HOT, MAINLY DRY IN DAYS AHEAD… Never fun to see at least three days in the 7 Day Forecast with projected highs of 100° or higher! Unfortunately, low rain chances won’t help matters either. Hot, mostly dry days ahead!
HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE 105-110° RANGE THIS WEEKEND; WATCHING GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK… Very hot temperatures are expected across south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Friday AND into the weekend. High temperatures will be in the upper-90s and near 100° with heat index values in excess of 105°. While a few, rogue P.M. pop-up showers and thunderstorms may happen across the region, the vast majority of us across the region will remain dry. Our focus will be on the tropics over the next several days as four tropical waves are being monitored in the Atlantic Basin for possible development into named tropical storms.
GULF STORM MAY DEVELOP NEXT WEEK AND PUSH TOWARD TEXAS… Model guidance continues to indicate an area of low pressure may form in the central or western Gulf of Mexico early next week, specifically on Monday or Tuesday. Confidence is increasing that the potential tropical system may move westward toward Texas or Louisiana. It remains a bit too early to ascertain specific local impacts because of this system in south Alabama or northwest Florida but there is a real chance impacts may be limited to beach impacts (an increased rip current risk). I will continue to monitor trends this weekend and bring you the latest information in the RedZone Weather app.
THREE SEPARATE TROPICAL WAVES IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN… Not one, not two, but now three tropical waves are being tracked in the Atlantic Ocean between the Lesser Antilles and the western coast of Africa. It is too early to know if one or if any of these tropical waves will develop into named tropical storms OR if these systems will ever approach the continental United States.
APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!
See all the details in your Friday RedZone Weather forecast video. Have a great weekend!
VERY HOT TEMPS OVER NEXT SEVERAL DAYS… Hot weekend on tap for south Alabama and northwest Florida. Temperatures will rise into the upper-90s today. Most spots will flirt with the 100 degree mark on Saturday and potentially on Sunday as well.
8pm EDT Thursday 17 Aug — It is a busy outlook map tonight in the Atlantic. In addition to #98L & #99L with a high 🔴 & medium 🟠 chance of genesis respectively, 2⃣more areas further west have a low 🟡 chance of genesis in next 7 days.
Latest Outlook–>https://t.co/DboWSR44Dt pic.twitter.com/MDQcoImcw6
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) August 17, 2023
Beautiful day across the region! Temperatures are in the 90s with a field of puffy, white cumulus clouds across the region. pic.twitter.com/sCW4e2yvZB
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 17, 2023
Looking forward to speaking about severe weather safety at Fairhope Inn shortly in Downtown Fairhope, AL. Gorgeous day!
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 17, 2023
MORE HOT TEMPS AHEAD… Temperatures will peak in the mid-90s this weekend with heat index values again in the 105-110° range.
HOTTER TEMPS THIS WEEKEND; WATCHING MULTIPLE SYSTEMS IN TROPICS… Heat index values will again be in the 105-110° range this weekend as temperatures creep upward today, tomorrow, and on Saturday. Rain chances will be low (not zero!) over the next several days before we see an uptick in scattered showers and storms on Monday. Our attention is now in the tropics where three distinct areas of concern have arisen in the Atlantic Basin. Details are below.
TROPICS: GULF DISTURBANCE MAY DEVELOP EARLY NEXT WEEK… An area of low pressure may form in the central or western Gulf of Mexico early next week. Multiple global models show a tropical system developing before pushing west toward the Texas or Louisiana coast. Keep in mind that uncertainty is high in terms of when the system actually develops or where it ultimately ends up. Nothing to stress or worry about at this time, but it is something we will need to keenly watch over the next several days.
TROPICS: TROPICAL WAVE IN CENTRAL ATLANTIC… There is a 50% chance of a tropical storm forming in the central Atlantic Ocean, about halfway between the Lesser Antilles and the western coast of Africa. This system warrants keeping an eye on over the next several days as a general westward movement continues. From NHC: “Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the central tropical Atlantic are associated with an elongated trough of low pressure centered about 750 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the next several days while moving toward the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph across the central tropical Atlantic.”
TROPICS: TROPICAL WAVE IN EASTERN ATLANTIC… A separate tropical wave, located near the Cabo Verde Islands in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean, is moving northwest. Global models indicate a tropical depression or tropical storm may form this weekend while the system moves northwest over the open waters of the eastern Atlantic Ocean. Most of the model guidance shows this system moving over the open ocean before dissipating next week. While all tropical systems in the Atlantic must be monitored, the early trends on this system have been encouraging so far.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
See all the details in your Thursday RedZone Weather forecast video. Have a great day!
ONLY A FEW P.M. STORMS LATER TODAY… Nice start this morning with many spots in the upper-60s! We will have temperatures in the mid-90s later today with mostly sunny skies. A few showers and thunderstorms may happen across coastal Alabama and northwest Florida. Most spots will remain dry.
Have a great Thursday!
🙌 Temperatures will dip into the 60s for inland communities and 70s for the coastal counties overnight.
🍂 Enjoy the brief cooldown before the heat and humidity come back in full force this weekend. pic.twitter.com/eC9YpExKpH
— NWS Mobile (@NWSMobile) August 16, 2023
