Model signal seems to be slowly increasing for a TC to form in the SW Caribbean this weekend or early next week. Still some differences in how quickly it might develop, and how it would be impacted by a non-tropical low forming N of the Caribbean. Tricky setup for sure. pic.twitter.com/Ndd35g5Jbk
— Andy Hazelton (@AndyHazelton) October 31, 2024
RAIN INCREASINGLY LIKELY NEXT WEEK… Isolated showers will be possible today, mainly across west Alabama. Most of us across the region will remain dry.
FINALLY seeing some signs of more rain in the forecast as we get into next week!
A FEW SMALL SHOWERS POSSIBLE TODAY INTO TONIGHT; SIGNS OF RAIN NEXT WEEK… Most communities across south Alabama and northwest Florida will remain dry on this Halloween Thursday, but a few, small, highly isolated showers will be possible today into tonight. The greatest chance of any rain happening today locally will occur in Baldwin, Mobile, Clarke, and Washington counties in southwest Alabama. High temperatures will once again be in the mid-80s. Most of us will be dry tonight for the trick-or-treating activities across the region.
TRICK-OR-TREAT FORECAST… Other than a few small showers across west Alabama, much of the region will be dry this evening for trick-or-treating. Temperatures at 5PM will be around 82 degrees, falling to around 72° by 7PM. By 9PM, temperatures will be in the 60s. Enjoy the nice temperatures this evening!
CARIBBEAN TROPICAL DISTURBANCE FUTURE PATH MORE UNCERTAIN… An area of disturbed weather developing in the southwestern corner of the Caribbean Sea, east of Nicaragua, is expected to slowly drift northward over the next day or so. This system now has a 50% chance of becoming a named tropical storm this weekend or early next week. We note that model guidance for the future track of the system has become more uncertain over the last 24-48 hours. More model guidance shows potential movement to the northwest, as opposed to earlier guidance that showed a general northeasterly motion toward Hispaniola or Puerto Rico. The odds of the system moving into the Gulf of Mexico have increased, although it remains uncertain IF this system will develop or IF it poses a real threat to the United States. We will get more clarity on those two questions later this week and into the weekend.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
See all the details in your Wednesday morning RedZone Weather app. Have a great day!
A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING… Trick-or-treating will likely be dry with pleasant temperatures across many communities locally. A few places, especially across west Alabama, may have a few showers this evening. MOST will remain dry.
High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-80s today.
Happy Halloween!
Multiple reports of a green fireball streaming down in the eastern sky over the last few minutes. Did you see it? ☄️
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 30, 2024
