MORE STORMS TODAY; KIRK IS NO MORE… Showers and thunderstorms will happen again today across south Alabama and northwest Florida. While widespread severe weather is not expected, some of the storms could produce heavy rain and quite a bit of lightning. A bit of good news to pass along this morning in that Tropical Storm Kirk is no more. We’re also watching two other systems in the tropics. Let’s talk details…

SUMMER-LIKE PATTERN SET TO CONTINUE… Unfortunately, the cooler air that most models suggested would invade our area this weekend into early next week most likely won’t reach our local area. Most models suggest that while temperatures will be a hair cooler next week, the cooler air will be bottled up to our north. This is mainly because the cold front that was poised to move from northwest to southeast across our area won’t have the “umph” to make it through. What does this mean for our local weather? We’ll remain stuck in a very “summerlike” pattern through the end of the week with above-average temperatures extending into the weekend. P.M. pop-up storms are likely today, Wednesday, and Thursday.

KIRK WEAKENS… The National Hurricane Center has issued the final advisory on Tropical Storm Kirk, located well east of the Lesser Antilles. A scatterometer satellite pass yesterday morning revealed that Kirk no longer has a closed surface circulation, which is a “prerequisite” for a system to be a classified tropical cyclone. We’ll watch the remnants of Kirk carefully, as regeneration is possible. The good news is that Kirk, or the remnant low of Kirk, will move into a hostile environment this weekend over the Caribbean Sea, likely completely “killing” the system.

TROPICAL LOW APPROACHING NORTH CAROLINA… “INVEST 98L,” aka an area of low pressure over the western Atlantic Ocean, is approaching the North Carolina coast from the southeast. This system has a 50% chance of becoming a tropical storm today or tomorrow, per the latest guidance from the National Hurricane Center. No direct local impacts for Alabama or northwest Florida are expected, but this system may exacerbate flooding that is happening over the eastern parts of the Carolinas.

SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE… Far, far away from any land areas, Subtropical Storm Leslie is in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean well east of Bermuda. Complete disappation is expected within the next day or so. No land impacts are expected.

Let me know if you have any weather-related questions or concerns. The #rzw forecast video will be available shortly in the next post here in the RZWeather app and on rzweather.com. Have a great Tuesday!

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MORE STORMS LIKELY TUESDAY… Most of the showers and thunderstorms have faded away this evening across south Alabama and northwest Florida. There are a few lingering showers across Butler, Covington, and Okaloosa counties this evening, but I expect the rain to fade away over the next few hours. There will be more thunderstorms that pop up across our area on Tuesday, however. Have the rain gear handy as we have a 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms in place late morning through the evening hours on Tuesday.

Severe weather is not expected, but some of the storms could be on the strong side with heavy rain and prolific lightning output. We’ll have updates throughout the day here in the RZWeather app and on rzweather.com. Have a nice evening!

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