Spotty showers continue to develop and drift to the west across south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Wednesday evening.
MOST communities across the region will remain dry through tonight, but a few downpours are possible.
Rain at 5:37PM near Walnut Hill, Jay, Gateswood. pic.twitter.com/4uftH4fKN8
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) June 19, 2024
Through June 19th, the Northern Hemisphere has generated a paltry ~12 ACE (Accumulated Cyclone Energy). That's the 3rd lowest thru 6/19 since 1950, trailing 1977 (11 ACE) and 2017 (9 ACE). The Northern Hemisphere #hurricane/#typhoon season has gotten off to a very slow start. pic.twitter.com/mujyAudWhI
— Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) June 19, 2024
Small showers and developing thunderstorms are moving west across the region this afternoon.
Most of the showers are currently happening across west Alabama but I expect an uptick in the overall coverage of storms over the next few hours. ⛈️ pic.twitter.com/vMc1m7RCEB
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) June 19, 2024
Tiny showers are beginning to develop this afternoon across south Alabama and northwest Florida. We will likely see a few scattered thunderstorms develop before the end of the day. pic.twitter.com/iUJH3h2B9y
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) June 19, 2024
A @53rdWRS recon aircraft morning mission into #Alberto continued to measure a very broad vortex with a large radius of max winds, 100-250 miles depending on direction from the center, rather atypical for a tropical storm. However, the circulation has been visibly contracting… pic.twitter.com/npnZ0C6AB7
— Dr. Levi Cowan (@TropicalTidbits) June 19, 2024
PTC1 has organized and is now Tropical Storm #Alberto. Maximum winds near 40 mph. Tropical Storm Warnings continue for much of the Texas and northeast Mexico coast.
Alberto will be a big rainmaker for Texas and Mexico. Landfall likely in NE Mexico overnight into Thursday. pic.twitter.com/9GoKMrp2IY
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) June 19, 2024
Tropical storm #Alberto has formed in the Gulf of Mexico. Alberto is the latest 1st Atlantic named storm (>=39 mph) formation since 2014, although still slightly ahead of the long-term average of 20 June. https://t.co/yZhBVTaH5Q pic.twitter.com/wGj81Epid4
— Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) June 19, 2024
MORE POP-UP STORMS THIS WEEKEND… Higher chances of rain and pop-up thunderstorms are expected as we get into the weekend. Hotter temps are also expected for Saturday and Sunday.
LOW RAIN CHANCES TODAY & THURSDAY; SCATTERED STORMS THIS WEEKEND… Partly cloudy skies with low-end rain chances are expected across the region on this Wednesday. High temperatures will be in the upper-80s and low-90s. Lower (not zero) rain chances are in store tomorrow as well. Any showers and thunderstorms that pop up today and tomorrow will be widely spaced and will be brief in most spots. We continue to track Potential Tropical Cyclone 1 in the southwestern Gulf. The good news is that particular system should remain well away from our local area over the next few days as it moves westward.
TROPICS: POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE #1 IN BAY OF CAMPECHE… Potential Tropical Cyclone 1, the broad, disorganized system in the western Gulf, continues to produce tropical storm force winds. The reason the system has not been classified as a tropical storm (yet) is because there is no low-level circulation center. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for much of the Texas coast and for northeastern Mexico. Tropical storm conditions will be possible in these areas. Regardless of the specifics concerning classification, this will be a big rainmaker for parts of south Texas with 10″ of total rain being possible. Flash flooding will certainly be a concern in south Texas over the next few days.
TROPICS: CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT IN S.W. ATLANTIC FADES… The non-tropical area of low pressure at the end of a decaying cold front in the open waters of the southwestern Atlantic has not materialized. This is the system that had at least some chance of pushing some moisture into our local area on Friday or Saturday. That likely will not happen now as the system remains weak and disorganized. From NHC: “An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms located several hundred miles east of The Bahamas is associated with a surface trough and an upper-level area of low pressure. Environmental conditions could be conducive for some gradual development of this system during the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward. The system is forecast to approach the coast of the southeastern United States on Friday.” Chances of formal development are now down to only a 10-20% chance.
TROPICS: ANOTHER BAY OF CAMPECHE SYSTEM POSSIBLE IN ABOUT A WEEK… The National Hurricane Center is indicating after PTC #1 moves onshore in northeastern Mexico or south Texas, a new, separate tropical storm may form in about a week in the far southern Gulf of Mexico. Early model guidance points to a very similar track of this new system as well, pointing the system toward Mexico. From NHC: “Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system early next week while it moves slowly northward or northwestward.”
SCATTERED STORMS AROUND THIS WEEKEND… More in the way of pop-up, scattered showers and thunderstorms will become possible on Saturday, Sunday, into Monday. These pop-up storms will be partially due to more moisture content in the atmosphere (and higher humidity values). Highs this weekend will be in the mid-90s with morning lows in the low- to mid-70s.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
See all the details in your Wednesday morning RedZone Weather forecast video. Have a great day!
