No storms and no severe weather issues are expected as cooler air will be surging into the area.

COOL FRIDAY AHEAD WITH A FEW SHOWERS… High temperatures on Friday will not get out of the 50s for some communities north of U.S. Highway 84. Most of us across the region will have highs in the low- to mid-60s. It is going to be the coolest day we have had since last winter/spring. Overnight lows will be in the upper-40s this weekend.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have more updates over the next several hours posted in the RedZone Weather app. Have a nice Thursday evening!

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6:53AM October 28, 2021

BREEZY TODAY; FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE… Windy conditions are expected throughout the day with a few showers being possible at times. The severe weather threat is now long gone to our east. Thunderstorms are not expected today in our local area but we may have a few residual showers at times. Clouds will hang tough for much of the day, but I do expect some sunshine before the end of the day in some spots across the region. High temperatures today will be in the mid-70s. Tomorrow will be much cooler, however, with most spots only topping out in the 60s. I’ve got all of your Thursday morning forecast notes below.

SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TO OUR EAST TODAY… The same weather system that prompted multiple tornado warnings last night for parts of Mobile County has shifted east of our local area this morning. Thunderstorms could produce a few tornadoes and damaging wind gusts today across coastal stretches of North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and across the Florida Peninsula. We note the Storm Prediction Center has much of central and north Florida (east of Apalachicola) involved in their Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk today. Please be aware of this if you are traveling to those areas.

WIND ADVISORY FOR ENTIRE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT… All local counties in south Alabama and northwest Florida are involved in a Wind Advisory, valid through 7PM this evening. A Wind Advisory means 15 to 20 mph winds will continue to be possible at times today with wind gusts up to 30 to 35 mph. Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down. Halloween decorations may become airborne if left out in the yard.

COOL NIGHTS AHEAD… We kick off a streak of cool nights tonight with overnight lows likely to be near 50 degrees by daybreak Friday. Low temperatures will be in the upper-40s this weekend.

HIGHS ONLY IN THE MID-60s ON FRIDAY… You may need a jacket tomorrow as high temperatures will be borderline chilly. Highs will be near 60 near and just north of U.S. Highway 84 with mid-60s likely closer to the coast. Mostly cloudy skies are expected on Friday.

MAINLY SUNNY SATURDAY, SUNDAY, AND MONDAY… Sunshine is the story this weekend and into early next week. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-70s on Saturday and Sunday.

NEXT RAIN CHANCE MIDWEEK… Our next weather system will likely move by our region in the middle part of the upcoming week, although confidence in the forecast in that range is a bit low. For now, expect a potential chance of rain on Thursday of the upcoming week. I will have more details in the days ahead.

TROPICS QUIET… The Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea remain quiet, meaning no tropical storms or hurricanes are expected to form over the next several days. We are monitoring an area of low pressure in the northern Atlantic Ocean, centered about 375 miles south of Halifax, Nova Scotia in Canada. This disturbance is expected to move east and ultimately southeast in a few days as it meanders around the northern Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center says this system has about a 30% chance of becoming a brief tropical storm before the system moves out to sea. No significant land impacts are expected, regardless of if formal development happens.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

See all the details in your Thursday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a wonderful day!

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2:16AM October 28, 2021

ALL CLEAR: TORNADO RISK ENDS LOCALLY; WINDY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE… The Tornado Watch has expired for all local counties and I can happily give everyone in southwest Alabama and northwest Florida WEST of Destin, Crestview, Florala, and Opp an ALL CLEAR from the severe weather risk. We are done for the night. Occasional showers and even a few rumbles of thunder may be possible over the next few hours. Windy conditions will continue intermittently throughout the day and into tonight. NWS Mobile maintains a Wind Advisory for all local counties, meaning wind gusts of 30-35 mph may be possible.

A Tornado Watch continues to our east in the Florida Panhandle region for Walton, Bay, Gulf, and several other counties.

I will have your next full forecast video posted by 7:15AM. Go to sleep in peace knowing the severe weather risk is now over for our local area!

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8:10PM October 27, 2021

TORNADO WATCH TILL 1AM; STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MOVING IN… Strong to severe thunderstorms are about to cross into south Alabama from Mississippi. A Tornado Watch has been issued for Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia (AL), Washington, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties valid until 1AM. Gusty winds and a few tornadoes will be the main concerns over the next few hours. The good news is storms are moving just a bit faster than anticipated. This means there is a high probability storms will be east of our entire local area by 4-5AM.

TORNADO WARNING POLICY… Any time there is an active tornado warning in effect for southwest Alabama or northwest Florida, we provide uninterrupted, live video coverage on Facebook Live and in the RedZone Weather app. Our detailed coverage commitment is outlined at redzoneweather.com/coverage. We are proud to cover all parts of Escambia (AL), Covington, Monroe, Conecuh, Baldwin, Mobile, Clarke, Washington, Butler, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties. If you live in any locale in those counties, be sure to tune into our coverage whenever there is an active tornado warning!

SET UP APP ALERTS… We send quite a bit of Low-Level Alerts in our RedZone Weather app. The app is totally free for you! redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you see the download links to your respective app store for iOS and for Android devices. Once you have the app downloaded to your smartphone or tablet device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have more updates throughout the evening posted in the RedZone Weather app. Be sure to join us in live tornado warning coverage if or when warnings are needed locally. Have a nice evening and please stay safe!

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3:33PM October 27, 2021

SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TONIGHT; HAVE A WAY TO GET WARNINGS… Severe thunderstorms have organized early this evening across parts of Louisiana and southern Mississippi. Several tornadoes have happened with many more reports of wind damage behind this advancing line of thunderstorms. Over the next several hours, we will continue to have mostly dry conditions, however it does appear this line of storms will arrive a bit earlier (and thus clear out of our area a bit earlier!) than expected. The timeframe for severe weather in southwest Alabama and northwest Florida is now from 6PM this evening to 6AM Thursday.

UPDATED: TIMING – SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY… Storms have consolidated a bit farther to the east today and that means that these storms will probably arrive in west Alabama late tonight before midnight, thus we have adjusted our severe weather timeframe accordingly. The main 12 hour window for severe storms in southwest Alabama and northwest Florida will be from 6PM this evening to 6AM Thursday morning. The core window will be from 10PM to 4AM.

TORNADO WATCH FOR MISSISSIPPI & LOUISIANA… The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Tornado Watch for counties just to our west in Mississippi, including (but not limited to) George, Greene, Jackson, Harrison, and Stone counties. This Tornado Watch also includes metro New Orleans and Baton Rouge in Louisiana. A Tornado Watch will very likely be needed for counties in south Alabama and northwest Florida a bit later this evening.

