8:19AM October 1, 2026




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7:01AM October 1, 2026




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6:51AM October 1, 2026

SPOTTY STORMS TODAY; HEAVY RAIN & STORMS LIKELY AT TIMES FRIDAY, SATURDAY, AND SUNDAY… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will become possible across south Alabama and northwest Florida today as moisture continues to increase across the region. A mix of sun and clouds is expected with high temperatures generally around the 90 degree mark. Storm coverage will increase considerably tomorrow (Friday) and remain elevated through the weekend. Multiple rounds of rain and thunderstorms may produce locally heavy rainfall Friday through Sunday, with localized flash flooding becoming a concern this weekend. For now, the overall concern is more of a heavy rain and lightning concern as opposed to tornadoes and damaging wind gusts. The risk of tornadoes remains low through the weekend.

A FEW SCATTERED STORMS AT TIMES TODAY… Showers may begin near the coast this morning before scattered showers and a few thunderstorms spread farther inland this afternoon. Rain will not last all day in any one community, and some locations may avoid rain entirely. Most of today’s showers and storms should be brief. There is no formal severe weather risk in place locally today. I will have radar updates posted throughout the day, as needed, in the RedZone Weather app.

INCREASING RAIN CHANCES TOMORROW… Deep tropical moisture will move across the region tomorrow, allowing numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop. Locally heavy downpours will become possible, although there should still be occasional breaks in the rain. High temperatures will be in the upper 80s in most communities. No formal severe weather risk is currently in place locally for tomorrow, with heavy rain being the main concern. Some of the storms will likely be “loud and proud” at times with quite a bit of lightning and thunder.

FRIDAY EVENING LIKELY TO BE WET… Showers and thunderstorms are likely to be around the region Friday evening, potentially affecting high school football games and other outdoor plans. It is not possible to know exactly which communities will have rain in the 7PM-9PM range, and some locations may have extended dry breaks. Any nearby thunderstorm would create lightning concerns, even if the heaviest rain remains away from a particular game.

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN & STORMS LIKELY SATURDAY… A moisture-rich atmosphere will support multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms on Saturday. Rain may be intermittent rather than continuous, but outdoor plans could be interrupted at times. Some storms will be capable of producing intense rainfall rates. Localized flash flooding could develop where storms repeatedly move over the same areas, particularly in urban and poor-drainage locations. High temperatures will generally be in the mid to upper 80s.

ACTIVE WEATHER CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY; FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS… Numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue Sunday as deep moisture pools ahead of a slow-moving front approaching from the northwest. Sunday currently appears to be the wettest day of the forecast period across much of the region. The exact placement and timing of the heaviest rain remain uncertain, but localized flash flooding will be possible where storms train over the same communities. Highs will only be in the upper 70s to low 80s because of the clouds and rain.

MORE SCATTERED STORMS INTO NEXT WEEK… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain possible Monday and Tuesday, although rain coverage should gradually decrease compared to the weekend. There is some uncertainty concerning how far south the approaching front will move before stalling or moving offshore. High temperatures will generally be in the upper 70s to low 80s Monday and Tuesday, followed by 70s to near 80° Wednesday. Rain chances will be lower by Wednesday, but not completely zero.

TROPICS: GULF & CARIBBEAN QUIET, FOR NOW… No new tropical storms are expected to develop in the Gulf or Caribbean Sea over the next 5-7 days. We note that some of the longer range models (10-14 days out) have highlighted a potential area of concern in the Bay of Campeche region of the southern Gulf. It’s a bit too early to make any type of determination as to if this system may develop. Just something to watch in the days ahead. Despite a quiet hurricane season so far, it only takes one storm to make it a memorable year for a given area. I’ll have updates posted in the days ahead.

APP… Be sure to have the free RedZone Weather app installed on your phone to keep up with the latest weather information across south Alabama and northwest Florida. redzoneweather.com/app is the link for the free download. After installing the app, visit the Alerts tab to choose exactly which notifications you’d like to receive.

See all the details in your Thursday RedZone Weather forecast video. My next forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. I will have updates posted throughout the day, as needed, in the RedZone Weather app.

