CONTROLLED FIRES ON RADAR… If you’ve checked the local radar view this evening, you’ve probably noticed several echos in various places across our region. These are actually radar detected smoke plumes from local controlled burns that are happening across the region. The largest smoke plume is happening near Myrtle Grove and Warrington on the west side of the Pensacola metro.
No rain today! Temperatures are peaking in the mid-60s.
MAINLY SUNNY LEAP DAY; STORMS LIKELY BY MIDWEEK… Picture perfect weather is expected on this Leap Day Saturday across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Mostly sunny skies are likely this morning with a few clouds becoming possible later today. High temperatures will peak in the 65-69° range this afternoon. Cloud coverage will continue to increase on Sunday, but I expect rain to hold off until Monday. Temperatures will continue to progressively increase tomorrow and on Monday. Our next chance of showers and thunderstorms will happen on Wednesday of the upcoming week. Some of the storms could be on the strong side, but it is still too early to pinpoint whether severe weather will be a widespread issue or (more likely) just an isolated issue with general storms for most across our region. Let’s talk details.
ONE MORE COLD NIGHT… After peaking in the mid- to upper-60s today, temperatures will decline into the 50s by 6PM. Keep the jackets close by tonight and certainly overnight if you’re planning to be outside. Most spots will settle into the upper-30s by daybreak on Sunday. This will be our last night with temperatures below 40° until at least Saturday morning of next week (one week from today).
PARTLY CLOUDY AND MILD SUNDAY… While cloud coverage will be increasing throughout the day on Sunday, all of the rain should remain to our west. There will be some peeks of sunshine, even into the evening hours on Sunday. High temperatures will peak around the 70 degree mark. This will be our last Sunday on standard time as Daylight Saving Time kicks off one week from tomorrow!
SHOWERS RETURN FOR MONDAY… Pockets of rain will start on Monday ahead of an unsettled weather pattern that will persist until the passage of a cold front on Thursday. We’ll call it a 20-30% chance of showers on Monday across our area. High temperatures on Monday will peak in the low- to mid-70s with dewpoint temperatures expected to rise throughout the day, meaning the air will feel more humid as we get into Monday night. No severe weather issues are expected until midweek.
MORE RAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY… Intermittent rain is likely on Tuesday with temperatures likely creeping up into the upper-70s by the late morning and early afternoon hours. The greatest chance of rain will happen after dark on Tuesday, although rain will be possible at times during the daytime hours as well. We’ll need to watch instability levels Tuesday afternoon, as there may be enough to support a few thunderstorms near the coast.
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WEDNESDAY… Our next chance of strong thunderstorms is set to happen on Wednesday. The Storm Prediction Center included much of Mississippi, southern Arkansas, eastern Texas, and Louisiana in their Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid for TUESDAY, meaning the risk would shift eastward into our area on WEDNESDAY. The guidance on Friday suggested that there may be somewhat of a mismatch of “severe weather ingredients” that happens, thus potentially limiting severe storms locally, although I caution it is still quite early in this process. We’ll need to monitor trends as we go into next week. I’ll bring you the latest info later today in the RedZone Weather app.
SLIGHTLY COOLER BY END OF NEXT WEEK… Clouds move out on Thursday, giving way to sunshine late in the day and into Friday. High temperatures will drop into the upper-60s for Friday and Saturday (one week from today) with mostly sunny skies expected each day.
APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!
Have a nice Saturday and enjoy the nice weather today!
Mostly sunny skies are likely across the region on this Leap Day Saturday. High temperatures peak in the 65-68° range. Enjoy! ☀️
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) February 29, 2020
Upcoming storm total rainfall amounts next week forecast to add up to between 3 to perhaps 7 inches up across the Tennessee River Valley. Not good news for river flood ravaged areas which would show another response. pic.twitter.com/KfGgBfLzPa
— NWS Mobile (@NWSMobile) February 28, 2020
Some impressive high resolution satellite imagery showing just how much water has overtaken the banks of many rivers. Another satellite imagery shows the entirety of Mobile Bay seeing freshwater discharge draining southward from swollen rivers feeding into the Bay. pic.twitter.com/37E1de8IcY
— NWS Mobile (@NWSMobile) February 27, 2020
We get a nice weekend with rebounding temperatures ahead of active weather next week. Looks like Wednesday may feature a few strong to potentially severe storms. Details will come into better focus over the next few days! ⛈ pic.twitter.com/aZ5wRkfkSv
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) February 28, 2020
SUNNY, NICE WEEKEND; STORMS RETURN NEXT WEEK… Enjoy the sunshine and seasonal weather this weekend as we have a growing chance of rain, storms, and potentially severe weather as we go into the middle part of the upcoming week. Full sunshine is expected on this Friday with high temperatures rebounding into the low- to mid-60s by 2PM. We’ll be in the 50s this evening ahead of another cold night with overnight lows dipping into the upper-30s. More sunshine is expected on both Saturday and Sunday ahead of our next chance of showers setting up for late Monday into Tuesday. Strong to severe storms will become a possibility by Wednesday as a potent cold front approaches from the northwest. That is your forecast summary, below are all of the details.