LEVEL 3 (OUT OF 5) RISK TO OUR WEST… A Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced severe weather risk was introduced this morning for parts of coastal Mississippi and much of Louisiana due to an enhanced threat of tornadoes. This Level 3 (out of 5) risk zone includes New Orleans, Baton Rouge, Houma, Grand Isle, Gulfport, Ocean Springs, Biloxi, Slidell, and surrounding areas. Please be aware of the heightened potential for tornadoes and damaging winds if you’re traveling westbound today!

LEVEL 2 RISK LOCALLY… Our local area in south Alabama and northwest Florida is primarily involved in the Level 2 and Level 1 risk zones. If you are closer to the coast and near and just south of US84, you’re involved in the Level 2 risk. Farther inland, north of US84, you’re involved in the lower-end, Level 1 (out of 5) risk zone. This means the tornado risk will be maximized later this evening closer to the coast. Damaging wind gusts will also be possible.

TORNADO WARNING POLICY… Any time there is an active tornado warning in effect for southwest Alabama or northwest Florida, we provide uninterrupted, live video coverage on Facebook Live and in the RedZone Weather app. Our detailed coverage commitment is outlined at redzoneweather.com/coverage. We are proud to cover all parts of Escambia (AL), Covington, Monroe, Conecuh, Baldwin, Mobile, Clarke, Washington, Butler, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties. If you live in any locale in those counties, be sure to tune into our coverage whenever there is an active tornado warning!

SET UP APP ALERTS… We send quite a bit of Low-Level Alerts in our RedZone Weather app. The app is totally free for you! redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you see the download links to your respective app store for iOS and for Android devices. Once you have the app downloaded to your smartphone or tablet device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have more updates throughout the evening posted in the RedZone Weather app. Be sure to join us in live tornado warning coverage if or when warnings are needed locally. Have a nice evening and please stay safe!

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6:48AM October 27, 2021

SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING; RAIN CHANCES RISE THIS EVENING… Severe storms, including tornadoes, will become possible late this evening into Thursday morning as a cold front approaches our area from the west. Most, if not all, of the daytime hours today will be mostly dry with only a few spotty showers and storms around. Rain chances will rise later this evening, after 5PM. A few strong to marginally severe storms may become possible in parts of Mobile and Baldwin counties after 6PM. The main 12 hour window for severe storms in south Alabama and northwest Florida will be from 8PM tonight to 8AM Thursday. The core window for severe storms will be from 11PM to 7PM. We encourage everyone to have multiple ways to get urgent weather warnings tonight into Thursday morning. I will have updates posted throughout the night in the RedZone Weather app and of course, per our usual, we will go into live video coverage if and when tornado warnings are needed. After the storms overnight into Thursday, we will likely have lingering showers late Thursday into early Friday. A gorgeous weekend with cooler temperatures is ahead.

LEVEL 3 (OUT OF 5) RISK ADDED FOR LOUISIANA… Shortly after I produced this video earlier this morning, the Storm Prediction Center added a Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced severe weather risk zone for parts of central Louisiana, including Baton Rouge, Lake Charles, New Iberia, Lafayette, and Houma. The tornado risk will be maximized later today in these areas.

LEVEL 2 RISK FOR MOST LOCALLY… We have a Level 2 (out of 5) slight severe weather risk for much of our local area tonight, meaning scattered severe storms will be the concern. The northern and eastern part of our area remains in the lower-end, Level 1 (out of 5) risk zone. Regardless of which risk zone your specific community is involved in today, we all have a risk of a few tornadoes and damaging wind gusts tonight into Thursday morning.

DRY WEEKEND AHEAD… We get a “consolation prize” of sorts this weekend as mostly sunny skies are expected for Saturday and Sunday. I suspect a few showers will linger into Thursday and early Friday morning but clearing skies are expected late in the day on Friday. Highs on Friday will only be in the mid- to upper-60s (!) as cool, dry air surges in behind the advancing cold front.

A few review paragraphs are below. The information from my post last evening remains on point.

WHAT TO EXPECT – HOUR-BY-HOUR… Most communities across south Alabama and northwest Florida will simply have heavy rain at times with occasional thunder tonight into Thursday morning. Some of the thunderstorms could become severe, however. Most won’t, but inevitably with this kind of atmospheric setup, there is a chance for a few severe storms capable of producing a tornado or two and damaging straight line winds. Most of the daytime hours today will be dry with only spotty showers and storms around. There is a low-end risk of a few severe storms in Mobile and Baldwin counties and points west from 5PM to when the “main event” starts later this evening. Rain chances will increase slightly from 6PM to 9PM, but even in that 3 hour window, I think most of south Alabama and northwest Florida has a good chance to be dry. Rain and storms will grow in coverage across the region after 9PM with a large batch of storms likely to cross the area in the overnight hours. These storms are the ones that have the greatest chance of being severe. This means you must have a way to get tornado warnings in the overnight hours before you go to sleep tonight.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY… The main 12 hour window has not changed for when severe storms are expected: 8PM tonight to 8AM Thursday looks to be the 12 hour window for when storms are MOST likely to happen. The core of that risk will happen between 11PM and 7AM on Thursday morning. This means that the risk is predominately in the overnight hours. Again, to emphasize, please have a way to get warnings tonight before you go to sleep. Storms will enter from the west and gradually move across the region, likely exiting to our east no later than 8-9AM.

GUSTY WINDS & TORNADOES REMAIN THE MAIN CONCERNS… The primary severe weather hazards on tonight into Thursday will be damaging straight line winds and a few tornadoes. The tornado risk will almost certainly be maximized in areas closer to the immediate coast, thus if you are in Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia, Santa Rosa, or Okaloosa counties, your tornado risk may be just a bit higher compared to areas farther inland. MOST communities will simply have rain at times tonight into Thursday. That is what you should expect, with rain for most and MOST (not all) of the severe weather issues being to our west. The concern is that one or two isolated severe storms may happen ahead of an advancing line of storms tonight that may produce a few tornadoes or gusty winds. In addition, the line of storms that moves through could produce damaging wind gusts and tornadoes. Isolated instances of large hail and flash flooding may also be possible, although those hazard risks are less compared to the damaging wind and tornado risks.

TORNADO WARNING POLICY… Any time there is an active tornado warning in effect for southwest Alabama or northwest Florida, we provide uninterrupted, live video coverage on Facebook Live and in the RedZone Weather app. Our detailed coverage commitment is outlined at redzoneweather.com/coverage. We are proud to cover all parts of Escambia (AL), Covington, Monroe, Conecuh, Baldwin, Mobile, Clarke, Washington, Butler, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties. If you live in any locale in those counties, be sure to tune into our coverage whenever there is an active tornado warning!

SET UP APP ALERTS… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have updates posted throughout the day and into the night in the RedZone Weather app. Join me in live tornado warning coverage if warnings are needed for our local area. Have a great day!

