Most of us across south Alabama and northwest Florida has been dry and hot so far today. Isolated, small showers are developing near the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches as of 3:06PM. pic.twitter.com/YY8HatLPm6
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) July 1, 2024
BERYL MOVING WEST; DANGEROUS STORM TO APPROACH JAMAICA… This is the 11AM CDT advisory for Hurricane Beryl from the National Hurricane Center. Beryl now has maximum sustained winds of 150 mph. A Hurricane Watch is in effect from Jamaica.
Beryl will likely continue moving west toward the Yucatan Peninsula. Interests in Mexico and Belize should closely monitor the progress of Beryl over the next few days. A Hurricane Watch or Tropical Storm Watch may be required for the Cayman Islands soon. A Hurricane Watch will be needed by midweek for parts of the Yucatan Peninsula.
Hurricane #Beryl is now a high-end, category 4 hurricane. The storm made landfall at Carriacou Island in the Windward Islands and is now barreling into the eastern Caribbean Sea.
A Hurricane Watch is now in effect for Jamaica. Significant impacts possible there Wednesday. pic.twitter.com/dnKWSXDMiw
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) July 1, 2024
Glad to be in Mobile today with partners from all across the region to discuss hurricane season. Thanks to @NWSMobile for hosting! https://t.co/905oJS31bl
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) July 1, 2024
Unfortunately Hurricane #Beryl's eyewall replacement cycle completed very quickly overnight, and its core has already restrengthened, while also being a little larger than yesterday. The eye is quickly approaching the island of #Carriacou, part of #Grenada. Hope everyone stays… pic.twitter.com/JJJrkokViU
— Dr. Levi Cowan (@TropicalTidbits) July 1, 2024
HEAT, HUMIDITY, & P.M. STORMS… The big weather headline for south Alabama and northwest Florida remains: Scattered thunderstorms remain possible each day over the next 7 days with plenty of heat and humidity.
Climatologically right where we should be for early July.
HEAT ADVISORY FOR 1ST DAY OF JULY; TRACKING HURRICANE BERYL & TS CHRIS… Heat index values will be as high as 111° today as a warm, moist air mass remains in place across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible today with the greatest rain chances happening closer to the beaches and bays. Not every community across the region will have rain before the end of the day, but some will. Air temperatures will peak in the low- to mid-90s but the humidity will make the air feel quite a bit hotter. We continue to track three separate areas in the tropics today: Hurricane Beryl, Tropical Storm Chris near the coast of Mexico, and INVEST 96L in the Atlantic Ocean.
QUITE HOT TODAY; P.M. STORMS AT TIMES… A Heat Advisory is in effect for all local counties from 10AM to 7PM in south Alabama and northwest Florida on this first day of July. Heat index values will be in the 108-111° range later today. Isolated pop-up thunderstorms will be possible throughout the day, specifically closer to the coast. Rain chances are a bit less, but certainly not zero, farther inland today. Widespread severe weather is not expected, but some of the storms will be loud at times.
MORE OF THE SAME OVER NEXT FEW DAYS; HOT 4TH OF JULY… If you like consistency in your weather forecast, this the week for you! High temperatures will be in the 90-95° range over the next 7 days with a chance of showers and thunderstorms each day, mostly (although not exclusively) in the P.M. hours. This holds true for Independence Day on Thursday as well. Most of the fireworks displays across the region should be dry but there will inevitably be some communities that have pop-up storms around in the evening hours on Thursday.
TROPICS: HURRICANE BERYL NEAR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS… Hurricane Beryl is expected to remain a major hurricane while crossing through the southern Windward Islands over the next 12 hours. A Hurricane Warning is up for Barbados, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadine Islands, Grenada, and Tobago. Beryl will likely weaken while crossing westward through the Caribbean Sea later this week as upper-level atmospheric shear begins to take a toll on the system. Impacts from Beryl may be possible in southern parts of the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and Jamaica later in the week ahead of potential impacts in Mexico and Belize later this week.
TROPICS: BERYL LIKELY TO REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH AND WEST… Model guidance continues to trend westward for Beryl. Mexico looks to take the brunt of the impacts from this storm. Significant impacts may be possible under some scenarios in Belize, Honduras, and Jamaica as well. There is still some chance for potential impacts in Texas and Louisiana. Lower-end chances of impacts exist for Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle, but much of the guidance has shifted south and west of our area. This means there is a high (but not completely certain) chance south Alabama and northwest Florida may not have impacts due to Hurricane Beryl. This is something I will continuously be monitoring over the next several days until we can give a definitive “all clear.”
TROPICS: TROPICAL STORM CHRIS IN THE FAR SOUTHERN GULF… The National Hurricane Center initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Three yesterday in the late afternoon hours. TD3 strengthened and quickly became Tropical Storm Chris at 10PM last evening. Chris is located in the Bay of Campeche region of the southern Gulf of Mexico. This storm will primarily be a heavy rain and flash flooding concern for parts of Mexico over the next 24-72 hours as the storm moves inland and rapidly decays. Direct local impacts are not expected in south Alabama or northwest Florida due to Tropical Storm Chris.
TROPICS: INVEST 96L IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN… Another, distinct tropical wave has developed “behind,” or east of, Hurricane Beryl in the Atlantic Ocean. This tropical wave will likely become a named tropical storm in the days ahead as it tracks generally right behind Hurricane Beryl. The National Hurricane Center has development probabilities up to 70%. Interests in the Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico should closely monitor the progress of this next system. Another system to watch in the days ahead.
APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!
See all the details in your Monday morning RedZone Weather forecast video. Have a great start to your week!
HOT & HUMID AGAIN TODAY; P.M. STORMS POSSIBLE… Hot temperatures with ample humidity are expected today. Highs will be in the mid-90s with heat index values around 105°. Pop-up thunderstorms will happen this afternoon into this evening, particularly in communities closer to the coast.
Have a great start to the week!
Tropical Storm Chris has officially made landfall in Mexico very early on this Monday, July 1, 2024 morning, per the 1AM advisory from @NHC_Atlantic.
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) July 1, 2024
