6:55AM October 30, 2018

NICE TUESDAY; FEW STRONG STORMS ON THURSDAY… Rain and thunderstorms that could be on the strong side are possible on Thursday, but not before a gorgeous, warm Tuesday with high temperatures around 82 in most spots. Other than a few areas of fog that will burn off this morning, no weather issues are expected today. Clouds will increase on Wednesday ahead of our next rain chance late Wednesday night into Thursday. A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible as this system gets set to move through. Let’s talk details…

TIMING OF STORMS… Most model guidance points to a quasi-linear convective system (QLCS, aka a squall line) setting up to our west in Mississippi and tracking to the east in the morning hours of Thursday. This means that the greatest chance of severe weather in our local area, including the risk of a few brief tornadoes, will happen between 7AM and 4PM on Thursday.

POTENTIAL HAZARDS… Damaging straight line winds in the stronger storms and maybe a brief, spin-up tornado or two will be the main concerns. Flash flooding issues should be limited as the storms will be racing to the east at a rapid clip. Rain definitely will be heavy at times in the stronger storms.

COMPARED TO LAST WEEK… This is a similar weather pattern setup to our severe weather potential that happened last week, but I do think that this system has the potential to be a bit more potent and produce a few more storms, comparatively, as parameters off the model data seem a bit more robust and supportive of a few stronger storms.

COOLER AIR MOVING IN LATE THURSDAY… All of this active weather is happening as a cold front gets set to move by on Thursday evening. High temperatures on Friday and into the weekend will be significantly cooler, in the 60s and 70s each afternoon in most spots. Overnight lows will be in the 40s this weekend.

See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video… Have a great day!

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