FREEZE WARNING ISSUED AHEAD OF BITTERLY COLD TEMPS; WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE IN FAR WEST ALABAMA… Let me be abundantly clear in saying VAST majority of us will probably not see any wintry mix or snow. There is, however, a small chance that a few locales in west Alabama (west of the Alabama River) could see a few pellets of sleet and/or freezing rain for a brief hour or two on Tuesday morning. If any sleet or ice happens, there likely will be no real impact. This is more of a curiosity than anything else. Sleet will be possible in northwestern zones of Clarke and Washington counties in addition to Choctaw and Marengo counties. This includes places near Millry, Butler, Toxey, Silas, Gilbertown, Coffeeville, Campbell, Morvin, Sweet Water, Nanafalia, Dixons Mills, Linden, and Pennington. The time for this sleet/ice to happen is from 6AM to 9AM when a warmer layer of air moves over the freezing temperatures at the surface. For most of us, this will be a RAIN event that lasts through midday Tuesday. Rain is expected to exit our area late morning as bitterly cold temperatures move in!
WHAT TO EXPECT OVERNIGHT… Rain coverage will increase overnight into Tuesday morning. We’re observing scattered small showers across inland areas of south Alabama as of 8PM. Light to moderate rain is happening near Mexia, Repton, Gainestown, Citronelle, Chatom, and Georgiana. These showers will increase in number over the next few hours. Starting around 2AM, very cold air will begin to surge into our western counties (Choctaw, Washington, Clarke, and Mobile). This cold front will be moving pretty fast and will likely reach Andalusia and Destin on the eastern side of the region by 7AM. Temperatures will remain in the 60s tonight until the cold front reaches your location. Following the passage of the front, temperatures will quickly nosedive into the 40s.
TUESDAY LIKELY TO BE ONE OF THE COLDEST DAYS OF THE YEAR… There is a high chance that temperatures “go the wrong way” on Tuesday. Our technical high temperature will happen just after midnight when most spots are in the 60s. The cold front will move by between 2AM and 7AM, bringing down temperatures into the 40s by 7AM Tuesday. Most spots will remain in the 40s all day Tuesday with a cold 5-15 mph wind out of the northwest. Wind chill values may be in the 30s all day on Tuesday, which will probably go down as one of our coldest days of 2019.
FREEZE WARNING ON WEDNESDAY MORNING… Temperatures will be below 30 degrees for several hours on Wednesday morning, probably from 1AM to 8AM. Our forecast calls for most spots across south Alabama and northwest Florida to find a minimum air temperature at 6AM Wednesday between 25-29°. The wind chill during this time frame will be in the 17-21° range due to the strong northwest wind. The National Weather Service maintains much of Alabama and NW Florida, including all of our local area, under a Freeze Warning because of this potential. We note southeast Alabama and the Florida Panhandle (Walton County and points east) are under a Freeze Watch.
TEMPERATURES MODERATE LATER THIS WEEK… This will be a pronounced cold snap through Thursday. Temperatures will drop below freezing again Wednesday night into Thursday morning. We warm into the 60s by Thursday with lows in the 40s this weekend. This won’t be a long duration, weeklong freeze event or anything close to that, but it IS a classic fall cold snap for the Deep South with two nights of temperatures below freezing.
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