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7:58PM October 26, 2021

SEVERE WEATHER RISK EXPANDS SLIGHTLY FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY… Wednesday will be mainly dry ahead of an increasing risk of strong to severe thunderstorms late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. The Storm Prediction Center has expanded the Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk slightly to include more of Escambia (AL) and Washington counties, joining all of our local coastal counties (Baldwin, Mobile, Escambia [FL], Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa) in the zone where storms will be most likely to become severe on Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Again, MOST of the daytime hours on Wednesday will be dry. There will be a very low chance of a few storms becoming severe in parts of Mobile and Baldwin counties after 5PM Wednesday evening, although this idea is much more uncertain compared to the high confidence we have in the overall setup for a squall line to cross the area Wednesday night into Thursday. Don’t get caught up in the convective outlook details at this point, just please understand we all have a risk of a few tornadoes and damaging wind gusts Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. Have a way to get urgent weather warnings tomorrow night. You need something that will wake you up if your specific location goes under a tornado warning. More forecast notes are below.

WHAT TO EXPECT – HOUR-BY-HOUR… Most communities across south Alabama and northwest Florida will simply have heavy rain at times with occasional thunder Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Some of the thunderstorms could become severe, however. Most won’t, but inevitably with this kind of atmospheric setup, there is a chance for a few severe storms capable of producing a tornado or two and damaging straight line winds. Most of the daytime hours on Wednesday will be dry with only spotty showers and storms around. There is a low-end risk of a few severe storms in Mobile and Baldwin counties and points west from 5PM to when the “main event” starts late Wednesday evening. Rain chances will increase slightly from 6PM to 9PM, but even in that 3 hour window, I think most of south Alabama and northwest Florida has a good chance to be dry. Rain and storms will grow in coverage across the region after 9PM with a large batch of storms likely to cross the area in the overnight hours. These storms are the ones that have the greatest chance of being severe. This means you must have a way to get tornado warnings in the overnight hours before you go to sleep Wednesday night.

UPDATED: SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY… The main 12 hour window has not changed for when severe storms are expected: 8PM Wednesday to 8AM Thursday looks to be the 12 hour window for when storms are MOST likely to happen. The core of that risk will happen between 1AM and 7AM on Thursday morning. This means that the risk is predominately in the overnight hours. Please have a way to get warnings Wednesday night before you go to sleep. Storms will enter from the west and gradually move across the region, likely exiting to our east no later than 8-9AM.

UPDATED: GUSTY WINDS & TORNADOES REMAIN THE MAIN CONCERNS… The primary severe weather hazards on Wednesday night into Thursday will be damaging straight line winds and a few tornadoes. The tornado risk will almost certainly be maximized in areas closer to the immediate coast, thus if you are in Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia, Santa Rosa, or Okaloosa counties, your tornado risk may be just a bit higher compared to areas farther inland. MOST communities will simply have rain at times Wednesday into Thursday. That is what you should expect, with rain for most and MOST (not all) of the severe weather issues being to our west. The concern is that one or two isolated severe storms may happen ahead of an advancing line of storms Wednesday night that may produce a few tornadoes or gusty winds. In addition, the line of storms that moves through could produce damaging wind gusts and tornadoes. Isolated instances of large hail and flash flooding may also be possible, although those hazard risks are less compared to the damaging wind and tornado risks.

TORNADO WARNING POLICY… Any time there is an active tornado warning in effect for southwest Alabama or northwest Florida, we provide uninterrupted, live video coverage on Facebook Live and in the RedZone Weather app. Our detailed coverage commitment is outlined at redzoneweather.com/coverage. We are proud to cover all parts of Escambia (AL), Covington, Monroe, Conecuh, Baldwin, Mobile, Clarke, Washington, Butler, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties. If you live in any locale in those counties, be sure to tune into our coverage whenever there is an active tornado warning!

SET UP APP ALERTS… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

My next detailed update will be posted by 7:15AM tomorrow (Wednesday) in the morning forecast video and long form text discussion. Have a nice Tuesday evening!

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6:55AM October 26, 2021

STRONG STORMS AHEAD WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY; GORGEOUS TUESDAY… Before we get to the potential for severe thunderstorms tomorrow (Wednesday) into early Thursday, we have a glorious Tuesday on tap for south Alabama and northwest Florida. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-70s across the region with an abundance of sunshine today. Much of the day on Wednesday will likely be dry ahead of an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening hours. The severe weather risk will setup mainly in the evening and overnight hours when a few tornadoes and damaging winds will be possible. A few more Tuesday morning forecast notes are below.

NICE TUESDAY; COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY… Plenty of sunshine is ahead on this Tuesday. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-70s across the region today. Really nice by late October standards! It remains to be seen just how much the atmosphere will destabilize tomorrow into tomorrow night ahead of the potential for severe storms. If a surge of higher dewpoint values can spread across our region tomorrow evening, that will mean the severe weather risk will materialize. If not, storms may be more limited to areas closer to the immediate coast.

MAIN CONCERNS: DAMAGING WIND GUSTS & A FEW TORNADOES… The primary severe weather hazards on Wednesday night into Thursday will be damaging straight line winds and a few tornadoes. The tornado risk will almost certainly be maximized in areas closer to the immediate coast, thus if you are in Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia, Santa Rosa, or Okaloosa counties, your tornado risk may be just a bit higher compared to areas farther inland. MOST communities will simply have rain at times Wednesday into Thursday. That is what you should expect, with rain for most and MOST (not all) of the severe weather issues being to our west. The concern is that one or two isolated severe storms may happen ahead of an advancing line of storms Wednesday night that may produce a few tornadoes or gusty winds.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – WEDNESDAY NIGHT… Strong to severe storms will likely set up to our west during the daytime hours of Wednesday. Our severe weather risk in southwest Alabama and northwest Florida will happen from 8PM Wednesday to 8AM on Thursday. This means that the risk is predominately in the overnight hours. Please have a way to get warnings Wednesday night before you go to sleep. Storms will enter from the west and gradually move across the region, likely exiting to our east no later than 8AM.

TORNADO WARNING POLICY… Any time there is an active tornado warning in effect for southwest Alabama or northwest Florida, we provide uninterrupted, live video coverage on Facebook Live and in the RedZone Weather app. Our detailed coverage commitment is outlined at redzoneweather.com/coverage. We are proud to cover all parts of Escambia (AL), Covington, Monroe, Conecuh, Baldwin, Mobile, Clarke, Washington, Butler, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties. If you live in any locale in those counties, be sure to tune into our coverage whenever there is an active tornado warning!

APP ALERTS… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have updates posted throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. See all of the morning forecast details in your Tuesday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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7:33PM October 25, 2021

STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY; OVERNIGHT RISK… Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible locally in southwest Alabama and northwest Florida and in areas just to our west on Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. We note that the timing of the overall severe weather risk has continued to gradually become later, thus we are now advertising the greatest risk of tornadoes and damaging winds in our area to be from 8PM Wednesday to 8AM Thursday. While the core of this risk is now centered a bit to our west, I am a bit concerned that we could have a few areas with trees down and maybe a tornado or two on Wednesday night into Thursday. Please have a way to get urgent weather warnings on Wednesday night before you go to sleep. A few more Monday evening forecast notes are below.

