12:01AM December 1, 2018

NEXT FEW HOURS… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to move inland from the Gulf of Mexico. Rain is moving from southwest to northeast, and this general movement is expected to continue. Coverage of rain and storms will likely increase through sunrise. The radar image above is valid as of midnight as we begin the month of December.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK INCREASES… Atmospheric instability will start to increase after sunrise. In addition, winds high in the atmosphere will become more supportive of a few strong to severe storms later this morning. Be ready for a few severe storms and tornado warnings later today!

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!

David's Catfish Logo


10:49PM November 30, 2018

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!

Escambia River Electric Cooperative Logo


7:10PM November 30, 2018

HAVE A WAY TO GET WARNINGS OVERNIGHT… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will become likely later this (Friday) evening ahead of a round of potentially strong to severe thunderstorms on Saturday. We will likely have two rounds of rain and storms, although I’m not entirely confident that these will be two DISTINCT rounds. While the core of the severe weather risk will likely happen after sunrise on Saturday, there is at least some chance that we could have a tornado warning in our local area before the sun comes up. Thus, we all need to have a way to receive urgent weather warnings BEFORE we go to sleep tonight.

FIRST ROUND OF STORMS… The first round of rain and storms is developing now in the northern Gulf of Mexico. These showers and storms will move into coastal areas first and spread inland overnight. The tornado risk is low with this first wave of storms since instability values aren’t high and atmospheric winds (shear) aren’t screaming, but the risk is NOT zero. If any tornadoes happen overnight, they’re most likely to occur in coastal counties.

HIGHER SEVERE WEATHER RISK AFTER SUNRISE… Severe weather parameters will increase across south Alabama and northwest Florida after the sun rises on Saturday morning. I expect tornado watches will be required. Isolated tornadoes and damaging straight line winds will be the main concerns in any storms that fire up after sunrise.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH… Covington, Walton, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Escambia (FL) counties are under a Flash Flood Watch until Saturday afternoon. Higher rain amounts are likely in these counties that are on the southeast side of our local area. 2-3” of rain is possible in these counties. Lesser rain amounts (1-2” of rain in total) are likely back to the west.

APP ALERTS… Once you have our free RedZone Weather app downloaded on your iOS or Android device, check out the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the handcrafted alerts you’d like to receive straight from me.

Let me know if you have any weather-related questions. Again, please have a way to receive urgent weather warnings before you go to sleep tonight. Enjoy the evening!

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!

Southern Pine Logo


11:28AM November 30, 2018

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!


6:54AM November 30, 2018

LEVEL 2 SEVERE WEATHER RISK FOR SATURDAY… The Storm Prediction Center has included ALL of our local area in south Alabama and northwest Florida in their Level 2 (out of 5) slight risk zone valid for Saturday. This means that scattered severe thunderstorms could happen, including a few tornadoes and scattered instances of damaging straight line winds. Isolated showers could happen as early as this evening, with rain becoming more likely in the overnight hours into Saturday morning. Temperatures are forecast to remain well above our seasonal norms for this time of year over the next few days before a strong cold front moves by on Tuesday. Let’s talk details…

FEW SHOWERS LATER TODAY… Much of our local area should remain dry throughout the day on this Friday. High temperatures will soar into the 70s by 3PM today. A few showers may develop near coastal areas and over west Alabama before the end of the day. Rain will become more likely in the overnight hours. We note that some models show a complex of more consistent, heavy rain moving by in the wee hours of Saturday morning.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ON SATURDAY… Isolated tornadoes and damaging wind gusts in the stronger storms will be our main weather concerns on Saturday morning into the early afternoon hours. There is a chance we could have a few isolated supercell thunderstorms that become severe during the late morning hours of Saturday.

SEC CHAMPIONSHIP TRAVEL… The Alabama Crimson Tide is scheduled to play the Georgia Bulldogs inside Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta at 3PM CST/4PM EST on Saturday, December 1. If you’re planning to wake up on Saturday morning and drive to Atlanta from our local area, please be aware that a few strong thunderstorms may be possible. You’ll need to have a way to check the radar and receive urgent weather warnings! An automobile is a TERRIBLE place to be during a tornado warning. We encourage you to get out of cars and get into a well built, site-built structure away from windows and doors.

STORM TIMING… Isolated showers could happen as early as this (Friday) afternoon across west Alabama. More consistent rain may happen Friday evening into the overnight hours of Saturday morning. The severe weather risk, however, will extend from 4AM to 4PM on Saturday, with the greatest risk being from 9AM to 2PM. That is when the greatest combination of severe weather ingredients will be in place across our region.

POTENTIAL HAZARDS… Isolated tornadoes and damaging straight line winds will be the main concerns in the stronger storms. Some weather models are depicting the potential for a few supercell thunderstorms late Saturday morning. Any supercells that become discrete and isolated will have the greatest tornado potential. Definitely something to monitor as we get closer to this potential event. The risk of large hail is low, but not zero. The hail risk will happen in any supercells that can become isolated. Flash flooding impacts look to be negligible at this time.

APP… Be sure to download the RedZone Weather app (redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download) to keep up with the storms this weekend. Once you have the app downloaded, visit the Alerts tab (bottom right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you’d like to receive straight from me.

Let me know if you have any questions! Have a good Friday. Be sure to check back with me this evening for the latest updates.

Tap below to support this RZW sponsor!