The Storm Prediction Center notes in their latest mesoscale discussion that there is a narrow corridor for tornadogenesis that extends from southern Baldwin County eastward to Destin.
Please be able to hear warnings overnight. pic.twitter.com/HOpXcElefa
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 27, 2025
Quick broad overview for the entire region…
Baldwin County is the hotspot for severe weather over the next hour or so. This cluster of storms will very slowly spread eastward into Escambia (FL) and Santa Rosa counties.
Showers and storms happening near Jackson, Leroy, Uriah,… pic.twitter.com/SunoEiPLm2
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 27, 2025
Flash Flood Warning till 1AM for Fairhope, Point Clear, Barnwell, Turkey Branch, Marlow, River Park, and Clay City in Baldwin County, AL.
2-3" of rain has fallen in the last hour with more rain on the way. Isolated 4" totals already near Point Clear! Avoid driving if possible. pic.twitter.com/riuWBi7oun
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 27, 2025
Watching this general area on radar just east of AL181 near Fairhope. Broad, weak rotation along with torrential rainfall. This is happening near and just south of AL104 and just east of Bill-E's restaurant. pic.twitter.com/BQdxo3Ufxx
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 27, 2025
Now to roughly 4AM or 5AM is going to be the window for any strong to severe storms. This is the latest run of the HRRR model showing the bulk of the activity happening closer to the coast.
Growing very concerned about the flash flood potential near coastal Alabama and NW FL. pic.twitter.com/yhcENzaTau
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 27, 2025
Storms happening across Baldwin County and near Dauphin Island continue to behave so far.
Continuing to see brief, transient areas of rotation that develop and fade just as quick. That’s fine – as long as they don’t stick around and become tornadic.
Watching trends carefully. pic.twitter.com/DPAsNeRS6s
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 27, 2025
Several little hotspots of weak rotation noted as of 9:13PM near Malbis, Spanish Fort, Belforest, Daphne, Silverhill, Fairhope, and Point Clear.
Watching these cells carefully.
Torrential rainfall continues across much of the Eastern Shore region. pic.twitter.com/owzzclnjzE
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 27, 2025