MAIN CONCERNS: DAMAGING WIND GUSTS & A FEW TORNADOES… The primary severe weather hazards on Wednesday night into Thursday will be damaging straight line winds and a few tornadoes. The tornado risk will almost certainly be maximized in areas closer to the immediate coast, thus if you are in Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia, Santa Rosa, or Okaloosa counties, your tornado risk may be just a bit higher compared to areas farther inland. MOST communities will simply have rain at times Wednesday into Thursday. That is what you should expect, with rain for most and MOST (not all) of the severe weather issues being to our west. The concern is that one or two isolated severe storms may happen ahead of an advancing line of storms Wednesday night that may produce a few tornadoes or gusty winds.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – WEDNESDAY NIGHT… Strong to severe storms will likely set up to our west during the daytime hours of Wednesday. Our severe weather risk in southwest Alabama and northwest Florida will happen from 8PM Wednesday to 8AM on Thursday. This means that the risk is predominately in the overnight hours. Please have a way to get warnings Wednesday night before you go to sleep. Storms will enter from the west and gradually move across the region, likely exiting to our east no later than 8AM.

GREATEST RISK LOCALLY IN COASTAL ALABAMA; LEVEL 2 RISK… The Level 2 (out of 5) standard slight severe weather risk was trimmed back overnight and now includes only parts of Mobile and Baldwin counties locally. These are the zones that are most likely to have severe weather issues locally: Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, St. Elmo, Bayou La Batre, Coden, Alabama Port, Dauphin Island, West Mobile, Wilmer, Dawes, Gulf Shores, Fort Morgan, Magnolia Springs, Daphne, Fairhope, Montrose, Point Clear, Spanish Fort, Barnwell, Mobile Bay, and surrounding areas.

LEVEL 2 (OUT OF 5) RISK IN PLACE TO OUR WEST… The core of the severe weather risk Wednesday into Wednesday night will set up just to our west across parts of Louisiana, eastern Texas, and southeast Mississippi. The Level 2 risk includes New Orleans, Baton Rouge, Houma, New Iberia, Hammond, Slidell, Lafayette, Lake Charles, Fort Polk, Alexandria, Natchitoches, Biloxi, Pascagoula, Ocean Springs, McComb, Natchez, Houston, Lufkin, Galveston, and surrounding areas.

LEVEL 1 (OUT OF 5) RISK FOR MOST LOCALES… Much of the remainder of our local area (outside/north/west of the Level 2 risk zone) is included in the lower-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk zone. This is the zone where strong to severe storms may be possible, but the risk is less likely to happen. This zone includes Pensacola, Warrington, Molino, Walnut Hill, Century, Bratt, Byrneville, Milton, Pace, Berrydale, Allentown, Whiting Field, Jay, Chumuckla, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Baker, Holt, Harold, Milligan, Fort Walton Beach, Mary Esther, Brewton, East Brewton, Atmore, Flomaton, Poarch, Huxford, Wallace, Pineview, Damascus, Bradley, Evergreen, Repton, Range, Brooklyn, Monroeville, Uriah, Perdue Hill, Excel, Frisco City, Eliska, Chrysler, Bay Minette, Rabun, Lottie, Stockton, Stapleton, Loxley, Robertsdale, Orange Beach, Lillian, Seminole, Elberta, Citronelle, Mt. Vernon, Creola, Saraland, Chatom, Millry, Vinegar Bend, McIntosh, Wagerville, Thomasville, Grove Hill, Jackson, Whatley, Fulton, Coffeeville, Woods Bluff, Salitpa, Gilbertown, Toxey, Silas, Butler, and surrounding areas.

“GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS ZONE” FOR EASTERN COMMUNITIES… Much of Wilcox, Butler, Crenshaw, Covington, Walton, Geneva, Coffee, and eastern Okaloosa counties are now out of the formal severe weather risk zones and are included in the “general thunderstorms” zone. This is the zone where severe weather is far less likely to happen and general, loud thunderstorms will be possible. This zone includes Destin, Deerland, Niceville, Dorcas, Auburn (FL), Campton, Laurel Hill, Seaside, Santa Rosa Beach, Miramar Beach, DeFuniak Springs, Andalusia, Opp, Florala, Straughn, Gantt, Red Level, Lockhart, Owassa, Paul, Melrose, Beatrice, Greenville, Georgiana, McKenzie, Forest Home, Chapman, Troy, Enterprise, Elba, Geneva, Samson, Camden, Pine Apple, McWilliams, and Oak Hill.

APP ALERTS… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have your next full forecast video posted no later than 7:15AM tomorrow (Tuesday) morning. Please let me know if you have any weather-related questions. Have a nice Monday evening!

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6:51PM October 25, 2021

CLEARING SKIES TODAY; SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE MIDWEEK… Lingering showers this morning will move out today, giving way to clearing skies this evening. Tomorrow will be mostly sunny ahead of our severe weather risk setting up for Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. A strong cold front will likely produce a line of storms and perhaps discrete storms out ahead of the line that could produce all severe weather hazards. This means tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, hail, and flash flooding will all be possible Wednesday night. We encourage everyone to take a few minutes today or tomorrow to brush up on your severe weather safety plan. Knowing where you would go and what you would do if a tornado warning is issued for your specific location is critical. We will almost certainly have more severe weather events in the coming weeks and months. This is round 1 of our fall severe weather season. More Monday morning forecast details are below.

RAIN CLEARS OUT THIS MORNING… A few showers are on the way out this morning to our southeast. Cloud coverage will decrease throughout the day. High temperatures will be in the mid-80s today, which means temperatures remain statistically well above our climatological normal high temperature for this time of year.

MOSTLY SUNNY TUESDAY… Tomorrow will be a day “sandwiched” between the weather systems, meaning mostly sunny skies are likely throughout the day. High temperatures will be in the upper-70s and near 80 in most spots.

INCREASING CLOUDINESS WEDNESDAY… Most of the daytime hours on Wednesday will likely be dry. Cloud coverage will increase from southwest to northeast. Rain chances will increase in the afternoon hours when scattered showers and storms will be possible. We note that some weather models do show a low-end chance of a few stronger to severe storms Wednesday afternoon, although confidence in that idea remains fairly low. This is something we will be monitoring over the next 48 hours.

The following bits of info remain on point from my previous forecast discussion last evening.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – WEDNESDAY NIGHT… Strong to severe storms will likely set up to our west during the daytime hours of Wednesday. Our severe weather risk in southwest Alabama and northwest Florida will happen from 7PM Wednesday to 7AM on Thursday. This means that the risk is predominately in the overnight hours. Please have a way to get warnings Wednesday night before you go to sleep. We will be able to get much more specific about specific timing in the days ahead. For now, 7PM Wednesday to 7AM Thursday remains the 12 hour window when severe storms are most likely to happen.

