RAIN & STORMS TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING; A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE… Scattered thunderstorms are likely at times overnight into Sunday morning, some of which may be strong or marginally severe. All of us across south Alabama and northwest Florida are now included in the Level 1 (out of 5) low-end severe weather risk valid tonight into Sunday morning. This means that MOST of us will probably just have rain and thunder at times. A few strong to severe storms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two may become possible. The overall risk of severe storms is a bit higher across the far western part of Alabama near the AL/MS state line and into Mississippi. These are the zones now involved in the Level 2 (out of 5) severe weather risk.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING… 11PM tonight to 11AM Sunday morning continues to be the 12 hour window for strong to severe thunderstorms to happen across south Alabama and northwest Florida with the core window being from 3AM to 9AM. Most communities across south Alabama and northwest Florida will simply have occasional rain and thunder at times but a few, brief severe storms may become possible overnight tonight into Sunday morning. We encourage everyone to have multiple ways to hear urgent weather warnings just in case a warning becomes required for your specific location.

LINE OF STORMS APPROACHES FROM WEST; A FEW CELLS AHEAD OF LINE POSSIBLE… The main issues overnight into Sunday will probably be from the main line of thunderstorms (a QLCS/squall line) that moves generally from northwest to southeast across the local area. Damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two will be possible if this line of storms holds its intensity while moving across our local area. In addition, some of the higher-res model guidance is hinting at the potential for a few discrete, isolated thunderstorms out ahead of the main line. If this scenario happens and discrete cells form ahead of the line, the tornado risk would increase. Have a way to hear warnings overnight into Sunday.

BENEFICIAL RAIN EXPECTED… Drought conditions across south Alabama and northwest Florida continue to worsen each day due to a significant lack of rainfall. This rain/storm event tonight into Sunday should help to at least put a dent into drought conditions with MOST communities across the region now projected to pick up between 0.5″ and 1.5″ of rainfall in total through Sunday.

COOLER TEMPS COMING SUNDAY NIGHT… A cold front approaching the local area is the forcing mechanism responsible for this low-end severe weather risk tonight into Sunday morning. This cold front will move through Sunday afternoon behind the advancing line of storms. Cooler, drier weather will happen on Sunday night, Monday, into Tuesday. Overnight lows by Monday morning will likely be in the upper 40s in many communities across the region. Highs on Monday will top out in the upper 70s.

TORNADO WARNING POLICY… Any time there is an active tornado warning in effect for southwest Alabama or northwest Florida, we provide uninterrupted, live video coverage on Facebook Live and in the RedZone Weather app. Our detailed coverage commitment is outlined at redzoneweather.com/coverage. We are proud to cover all parts of Escambia (AL), Covington, Monroe, Conecuh, Baldwin, Mobile, Clarke, Washington, Butler, Escambia (FL), Santa Rosa, and Okaloosa counties. If you live in any locale in those counties, be sure to tune into our coverage whenever there is an active tornado warning!

APP ALERTS… redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the free RedZone Weather app. We post brief updates throughout each day in the app, keeping you up-to-date about the latest happenings in weather across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Once you have the free app downloaded to your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab (lower right corner) then tap the large Alert Settings button to customize the alerts you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have updates posted throughout the day and into tonight, as needed, in the RedZone Weather app. Have a great Saturday!

PARTLY CLOUDY TODAY; STORMS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY… Clouds will increase in coverage on this Saturday ahead of rain and thunderstorms being possible tonight into Sunday morning. Some of the storms may be severe overnight into Sunday.

High temperatures will be in the low to mid 80s today.

Strong to severe thunderstorms may become possible across parts of south Alabama and northwest Florida early Sunday morning. Much of the region is now involved in a Level 1 (out of 5) low-end, severe weather risk zone.

Gusty winds and a tornado or two possible.

I will have a… pic.twitter.com/4iAlQteiR5

— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 18, 2025

STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING… Active weather returns to our region Saturday night into Sunday morning as a cold front approaches from the northwest. There is a chance that a few strong to severe thunderstorms will be involved. Most locales across south Alabama and northwest Florida will simply have rain at times and thunder. A few storms, however, may become severe with gusty winds being the main concern. The tornado risk remains low, but not entirely zero.

