A band of rain showers may impact portions of southeast MS & interior southwest AL late this evening before gradually diminishing overnight. Overnight lows look on track to range in the 60s over most areas except around 70° near the coast. #mobwx pic.twitter.com/LPSsA8CgcM
— NWS Mobile (@NWSMobile) November 1, 2024
DEVELOPING TROPICAL SYSTEM COULD MOVE TOWARD SOUTHERN GULF NEXT WEEK; LOCAL IMPACTS TBD… We will need to monitor an area of disturbed weather in the southern Caribbean Sea over the next several days as the system moves northward. Earlier model guidance indicated the system may take more of an easterly track toward Hispaniola or Puerto Rico, but guidance today (as it often the case early on the process) has shifted to the west. This means that the odds of this system ultimately moving into the southern Gulf of Mexico have increased. While no one, and I truly mean NO ONE, can tell you if this system will develop into a named tropical storm or where it will end up, interests in Jamaica, Cuba, the Yucatan Peninsula, and the Gulf of Mexico region should closely monitor the progress of this developing system over the next few days.
NOVEMBER HURRICANES IN THE GULF OF MEXICO DO HAPPEN… Despite the Gulf of Mexico having a high number of landfalling systems this year, we still have one more month, officially, of hurricane season. The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season will officially end on Saturday, November 30. It would be highly uncommon for us to have hurricane issues in the month of November, but it isn’t completely unprecedented. Tropical Storm Eta affected Florida in November of 2020. Tropical Storm Ida impacted Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and northwest Florida in November 2009. Hurricane Kate made landfall in the Florida Panhandle, causing extensive damage near Port St. Joe, in late November 1985. Are hurricane issues uncommon in November? Yes. Unprecedented, no. This is why we need to monitor this developing system.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
I will have a detailed update on the tropics in the next regularly scheduled RedZone Weather forecast video that will be posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. Be sure to join me then for the latest information. Have a good night and Happy Halloween!
Pleasantly surprised at just how many scattered showers have developed this evening across parts of west Alabama! Good, beneficial downpours.
Not everyone will have rain before the end of the day, but several spots in west Alabama will. Good news! ⛈️ pic.twitter.com/N1rs1ng2fX
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 31, 2024
Spotty showers continue in parts of Baldwin, Mobile, and Escambia (FL) counties this afternoon. Heavier rain associated with a batch of thunderstorms continues to push eastward in parts of Tennessee, Mississippi, Arkansas, and Louisiana as of midday. pic.twitter.com/bgMnhLUiQG
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 31, 2024
Don't look now but RAIN is happening across parts of Baldwin and Escambia (FL) counties. Small showers but beneficial rain nonetheless! pic.twitter.com/KFjaXasz2U
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 31, 2024
Model signal seems to be slowly increasing for a TC to form in the SW Caribbean this weekend or early next week. Still some differences in how quickly it might develop, and how it would be impacted by a non-tropical low forming N of the Caribbean. Tricky setup for sure. pic.twitter.com/Ndd35g5Jbk
— Andy Hazelton (@AndyHazelton) October 31, 2024
RAIN INCREASINGLY LIKELY NEXT WEEK… Isolated showers will be possible today, mainly across west Alabama. Most of us across the region will remain dry.
FINALLY seeing some signs of more rain in the forecast as we get into next week!
A FEW SMALL SHOWERS POSSIBLE TODAY INTO TONIGHT; SIGNS OF RAIN NEXT WEEK… Most communities across south Alabama and northwest Florida will remain dry on this Halloween Thursday, but a few, small, highly isolated showers will be possible today into tonight. The greatest chance of any rain happening today locally will occur in Baldwin, Mobile, Clarke, and Washington counties in southwest Alabama. High temperatures will once again be in the mid-80s. Most of us will be dry tonight for the trick-or-treating activities across the region.
TRICK-OR-TREAT FORECAST… Other than a few small showers across west Alabama, much of the region will be dry this evening for trick-or-treating. Temperatures at 5PM will be around 82 degrees, falling to around 72° by 7PM. By 9PM, temperatures will be in the 60s. Enjoy the nice temperatures this evening!
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL DISTURBANCE FUTURE PATH MORE UNCERTAIN… An area of disturbed weather developing in the southwestern corner of the Caribbean Sea, east of Nicaragua, is expected to slowly drift northward over the next day or so. This system now has a 50% chance of becoming a named tropical storm this weekend or early next week. We note that model guidance for the future track of the system has become more uncertain over the last 24-48 hours. More model guidance shows potential movement to the northwest, as opposed to earlier guidance that showed a general northeasterly motion toward Hispaniola or Puerto Rico. The odds of the system moving into the Gulf of Mexico have increased, although it remains uncertain IF this system will develop or IF it poses a real threat to the United States. We will get more clarity on those two questions later this week and into the weekend.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
See all the details in your Wednesday morning RedZone Weather app. Have a great day!
A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING… Trick-or-treating will likely be dry with pleasant temperatures across many communities locally. A few places, especially across west Alabama, may have a few showers this evening. MOST will remain dry.
High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-80s today.
Happy Halloween!
Multiple reports of a green fireball streaming down in the eastern sky over the last few minutes. Did you see it? ☄️
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 30, 2024
