6:43PM August 2, 2020

ISOLATED STORM NEAR MONROEVILLE… Torrential downpours are happening across parts of Monroe County, AL this evening due to the storm near Monroeville, Mexia, Frisco City, and Peterman. This lone, isolated storm is moving northeast at 20-25 mph. This storm is under severe limits, but very heavy rain, cloud-to-ground lightning, and gusty winds are happening. This storm will likely clear out of Monroeville in 45 minutes or so.

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3:44PM August 2, 2020

STORMS OVER WEST ALABAMA… Scattered storms continue to fire up across parts of west Alabama this evening. Heavy rain is happening near Mobile, Prichard, Saraland, Satsuma, Salitpa, Whatley, Fulton, and Thomasville.

Storms continue to move northeast.

An isolated storm has also formed near and just south of Crestview in Okaloosa County.

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12:52PM August 2, 2020

ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING; T.S. ISAIAS NEAR SOUTH FLORIDA… Isolated areas of rain and a few thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon, mainly across inland areas of southwest Alabama. Temperatures on this Sunday are peaking in the mid-90s in most spots with plenty of sunshine in place as of 12:30PM. We continue to monitor Tropical Storm Isaias, located very near the east (Atlantic) coast of Florida. Isaias has weakened over the last 48 hours and now has maximum sustained winds near 65 mph. The system will continue to move north toward the South Carolina and North Carolina coast over the next 24-36 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning has been extended northward to those areas. Beyond that, Isaias is expected to accelerate northeast into New England by Tuesday. That will likely be the last we hear about Isaias once we get to that point, but we’re now watching INVEST 94L, a tropical wave in the central Atlantic Ocean northeast of the Lesser Antilles. 94L is expected to remain over the open waters of the Atlantic, but the system may become a tropical storm this week. NHC puts the odds of that happening at a 60% chance. Locally, our weather forecast this week will be on repeat with plenty of heat, plenty of humidity, and perhaps a few P.M. storms. Let’s look at all of your Sunday evening forecast details.

FEW STORMS POSSIBLE LOCALLY TODAY… A few showers and thunderstorms are likely to develop over the next few hours across the region. The main focus area for storms will probably be northwest of I-65 in parts of Clarke, Monroe, Conecuh, Butler, Wilcox, Washington, Choctaw, and Marengo counties. Those are the areas that have the greatest chance of seeing a shower or storm in the hours ahead. That isn’t to say that there won’t be a few rogue storms across south central Alabama or near the Alabama/NW Florida beaches, but I expect most of the storms today to happen farther inland. Temperatures are already in the low-90s at the time I’m producing this video around 12:30PM. I expect temperatures to peak in the mid-90s by 2PM in most spots. There will be some spots that see no rain today with ample sunshine.

ISAIAS NOW A TROPICAL STORM MOVING NORTH… Tropical Storm Isaias is now centered just offshore from the Atlantic coast of Florida. The center, as of the 10AM CDT advisory, was located 55 miles southeast of Fort Pierce, FL or about 120 miles south-southeast of Cape Canaveral. Isaias is moving north-northwest at 8 mph. Minimum central pressure is at 995 millibars. The system has gradually weakened over the last day or so. Due to the track being just offshore from the Florida Peninsula, it looks like land areas of Florida will be spared from major impacts. We knew it would be a nailbiter of sorts with just how close the center was/is to the Florida coast, and indeed, Isaias is a stone’s throw away from the local beaches in south Florida. That 50 miles or so made all the difference in the world in terms of impacts. The Carolinas, however, look to get quite a bit of heavy rain and gusty winds early this week as Isaias arrives on Monday into Tuesday.

TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS EXTENDED TO CAROLINAS… The Tropical Storm Warning for the East Coast of the U.S. now extends from Surf City, FL to Duck, NC, including all parts of the Georgia and South Carolina coastline. The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center calls for a South Carolina or North Carolina landfall as Isaias moves north early this week. The influence of southwesterly shear continues to take a toll on the system, but some strengthening may happen before landfall since Isaias will be moving over the warm Gulf Stream current. Right now, the NHC forecast has landfall most likely to happen as a strong, 65 mph tropical storm on Monday night. Interests in South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, and all of the coastal stretches of the Northeastern U.S. should continue to closely monitor the latest on Tropical Storm Isaias.

60% CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT – INVEST 94L… NHC is also watching a tropical wave centered northeast of the Lesser Antilles that now has a 60% chance of becoming a tropical storm. Regardless of development, this system will likely remain over the open Atlantic Ocean with no land impacts expected. From NHC: “Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands have changed little in organization this morning. However, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of the week. This system is forecast to turn northwestward and then northward over the western Atlantic, passing north of the Leeward Islands on Monday and Tuesday.”

