MERRY CHRISTMAS!! MILD FEW DAYS AHEAD… Merry Christmas and happy holidays from all of us at RedZone Weather. Thanks for choosing our weather forecast products this year! We’re so excited to show you what we have in store for 2020 as we celebrate 5 years of RedZone Weather. Gorgeous weather is on tap for south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Christmas Day. High temperatures will surge into the low- to mid-70s today as our decade-long overall trend of “warm Christmas Days” continues. We’ve had 6 “above average temperature” Christmases since 2010 across our region. This mild/warm pattern is set to be in place through Saturday. Much cooler air will move in on Sunday afternoon as a cold front slides through our region. That cold front will be responsible for the rain Saturday night into Sunday. Let’s look at your forecast details.
WARM & DRY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING… Temperatures are set to remain above our climatological norms for this time of year through Saturday. High temperatures will peak in the low- to mid-70s across our region on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday. Dewpoint temperatures will also be pretty high, meaning the air will feel moist, humid, and rather unpleasant, especially as we get into Saturday. Despite earlier indications of the chance of rain on Thursday evening, the latest model data suggests our region will remain dry until Saturday evening. There could be areas of dense fog in the morning and overnight hours through Saturday.
NEXT RAIN CHANCE HAPPENS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY… Showers (and maybe a few general thunderstorms) will be possible Saturday evening into Sunday. The highest chance of rain, as of now, will be from 3AM to Noon on Sunday. This will be a situation where the showers and storms will be scattered. This means rain totals will vary quite a bit. 0.1” to 0.5” is currently what we’re expecting as a range across the area in terms of rain amounts with this system.
SEVERE WEATHER PARAMETERS LOW FOR NOW… There will be plenty of wind shear with this system, especially in place to our north. The limiting factor, as is SO often the case with these passing winter cold fronts, will be atmospheric instability. Most models are suggesting meager, at best, amounts of surface-based CAPE/instability on Sunday. This will limit the overall potential for strong to severe storms, most likely. We’ll keep watching the data, but the trends have been positive!
COOLER AIR SURGES IN SUNDAY AFTERNOON… If you are not a fan of this mild/warm weather pattern, don’t fret as we have another surge of much cooler air slated to move in on Sunday. High temperatures will drop into the upper-50s by Monday with morning lows expected to be around the 40 degree mark by Tuesday morning.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
I hope you and your family and friends have a marvelous Christmas Day! See all the forecast graphics and details in your Christmas Day 2019 #rzw forecast video. Enjoy the day!