MAIN THREAT LIKELY TO BE DAMAGING WINDS; TORNADOES POSSIBLE… Damaging “straight line” winds will probably end up being the main risk on Wednesday evening locally, although parameters do support the potential for a few tornadoes as well. Sometimes surprises happen in these QLCS-driven events. You can have one, singular supercell that produces a long track tornado or a short, distinctive path of large hail. Also, isolated areas of flash flooding can set up. Basically, all modes of severe weather will be possible Wednesday evening into early Thursday morning. It cannot be stressed enough that everyone needs to have a way to get warnings during this event.

A LEVEL 2 RISK IS THE STANDARD “SLIGHT” RISK… Everyday, the Storm Prediction Center issues convective outlooks to help meteorologists identify and understand severe weather hazards that may happen across the U.S. The convective outlooks use a numbered risk-based system. The Level 1 (out of 5) risk is the low-end, marginal severe weather risk zone where severe storms could happen but are not as likely. On the other end of the scale, a Level 5 (out of 5) risk day means a tornado outbreak or extreme wind event is almost certain. Level 4 and Level 5 risk days are quite uncommon. The Level 2 risk means that a few severe storms may happen, including the potential for tornadoes. The fact is on MOST Level 2 risk days, MOST locales do not have major issues. However, this is not always the case. The Flomaton-Century EF3 tornado that happened on February 15, 2016 happened on a “Level 2 risk day.” Whether the risk is a Level 1 or Level 5 risk day, it is so important to have a way to get urgent weather warnings!

STRONG COLD FRONT TO PASS OUR AREA ON THURSDAY… One of the contributing reasons we are having our first severe weather setup of the fall severe weather season is a cold front pushing into the Deep South later this week. This front is expected to bring in much cooler, much drier air into our region by Friday afternoon. High temperatures by Friday will only be in the upper-60s with low temperatures in the 40s by Saturday morning. The upcoming weekend will be cool and dry.

TORNADO WARNING POLICY… Any time there is an active tornado warning in effect for southwest Alabama or northwest Florida, we provide uninterrupted, live video coverage on Facebook Live and in the RedZone Weather app. Our detailed coverage commitment is outlined at redzoneweather.com/coverage. We are proud to cover all parts of Escambia (AL), Covington, Monroe, Conecuh, Baldwin, Mobile, Clarke, Washington, Butler, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties. If you live in any locale in those counties, be sure to tune into our coverage whenever there is an active tornado warning!

APP ALERTS… We send quite a bit of Low-Level Alerts in our RedZone Weather app. The app is totally free for you! redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you see the download links to your respective app store for iOS and for Android devices. Once you have the app downloaded to your smartphone or tablet device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Monday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:15PM October 24, 2021

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT… Thunderstorms capable of producing severe weather hazards, including damaging winds and tornadoes, will become possible Wednesday evening into the overnight hours, as a cold front approaches our area. The Storm Prediction Center continues to include all of south Alabama and northwest Florida in their Level 2 (out of 5) slight severe weather risk. This means that scattered severe thunderstorms will be possible. The main severe weather risk locally will likely happen in the hours after sunset Wednesday evening, meaning it is important that all of us have multiple ways to get urgent weather warnings before we go to sleep on Wednesday night. While we do have some amount of uncertainty as far as specifics, details are beginning to come together as far as what we can expect Wednesday night. More Sunday evening forecast notes are below.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – WEDNESDAY NIGHT… The one significant change since my last severe weather update is the timing of the severe weather potential setting up for midweek. Strong to severe storms will likely set up to our west during the daytime hours of Wednesday. Our severe weather risk in southwest Alabama and northwest Florida will happen from 7PM Wednesday to 7AM on Thursday. This means that the risk is predominately in the overnight hours. Please have a way to get warnings Wednesday night before you go to sleep.

LINE OF STORMS TO SET UP TO OUR WEST ON WEDNESDAY… The storm system responsible for our severe weather potential on Wednesday evening into early Thursday will set up to our west on Tuesday. Strong storms will be possible across the southern Great Plains on Tuesday evening. This threat will shift eastward throughout the day on Wednesday. Most likely, a squall line (technically now known as a quasi-linear convective system or QLCS) will set up to our west and push into our area late Wednesday or early Thursday. Out ahead of the line of storms, a few supercell storms may be possible.

MAIN THREAT LIKELY TO BE DAMAGING WINDS; TORNADOES POSSIBLE… Damaging “straight line” winds will probably end up being the main risk on Wednesday evening locally, although parameters do support the potential for a few tornadoes as well. Sometimes surprises happen in these QLCS-driven events. You can have one, singular supercell that produces a long track tornado or a short, distinctive path of large hail. Also, isolated areas of flash flooding can set up. Basically, all modes of severe weather will be possible Wednesday evening into early Thursday morning. It cannot be stressed enough that everyone needs to have a way to get warnings during this event.

A LEVEL 2 RISK IS THE STANDARD “SLIGHT” RISK… Everyday, the Storm Prediction Center issues convective outlooks to help meteorologists identify and understand severe weather hazards that may happen across the U.S. The convective outlooks use a numbered risk-based system. The Level 1 (out of 5) risk is the low-end, marginal severe weather risk zone where severe storms could happen but are not as likely. On the other end of the scale, a Level 5 (out of 5) risk day means a tornado outbreak or extreme wind event is almost certain. Level 4 and Level 5 risk days are quite uncommon. The Level 2 risk means that a few severe storms may happen, including the potential for tornadoes. The fact is on MOST Level 2 risk days, MOST locales do not have major issues. However, this is not always the case. The Flomaton-Century EF3 tornado that happened on February 15, 2016 happened on a “Level 2 risk day.” Whether the risk is a Level 1 or Level 5 risk day, it is so important to have a way to get urgent weather warnings!

