2:30PM 7/31/2018 – RZW Exec

Good afternoon, RZW Exec partners!

Heavy rain that could lead to flash flooding will be possible across our region over the next 3 days. The National Weather Service has just issued a Flash Flood Watch for several counties in our local area. There also is a low-end risk of stronger thunderstorms that could have the potential to produce damaging straight line winds through Thursday. While this will NOT likely be a widespread high impact event, isolated instances of flash flooding can lead to property damage as we’ve seen many times this summer, particularly to our north in central Alabama. Here is an in-depth look at details…

LOCATIONS: A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the following counties in our local area until 7PM CDT on Thursday: Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia (AL), Conecuh, Covington, Butler, and Monroe. In northwest Florida, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, Okaloosa, and Walton counties are included. We also note several other counties to our east in the Florida Panhandle and many counties in east Alabama are included in this Flash Flood Watch. Clarke, Marengo, Choctaw, Wilcox, and Washington counties are NOT included in the Flash Flood Watch as of now.

SEVERITY & POTENTIAL HAZARDS: Scattered instances of flash flooding will be possible this afternoon through Thursday evening. The greatest rain amounts will likely happen in coastal areas of northwest Florida, where upwards of 5 inches of rain could fall. (See this depicted below in the latest Quantiative Precipitation Forecast) At this time, I am not expecting significant river/creek flooding, but this will be an area of concern over the next few days depending on actual rain amounts. Widespread, major issues are not expected at this time. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing potentially damaging wind gusts will also be possible in the daytime hours through Thursday evening. The tornado risk remains low to nil. While lightning is not categorized as “severe,” there will be plenty of lightning and thunder in the stronger storms over the next few days.

TIMEFRAME: Now through Thursday evening.

NEXT RZW EXEC UPDATE: Activation of RZW Exec is not expected. Updates/alerts will be posted here if needed.

Let me know if you have any questions or concerns. Have a good evening!

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1:38PM July 31, 2018

WIDESPREAD STRONG STORMS CONTINUE… Just about everyone across south Alabama and northwest Florida has seen rain today. Numerous showers and thunderstorms continue to develop and move slowly to the northeast. We note a few stronger thunderstorms are happening in east Mississippi, where multiple severe thunderstorm warnings continue for portions of Greene (MS) and Perry (MS) counties.

I expect scattered thunderstorms to continue to pop up across our region over the next 4-5 hours before the atmosphere stabilizes somewhat this evening. There will be lingering storms into the overnight hours and into Wednesday morning as we remain in a moist, unstable airmass. Widespread severe weather is not expected across our region, however.

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