SEVERE WEATHER TIMING – SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY… 11PM Saturday night to 11AM Sunday morning is the current window for strong to severe thunderstorms to happen across south Alabama and northwest Florida. Most communities across south Alabama and northwest Florida will simply have occasional rain and thunder at times but a few, brief severe storms may become possible from Saturday night into Sunday morning. We encourage everyone to have multiple ways to hear urgent weather warnings just in case a warning becomes required for your specific location.

LOW-END SEVERE WEATHER RISK… The western half of our local area is involved in the low-end, Level 1 (out of 5) severe weather risk valid from Saturday night into Sunday morning. Communities WEST of a line from Foley to Walnut Hill to Atmore to Monroeville are involved in the low-end risk zone. This includes places like Mobile, Prichard, Saraland, Satsuma, Bayou La Batre, Alabama Port, Wilmer, Dauphin Island, Citronelle, Calvert, Chatom, Millry, Wagerville, Vinegar Bend, Leroy, Jackson, Grove Hill, Thomasville, Whatley, Coffeeville, Perdue Hill, Uriah, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Spanish Fort, Magnolia Springs, Robertsdale, Silverhill, Summerdale, and Loxley. Communities further to the east like Pensacola, Milton, Brewton, Evergreen, Andalusia, Destin, Fort Walton Beach, and Crestview are involved in the General Thunderstorms zone.

LINE OF STORMS TO APPROACH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT… The reason the western half of our local area is involved in a low-end severe weather risk zone and the eastern half of the region is not involved in a risk zone is because we are expecting a line of thunderstorms to be weakening while crossing the region from west to east. There is a bit of uncertainty as to the strength of the line of storms when it approaches our region. The line may be weak as it approaches west Alabama, and in that case the severe weather risk would probably be quite limited across the region. If the line of storms is a bit stronger on approach, there is a chance that a few stronger storms may happen across the region as the line progresses eastward.

BENEFICIAL RAIN EXPECTED… Drought conditions across south Alabama and northwest Florida continue to worsen each day due to a significant lack of rainfall. This event on Saturday night into Sunday should help to at least put a dent into drought conditions with MOST communities across the region now projected to pick up between 0.5″ and 1.5″ of rainfall in total through Sunday.

COOLER TEMPS COMING SUNDAY NIGHT… A cold front approaching the local area is the forcing mechanism responsible for this low-end severe weather risk on Saturday night into Sunday morning. This cold front will move through Sunday afternoon behind the advancing line of storms. Cooler, drier weather will happen on Sunday night, Monday, into Tuesday. Overnight lows by Monday morning will likely be in the upper 40s in many communities across the region. Highs on Monday will top out in the upper 70s.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

I will have another update posted on Saturday along with rolling updates in the RedZone Weather app.

Have a nice Friday evening!

Look at this first “standard radar” (reflectivity) image. You would think, “Hmm… Two showers. One near Dixonville, one near McCullough.”

Using correlation coefficient, we can see that the return near Dixonville IS a shower. The return north of Atmore is controlled burn smoke. pic.twitter.com/7fayFq4IlS

— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 17, 2025

Updated look at the convective outlook valid Saturday to 6AM Sunday morning. The Storm Prediction Center now includes much of west Alabama in their Level 1 (out of 5) low-end severe weather risk zone.

Gusty winds are the main concern. The tornado risk remains quite LOW, but not… pic.twitter.com/tqHxGqoR25

— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) October 17, 2025

Severe drought for east Conecuh County in south Alabama!
This is Pastor‘s Pond, east of Castleberry. There is less water is in the pond every day! We are anxiously looking forward to the possibility of rain Saturday night into Sunday! @NWSMobile@rzweather@weathernation pic.twitter.com/aZydowRpxz

— T Lloyd Gallman (@PhotogLloyd) October 17, 2025