STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT… Be on guard this evening into the overnight hours as we could have a few isolated tornadoes and damaging wind gusts in any of the stronger thunderstorms that move across south Alabama and northwest Florida. The Storm Prediction Center upgraded much of our area into their Level 2 (out of 5) slight risk zone and that remains in place today. What does a Level 2 risk mean? Scattered instances of strong to severe storms will be possible, with a few, brief tornadoes being the main concern. Damaging straight line winds capable of knocking down a few trees will also be possible. After the rain and storms today into early Friday, Saturday kicks off a streak of nice, warm, sunny days. Let’s look at a few details…

SHOWERS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON… No significant issues are expected before Noon. Rain chances will increase in the afternoon and evening hours and showers and thunderstorms start popping up. We’ll be focused on Louisiana and Mississippi for severe weather issues in the late morning and early afternoon hours. By 3-4PM today, there is a chance some of the storms in our area could be on the strong or severe side.

LEVEL 2 RISK: WHO IS INVOLVED… Vast majority of the local area is included in the Level 2 (out of 5) risk zone. If you’re in any of the following communities or surrounding areas, you’re included: Mobile, Pensacola, Destin, Brewton, Monroeville, Grove Hill, Silas, Toxey, Chatom, Millry, Leroy, Jackson, Fruitdale, Vinegar Bend, Wagerville, McIntosh, Citronelle, Mt. Vernon, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Daphne, Spanish Fort, Fairhope, Bay Minette, Stockton, Stapleton, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Key, Molino, Gonzalez, Walnut Hill, Bratt, Century, Flomaton, Atmore, Poarch, Bratt, Jay, Berrydale, Munson, Crestview, Milton, Navarre, Niceville, Fort Walton Beach, Laurel Hill, Florala, Pleasant Home, Evergreen, Castleberry, Repton, and Brooklyn.

LOWER-END, LEVEL 1 RISK… We note that the northeastern swath of our area remains involved in the lower-end, Level 1 (out of 5) risk zone. This includes areas in/near Thomasville, Beatrice, Greenville, Georgiana, Oaky Streak, Halso Mill, McKenzie, Red Level, River Falls, Andalusia, Heath, Straughn, Rose Hill, and Opp.

Much of west-central Alabama and southeast Alabama are also now involved in the Level 1 risk zone, including Demopolis, Selma, Camden, Butler, Livingston, Troy, Elba, Enterprise, Dothan, Geneva, Samson, Luverne, Daleville, and Abbeville.

POTENTIAL HAZARDS… Isolated tornadoes and damaging wind gusts will be the two main concerns as storms move by this afternoon, evening, and into the very early morning hours of Friday. Rain amounts should add up to 1-2” in total for most spots across our region, thus likely mitigating the flash flooding risk.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING… 2PM today (Thursday) to 2AM Friday is the 12 hour window in which severe weather may happen across our region. 5PM to 11PM seems to be the 6 hour window with the greatest potential when tornadoes may happen. Have a way to get the warnings later today into tonight!

TORNADO WARNING COVERAGE… redzoneweather.com/coverage outlines our specific tornado warning commitment to southwest Alabama and northwest Florida. Any time there is an active tornado warning polygon for Covington, Conecuh, Butler, Escambia (AL), Monroe, Clarke, Washington, Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, or Okaloosa counties, we provide uninterrupted tornado warning coverage in the RZW app and on Facebook Live.

GET THE APP & SET UP ALERTS… I know I have beat this into the ground with every, single post, but I want YOU to make sure you have the RedZone Weather app downloaded this morning BEFORE we have inclement weather. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner of app) then tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to pick the specific alerts you want to get straight from me.

GORGEOUS, SUNNY WEEKEND UPCOMING… Clouds clear out late Friday evening and we will be sunny across the region for both Saturday and Sunday. High temperatures will be in the mid-80s with morning lows in the 60s.

DRY, NICE START FOR NEXT WEEK… The increasing temperatures will be the main weather headline as we go into next week. Some spots may hit the 90 degree mark by Wednesday as a big ridge of high pressure remains in control of our weather pattern, keeping us dry through at least Thursday. Plenty of sunshine is likely Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.

See all the details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video… Enjoy the day & have a way to get tornado warnings!

LEVEL 2 RISK IN PLACE… The Storm Prediction Center has indicated that a Level 2 (out of 5) risk zone will remain in place as we go into the severe weather risk for this (Thursday) evening. No outlook category upgrade is necessary at this time.

The new convective outlooks are first issued each day at 1AM CDT. I’ll have the new graphic posted shortly. Standby.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK INCREASES SLIGHTLY FOR THURSDAY… The risk of a few tornadoes and damaging wind gusts has increased across south Alabama and northwest Florida valid for Thursday in the afternoon and evening hours. The latest Storm Prediction Center convective outlook (as of 1PM CDT) has upgraded much of our region into their Level 2 (out of 5) slight risk zone. This means that isolated tornadoes and damaging wind gusts will be possible. This event has consistently included our area in the Level 1 zone but the risk has been increased slightly per the latest update. While the risk is slightly higher, the overall forecast has not changed that much. Rain and thunderstorms will become likely after lunch on Thursday as we get into the afternoon and evening hours. Some of the storms could be on the strong to severe side, capable of producing a few, brief tornadoes and damaging wind gusts. Storms will clear out early Friday morning and rain could linger into Friday afternoon.

