MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY; RAIN RETURNS THIS WEEKEND; COOLER AIR BY SUNDAY… More sunshine is expected today and tomorrow ahead of rain and storms returning to our local area this weekend as a cold front moves by. High temperatures on this Wednesday will be approximately 10 to 12 degrees above our climatological normal high temp for this time of year. Most spots will rise into the mid- to upper-80s today. Rain is set to potentially return on Friday evening as scattered showers move in from the northwest. I expect showers and storms to be a bit more numerous in coverage on Saturday as a cold front crosses the area from northwest to southeast. Dry air will filter in behind the front on Sunday, allowing cool, dry conditions to persist into early next week. A few more Wednesday morning forecast notes are below.
DENSE FOG AROUND THIS MORNING… Patchy areas of dense fog are noted across parts of south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Wednesday morning. Not every community has fog in place but many certainly do. Please take it easy this morning if you’re traveling or commuting.
DRY TODAY AND THURSDAY… Mostly sunny skies are likely today ahead of a mix of sun and clouds on Thursday. High temperatures will continue to be in the mid- to upper-80s through tomorrow. No rain is expected until Friday.
FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE FRIDAY… Most of the daytime hours on Friday should be dry. A few showers and perhaps a thunderstorm or two may become possible in the afternoon and evening hours. I expect the vast majority of the high school football games across our local area to remain dry. Temperatures on Friday evening will be in the upper-70s. I cannot completely rule out a few showers on Friday evening, but most locales will be dry. Rain chances will increase on Saturday.
SHOWERS & STORMS LIKELY AT TIMES SATURDAY… Rain will be possible on Saturday, mainly in the morning and early afternoon hours. A few thunderstorms may become possible as well, although I do not see any signs of any severe weather issues at this point. Drier air will filter in by Saturday evening. Temperatures Saturday afternoon will peak near 80, but by 9PM, most spots locally should be in the low-60s.
DRIER, COOLER AIR ARRIVES LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY… The main reason we are expecting showers and storms on Saturday is due to a cold front that will move across our region. Cooler, drier air will filter into the area behind the cold front. Overnight lows by Sunday morning will be in the mid-50s. Highs on Sunday will be in the mid-70s. Mild days and cool nights are ahead for next week.
TROPICS ARE QUIET… The Gulf of Mexico is quiet with no imminent, local tropical concerns expected in the next several days. A tropical disturbance near the Turks & Caicos Islands, just north of Hispaniola, is moving northeast. This system has a very low-end (10%) chance of developing into a tropical storm. Fortunately, I see no indications of any land areas in the Atlantic Basin having significant tropical issues in the next few days.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
See all the details in your Wednesday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!
☁️ Some afternoon cumulus clouds are forming, but no rain is expected again today. It'll be a touch warmer than yesterday though, with highs in the mid to upper 80s.
— NWS Mobile (@NWSMobile) October 12, 2021
NICE, WARM WEEK TO CONTINUE; RAIN RETURNS SATURDAY WITH COLD FRONT… Plenty of sunshine is expected on this Tuesday as our quiet, warm weather pattern continues. High temperatures will be in the upper-80s today. More nice, warm days are ahead through Friday. Our area will have a cold front cross the region this weekend. Rain will be possible late Friday into Saturday ahead of the front passing through. Temperatures will return to much more seasonal values by early next week when highs will be in the 70s. A few more Tuesday morning forecast notes are below.
WARM TEMPS THROUGH FRIDAY; COOLER TEMPS BY SUNDAY… Our high temperatures over the next several days will remain above our climatological norms for this time of year. Highs will continue to be in the mid- to upper-80s. A cold front will pass through our area Saturday into Sunday, knocking highs into the 70s early next week. Morning lows will likely be in the 50s in many spots with upper-40s not out of the question for Monday morning.
TROPICS: TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING LESSER ANTILLES… The tropical wave we have been tracking over the last two days has a 20% chance of becoming a tropical storm as the system nears the Lesser Antilles. From NHC: “A tropical wave located about 350 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands is producing an area of showers and a few thunderstorms. Some slow development is possible during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph toward the Lesser Antilles. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit further development on Tuesday. Regardless of development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of the central and northern Lesser Antilles on Tuesday, and across the Virgin Islands and Leeward Islands on Wednesday.”
TROPICS: DISTURBANCE NEAR HISPANIOLA… There is a 20% chance of a tropical storm forming in the southwestern Atlantic Ocean, north of the Dominican Republic and Haiti, in a few days as a tropical wave moves north. From NHC: “Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with another tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea has decreased since yesterday. Environmental conditions are not expected to support development of this system for the next day or two. However, some gradual development is possible beginning on Wednesday when the system nears the southeastern Bahamas. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the next couple of days.”
GULF IS QUIET… No tropical storm issues are expected in the Gulf of Mexico over the next 5 days. It is not unusual to have a brief ramp up of sorts in tropical activity in the Gulf in mid-October. I would not be surprised if we had one or two more “home grown” tropical systems that form in the Gulf or the western Caribbean Sea in the weeks ahead. That possibility seems fairly muted, at the moment, however. Good news!
APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!
See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!
Jupiter, Saturn & a plethora of stars showing up great in the SE sky tonight near Malbis, AL. Taken in night mode on iPhone with some quick post edits. I’m just learning how to post edit & trying to get more into astrophotography. Currently at extreme novice level. #mobwx #alwx pic.twitter.com/HuHlBwTf0f
— Jason Beaman (@alhurricane) October 12, 2021