SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY MONDAY NIGHT; NOW A LEVEL 3 RISK… The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded parts of west Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana into their Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced severe weather risk zone valid late Monday into early Tuesday. SPC has also upped ALL of southwest Alabama and northwest Florida into the Level 2 risk. All modes of severe weather will be possible Monday night into Tuesday morning, including isolated tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, large hail, and heavy rain that could lead to flash flooding. We all will need multiple ways to receive urgent weather warnings before we go to sleep Monday evening. A few Sunday morning notes are below.
POTENTIAL HAZARDS MONDAY NIGHT… All modes of severe weather will be possible on Monday evening into Tuesday. This includes the potential for isolated tornadoes, damaging straight line wind gusts, large hail, and heavy rain that may lead to flash flooding. Tornadoes that happen at night have higher fatality rates. That is a statistic we want to be vehemently aware of before this potential severe weather event. If you get a tornado warning for your specific location Monday night, please do something about it and get sheltered. We will provide live streaming Facebook Live and RedZone Weather app Live tab coverage if tornado warnings are needed.
SEVERE WEATHER & RAIN TIMING… 9PM Monday to 9AM Tuesday looks to be the 12 hour window when storms will move across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Core timeframe looks to be from 11PM Monday to 4AM Tuesday. Rain showers may happen earlier Monday evening and extend into Tuesday afternoon long after the severe weather risk has come to an end. We will likely have to adjust this timeframe somewhat over the next 36 hours as more model data comes in and we’re able to get more specific. Be sure to check back with me for updates on the severe weather timing!
LEVEL 3 RISK FOR WEST-CENTRAL ALABAMA… The Level 3 (out of 5) enhanced severe weather risk zone includes areas near Butler, Pennington, Silas, Toxey, Demopolis, Eutaw, Livingston, Reform, Gordo, and surrounding areas in west-central Alabama. Jackson (MS), Baton Rouge, Hattiesburg, Meridian, Alexandria (LA) are also included in this higher Level 3 risk zone. This enhanced risk is used by the Storm Prediction Center to designate where the better combination of “severe weather ingredients” is set to come together.
LEVEL 2 RISK FOR ALL OF THE LOCAL AREA… If you’re a regular viewer/reader of RedZone Weather, odds are you live in one of our 12 primary counties. If that is true, then you’re involved in the Level 2 (out of 5) slight risk for the potential for severe weather on Monday night. This includes ALL of us. Mobile, Pensacola, Destin, Crestview, Milton, Pace, Navarre, Pensacola Beach, Orange Beach, Gulf Shores, Thomasville, Jackson, Grove Hill, Chatom, Leroy, Monroeville, Beatrice, Uriah, Evergreen, Castleberry, Brewton, Atmore, Poarch, Flomaton, Greenville, Georgiana, McKenzie, Andalusia, Opp, Florala, Carolina, River Falls, Molino, Jay, Century, Baker, and Laurel Hill are all included in this Level 2 risk, where isolated severe storms may happen.
APP… redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the free RedZone Weather app. We post brief updates throughout each day in the app, keeping you up-to-date about the latest happenings in weather across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Once you have the free app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
I’ll have forecast updates as needed throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. My next detailed video and discussion will be posted by 3PM this afternoon. Have a good Sunday!