TRANQUIL, NICE, COOL WEEKEND… No need to stress or worry about our local weather this weekend. It doesn’t get much better than this for late February and early March. Sunny skies will happen on Saturday with high temperatures in the 63-67° range across our region. Temperatures rebound into the upper-60s on Sunday and there is a chance some locales will hit the 70 degree mark. Clouds will likely increase in coverage in the evening hours of Sunday ahead of a few showers becoming possible on Monday.
SHOWERS POSSIBLE MONDAY EVENING… Much of the day on Monday will be dry, but we could see the first showers associated with our next weathermaker as early as Monday evening. We’ll call it a 20% chance of showers for now. Highs on Monday will surge into the low-70s as a warm, moist airmass sets up across our region.
MORE RAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY… Temperatures will increase on Tuesday and some spots might make a run at 80 degrees by the afternoon hours. Mostly cloudy skies are expected with rain coverage increasing during the daytime hours across south Alabama and northwest Florida. We’ll be watching storms to our west on Tuesday. The Storm Prediction Center has outlined nearly all of Mississippi and much of Louisiana, Arkansas, and east Texas in a Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid for Tuesday. This means that tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, and hail will all be possible in those areas Tuesday into Wednesday morning.
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY… Tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, and hail will be concerns on Wednesday, most likely in the daytime hours (although it is still quite early and that is highly subject to change!). It is too early to know specific details, but the overall atmospheric setup looks at least somewhat conducive for strong to severe storms. We have plenty of time between now and this potential severe weather setup, thus plenty of time to prepare accordingly. We’re talking about March in the Deep South, which is our “normal severe weather season.” No need to panic or stress about this, but we do want everyone to have a way to get warnings and have a plan in place just in case tornado or severe thunderstorm warnings are required for parts of our area on Wednesday. I’ll keep you posted about details in the RedZone Weather app.
APP… If you haven’t already, be sure to download the free RedZone Weather app to keep up with all the latest information on the world of weather in south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. Once you have the app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) and tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
See all the details in your Friday #rzw forecast video. Have a great weekend!
Yard work & outdoor chores piling up? Well, get ready to check some of those items off your never-ending To Do list. This weekend will be dry. Yes, folks, you heard that right…DRY!!! Need we say more? 🌞 🙌
(Rain returns late Sunday.) #alwx
— NWS Birmingham (@NWSBirmingham) February 28, 2020
Auto accident I-65 SB/MM 61-62. 18 wheeler lost a load of lumber. Please avoid the area.
— Bama Scan News (@BamaScanNews) February 27, 2020
SUNNY DAYS THROUGH SUNDAY; COOL, DRY THURSDAY… Dry weather is here! After weeks of rain and active weather, we get a break starting today extending until at least Sunday if not Monday. Temperatures will remain QUITE chilly today with most spots not getting out of the mid-50s. You’ll certainly want to keep the jackets handy today! The good news is full sunshine is expected throughout the day. Clear skies tonight will allow temperatures to drop quickly. We’ll be in the 40s this evening ahead of 30s likely overnight. Temperatures will gradually rebound as we go into the upcoming weekend. Our next chance of rain happens late Monday evening into Tuesday as the next area of low pressure approaches from the west. Early forecast guidance points to another inch or two of rain. Just because we’re getting a streak of dry days, don’t think we’re going to be getting into a drought. That is certainly not the case. Rain returns next week. Let’s talk details.
COOL THURSDAY; LOWS NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT… Full sunshine is expected throughout the day on this Thursday. High temperatures will peak in the 53-56° range this afternoon with values on the higher side of that range likely near the immediate coast. If you are headed out to an event this evening, keep the jackets handy! Temperatures will quickly fall into the 40s around sunset and be chilly this evening. Temps fall to around 30 degrees by daybreak on Friday morning. If you have tender outdoor plants or vegetation, be sure to take appropriate freeze precautions.
SUNNY & COOL FRIDAY, SATURDAY, AND SUNDAY… Sunny skies during the day and clear skies at night are ahead for the weekend. High temperatures rise to around 60 degrees Friday afternoon. We’ll be in the mid-60s Saturday afternoon and approaching 70° in some spots by Sunday afternoon. There could be a few clouds moving in late in the evening hours of Sunday. No major weather impacts are expected this weekend.
SHOWERS POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY… Rain will become possible yet again on Monday, primarily in the afternoon and evening hours. Our area will be in a warm sector out ahead of a developing cold front to our west. This will allow showers to happen Monday evening ahead of more widespread rain and potentially a few thunderstorms midweek.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS & STORMS NEXT WEEK… Showers and thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday and Wednesday as a cold front gets set to move by. There is a chance that we could be dealing with a few strong to potentially severe storms during this timeframe, although it is far too early to give any realistic details at this point. Something to monitor over the next few days!
APP… redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the free RedZone Weather app. We post brief updates throughout each day in the app, keeping you up-to-date about the latest happenings in weather across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Once you have the free app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large, yellow Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.
See all the details in your Thursday #rzw forecast video. Enjoy your Thursday!