6:15PM UPDATE… We remain in sort of a holding pattern in terms of monitoring the tornado/damaging wind threat that could evolve for south Alabama and northwest Florida. The line/complex of strong thunderstorms continues to bring VERY heavy rainfall to much of west Alabama where numerous flash flood warnings remain in effect. We have confirmed reports of 4-6″ of rain that has fallen in parts of northern Washington and southern Choctaw counties. Some spots could easily get upwards of 8-10″ of rain in west Alabama before all is said and done!
STORMS TO START MOVING SOON… If you’ve been watching the radar over the last few hours, you know that the complex of rain and storms over southeast Mississippi and west Alabama has not moved very much at all. A shortwave trough will help kick these storms eastward over the next few hours. Important: The severe weather risk is NOT over. In fact, the Storm Prediction Center (in their latest 6PM update) has not only kept much of our area in the Level 3 “enhanced risk” zone, they’ve also added all of Butler, Covington, Crenshaw, Okaloosa, and much of Walton counties into that zone. That’s mean pretty much our entire local area has a continuing severe weather risk into the evening hours.
TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES… The tornado watch that is in effect for our local area is set to expire at 7PM. It could go either way, meaning SPC might allow the watch to expire, but I think there is a slightly higher chance that we get a new tornado watch that will extend well into the overnight hours.
Please have a way to receive warnings over the next few hours! My next live video update will be around 7:15PM unless a warning warrants a live video before that. See you then!
Here is the updated convective outlook as of 6:15PM…