SUNNY THROUGH THURSDAY; RAIN RETURNS FRIDAY & SATURDAY… Cool, dry, fall weather is ahead through Thursday as high pressure remains in control of our weather pattern. Temperatures will be comfortable, especially in the afternoon hours. High temperatures today will be in the upper-60s in most spots. There could be some spots near or south of Interstate 10 that rise above the 70 degree mark. Highs will surge into the low-70s on Wednesday and on Thursday. Overnight lows are also headed upward. Let’s look at your forecast details.
COLD FRONT APPROACHES THIS WEEKEND… Showers could start as early as Friday evening as a cold front approaches from our northwest. Temperatures will be in the mid-70s Friday afternoon, and while there could be a few showers around, the good news is I expect the high school football games to be much warmer than the last few weeks. Most of the games will feature temperatures in the 60s. Showers will become more numerous late Friday night. Rain will stick around into Saturday. For now, the chance of strong storms remains low. There will be at least low-levels of atmospheric shear in place, but as is often the case this time of year, instability will be very low if not zero in most spots. I’ll keep my eyes on the model data over the next few days as this event gets closer, but for now, odds of severe weather remain low.
COOL, SUNNY START TO NEXT WEEK… Another shot of cold air will surge into our region late Saturday evening. High temperatures on Sunday will drop to near 60 with a strong breeze out of the northwest. Overnight lows Sunday night into Monday could again be in the upper-30s. Early next week looks quiet and sunny with highs a bit below our climatological norms for mid- to late-November.
SOME EVIDENCE OF STORMS IN 8-10 DAYS… Long time viewers and readers know I do not put much confidence in any weather model data beyond 7 days out. Trends have been fairly consistent in the idea of an area of low pressure developing to our west and lifting northeast around Thanksgiving Day. This would potentially put our local area in a warm sector where there *could* be a chance of strong storms. It is too early to know ANY details at all about this and there is a chance that models back off on this idea in the days ahead. I’ll keep watching the data and bring you the very latest across our platforms, including the RedZone Weather app.
TROPICAL STORM COULD DEVELOP IN ATLANTIC… The National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to keep an eye on an area of disturbed weather northeast of the Leeward Island in the Atlantic Ocean. There is now a 60% chance of formal development with this system. No direct impacts for the USA are expected, regardless of if formal development happens. From the NHC discussion: “A broad area of low pressure located about 250 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands has become better defined during the past several hours. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity is also beginning to show signs of organization. Additional development is possible and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next day or two while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. The low is forecast to interact with a frontal system by midweek and further development is unlikely after that time.”
APP… redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the free RedZone Weather app. We post brief updates throughout each day in the app, keeping you up-to-date about the latest happenings in weather across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Once you have the free app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video… Have a great day!