FOG THIS MORNING; WARM TODAY; SHOWERS & STORMS TUESDAY… Fog is dense this morning in isolated spots across our region. If you’re driving early this morning, be aware that you may run into some areas of low visibility due to fog. Showers could happen today across the eastern part of our region in Butler, Crenshaw, Covington, Geneva, Coffee, Okaloosa, and Walton counties. Rain chances are low, but they’re not zero across the area today. I’m not expecting many (if any) thunderstorms, but we could have some rain at times to our east. Mostly cloudy skies are expected throughout the day. The big weather story today for most of us will be the warm temperatures. Highs will climb to the mid- to upper-70s in most spots, setting up what could end up being the warmest day of December 2019. The warmth will not last long, however, as much cooler air is set to move in on Tuesday.
RAIN LIKELY ON TUESDAY BUT SEVERE WEATHER NOT EXPECTED… The chance of severe weather has significantly dwindled for Tuesday. Why? Model guidance suggests we won’t have much (if any) atmospheric instability in place across our region. This is exactly what happened with the last few cold fronts that have moved through our region. It’s a very common occurrence in the cool/cold season around here that we have plenty of shear for storms to work with, but very low to nil CAPE/instability values. That appears to be the case with this system as well. We will maintain a chance of general thunderstorms on Tuesday embedded in the showers, but I expect most spots to have rain with no strong storms. High temps on Tuesday will again be in the mid-70s before a cold front moves through the area late in the evening hours, rapidly dropping temperatures into the 40s late Tuesday evening.
MORE RAIN & MUCH COOLER ON WEDNESDAY… Let me be clear in saying I see no signs of wintry precipitation and/or snow for the local area, however we will likely have a cold, miserable rain in place on Wednesday. High temperatures will be in the low- to mid-50s on Wednesday with a 70-80% chance of rain throughout the day. There could be multiple hours of light to moderate rain on Wednesday.
MAINLY DRY ON THURSDAY… Thursday looks to be the driest day of the week, and even then we could have a few isolated showers around. High temperatures Thursday into Friday will be in the mid-50s with morning lows in the low-40s.
STORMS LIKELY ON FRIDAY… Rain is set to return again on Friday as another area of low pressure develops to the southwest of our area and lifts northward. We note that some models have hinted at the idea of having a few stronger storms around on Friday. This is a scenario we’ll be watching in the days ahead. Stay tuned.
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See all the graphics and details in your Sunday evening #rzw forecast video… Have a great day!
