7:24PM January 31, 2020

GROWING CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY… The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Level 2 (out of 5) risk zone for much of the Deep South valid for Wednesday into Thursday of the upcoming week. It appears, based on early model indications, that all modes of severe weather will be possible. This includes tornadoes, damaging straight line winds, large hail, and flash flooding. It is too early to know specifics on where individual severe weather risks (like tornadoes) will be highest. The risk will set up to our west on Wednesday and continue across our region Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. Be sure to check back with me tomorrow morning and over the next few days as we get closer to this severe weather setup.

DEEP TROUGH & WARM SECTOR LIKELY… You may be wondering how and why the Storm Prediction Center posts an outlook like this so far out. SPC uses multiple weather models and simulations to help better understand the possibilities of what could happen across the continental United States for any given day. Model guidance has been consistent enough to warrant an “early red flag,” suggesting there is a growing potential for the outlooked areas to have severe weather. A trough in the jet stream will dip down across the Great Plains and ultimately move eastward into the Deep South. Combine that with the warm, unstable air that will likely be in place across our region on Wednesday into Thursday, and you get a recipe of ingredients coming together that could produce weather hazards, including tornadoes.

FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING… While the bulk of the rain has cleared out of our area this evening, there could be a few lingering areas of rain tonight into the morning hours of Saturday. Rain should be completely gone and to our east by 2PM on Saturday. Temperatures on Saturday will peak in the upper-50s but we rebound to around 67° by Sunday afternoon.

BETTER WEATHER ON SUNDAY… We will need to enjoy Sunday and Monday as those will be the last sunny days until at least Friday of the upcoming week. Rain and storms will be possible Tuesday ahead of our severe weather risk setting up for Wednesday. High temperatures will rebound to the low-70s by Monday.

APP ALERTS… Now is the time, long before we get to this severe weather potential, to set up the RedZone Weather app on your smartphone! redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the iOS or Android version of the app. Once you have the app downloaded to your device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner of the app), then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I’ll have your next detailed forecast update posted by 7:15AM on Saturday. See you then!

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7:14PM January 31, 2020

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6:58AM January 31, 2020

HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE AT TIMES TODAY; FEW SHOWERS SATURDAY; DRIER SUNDAY… Rain is the word on this Friday as an area of low pressure tracks just to our south today. There could be pockets of heavy rain at times throughout the day on this Friday. Rain totals across south Alabama and northwest Florida will be in the 0.3” to 1” range in most spots. High temperatures will be in the mid-50s due to the ongoing cloud cover. Despite the dreariness, the good news is we are not expecting severe weather issues today. Little to no thunder/lightning action is expected either as atmospheric instability remains almost nonexistent. There could be a few lingering showers into Saturday ahead of a much nicer, warmer, drier Sunday. We also are looking ahead to next week when an active weather pattern will set up across the region. All the forecast details are below.

RAIN CHANCES PEAK AROUND NOON… Scattered showers are happening this morning across the region. Rain coverage should increase across the area through 1PM. Rain will become more scattered in nature this evening around 4PM with an overall lessening of rain coverage this evening. There is a very high chance nearly all of us will have rain in progress for much of the early afternoon hours. I’ll have radar updates as needed today in the RedZone Weather app. You’ll want to keep the jackets handy today as temperatures will struggle to get out of the low-50s.

FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING… Much of the rain will happen in the daylight hours on this Friday, but we could have a few isolated showers lingering into the evening. Keep the umbrellas handy if you’re headed out and about this evening. The same story holds true for Saturday morning. We maintain a 10-20% chance of a few showers through Noon on Saturday, although the bulk of the rain should be to our east at that point.

DRIER SATURDAY EVENING… All of the rain should be gone by midday on Saturday. High temperatures will rebound into the low-60s by 2PM. Cloud cover will decrease from west to east on Saturday afternoon into the evening hours. Mostly clear skies are likely Saturday evening into Sunday morning.

NICE, DRY, SLIGHTLY WARMER SUNDAY… There is high confidence that Sunday will be our “best weather day” out of the next 7 days. Mostly sunny skies will happen on Sunday with temperatures making a run at 70 degrees by 2PM.

ACTIVE PATTERN AHEAD FOR NEXT WEEK… There is at least some chance of rain each day Monday through Friday during the upcoming week. There also will be a chance of strong to severe thunderstorms on Tuesday into Wednesday of the upcoming week, based on some model scenarios. It is too early to nail down specifics. I’ll continue to monitor trends this weekend and bring you updates as needed.

APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Friday #rzw forecast video. Have a great weekend!