NICE WEDNESDAY; MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF RAIN IN NEXT 7 DAYS… Beautiful, seasonal weather conditions are expected across Alabama and northwest Florida on this Wednesday. High temperatures will edge upward into the 70s in most spots across the local area. Mostly sunny skies are expected today ahead of cloud coverage increasing on Thursday. Our next chance of rain comes on Friday evening into the early part of Saturday as a cold front approaches. For now, all the data I have suggests instability values will remain too low for any strong to severe storms to happen as this system moves through our area. The next chance of stronger storms will probably happen in the middle part of the upcoming week as another area of low pressure sets up to our west. We’re also watching a weak, disorganized Tropical Storm Sebastien north of the Leeward Islands. Let’s look at your forecast details.
GORGEOUS TODAY & THURSDAY; A BIT WARMER… No significant weather issues are expected across the region today as mostly sunny skies reign supreme. High temperatures will be in the 70-73° range today. Clear skies are likely overnight with lows in the 40s. Temperatures will increase slightly on Thursday as most spots reach the 71-75° range. Clouds will begin to increase late in the day on Thursday.
CLOUDS INCREASE FRIDAY AHEAD OF RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT… I expect the daytime hours of Friday to be dry and warm with highs potentially reaching the mid- to upper-70s. Cloud coverage will increase throughout the day. Showers will become possible over west Alabama as early as 6PM, but rain will begin for most spots after 9PM. This means that most of the high school football games across the region will probably remain dry.
RAIN POSSIBLE SATURDAY A.M. WITH STORMS NEAR THE COAST… Rain will continue to be possible Saturday morning through 10-11AM. There could be a few thunderstorms that happen in areas south of Interstate 10 where warm, humid Gulf air will allow atmospheric instability values to rise into the 200-600 j/kg range. Thunder and lightning will be possible, but I am not expecting any severe weather issues at this time. I’ll keep monitoring parameters, but odds are high that we could through this event with no severe weather issues. Clouds will linger into the afternoon and evening hours of Saturday before clearing out Saturday night and allowing temperatures to nosedive into the 40s for Sunday morning.
COLDER ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY… After the passage of a cold front on Saturday, temperatures will be noticeably cooler on Sunday into Monday. Highs will drop to around 60° on Sunday with overnight lows in the 30s for Monday morning.
EARLY LOOK AT THANKSGIVING WEEK: STORMS POSSIBLE… We could have the potential for a round of storms at some point Tuesday through Thursday of the upcoming week as a strong area of low pressure moves northeast across the nation’s heartland. This would put our area in a potentially unstable warm sector that could allow strong storms to be a possibility. Be aware if you have Thanksgiving travel plans that active weather may be a possibility across the eastern half of the continental United States.
TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN… The National Hurricane Center initiated advisories Tuesday morning on Tropical Storm Sebastien. The system has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph and is located well to the north of the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico. Sebastien will not directly affect the United States. The system is expected to remain weak and disorganized as it moves north and ultimately northeast in the next day or so. Sebastien is expected to merge with a frontal boundary and dissipate by Friday.
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See all the graphics and details in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video. Have a nice day!