Thunderstorms near Brewton, East Brewton, and Riverview continue to rapidly develop. These storms may become strong over the next few minutes with gusty winds being possible. pic.twitter.com/MKWrCOQt92
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 27, 2023
Severe Thunderstorm Warning till 3:15PM for parts of SW Baldwin County, AL. This warning includes Barnwell, Weeks Bay, Foley, Magnolia Springs, Clay City, Marlow, Point Clear, and Turkey Branch.
Damaging wind gusts possible as this storm moves southwest toward Mobile Bay. pic.twitter.com/mKRoSOAslo
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 27, 2023
WEATHER ALERT… Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued for Baldwin-AL County until 3:15 PM.
Product issued by the National Weather Service MOB at 2:23 PM CDT Sunday, August 27, 2023 and is valid until 3:15 PM CDT Sunday, August 27, 2023.
WEATHER ALERT… Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued for Autauga-AL & Chilton-AL Counties until 2:00 PM.
Product issued by the National Weather Service BMX at 1:27 PM CDT Sunday, August 27, 2023 and is valid until 2:00 PM CDT Sunday, August 27, 2023.
Scattered thunderstorms are rapidly popping up across the region this afternoon. Heavy pockets of rain have developed near Gosport, Whatley, Canoe, Chatom, Weeks Bay, Harold, and McDavid.
More storms will develop over the next several hours. Be ready for scattered downpours! pic.twitter.com/ZROJFI8b3g
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 27, 2023
With KMOB reporting 100 degrees just before noon, we have officially broken the record streak for days in a row of 100+. This is day 6, the previous record was 5 days set back in 1980. #MOBwx #ALwx
— Michael Mugrage (@muggiewx) August 27, 2023
This plot shows the multi-model ensemble mean for Idalia over the last 4 runs.
The center line looks consistent, but don’t mistake it for a sign of high confidence in the forecast track — the ellipse representing ensemble position spread is still quite large. pic.twitter.com/bkzvs3onkd
— Tomer Burg (@burgwx) August 27, 2023
TD10 strengthened this morning into Tropical Storm #Idalia. Cone of uncertainty now extends from Tyndall AFB on the west to Tampa on the east.
Idalia will likely be a hurricane at landfall, projected to happen on Wednesday. pic.twitter.com/9QLIkqnz18
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 27, 2023
Tropical Depression 10 has drifted south overnight. The system could become a tropical storm at any time today. TD10 is forecast to start moving slowly to the north on Monday before approaching Florida, most likely in the Big Bend region, on Wednesday. pic.twitter.com/sTDHvuR6kk
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 27, 2023
SLIGHTLY HIGHER RAIN CHANCES TODAY… This map, generated by the local National Weather Service, highlights the projected high temperatures and rain chances for today. High temperatures will again be at or above 100 degrees in many spots across inland areas of south Alabama later today with heat index values in excess of 108°. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely to pop up in the afternoon and evening hours. Not every community will have rain before the end of the day, but some inevitably will.
T.D. 10 FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN… Tropical Depression 10 is bringing gusty winds to parts of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico early on this Sunday morning. TD10 is forecast to strengthen over the next few days. Landfall is likely in Florida, likely between Panama City and Tampa, as a hurricane late Tuesday evening or on Wednesday.
LOCAL IMPACTS DISCUSSION – SOUTH ALABAMA & N.W. FLORIDA… No changes to report in terms of expected local impacts. Most, if not all of the major global models, continue to show the center of TD10/Idalia moving to the east of our local area in south Alabama and northwest Florida. This would put our local area on the better/west side of the storm as it moves north and ultimately northeast. An increased risk of rip currents will happen over the next several days at the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. For now, there is no discernible threat of tornadoes, high winds, or flooding across south Alabama or northwest Florida. If that changes, I’ll be sure to let you know. Interests in the Florida Panhandle region, the Big Bend region, and north Florida should pay extremely close attention to this developing system over the next few days.
Loud storms have developed this evening in parts of Butler and Conecuh counties in south Alabama. Storms are drifting southwest. pic.twitter.com/L3uYph9u7T
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 26, 2023
A record high temperature of 106 has been set in Mobile today, breaking the old record of 100 set in 1938. This also breaks the all time record high of 105 set back in August of 2000. Pensacola broke a record high today with 105 degrees, breaking the old record of 100 in 2011.
— NWS Mobile (@NWSMobile) August 26, 2023
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN SOUTHERN GULF; IMPACTS LIKELY IN FLORIDA THIS WEEK… Tropical Depression 10 has formed this evening in the far southern Gulf of Mexico with the low-level center of circulation located almost exactly halfway between the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico and the western tip of Cuba. The first projected path from the National Hurricane Center shows TD10 moving toward the Big Bend region of Florida, with an expected landfall around Wednesday evening. TD10 is forecast to become a tropical storm in the next 12-24 hours. When that happens, the system will take the name, “Idalia,” pronounced “ee-DAL-ya.”