LEVEL 2 RISK: WHO IS INVOLVED… Vast majority of the local area is included in the Level 2 (out of 5) risk zone. If you’re in any of the following communities or surrounding areas, you’re included: Mobile, Pensacola, Destin, Brewton, Monroeville, Grove Hill, Silas, Toxey, Chatom, Millry, Leroy, Jackson, Fruitdale, Vinegar Bend, Wagerville, McIntosh, Citronelle, Mt. Vernon, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Daphne, Spanish Fort, Fairhope, Bay Minette, Stockton, Stapleton, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Key, Molino, Gonzalez, Walnut Hill, Bratt, Century, Flomaton, Atmore, Poarch, Bratt, Jay, Berrydale, Munson, Crestview, Milton, Navarre, Niceville, Fort Walton Beach, Laurel Hill, Florala, Pleasant Home, Evergreen, Castleberry, Repton, and Brooklyn.

LOWER-END, LEVEL 1 RISK… We note that the northeastern swath of our area remains involved in the lower-end, Level 1 (out of 5) risk zone. This includes areas in/near Thomasville, Beatrice, Greenville, Georgiana, Oaky Streak, Halso Mill, McKenzie, Red Level, River Falls, Andalusia, Heath, Straughn, Rose Hill, and Opp.

Much of west-central Alabama and southeast Alabama are also now involved in the Level 1 risk zone, including Demopolis, Selma, Camden, Butler, Livingston, Troy, Elba, Enterprise, Dothan, Geneva, Samson, Luverne, Daleville, and Abbeville.

POTENTIAL HAZARDS… Isolated tornadoes and damaging wind gusts will be the two main concerns as storms move by Thursday afternoon, evening, and into the very early morning hours of Friday. Rain amounts should add up to 1-2” in total for most spots across our region, thus likely mitigating the flash flooding risk.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING… This has changed a bit since this morning. 2PM Thursday to 2AM Friday is the 12 hour window in which severe weather may happen across our region. 5PM to 11PM seems to be the 6 hour window with the greatest potential when tornadoes may happen. Have a way to get the warnings on Thursday!

TORNADO WARNING COVERAGE… redzoneweather.com/coverage outlines our specific tornado warning commitment to southwest Alabama and northwest Florida. Any time there is an active tornado warning polygon for Covington, Conecuh, Butler, Escambia (AL), Monroe, Clarke, Washington, Mobile, Baldwin, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, or Okaloosa counties, we provide uninterrupted tornado warning coverage in the RZW app and on Facebook Live.

GET THE APP & SET UP ALERTS… I know I have beat this into the ground with every, single post, but I want YOU to make sure you have the RedZone Weather app downloaded this morning BEFORE we have inclement weather. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner of app) then tap the large, yellow “Alert Settings” button to pick the specific alerts you want to get straight from me.

Let me know if you have any questions. Have a great Wednesday evening!

STORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY EVENING INTO EARLY FRIDAY; LOW-END RISK… Clouds will be on the increase today ahead of showers & storms returning to our area late Thursday evening into Friday morning. The Storm Prediction Center continues to include part of southwest Alabama and northwest Florida in their low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) marginal severe weather risk zone. This means that an isolated strong to severe storm may happen, but widespread severe weather remains unlikely.

INCREASING CLOUDINESS TODAY… Temperatures will again peak in the mid-80s later today as cloud coverage continues to increase. No rain is expected today. Clouds will continue to stream in from the southwest overnight. Low temperatures by Thursday morning will be around the 60 degree mark.

DRY THURSDAY MORNING; RAIN POSSIBLE IN AFTERNOON… No rain issues are expected Thursday morning. Rain chances spike slightly for the afternoon and early evening hours. There could be a few scattered showers & storms that bubble up after 2PM. Most spots should remain dry until after 6PM, however. The evening hours are when I expect most of the rain to happen. That is also when we have a low-end severe weather risk in place (see below)…

LEVEL 1 RISK TOMORROW NIGHT… The last two rounds of severe weather were likely far more potent than the system slated to move by Thursday evening into Friday morning. The Storm Prediction Center includes a big chunk of southwest Alabama and northwest Florida in their Level 1 (out of 5), low-end, marginal severe weather risk zone. The more unstable air will be in place across southeast Mississippi and eastern Louisiana on Thursday afternoon/evening, where a Level 2 risk zone is in place. Vast majority of us in the local area should have no severe weather issues but instead just a few showers and general (non-severe) thunderstorms.

LINGERING SHOWERS FRIDAY… Most spots begin to dry out late Friday morning. There could be a few isolated lingering rain showers into the late morning and early afternoon hours. Any thunderstorms should be long gone to our east by then, however.

GORGEOUS, SUNNY WEEKEND AHEAD… 100% sunshine is likely for Saturday and Sunday. High temperatures will be in the upper-80s, making this our warmest weekend of 2019 yet. It’s a sign of things to come during the upcoming week when some spots across our region could make a run at the 90 degree mark!

NICE, WARM UPCOMING WEEK… Early model indications point to a warm, sunny week ahead. High temperatures may surge to around 90° by Wednesday of the upcoming week. Overnight lows will be in the low-60s. There are no signs of rain Saturday through Wednesday, as of now.

APP… I’ll have plenty of updates in the RedZone Weather app today and tomorrow about the upcoming low-end severe weather risk late Thursday into Friday. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to go into the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and toggle ON the customized alerts you’d like to receive straight from me.

See all the details, including a graphical look at the next 7 days, in your Wednesday #rzw forecast video… Have a great day!