7:15AM November 23, 2019

RAIN TODAY WITH A FEW STORMS; MORE RAIN WEDNESDAY… Showers are in progress this morning across parts of south Alabama and northwest Florida. Rain is set to continue through the early afternoon hours and potentially into the early evening across the eastern half of the local area. There have been some sporadic lightning strikes across the region this morning, but thunderstorms remain few and far between due to lack of instability. Widespread severe weather is not expected today. What’s driving all the rain today? It is because of a cold front about to push through our region. High temperatures will be near 72° today before temperatures take a tumble this evening. We’ll be in the 50s by 8PM with most spots reaching the mid-40s for overnight lows on Sunday morning. Thanksgiving Day tentatively looks dry as our next weather system is set to move by on Wednesday. We’re also looking ahead to the Iron Bowl one week from today. Special thanks to Mac Campbell for the beautiful sun view from Lake Seminole. Let’s look at your forecast details.

SUNSHINE ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY… Clouds will clear out late tonight into Sunday morning, setting up a nice Sunday afternoon. High temperatures will drop back into the low-60s after the passage of the cold front. There is a good chance overnight lows on Monday could drop back into the upper-30s across the inland areas of south Alabama with coastal areas being in the low-40s. High temperatures on Monday will quickly rebound into the upper-60s under mostly sunny skies.

STORMS POSSIBLE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY… Our next weather system arrives Tuesday afternoon as intermittent showers and thunderstorms are expected. We’ll call it a 30-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday evening. High temperatures Tuesday will surge into the mid- to upper-70s due to the warm, southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico. Rain chances will remain elevated through at least Wednesday morning. There is a chance that at some time from Noon Tuesday to Noon Wednesday, we may have the potential for a few stronger storms. Confidence in this idea remains very low, for now. Something to watch over the next few days. Be sure to check back with me for updates Sunday and Monday.

THANKSGIVING & BLACK FRIDAY FORECAST… Confidence is HIGH that temperatures will remain above average Wednesday through Saturday. High temperatures will be around 75° on Thanksgiving Day. Confidence is low, however, about rain chances. Some of the model data suggests we could have a few showers around, while other models suggest a drier look. We’ll go with a 20% chance of rain for now, highly subject to change in future forecasts. Partly cloudy skies are likely Thanksgiving night into Black Friday. Highs will be in the mid-70s again on Friday.

FIRST LOOK AT THE IRON BOWL FORECAST… The annual notorious college football matchup between the Auburn Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide is scheduled for a 2:30PM CST kickoff on Saturday, November 30, 2019. The game will be played at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn. This is 7 days out at this point, meaning forecast confidence remains low. Taking a first estimate at the forecast, we’ll call it partly cloudy with temperatures in the low-70s for the game with low rain chances. We’ll keep updating this everyday until we get to the big game on Saturday.

STUBBORN SEBASTIEN MOVING OUT TO SEA… The National Hurricane Center had a humorous headline concerning Tropical Storm Sebastien last night: “Tenacious Sebastien doesn’t know it’s November and refuses to weaken.” The system continues to produce maximum winds of 65 mph near the center and is moving northeast at 15 mph. No direct United States impacts are expected from Sebastien. The 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season will officially end November 30.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I’ll have updates later this morning in the RedZone Weather app. Enjoy your weekend!

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