Have a nice Thursday!

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6:28AM October 1, 2026




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8:14PM September 30, 2026

HERE COMES THE RAIN – WEEKEND EXPECTED TO HAVE RAIN & THUNDERSTORMS… We’re set to enter a significantly wetter weather pattern on Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and into Monday as deep tropical moisture moves into south Alabama and northwest Florida. For now, this looks like a big rain event through the weekend with multiple rounds of rain being likely. The good news is the overall severe weather risk remains LOW for now. Maybe not entirely zero, particularly Saturday P.M. I suspect the main issue in the days ahead will be a lot of rain capable of producing isolated instances of flash flooding. Cloud-to-ground lightning will be a concern in the storms that develop as well. There has been a lot of online chatter about a potential Gulf tropical system in 10-14 days. Details about that are below.

WHAT TO EXPECT – TOMORROW (THURSDAY)… Spotty, brief thunderstorms will be possible throughout the day, starting first at the coast and progressing inland in the afternoon and evening hours. I am not expecting much, if anything, in the way of severe weather impacts. Lightning and brief downpours are the main concern tomorrow. The best chance of rain will happen from 3PM to 9PM, but again, activity is expected to be quite spotty in nature tomorrow.

HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES FRIDAY… Rain becomes more likely. We probably will have multiple rounds of rain throughout the day. The best rain chances will happen in the afternoon and evening hours, most likely. Occasional thunderstorms will be involved as well. At this point, there is no formal risk of severe storms, meaning I am not concerned as much about tornadoes or damaging wind gusts. Heavy rain and lightning could be problematic at times. It probably will not rain all day Friday. Instead, multiple waves of rain will be possible. An uptick in severe weather potential does not seem particularly likely on Friday, but this is something I will be monitoring just in case we see changes.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL BE WET AT TIMES… The weekend will be quite wet in many communities, plain and simple. Rain and thunderstorms will be possible all weekend long. The greatest chance of rain looks to be Saturday P.M. into Saturday night and early Sunday morning. IF (and that’s a big IF) we see any severe storm development through the weekend, I suspect it would be Saturday evening around the northwest Florida coast, most likely. Even there, the risk isn’t anything notable at this point, but if the parameter space changes and we do see a low-end risk set up, I would think it would be near the beaches in NW FL on Saturday P.M. Rain will likely be more continuous on Saturday into Saturday night in some communities across the region. Flash flooding could become a problem if storms train over the same areas. Generally, the closer you are to the coast, the higher your risk of flash flooding this weekend into early next week.

GULF & CARIBBEAN QUIET; TROPICAL MISCHIEF IN 10-14 DAYS?… The Gulf and Caribbean Sea will remain quiet over the next 5 days, in terms of an organized tropical storm or hurricane threat – there is no threat through at least Tuesday of the upcoming week. I would not be surprised if the National Hurricane Center chooses to flag the southwestern Gulf (Bay of Campeche region) with a low-end development probability for the END of next week. There has been intermittent model support of a tropical storm developing toward the end of next week in the southwestern Gulf and generally moving northeast, perhaps toward our area OR perhaps toward the Florida Big Bend or even the Florida Peninsula. It’s simply too soon to know any real details. We’re in the VERY early phase of watching this. Quite frankly, a lot of weather pages (and even professional meteorologists) have really honed in on this feature. I suspect this is because hurricane season in the Gulf has been remarkably quiet, so far, so a lot of these folks are chomping at the bit to post anything that looks like tropical trouble. Long-time viewers and readers know I prefer to take a more reserved approach and not hype these things into oblivion. For now, just an idea in the model data we will watch in the days ahead.

APP… If you haven’t already downloaded the RedZone Weather app, now is a great time to do that. redzoneweather.com/app is the link to the free download. Once you have the RZW app installed on your iOS or Android device, be sure to visit the Alerts tab to turn on the specific notifications you’d like to receive. All notifications are handcrafted by me. No automation and we promise not to bug you!

I will have a full forecast rundown posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning with the latest details. Hope you will join us for that.

Have a good Wednesday evening!

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8:12PM September 30, 2026




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5:15PM September 30, 2026




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