LOCAL IMPACTS DISCUSSION – SOUTH ALABAMA & N.W. FLORIDA… Most, if not all of the major global models, continue to show the center of TD10/Idalia moving to the east of our local area in south Alabama and northwest Florida. This would put our local area on the better/west side of the storm as it moves north and ultimately northeast. An increased risk of rip currents will happen over the next several days at the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. For now, there is no discernible threat of tornadoes, high winds, or flooding across south Alabama or northwest Florida. If that changes, I’ll be sure to let you know. Interests in the Florida Panhandle region, the Big Bend region, and north Florida should pay extremely close attention to this developing system over the next few days.
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR MEXICO… A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for parts of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico from Tulum to Rio Lagartos, including Cozumel. A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect for extreme western Cuba for the provinces Pinar Del Rio and the Isle of Youth. Tropical Storm Watches will likely be required for parts of Florida in the next 48 hours or so.
ALL-TIME RECORD HIGH TIED AT MOBILE THIS AFTERNOON… The hottest temperature ever recorded in Mobile, AL was 105°. The record was established in the year 2000. The air temperature at Mobile was 105° this afternoon at 2:40PM, tying the all-time record. We have two more days (Sunday and Monday) featuring extremely hot temperatures at or above 100° before we FINALLY have some extended “heat relief” starting on Tuesday. High temperatures on Tuesday will be around 92° with upper-80s in the forecast for highs on Wednesday. Still will have warm/hot temps around next week but nowhere near the numbers we have been experiencing over the last few weeks!
SPOTTY SHOWERS & STORMS LOCALLY OVER NEXT FEW HOURS… Isolated showers and thunderstorms have developed across the region on this Saturday evening. At the time I am producing this update around 4PM, isolated downpours are happening near Brewton, Gosport, Lyeffion, Barnwell, Forest Home, and Sweet Water. Storms will be fairly short-lived and won’t last long for any specific community. These highly isolated storms are certainly providing welcome rainfall. More P.M. pop-up storms will be possible on Sunday. Increased rain chances into Monday and Tuesday locally!
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
I will have plenty more updates over the next several days in the RedZone Weather app. Let me know if you have specific questions. Have a nice Saturday evening!
Spotty showers and thunderstorms continue to pop up across the region and drift southwest. Isolated downpours are happening as of 3:41PM near Brewton, Gosport, Lyeffion, Barnwell, Forest Home, and Sweet Water.
Most of us will remain dry over the next several hours. pic.twitter.com/IIoIfI0ehh
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 26, 2023
2:40pm, the temperature at KMOB is now 105, tied for the hottest temperature ever recorded at the site. Previous time we reached 105 was back in 2000. #ALwx #MOBwx
— Michael Mugrage (@muggiewx) August 26, 2023
NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Depression Ten, located near the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, at 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC).
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) August 26, 2023
INVEST #93L, the tropical disturbance entering the southern Gulf of Mexico, will likely be classified as a tropical depression or tropical storm in the next 6-12 hours. The system is increasingly organized on VIS satellite imagery this evening.#Idalia is the next tropical name. pic.twitter.com/8UgugGebz7
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 26, 2023
Florida Governor @RonDeSantis has issued a State of Emergency for 33 Florida counties ahead of expected impacts in a few days from the storm that will likely become Tropical Storm #Idalia soon. This includes Bay, Gulf, Calhoun counties and points east. https://t.co/mQgminIbKJ
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 26, 2023
One of the longest Atlantic recon plans of the day you’ll ever see. How fortunate we are for these resources. Throwing everything we’ve got into/around #93L starting Sun am. Simultaneous NOAA/Air Force flights into it, NOAA G-IV jet around it. Crews getting ready, so should you. pic.twitter.com/kBkjxlE0nF
— Dr. Rick Knabb (@DrRickKnabb) August 26, 2023
2PM 26 Aug The disturbance near the Yucatan is becoming better organized. Heavy rains are likely over
portions of W Cuba and Yucatan Peninsula. Interest in these areas & Florida need to stay up to date with the latest at https://t.co/tW4KeGe9uJ Have your hurricane plan in place pic.twitter.com/cTxRJYRwwZ— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) August 26, 2023
Always the “I” storm that seems to cause problems… Idalia is the next name on the tropical naming list. “Idalia” is pronounced “ee-DAL-ya.”
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 26, 2023
BREAKING: Legendary TV personality Bob Barker, who hosted the famed game show "The Price Is Right," has died, his publicist says. He was 99. https://t.co/1eAVSpqLm8
— ABC News (@ABC) August 26, 2023
Animated visible imagery shows that Invest #93L is becoming better organized, with curved banding wrapping into a now closed circulation sitting in the Yucatan Channel. A tropical depression could be classified by @NHC_Atlantic at any time. pic.twitter.com/TyVtbxvsOa
— Dr. Levi Cowan (@TropicalTidbits) August 26, 2023
