7:14PM December 12, 2018

ISOLATED STRONG STORMS NEAR COAST THURSDAY… The Storm Prediction Center has outlined coastal parts of south Alabama and northwest Florida in their Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk zone valid for Thursday evening into the very early morning hours of Friday. While heavy rain will be the main concern, there is a low-end chance of a brief stronger storm capable of producing a weak tornado or damaging wind gust. MOST of us will have no major weather issues other than heavy rain at times. Let’s talk details…
STORM TIMING… Showers are possible as early as Thursday morning. Rain chances will increase throughout the day with the greatest chance of rain happening after 5PM. The risk of a stronger/marginally severe thunderstorm will happen from 4PM to 2AM with the core risk being 7PM to midnight.
STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE NEAR THE COAST… The Level 1 severe weather risk is in place for parts of Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia (FL), and Santa Rosa counties. The greatest risk of experiencing a strong to severe thunderstorm will happen along and south of Interstate 10, mainly near the immediate coastline where atmospheric instability values will likely be greatest. Even in these zones, however, the overall severe weather risk is LOW but not zero. Mobile, Pensacola, Daphne, Fairhope, Spanish Fort, Foley, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Perdido Key, Dauphin Island, Bayou La Batre, Coden, Alabama Port, Magnolia Springs, Point Clear, Warrington, and Gulf Breeze are the areas included in the low-end severe weather risk for Thursday.
RAIN & GENERAL STORMS EXPECTED INLAND… There basically will be no instability in place across inland areas of southwest Alabama later on Thursday evening as showers and storms pass through. This will serve as one of the limiting factors as to why severe weather likely will not happen across the inland. Yes, there may be a rumble of thunder and some lightning involved, but the overall severe weather risk is very, very low for areas north of I-10.
APP ALERTS… We’ll have updates as needed on Thursday evening in the RedZone Weather app (redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download). Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to customize the alerts you’d like to receive straight from me.
Let me know if you have any specific questions. Enjoy the evening!
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