LEVEL 2 (OUT OF 5) RISK FOR ENTIRE LOCAL AREA… All of southern Alabama and northwest Florida continues to be involved in this Level 2 (out of 5) risk zone. This means we all have a risk of experiencing severe storms on Wednesday evening, perhaps extending into early Thursday morning. This Level 2 risk zone currently includes Daphne, Fairhope, Spanish Fort, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Fort Morgan, Magnolia Springs, Foley, Elberta, Elsanor, Robertsdale, Summerdale, Silverhill, Montrose, Loxley, Stapleton, Bay Minette, Stockton, Rabun, Perdido, Tensaw, Point Clear, Seminole, Gateswood, Greenville, Georgiana, Chapman, Bolling, Grace, Garland, Oaky Streak, Daisy, Halso Mill, Starlington, Forest Home, Thomasville, Grove Hill, Jackson, Coffeeville, Fulton, Carlton, Gainestown, Gosport, Whatley, Scyrene, Springfield, Chilton, Tallahatta Springs, Bashi, Woods Bluff, Campbell, Zimco, Toddtown, Salitpa, Suggsville, Alma, Dickinson, West Bend, Winn, Walker Springs, Evergreen, Castleberry, Owassa, Repton, Lenox, Range, Burnt Corn, Lyeffion, Centerville, Johnsonville, Brooklyn, Paul, Melrose, Old Sparta, Jay Villa, Belleville, Andalusia, Opp, Florala, Rose Hill, Onycha, Red Oak, Green Bay, Straughn, Red Level, Gantt, Clearview, Carolina, Pleasant Home, Wing, Sanford, Libertyville, Eoda, Horn Hill, Lockhart, River Falls, Loango, Fairfield, Brewton, East Brewton, Atmore, Flomaton, Riverview, Poarch, Huxford, Wallace, Barnett Crossroads, Pineview, Wawbeek, Canoe, Nokomis, Appleton, Kirkland, Dixie, Roberts, Damascus, Pollard/McCall, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Key, Warrington, Myrtle Grove, Molino, Walnut Hill, Bratt, Century, Ensley, Gonzalez, Cantonment, Quintette, McDavid, Mobile, Prichard, Citronelle, Mt. Vernon, Creola, Satsuma, Saraland, Calvert, Wilmer, West Mobile, Bayou La Batre, Coden, Alabama Port, Dauphin Island, Theodore, Crichton, Tanner Williams, Tillmans Corner, Chunchula, Grand Bay, Monroeville, Excel, Uriah, Frisco City, Megargal, Mineola, Chrysler, Goodway, Peterman, Tunnel Springs, Beatrice, Riley Crossing, Perdue Hill, Mexia, Scratch Ankle, Hybart, Franklin, Eliska, Destin, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Mary Esther, Wright, VPS, Eglin AFB, Crestview, Deerland, Campton, Auburn (FL), Baker, Holt, Milligan, Laurel Hill, Navarre, Jay, Milton, Pace, Gulf Breeze, Harold, Whiting Field, Chumuckla, New York, Brownsdale, Berrydale, Munson, Fidelis, McClellan, Mulat, Bagdad, Pine Bluff, Avalon Beach, Garcon Point, Whitfield, Allentown, Chatom, Leroy, McIntosh, Millry, Deer Park, Vinegar Bend, Fruitdale, Yellow Pine, Copeland, Yarbo, Jordan, Bigbee, St. Stephens, Tibbie, Sims Chapel, Sunflower, and Malcolm.

STRONG COLD FRONT TO PASS OUR AREA ON THURSDAY… One of the contributing reasons we are having our first severe weather setup of the fall severe weather season is a cold front pushing into the Deep South later this week. This front is expected to bring in much cooler, much drier air into our region by Friday afternoon. High temperatures by Friday will only be in the upper-60s with low temperatures in the 40s by Saturday morning. The upcoming weekend will be cool and dry.

FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING… We are seeing a few showers across south Alabama and northwest Florida this evening. Showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms will be possible tonight and into Monday morning. Widespread severe storms are not expected tonight or on Monday or Tuesday. You may, however, hear some raindrops on the roof or some thunder overnight.

TORNADO WARNING POLICY… Any time there is an active tornado warning in effect for southwest Alabama or northwest Florida, we provide uninterrupted, live video coverage on Facebook Live and in the RedZone Weather app. Our detailed coverage commitment is outlined at redzoneweather.com/coverage. We are proud to cover all parts of Escambia (AL), Covington, Monroe, Conecuh, Baldwin, Mobile, Clarke, Washington, Butler, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties. If you live in any locale in those counties, be sure to tune into our coverage whenever there is an active tornado warning!

SET UP APP ALERTS… We send quite a bit of Low-Level Alerts in our RedZone Weather app. The app is totally free for you! redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you see the download links to your respective app store for iOS and for Android devices. Once you have the app downloaded to your smartphone or tablet device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have your next full forecast video with a highly detailed assessment of the upcoming severe weather setup posted no later than 7:15AM tomorrow (Monday) morning. Have a nice Sunday evening!

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7:30AM October 23, 2021

SUNNY & WARM TODAY; RAIN & STORMS NEXT WEEK… Sunny skies are expected across the region on this Saturday. High temperatures will be in the low-80s. Rain will be possible Monday ahead of our next round of active weather slated to happen on Wednesday into Wednesday night. That is when a storm system associated with an advancing cold front will cross our region, bringing with it the threat of tornadoes and gusty winds.

I’ll have another detailed post later today about the developing severe weather risk setting up for midweek.

Have a great Saturday!

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7:14PM October 22, 2021

SEVERE WEATHER SETUP AHEAD FOR WEDNESDAY… Our first severe weather risk of the fall severe weather season will set up during the middle part of the upcoming week, specifically on Wednesday, October 27. The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of the Deep South in their Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk zone, meaning scattered severe storms will be possible. Tornadoes, damaging winds, large hail, and flash flooding will be the concerns. This risk zone is a fairly uncommon “Day 6” outlook, valid 5 days from now. This highlights the increased model confidence in the potential for severe storms, but it says nothing about the intensity of the storms. We won’t know exactly how strong or severe these storms will be until we get into early next week. NOW is the time to start thinking about your severe weather safety plan. Research studies prove time and time again that folks that have a plan of action AHEAD OF severe weather events have the best outcomes. More Friday evening details are below.

WHAT IS A LEVEL 2 (OUT OF 5) RISK?… If you know someone that is new to our local area, please pass this info to them as it is important we make as many folks aware as possible about the potential severe weather risk setting up. If you are new to the area or need a refresher as to what a “Level 2 risk” is, that is understandable as our area has not had a formal severe weather risk in quite some time. Basically, the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma issues convective outlooks everyday. These outlooks have five risk levels, telling us the areas and zones that should be most concerned for severe storms. In this case, we have a Level 2 (out of 5) risk setting up for Wednesday, October 27. The risk area can and WILL change in the days ahead and outlook upgrades or downgrades may be possible. Levels 2, 3, 4, and 5 risk days are the ones that warrant our attention, particularly risk zones driven by a tornado threat. We don’t know hazard specifics just yet. Please check back in early next week for the very latest information.

