Incredible, in-depth article by my buddy @NickLilja about why we, as meteorologists, get the forecast wrong OR are perceived as getting it wrong sometimes… I love this! “Weather forecasts are getting better and worse – simultaneously” https://t.co/GUsukxMilU
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) March 30, 2018
Due to the high rip current forecast from @NWSMobile, we are flying red flags in Orange Beach today – March 30. Though you can still swim in the Gulf if there is a red flag, you should use extreme caution and go in the water only if you are a strong swimmer. @spann #alwx pic.twitter.com/nptfT9zMtU
— City of Orange Beach (@cityorangebeach) March 30, 2018
Heavy rain and storms are moving into the Pensacola metro, Milton, and Pace right now… Nothing severe as of 7:46PM.
LOW-END RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER GRADUALLY ENDING… Numerous showers and thunderstorms continue to move eastward across southwest Alabama and northwest Florida. Rain and occasional lightning are set to continue into the late evening hours, but the severe weather risk is gradually subsiding in areas in the western part of our area. From now through 10PM, the rain and storms will be moving into Covington County, AL and much of northwest Florida. Heavy rain will start in Pensacola/Milton/Pace within the hour.
THREAT ENDING FOR WEST ALABAMA… The threat of severe weather has ended for Clarke and Washington counties. The risk has also lessened substantially for Mobile and Monroe counties. The Storm Prediction Center has stripped most of these areas out of their severe weather risk zone. Again, there may be a few more showers and storms in these areas, but the severe weather risk has ended over west Alabama.
LOW-END RISK CONTINUES FOR NW FL & SOUTH AL… At the time this update is being produced as of 7:15PM, the heaviest rain locally is near Brewton, East Brewton, Jay, Century, Flomaton, Molino, Appleton, and Lenox. This band of rain and storms will continue to shift eastward in the next few hours. If you’re in Pensacola, Navarre, Crestview, or Destin, I know it’s been quiet much of the day, but the next few hours will feature your low-end severe weather risk. Have a way to receive urgent weather warnings just in case we happen to have one of these storms that starts to rotate. Not a likelihood at this point, just a low possibility.
GREAT WEATHER FOR GOOD FRIDAY… Since this will probably be my last update here on Facebook Live (unless we happen to have a tornado warning, which at this point looks unlikely), let’s look ahead to Good Friday and the weekend… GREAT weather is upcoming over the next three days once we get this complex of storms out of our area to the east. Clearing skies are expected on Good Friday with high temperatures around 72 in most spots.
Thank you so much for watching our coverage over the last few days leading up to this event. As always, we appreciate you liking and interacting with our content as that helps us out tremendously by getting our urgent weather info out to even more people.
I’ll have my eyes on the radar with more posts in the RedZone Weather app and on Twitter this evening. Let me know if you have specific questions. Have a great evening!
Another heavy band of rain is moving across southern Monroe, western Escambia [AL], northern Escambia [FL], and Baldwin counties. We’re tracking this line of storms as it moves eastward. For now, no warnings, but very heavy rain and some lightning has been observed with this line of storms. Here’s a look at approximate arrival times for the leading edge of this line…