Scattered storms near Pace, Theodore, Grand Bay, and just north of Navarre are moving west this afternoon.
Not expecting severe weather issues locally today but scattered storms are likely at times through this evening. https://t.co/6DLWsLBDe8
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 31, 2026
Tropical Depression 5 has officially formed as of 1PM CDT. The system will move toward western Louisiana and east Texas today and tonight.
Landfall is likely tomorrow in the afternoon or evening hours near Port Arthur. https://t.co/JqhV6ugJIU https://t.co/RCrNVdFapI
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 31, 2026
The National Hurricane Center has started advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Five, centered south of Grand Isle, Louisiana.
PTC5 will move toward the western Louisiana and east Texas coast where a Tropical Storm Warning has been posted.
Landfall expected Tuesday P.M. https://t.co/bD6x5KejzU
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 31, 2026
RT @NHC_Atlantic: NHC will initiate advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Five (formerly AL97) located in the northwestern Gulf of Ameri…
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 31, 2026
None of the next 7 days are expected to have all day rain. P.M. pop-up storms, however, will continue to be possible each day. https://t.co/cqxgmQLLLD
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 31, 2026
HEAT, HUMIDITY, P.M. STORMS LOCALLY; MULTIPLE TROPICAL DISTURBANCES… Scattered, mostly P.M. showers and thunderstorms will be possible across south Alabama and northwest Florida on this Monday. Most communities will remain dry and hot with high temperatures in the 90-95° range. Heat index values may be as high as 103° this afternoon. The greatest rain chances this afternoon will happen around the coast with slightly higher rain chances further inland, north of I-10, this evening. We continue to monitor two tropical disturbances, one in the northern Gulf and the other near Puerto Rico.
POP-UP STORM TIMING – TODAY… Showers and thunderstorms may initially be focused near the coast this morning before additional storms develop farther inland during the afternoon and evening hours. Boundaries left behind by morning storms may help spark additional convection as daytime heating increases. The location of developing storms will be difficult to pinpoint in advance, and rain will not be continuous across the region. The best chances of rain will happen between 2PM and 8PM today. Widespread severe storms are not expected. Heavy downpours, cloud-to-ground lightning, loud thunder, and brief gusty winds will be possible in the stronger storms. Waterspouts will also be possible with storms over the nearshore waters.
TROPICS: INVEST 97L IN THE NORTHERN GULF MOVING TOWARD TEXAS… The area of low pressure south of Louisiana in the northern Gulf has been branded as INVEST 97L. The system is located about 130 miles south of the Louisiana coast this morning. The system has not strengthened, but some slow development remains possible as it drifts westward to west-northwestward across the northern Gulf generally toward Louisiana and upper Texas. NHC indicates a 70% chance of development over the next couple of days. Interests along the Louisiana and upper Texas coasts should monitor this system.
TROPICS: REMNANTS OF DOLLY NEAR PUERTO RICO; LOW-END CHANCE OF REDEVELOPMENT… The remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly are producing showers and thunderstorms from Puerto Rico eastward across the Virgin Islands and northern Leeward Islands. The tropical wave does not have a closed circulation, and redevelopment is considered unlikely during the next day or two as it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward. Conditions may become somewhat more favorable for redevelopment by the middle of the week as the system reaches the southeastern Gulf. NHC indicates a 20% chance of development over the next 5-7 days. Locally heavy rain and gusty winds will affect portions of Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and Hispaniola regardless of development. We will need to monitor the system as it moves westward, although confidence in its longer-range evolution remains low.
MORE OF THE SAME LOCALLY IN DAYS AHEAD: P.M. STORMS… Scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain possible on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. Weak disturbances moving across the northern Gulf Coast, combined with daily heating and the seabreeze, will support morning storms near the coast and mainly afternoon storms farther inland. Temperatures will gradually climb later in the week, with highs generally in the 90s and some of the hottest inland communities reaching the mid to upper 90s. Increasing humidity will make afternoons feel increasingly sultry around the middle and latter part of the week.
SPOTTY STORMS THIS WEEKEND… Rain coverage should trend somewhat lower by Friday, but isolated to scattered pop-up storms will remain possible Friday through Sunday. Rain chances will generally be in the 30-50% range each day this weekend. An all-day washout is not expected, but localized storms may briefly interrupt outdoor plans. High temperatures will remain in the 90s through the weekend.
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See all the details in your Monday RedZone Weather forecast video. My next forecast video will be posted by 7:15AM tomorrow morning. I will have updates posted throughout the day, as needed, in the RedZone Weather app.
Have a nice start to your week!
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible at times on this Monday, particularly this evening. Most locales will remain dry and hot today with high temperatures in the low 90s.
Have a great start to your week! 👍 https://t.co/a2IvA7hj0D
— Spinks Megginson (@rzweather) August 31, 2026
