A FEW SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE P.M. THURSDAY… The entirety of south Alabama and northwest Florida continues to be involved in severe weather risk zones valid for Thursday into Thursday night. West Alabama remains involved in a Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk, meaning scattered severe storms may be possible. Thursday afternoon into the evening hours is when storms will be most likely to happen. While the overall tornado risk will likely be maximized in areas to our north and west, Thursday evening will be a time when we all need to have a way to get urgent weather warnings. A few more forecast notes are below.
LEVEL 2 RISK FOR WEST ALABAMA… Locally, parts of Washington, Clarke, and Monroe counties have the highest severe weather risk on Thursday. These are the zones where the Storm Prediction Center has a Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk zone in place. Note this is the standard, “slight” risk for severe weather, meaning scattered severe storms will be possible. The remainder of the local area (mainly areas along, south, and east of Interstate 65) are involved in the lower-end, Level 1 (out of 5) risk zone. A Level 1 risk zone means the severe weather risk is lower, but a strong storm or two can’t be completely ruled out.
TORNADOES, WIND, FLASH FLOODING… The main hazards on Thursday will be the potential for a few tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, and flash flooding. The tornado risk will likely maximize just to our north and west across parts of east-central Mississippi and west-central Alabama. Damaging winds will be a greater concern if storms consolidate into a squall line. The overall risk of flash flooding is LOW, but not entirely zero. Just like what we saw a few weeks ago in Monroe County, it only takes one area being inundated by nonstop rain to produce significant, considerable flash flooding damage.
SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – THURSDAY… 2PM Thursday to 2AM on Friday will be the 12 hour window when strong to severe thunderstorms will be likely to happen in south Alabama and northwest Florida. 5PM to 11PM is the “core window” when storms are most likely to happen locally. Rain will gradually clear out Friday morning.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
I will have your next full forecast video posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. Have a nice Tuesday evening!
