7:06PM December 31, 2019

ISOLATED STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY; LEVEL 1 RISK FOR NOW… Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Thursday evening into Friday morning. Right now, we’re at a Level 1 (out of 5) marginal risk for the entire local are across south Alabama and northwest Florida. I would suggest there is a growing chance we’ll see an outlook upgrade tonight or tomorrow as severe weather parameters seem to be increasing. The main concern will likely be tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center is noting that there is a CONDITIONAL risk of strong tornadoes, meaning under some scenarios we could have a significant tornado risk. That remains an outlier scenario at the moment, but something to monitor nonetheless.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING… Let’s be clear in stating we won’t have any major weather issues (except maybe some dense areas of fog in the morning hours on Wednesday and Thursday) until this event. Thursday afternoon is when we could have a few stronger storms set up to our west. Thursday evening into early Friday morning is the timeframe when we’ll need to monitor for the potential for a few strong storms.

Be sure to check back with me in the morning on the New Year’s Day forecast video for the very latest on this growing severe weather potential setting up for Thursday into early Friday. Have a great New Year’s Eve. Hope you can get our and celebrate!

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6:48AM December 31, 2019

COOL, DRY END TO 2019; STORMS RETURN THURSDAY… We’re ending the year on a seasonal, cool note with sunny skies expected across south Alabama and northwest Florida on this New Year’s Eve. Celebrations across the state and across our region today will be dry and chilly. Temperatures at midnight will be near the 40 degree mark, so you will need the jackets if you’re headed out to a celebration. No rain is expected today or tonight. Our next chance of rain will happen late tomorrow (Wednesday – New Year’s Day) evening when a few showers may move in from the west. The bigger rain event is slated for Thursday into Friday. There is a chance that we could have a few strong storms, but just like the last few events, there are big questions as to if we will have any enough atmospheric instability to support thunderstorms. The good news is we have a gorgeous, sunny weekend ahead. Let’s look at your forecast details.

THANKS FOR WATCHING IN 2019! CHEERS TO 2020… Before we dive deep into the forecast details, let me again express how grateful I am to each of you that regularly watch our videos and read our (sometimes insanely long) text discussions! We could not do what we do on a daily basis without your support and the support of our amazing RedZone Weather sponsors. Thank you all for empowering us to help you on good weather days and more importantly, on bad weather days. We’ve got some exciting new updates and products planned for 2020! Cheers to the new year!

YOUR NEW YEAR’S PARTY GETS AN ALL CLEAR… You’ll need the jackets, coats, and maybe even the gloves tonight as temperatures will be in the mid-40s by 9PM, falling to around 39-41° by midnight across our region. We won’t be dealing with rain or precipitation in the first 12 hours of the year 2020. There could be a few passing clouds, but overall, a nice evening to celebrate New Year’s Eve is upcoming!

SUNNY, SEASONAL NEW YEAR’S DAY… If you’re like us, you’ll be enjoying the black eyed peas, collard greens, and all the New Year’s food favorites on Wednesday. Skies will be mostly sunny throughout the day with high temperatures again in the low-60s. Cloud coverage will increase late in the day ahead of showers becoming possible Wednesday night into Thursday.

SHOWERS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT… Most of the rain holds off until Thursday, particularly in the afternoon and evening hours, but I can’t completely rule out a few showers as early as the late evening hours of Wednesday. Rain will be most likely Wednesday evening across Washington, Clarke, Choctaw, and Mobile counties in west Alabama.

STORMS ON THURSDAY; SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES UNCLEAR… We will likely need to adjust rain chances even higher (already at 60-70%) for Thursday as an area of low pressure gets set to move by our region. Our area will be in the warm, unstable sector south of a warm front in advance of this low on Thursday. That means that a few thunderstorms may be possible, including at least some chance of stronger storms. The Storm Prediction Center will likely introduce a low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk for this event. This is a similar setup to what happened on Sunday night, but the difference is this time there is much more moisture in the atmosphere locally. This will contribute to rain totals being in the 1-3” range in total across our region. High temperatures on Thursday will surge to the low-70s. I’ll keep watching severe weather parameters and bring you the latest in the RedZone Weather app.

RAIN LINGERS INTO FRIDAY… Showers will be possible Friday as temperatures again approach the 70 degree mark in the afternoon hours. Rain chances should lessen throughout the day from west to east as cooler, drier air moves in from the west.

GORGEOUS, SUNNY FIRST WEEKEND OF THE NEW YEAR… Sunny skies and seasonal temperatures are likely for the first weekend of 2020. High temperatures will be near 60° with morning lows around 40° on both Saturday and Sunday.

SET UP APP ALERTS… We send quite a bit of Low-Level Alerts in our RedZone Weather app. The app is totally free for you! redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you see the download links to your respective app store for iOS and for Android devices. Once you have the app downloaded to your smartphone or tablet device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Tuesday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day and have fun tonight ringing in the New Year!

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6:56AM December 30, 2019

CLOUDS MOVING OUT; COOLER TODAY & COLD NIGHT AHEAD… Clouds are on the way out after the passage of a cold front late last night. Temperatures are cooler this morning. Most spots are starting in the low-50s. We rebound to 60-62° this afternoon around 2PM. Two cold nights are ahead before winds shift out of the south on Wednesday evening. While New Year’s Eve festivities and the daytime hours of New Year’s Day on Wednesday will be dry, we’re looking ahead to our next rain event on Thursday into Friday. Let’s look at your details.

NICE FOR NEW YEAR’S EVE TUESDAY… Mostly sunny skies are expected for New Year’s Eve on Tuesday. High temperatures will be around the 60 degree mark. No rain is expected on Tuesday into Tuesday night.

COLD & DRY FOR MIDNIGHT ON NEW YEAR’S EVE… We’re kicking off the year 2020 with very seasonal temperatures. I expect most spots across the region to be in the 40s at the stroke of midnight on Tuesday night. No rain issues are expected, thus we have a nice, cool scene on tap for the fireworks across the region for New Year’s!

NICE NEW YEAR’S DAY WEDNESDAY… Mostly sunny skies will greet us for the first morning of 2020. Cloud coverage will increase throughout the day on Wednesday and there could be a few showers perhaps as early as 8PM Wednesday night. Vast majority of the rain will hold off until Thursday and Friday, however.

RAIN RETURNS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY… This will probably be a good, soaking rain across our area setting up for Thursday and Friday as an area of low pressure moves by. Early indications point to 2 to 4 inches of rain in total across the region. This means we will start the year 2020 with a likely rain surplus! That’s good news as 2019 is running a notable 5-10” rainfall total deficit compared to our climatological norms. The severe weather parameters for the rain event Thursday into Friday, for now, seem low. I’ll keep watching trends and bring you the latest over the next few days.

APP… redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the free RedZone Weather app. We post brief updates throughout each day in the app, keeping you up-to-date about the latest happenings in weather across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Once you have the free app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Monday #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

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