LEVEL 2 (OUT OF 5) RISK FOR ENTIRE LOCAL AREA… All of southern Alabama and northwest Florida is involved in this Level 2 (out of 5) risk zone. This means we all have a risk of experiencing severe storms on Wednesday, perhaps into early Thursday morning. This Level 2 risk zone currently includes Daphne, Fairhope, Spanish Fort, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Fort Morgan, Magnolia Springs, Foley, Elberta, Elsanor, Robertsdale, Summerdale, Silverhill, Montrose, Loxley, Stapleton, Bay Minette, Stockton, Rabun, Perdido, Tensaw, Point Clear, Seminole, Gateswood, Greenville, Georgiana, Chapman, Bolling, Grace, Garland, Oaky Streak, Daisy, Halso Mill, Starlington, Forest Home, Thomasville, Grove Hill, Jackson, Coffeeville, Fulton, Carlton, Gainestown, Gosport, Whatley, Scyrene, Springfield, Chilton, Tallahatta Springs, Bashi, Woods Bluff, Campbell, Zimco, Toddtown, Salitpa, Suggsville, Alma, Dickinson, West Bend, Winn, Walker Springs, Evergreen, Castleberry, Owassa, Repton, Lenox, Range, Burnt Corn, Lyeffion, Centerville, Johnsonville, Brooklyn, Paul, Melrose, Old Sparta, Jay Villa, Belleville, Andalusia, Opp, Florala, Rose Hill, Onycha, Red Oak, Green Bay, Straughn, Red Level, Gantt, Clearview, Carolina, Pleasant Home, Wing, Sanford, Libertyville, Eoda, Horn Hill, Lockhart, River Falls, Loango, Fairfield, Brewton, East Brewton, Atmore, Flomaton, Riverview, Poarch, Huxford, Wallace, Barnett Crossroads, Pineview, Wawbeek, Canoe, Nokomis, Appleton, Kirkland, Dixie, Roberts, Damascus, Pollard/McCall, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Key, Warrington, Myrtle Grove, Molino, Walnut Hill, Bratt, Century, Ensley, Gonzalez, Cantonment, Quintette, McDavid, Mobile, Prichard, Citronelle, Mt. Vernon, Creola, Satsuma, Saraland, Calvert, Wilmer, West Mobile, Bayou La Batre, Coden, Alabama Port, Dauphin Island, Theodore, Crichton, Tanner Williams, Tillmans Corner, Chunchula, Grand Bay, Monroeville, Excel, Uriah, Frisco City, Megargal, Mineola, Chrysler, Goodway, Peterman, Tunnel Springs, Beatrice, Riley Crossing, Perdue Hill, Mexia, Scratch Ankle, Hybart, Franklin, Eliska, Destin, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Mary Esther, Wright, VPS, Eglin AFB, Crestview, Deerland, Campton, Auburn (FL), Baker, Holt, Milligan, Laurel Hill, Navarre, Jay, Milton, Pace, Gulf Breeze, Harold, Whiting Field, Chumuckla, New York, Brownsdale, Berrydale, Munson, Fidelis, McClellan, Mulat, Bagdad, Pine Bluff, Avalon Beach, Garcon Point, Whitfield, Allentown, Chatom, Leroy, McIntosh, Millry, Deer Park, Vinegar Bend, Fruitdale, Yellow Pine, Copeland, Yarbo, Jordan, Bigbee, St. Stephens, Tibbie, Sims Chapel, Sunflower, and Malcolm.

LEVEL 2 RISK FOR MUCH OF THE DEEP SOUTH… Just outside of our local area, we note that a big chunk of the Deep South is also involved in this Level 2 risk zone, including areas near New Orleans (LA), Baton Rouge (LA), Houma (LA), Slidell (LA), Hattiesburg (MS), Jackson (MS), Meridian (MS), McComb (MS), Biloxi (MS), Pascagoula (MS), Butler, Demopolis, Linden, Sweet Water, Camden, Luverne, Livingston, Eutaw, Tuscaloosa, Marion, Selma, Centreville, Brent, Hayneville, Prattville, Clanton, Montgomery, Wetumpka, Lake Martin, Auburn, Tuskegee, Phenix City, Troy, Elba, Enterprise, Geneva, Samson, Daleville, Eufaula, Dothan, Abbeville, Seaside, Freeport, DeFuniak Springs, Santa Rosa Beach, Bonifay, Panama City, Mexico Beach, Port St. Joe, Apalachicola, Blountstown, Marianna, Tallahassee, Albany (GA), Columbus (GA), and surrounding areas.

STORM MODES TBD; TORNADOES POSSIBLE… It remains too early to know exactly what storm modes will set up. If we have discrete cells develop out ahead of a line of storms, the tornado risk may be a bit higher. If, however, we have a line of storms move through, the damaging wind threat would be the greatest concern. I will have updates on this as we know more throughout the weekend.

APP ALERTS… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have updates posted throughout the weekend in the RedZone Weather app. Have a wonderful Friday evening!

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6:53AM October 22, 2021

CLEARING SKIES TODAY & WARM WEEKEND; STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE MIDWEEK… Cloud cover will continue to diminish on this Friday as we look ahead to a weekend with beautiful weather. We are tracking a few showers and storms in northwest Florida this morning but these storms will quickly move out of our region by 10AM. High temperatures today will be in the mid-80s. Plenty of sunshine is ahead for Saturday and Sunday ahead of an increasing chance of rain and storms on Monday. We’re also looking ahead to the middle part of the upcoming week when strong to severe thunderstorms may become possible ahead of a cold front slated to move through our region. I’ve got all of your Friday morning forecast notes below.

STORMS AROUND THIS MORNING… Thunderstorms were “loud and proud” this morning near Monroeville, Uriah, Repton, Atmore, Evergreen, Brewton, and Century as a frontal boundary moved through these communities. No severe weather happened, but pea size hail was reported near Atmore around 6AM. What is left of these storms is now moving across northwest Florida with rain noted as of 7AM near Pensacola, Milton, and Crestview. These storms will continue to move southeast and ultimately will move out of area by 10AM at the latest.

NICE WEATHER FOR HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL TONIGHT… Mostly clear skies are in the forecast this evening for all of the high school football games slated to kick off at 7PM. Temperatures will be in the 68-71° range at kickoff with temperatures falling into the mid-60s by 9PM. No rain is expected at the games tonight.

SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW AND SUNDAY… Mostly sunny skies are ahead for the weekend on both Saturday and on Sunday. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-80s each day with morning lows expected to be near 60.

RAIN RETURNS NEXT WEEK; STORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY… Scattered thunderstorms will become more numerous on Monday ahead of a likely break from the rain on Tuesday. A cold front will spark off scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday into early Thursday. That is when we have a developing risk of a few strong to severe thunderstorms.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK WEDNESDAY… The Storm Prediction Center has included all of south Alabama and northwest Florida in their Level 2 (out of 5) slight severe weather risk valid for Wednesday, October 27. The concern is that a few strong to severe thunderstorms may develop out ahead of an advancing cold front slated to bring cooler, drier air into our region. Tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail will be possible in some of the stronger storms on Wednesday. While it is a bit too early to get into the specifics, Wednesday afternoon and evening seems to be the time in which the severe weather risk will likely be maximized. I will have another post later today detailing this developing risk.

NEXT COLD FRONT ARRIVES LATE NEXT WEEK… If you are missing the cooler weather we had earlier in the week, don’t fret! We have another cold front slated to move across our region. This cold front will likely move across the region on Thursday, ushering in cooler, drier air. High temperatures are expected to drop into the mid-70s with overnight lows in the 50s by the end of the upcoming week.