LOW (NOT ZERO) RAIN CHANCES THIS WEEK; SUNNY & WARM… Rain chances will almost certainly be lower this week compared to the first half of last week when just about everyone across the region had rain and storms. Plenty of sunshine is expected each day this week with low (10-30%) rain chances each day. High temperatures will consistently be in the 90s with morning lows in the 70s.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 NOW OFF THE BOARD… There was a short-lived tropical depression near the African coast over the last few days, but NHC issued its final advisory last evening. That system has dissipated and re-development won’t happen.

GULF & CARIBBEAN ARE QUIET… While we monitor Tropical Storm Isaias and INVEST 94L in the Atlantic, we note that the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea are quiet with no tropical storm formation expected in those two zones over the next 3-5 days. Good news!

APP ALERTS… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

See all the details in your Sunday evening #rzw forecast video… Have a great day!

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3:33PM August 1, 2020

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12:43PM August 1, 2020

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7:08AM August 1, 2020

MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY & SUNDAY; HURRICANE ISAIAS NEAR SOUTH FLORIDA… Hot, mostly sunny conditions are expected across south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Saturday. Rain chances today remain very low (10-20%) across the region. High temperatures will approach 95 degrees in many areas locally with heat index values likely to be between 100 and 105 this afternoon. If you’re headed to a local beach, creek, or getting out by the pool today, grab that sunscreen as the UV Index will be sky high. We continue to track Hurricane Isaias as it approaches the Florida Peninsula (not the Panhandle where we are, but the Peninsula). A Hurricane Warning is in effect for much of the east (Atlantic) coast of Florida. It is going to be a close call as to if the center of Hurricane Isaias makes landfall along the Atlantic coast of Florida. What is NOT a close call, however, is that Isaias definitely won’t be a direct local issue for Alabama or northwest Florida. No impacts are expected in our region. We are also watching a weak, short-lived tropical depression near the African continent that is likely to completely dissipate later today or tonight. Let’s look at your forecast details…

LOCALLY, PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THIS WEEKEND… Sunshine is the word today across south Alabama and northwest Florida. High temperatures will be in the mid-90s with a very low chance of rain. We could have a few more clouds and perhaps a few more in the way of showers and thunderstorms on Sunday, but I expect rain chances to overall be pretty low. 10-20% chance of rain today and then a 20-30% chance of rain on Sunday sounds reasonable at this point. High temperatures will remain in the mid-90s on Sunday.

HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR ATLANTIC COAST OF FLORIDA… A Hurricane Warning has been issued for a long stretch of the Florida Atlantic coastline. The Hurricane Warning extends from Boca Raton northward to the Volusia/Brevard County Line. A Hurricane Watch or Tropical Storm Watch will likely be issued for parts of the South Carolina and North Carolina coast later tonight or on Sunday.

ISAIAS TO POTENTIALLY MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTH FLORIDA… There still is some question as to if Hurricane Isaias will actually make landfall in the Florida Peninsula perhaps near or north of Miami. Regardless of if this happens or not, it looks like the center of circulation associated with Isaias will be very close to the eastern coast of Florida as the system moves north. This means that hurricane impacts, including high wind gusts, heavy rain, and high waves will all be concerns for the east coast of Florida.

ISAIAS IMPACTS LIKELY IN CAROLINAS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY… Hurricane Isaias will first affect Florida, but next in line for the system will be an encounter with South Carolina and North Carolina on Monday into Tuesday as the system begins accelerating to the northeast. The system will likely be a strong tropical storm and not a hurricane when it passes through the eastern part of the Carolinas, per the latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center. Heavy rain, flash flooding, isolated tornadoes, high wind, and high waves will all be a concern. Isaias is expected to move through the Northeast U.S. on Tuesday into Wednesday.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 NEAR AFRICAN COAST… A tropical wave moved off the African coast on Thursday and briefly flared up to tropical depression status late on Friday. The depression is in an area where sea surface temperatures are not conducive for much more (if any) development. The depression is moving north at 5-10 mph just northeast of the Cabo Verde Islands.

FEW STORMS POSSIBLE BY MIDWEEK… We return to more of a seasonal summer pattern as we get into the middle part of the upcoming week. High temperatures will remain in the mid-90s with morning lows in the low-70s. Rain chances by Tuesday into Wednesday will be in the 40-50% chance range.

APP… Be sure to download our free RedZone Weather app if you haven’t done so already. redzoneweather.com/app is the link where you can download the app for your iOS or Android device. Once you have the app downloaded, be sure to visit the Alerts tab in the lower right corner of the app to select the specific notifications you would like to receive straight from me.

I will have updates posted throughout the day and into this evening as needed in the RedZone Weather app. Have a great Saturday!

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