STORMS MORE NUMEROUS THAN EXPECTED TODAY… Every so often in the weather office, you’ll have a day where the forecast is simply not good. Today is one of those days! Drier air across the region has succumbed to greater amounts of moisture in place to our west, meaning we have quite a few showers and thunderstorms happening as of midday across the region. Heavy rain is happening near Atmore, Pensacola, Fairhope, and Chatom. I expect more storms to bubble up in the hours ahead.

We have a certain set of very high standards around here in terms of forecast variability that is acceptable. Today, our forecast (based exclusively on the data we have) did not meet that standard, and for that you have my apology. That means that showers and storms will continue to be more numerous than we thought compared to earlier this morning. Fortunately, no severe weather is expected today, although you may hear some loud thunder at times. I don’t aim to “get it right” 99% of the time. I aim for 100%. Today, the atmosphere had other ideas, however. Number one rule of meteorology: Expect the unexpected! Today, that “unexpected” variable means more thunderstorms than expected.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

I will have more updates posted throughout the day in the RedZone Weather app. Have a nice Tuesday evening!

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!

MAINLY SUNNY TODAY; MORE DRY WEATHER AHEAD… Our streak of nice weather is set to continue on this Tuesday. High temperatures are set to be in the mid- to upper-80s with mostly sunny skies expected throughout the day. Rain chances remain very low across the region. The only chance (10% chance or less) of rain today will happen in parts of western Mobile and Washington counties, where a shower or two may become possible this afternoon. Over the next week, warm days and mild nights are ahead. We continue to monitor a powerful Hurricane Sam, centered several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles in the Atlantic Ocean. Two other tropical waves of note are also moving west across the central Atlantic Ocean. All of your Tuesday morning forecast notes are below.

QUIET PATTERN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK… Mostly sunny skies will continue to be likely each day this week and into the upcoming weekend. Temperatures will rise to around the 90 degree mark by Thursday and Friday afternoons. The local high school football games should be dry and nice on Friday with kickoff temperatures likely to be in the upper-70s.

HURRICANE SAM A BIT WEAKER; TO PASS NEAR OR EAST OF BERMUDA… Hurricane Sam remains a powerful, yet compact, storm located about 675 miles east of the northernmost Lesser Antilles on this Tuesday. Sam is moving northwest at 8 mph. Forward speed of the major hurricane is expected to increase in the days ahead as Sam turns north. The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center calls for Sam to be centered near or just to the east of Bermuda as a major hurricane on Saturday morning. This means that impacts in Bermuda will be possible late this week and into the weekend. Fortunately, Hurricane Sam will not be a direct issue for the Gulf of Mexico region. High waves and an increased risk of rip currents will likely happen at the East Coast of the U.S. later this week, this weekend, and into next week due to Sam passing well to the east.

TWO OTHER AREAS OF CONCERN IN ATLANTIC OCEAN… Two tropical waves, one near the African coast, and one located about halfway between the Lesser Antilles and Africa, are moving west across the central Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center indicates a high (80% chance for both systems) chance of development into separate tropical storms. It remains far too early to know if these storms will ever directly affect the continental U.S. The next names on the naming list: Victor and Wanda.

GULF & CARIBBEAN REMAIN QUIET, FOR NOW… No tropical storm formation is expected in the Gulf of Mexico or the Caribbean Sea over the next 5-7 days. Good news!

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Tuesday morning #rzw forecast video. Have a great day!

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!