TROPICS TO REMAIN QUIET… The entirety of the Atlantic Basin remains quiet with no tropical storms or hurricanes expected to form in the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, or Atlantic Ocean over the next 5-7 days. The core of hurricane season is now behind us. It remains to be seen whether we will have more tropical systems. Some of the global weather models show a potential tropical storm developing in the eastern Caribbean Sea in about a week. Plenty of time between now and then to keep an eye on trends and certainly nothing to worry about or think twice about, for now.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I’ve got all of your forecast details in your Friday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great weekend!

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5:24AM October 22, 2021

NOISY STORMS MOVING SOUTHEAST… Thunderstorms draped along a frontal boundary are producing quite a bit of thunder early this morning near Brewton, Atmore, Flomaton, and Century. These storms are moving southeast at about 25 mph. While the tornado risk and risk for severe weather in general remains quite low, these storms are producing quite a bit of lightning and loud thunder. Heavy rain will move into northwest Florida shortly. Ongoing updates are being posted in the RedZone Weather app and my next forecast video will be posted in the next few hours. Have a good Friday morning!

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1:18AM October 22, 2021

STORMS MOVING SOUTHEAST… For anyone who may be awakened by the sound of heavy rain on the roof or by loud thunder in Clarke, Wilcox, Monroe, Butler, or Conecuh counties over the next few hours, please understand that storms remain well below severe limits.

A line of thunderstorms is currently pushing southeast across Alabama. This line of storms extends from near Auburn and Opelika all the way to near Thomasville and Fulton in Clarke County at the time I’m writing this update (1:18AM).

This line of storms will move into parts of northern Monroe, northern Conecuh, and Butler counties in the next few hours. Severe weather remains unlikely, but you may hear thunder at times as storms move by your location.

Rain clears out by daybreak in most spots and we’ll have clearing skies later this morning.

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8:45PM October 21, 2021

WARMER THAN NORMAL WINTER LIKELY THIS YEAR, PER NOAA FORECAST… For the second consecutive year, NOAA is forecasting temperatures to be above our long term climatological norms for the upcoming winter season. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issues seasonal forecasts projecting the probability of temperatures and precipitation being above or below normal. The upcoming winter will likely be warmer than normal, mainly due to La Niña (explained in detail below). If you have been reading my content for awhile, you know that I do not put much stock into these long range outlooks. Even in “warmer than normal” winters, you can get some really cold air intrusions into the Deep South, sometimes featuring record cold.

WARM WINTER? BLAME LA NIÑA THIS YEAR… Long-time viewers and readers know I consistently caution against putting terribly too much faith in the seasonal outlooks issued this far in advance of any season. There ARE teleconnections and other factors that can help to give a broad overview of how hurricane season may pan out, however, any forecasts beyond 7 days out are prone to errors. One of these teleconnections is the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phase, which refers to the sea surface temperatures near the Equator west of Ecuador in the Pacific Ocean. The NOAA forecast for the El Nino teleconnection is for “La Niña” conditions in a few months as the Northern Hemisphere goes through the winter season. Without getting TOO technical, teleconnections are observed weather conditions in other parts of the world that can have broad effects on local weather conditions. Generally speaking, La Nina conditions are usually more favorable for warmer than normal temperatures in winter for the Deep South along with drier conditions for the southern half of the country. Keep in mind that variances from the overall pattern are likely. We WILL, inevitably, have some severe weather issues over the next few months. Our core tornado season happens in the spring, but we do usually have an uptick in the number of tornadoes locally in November and December.

VARIANCES LIKELY; SNOW UNLIKELY YET STILL POSSIBLE… While the overall trend of warmer and drier conditions this winter will probably prevail, that does not mean that we won’t have some bitterly cold nights with lows in the 10s and 20s being possible. On the contrary, I would bet we probably will have some nights with lows in the 20s this winter. It almost always happens at least once or twice around our region each winter. As far as snow, there is no way to know whether any snow events will happen locally, although if you bet against any snow happening locally this winter, that is a bet that may pay off. Snow simply is not common around the Deep South. It DOES happen occasionally, but Alabama and Florida simply are low latitude states that don’t have much snow each year. It also never “gets cold and stays cold here.” Cold snaps, yes. Extended, months long cold, NO. It simply doesn’t happen that way. If you’re looking for pronounced cold, head north by about 400 miles.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

My next forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM tomorrow (Friday) morning. Have a nice Thursday evening!

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6:53AM October 21, 2021

SHOWERS & STORMS LIKELY TODAY; SUNNY WEEKEND AHEAD… Rain and thunderstorms will be possible throughout the day across south Alabama and northwest Florida as a cold front moves across our region. Rain chances will peak this afternoon into this evening, although we note that rain and storms will be possible this morning and extending well into the evening hours. Fortunately, severe weather is not expected today. You may hear a rumble of thunder or two before the end of the day. A few showers may linger into Friday but our area will be trending drier late in the day on Friday, just in time for high school football games across the region. The weekend looks fantastic with sunny skies expected both on Saturday and on Sunday. Highs today and over the next few days will be near 80 with morning lows near 60. A few more Thursday morning forecast notes are below.

RAIN & STORMS LIKELY TODAY… Scattered thunderstorms will be possible throughout the day on this Thursday. Rain chances will be elevated across the region, both inland and closer to the coast. Any stronger thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing heavy rain, cloud-to-ground lightning, and loud thunder. The overall tornado risk today remains very low, if not near zero in most spots.

FEW SHOWERS ON FRIDAY; DRIER EVENING LIKELY… Rain chances will be lower, but not quite zero, on Friday. Most of the showers and thunderstorms should fade away by 5-6PM. This means that the vast majority of the high school football games across our region should be dry. High temperatures Friday will be near 80 degrees. By 7PM, temperatures will be in the low- to mid-70s.

SUNNY, NICE WEEKEND… Ample sunshine is ahead for Saturday and Sunday. High temperatures will consistently be in the low-80s with morning lows near 60. I see no reason to modify the forecast for the weekend. Full sunshine is expected both days!

RAIN SET TO RETURN BY TUESDAY… Mostly sunny skies are likely on Monday ahead of another round of rain and storms setting up for the middle part of the upcoming week. While it remains too early for specifics, plan for rain to be around Tuesday into Wednesday of the upcoming week. Thunderstorms, including a few stronger storms, may become possible by Thursday.

TROPICS REMAIN QUIET… The Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Atlantic Ocean are quiet. No tropical storms are expected to form over the next 5-7 days in the Atlantic Basin. Great news!

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Thursday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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6:05PM October 20, 2021

RAIN CONTINUES NEAR LILLIAN… Scattered showers continue in southeastern Baldwin (AL) and southern parts of Escambia and Santa Rosa counties in northwest Florida. These showers are producing heavy rain near Lillian and near Warrington on the western side of the Pensacola metro area.

No severe weather is expected, but a rumble of thunder will be possible in these areas over the next few hours.

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