HOT TEMPS THROUGH WEEKEND… Triple digit heat is expected this weekend, specifically on Saturday. Heat index values will be in excess of 105° in some spots tomorrow afternoon.
Slightly higher rain chances set to happen on Sunday and Monday.
HOT WEEKEND; TEMPS NEAR 100° TODAY AND SATURDAY… Plenty of heat and plenty of humidity will make for a very hot weekend with air temperatures possibly reaching the 100 degree mark this afternoon and tomorrow afternoon across south Alabama and northwest Florida. While the thermometer may briefly hit 100 degrees, the heat index values across the region will be in the 103-108° range today and tomorrow. Take it easy if you are planning to be outside for extended periods of time today, tomorrow, or on Sunday. Rain chances remain quite low today and tomorrow and skies are expected to remain mostly sunny. Rain chances will rise as we get into Sunday and Monday.
QUITE HOT TODAY AND TOMORROW… The numbers you see on thermometers across the region this afternoon and on Saturday afternoon will not be completely reflective of “just how hot it actually is,” as humidity values will make the air feel hotter. Heat index values will easily be in the 103-108° range with some isolated values of 110° being possible. Grab the sunscreen and keep it handy this weekend as well as we will have plenty of sunshine today and tomorrow. Cloud coverage will increase on Sunday ahead of higher rain chances Sunday P.M.
SCATTERED STORMS SUNDAY AND MONDAY… Pop-up showers and thunderstorms will provide some heat relief as we get into Sunday and Monday. It looks like the greatest chance of showers and thunderstorms will happen primarily in the afternoon and evening hours. High temperatures on Sunday will be in the mid-90s with highs in the low-90s on Monday.
TROPICS: GROWING CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORMING IN SOUTHERN GULF… The National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to suggest that the chances of a tropical storm forming in the Bay of Campeche region, in the far southern Gulf of Mexico, are increasing. NHC now has development probabilities in the 50-60% chance range. Early model guidance continues to point to this system moving northwest toward the mainland part of Mexico in areas south of Texas. Some impacts may potentially be possible in parts of south Texas under some scenarios, but we note the bulk of the model guidance shows the developing system likely moving onshore in Mexico, thus limiting MOST impacts in the U.S. Direct local impacts in south Alabama and northwest Florida are not expected, regardless of if formal development happens.
TROPICS: CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORMING IN CARIBBEAN OR GULF IN 10 OR SO DAYS… You won’t see this mentioned in the Tropical Weather Outlook and I intentionally did not discuss this in the morning video as this possibility is still 7-10 days out. The major global weather models have latched onto the idea of a tropical storm developing in the western Caribbean Sea or southern Gulf in about 7-10 days. Note that this would be a separate, distinct system from the previously discussed system. It is far too early to give any concrete details about this system or where it ultimately ends up. Model guidance has trended more toward a solution that would bring impacts to parts of Louisiana and/or Texas in about 7-10 days, but that is highly subject to change. It is something to watch as we get closer but nothing to worry about for now. I include this paragraph specifically as “an early heads up” as you may begin to see social media posts about this system as early as this weekend. Again, nothing to worry about for now.
TROPICS: LOW-END CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT EAST OF CAROLINAS IN ATLANTIC… The area of low pressure responsible for bringing buckets and buckets of rain (upwards of 20+ inches of total rainfall) in parts of south Florida has moved into the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. This system will continue to move northeast and ultimately out to sea over the next day or so. The National Hurricane Center indicates there is a low-end (10%) chance of this system briefly becoming a named tropical storm before the system becomes extratropical in nature. Regardless of if formal development happens, direct local impacts in south Alabama and northwest Florida are not expected.
APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!
See all the details in your Friday morning RedZone Weather forecast video. Have a great weekend!
HOT WEEKEND; TEMPS NEAR 100° LIKELY… H-O-T temperatures are slated to happen this afternoon and again on Saturday afternoon. Some locales across the region will probably hit the 100 degree mark today and tomorrow.
Rain chances remain quite low today and Saturday ahead of slightly higher rain chances on Sunday.
A nice shot of the moon in Ralph, Alabama @weswyattweather @simpsonWVTM13 @spann @rzweather @Puckettwx @RichardWVUA23 pic.twitter.com/iLfCJEBSW6
— Josh Kemp (@JoshKempWX) June 14, 2024
HOT TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY; NO TROPICAL ISSUES LOCALLY THRU WEEKEND… The hottest temperatures of the year so far are set to happen tomorrow (Friday) and Saturday with air temperatures in the 97-100° range with heat index values as high as 107-108° being possible. Rain chances will remain quite low on Friday and Saturday ahead of an uptick in the scattered showers and thunderstorms on Sunday.
TROPICAL UPDATE… An area of disturbed weather is expected to develop in the Bay of Campeche region in the southern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday or Monday. The National Hurricane Center indicates this developing area of low pressure has a 40% chance of becoming a named tropical storm next week. Model guidance shows movement toward the coast of Mexico, likely as a tropical storm, during the middle part of the upcoming week. Direct local impacts in Alabama and northwest Florida from this developing system are unlikely. A separate area of disturbed weather is happening in the southwestern Atlantic Ocean, now northeast of the Florida Peninsula, that is not expected to be a significant issue for the U.S. We’re also looking at some early model guidance that suggests a tropical storm may be possible in the western Gulf in about 2 weeks, but it is FAR too early for any specific information. Big takeaway here… No tropical issues for south Alabama or northwest Florida this weekend or into early next week. Good news!
APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!
I will have a full rundown about the high temperatures expected this weekend and a detailed tropical update in the next regularly scheduled RedZone Weather forecast video that will be posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. Have a nice Thursday evening!
Big time HEAT and humidity are expected on Friday and Saturday. Air temps near 100° with heat index values in excess of 105° in some spots. 🥵 Details: https://t.co/9jAASRpSlC pic.twitter.com/rXRYQPWQwB
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) June 14, 2024
Rain is happening this evening near Laurel Hill in northern Okaloosa County, FL. This lone shower is drifting southwest toward Baker and Crestview.
Nearly all of us across the region will remain dry other than this swath of northern Okaloosa County. pic.twitter.com/tVRfXwygaB
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) June 14, 2024
Today we dropped several buoys for the Naval Oceanographic Office located at the John C. Stennis Space Center, into the “loop current” in the Gulf of Mexico.
The loop current is a flow of warm water that travels through the Gulf of Mexico, past the Florida Keys, and up the… pic.twitter.com/SZIHOHVYmQ
— Hurricane Hunters (@53rdWRS) June 13, 2024
